A&I Financial Services Periscope

A & I Financial Services LLC Newsletter

For the Week of
September 7, 2012
 
Greetings!  

 

Do you have a floating rate mortgage loan linked to LIBOR? If so, you may have paid a few basis points too much over the years.

 

Since 2002, more than 12 million A.R.M.'s, worth $3.5 trillion, have been indexed to LIBOR. Here's what LIBORgate means for you, first, and what it means for a few "Wall Street" bankers, second.

 

If you have a $100,000 mortgage, and you paid 10 basis points more than you had to, then each year you paid $100 more in interest payments than you should have paid. Now, the odds are LIBOR was manipulated less than that, and so it could have cost you between $30 and $100 per year per $100,000 borrowed. Not surprisingly, attorneys are clamoring to start up class action lawsuits against the various banks who may have colluded to keep LIBOR rates high.


The LIBOR scandal is causing lots of lawsuits and a lot of unhappy folks.  As I've discussed before, and recently, the incentives to cheat are huge!


A recent editorial by a Wesleyan professor has an interesting idea: eliminate the LIBOR numbers racket. 


In the first half of the century, mobsters controlled the results of government lotteries-numbers  games. You pick a number between 1 and 999 and, naturally, the mob cheated so that you lost and a mobster won. Once they changed the numbers to something that couldn't be fixed and was widely available, like the last 3 digits of the US Treasury balance, published in the paper, the numbers racket went away.


So, the Professor recommends that instead of asking LIBOR bankers for their best or worst estimates, LIBOR ought to be based on a market-determined figure. He proposes something called GCF Repo index, published by the Depository Trust & Clearing Corp.


"The benefit of such an index is that it is determined by a large number of actual trades. Fully 2,600 GCF Repo index contracts were transacted on its first trading day...  In order to restore the world's benchmark interest rate, the financial system ought to take a lesson from the mob."   Read Full Article

Weekly Economic Update 

 
BERNANKE: FED SHOULD NOT "RULE OUT" EASING
Speaking Friday at the Federal Reserve's annual Jackson Hole, WY symposium, Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke gave Wall Street a bit of a lift. Commenting that the recovery is "far from satisfactory", he expressed that the central bank "should not rule out" further stimulus. The Dow rose 90 points on the day, certainly helped by Bernanke leaving a door open for QE3. (1,5)
  
CONSUMER SPENDING & INCOMES INCREASE
Personal spending rose 0.4% in July, and the Commerce Department also noted a second consecutive 0.3% monthly rise in household income. This was welcome news following last week's revised yet still modest 1.7% Q2 GDP reading. (2)
  
PENDING HOME SALES HIT 27-MONTH HIGH
After a 2.4% July advance, the National Association of Realtors reported its pending home sales index at 101.7 - the healthiest reading since April 2010 and a 12.4% improvement from 12 months ago. Additionally, the S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price index posted an annual gain for the first time in 20 months in June (+0.5%). (3)
  
WHICH CONSUMER POLL IS CORRECT?
According to the Conference Board, pessimism has increased: its August consumer confidence gauge hit a 10-month low (60.6). Alternately, the University of Michigan's final August consumer sentiment survey rose to a 3-month high of 74.3, a 2.0% gain that beat the forecast of economists polled by MarketWatch. (4,5) 
  
WEEKLY LOSSES, BUT DECENT GAINS FOR AUGUST
On the week, the DJIA lost 0.51% to slip to 13,090.84, the S&P 500 fell 0.32% to 1,406.57 and the NASDAQ edged down 0.09% to 3,066.96. Yet even with stocks on a 2-week losing streak, the Dow (+0.63%), S&P (+1.98%) and NASDAQ (+4.34%) put up August gains for the first time since 2009. Looking at the NYMEX, COMEX and AAA's Daily Fuel Gauge Report, oil ended the month at $96.47, gold at $1,687.60 and unleaded gasoline at $3.83. (5,6,7)    

Market Summary

% Change

Y-T-D

1Yr Chg

5-Year Avg

DJIA

+7.15

+12.72

-0.40

NASDAQ

+17.73

+18.90

+3.63

S&P 500

+11.85

+15.40

-0.91

(Source: msn.money.com, bigcharts.com, treasury.gov, treasurydirect.gov - 8/31/12).  Past performance is no guarantee of future results.  Indices are unmanaged, and investors cannot invest in them directly
Create a beautiful week!

Karl Frank, MBA, MSF
Certified Financial Planner (R)
A & I Financial Services LLC
303.690.5070
 
Citations:   

 

1 -  www.cbsnews.com/8301-505123_162-57504249/bernanke-from-jackson-hole-no-qe3...yet/ [8/31/12]
2 - www.reuters.com/article/2012/08/30/us-economy-idUSBRE87S0ID20120830 [8/30/12]
3 - blogs.wsj.com/economics/2012/08/29/u-s-pending-home-sales-highest-since-april-2010/ [8/29/12]
4 - www.marketwatch.com/story/consumer-sentiment-rises-slightly-in-august-2012-08-31 [8/31/12]
5 - www.cnbc.com/id/48858445 [8/31/12]
6 - money.msn.com/market-news/post.aspx?post=461e046e-bbfc-4426-8cdf-e3ae3e518d70 [8/31/12]
7 - montoyaregistry.com/Financial-Market.aspx?financial-market=common-financial-mistakes-and-how-to-avoid-them
 

 

   

Securities offered through Geneos Wealth Management, Inc., member FINRA/SIPC.  Investment advisory services offered through A & I Financial Services LLC, registered investment advisor.



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Words for Thought

          
"Variety is the soul of pleasure."
     
Aphra Behn

Karl Frank is Featured in the June 2012 edition of the The Journal of Financial Planning

 

Click Here to Read "Leadership in Action"  Article 

 

   Riddle of the Week

 

You hold 3 U.S. coins in your hand. None of them are dimes, pennies or quarters. They total 60¢. What 3 coins do you have in hand?

  

  Last week's riddle:

 

 A major league pitcher faces just 27 hitters in a baseball game. He retires all of them, allowing no runs and no hits. Still, his team loses the game 4-0. How is this possible?

 

     Last week's answer: 

 

 He was a relief pitcher who did not start the game

Karl Frank was interviewed by 9News on March 28th, 2012 regarding "3 Things You Should Do if You Win the Mega Millions Lottery". 

Click Here to View Video