A&I Financial Services Periscope

A & I Financial Services LLC Newsletter

For the Week of
June 1, 2011
 
Greetings!   
  
Rockies and Stocks
  
Do you think they are related? Both of them had a pretty bad May. I'm confident in both, however, and I encourage you to be confident. 
  
That said, the economic news lately has mostly been negative. The most optimistic news I've read about from anyone who practices the dismal science is that we hit a soft spot.
  
Last week it was Greece. As of Tuesday, the Germans and the rest of the productive European countries will bail out the bail out and save Greece again.
  
Perhaps we ought to take an opposite approach to economic news and buy into the bad news? Or, at the least, don't sell on bad economic news.
  
Instead, stick to your guns. And Rockies, go back to the batting cages.
A Money Manager's Point of View

 

Here are some thoughts from Litman Gregory on the end of QE2 (the program in which the Fed in effect "prints" money electronically in order to buy Treasuries and other bonds):
  
As we've been saying for a long time now, we are in an unprecedented environment as a result of the aftermath of the financial crisis, with fiscal and monetary policies that have uncertain and unintended consequences and that can be exacerbated and complicated by U.S. political and global geopolitical wild cards.

As is usually the case, the consensus view of what will happen when QE2 ends should be reflected in the markets before it actually happens.
  
And, unless we have a substantially different view relative to the market view-which is what creates a fat-pitch investment opportunity-we won't take any portfolio action. That is almost certain to be the case with this event. (1) 
  

Economic Briefs

 

CONSUMER SPENDING SLOWS IN APRIL
Personal spending and personal incomes both increased by 0.4% last month - but the inflation-adjusted gains were minimal or non-existent. With inflation factored in, personal spending rose by 0.1% in April while personal incomes were flat. These latest numbers out of the Commerce Department aren't very inspiring, especially since April's small gains can be attributed to higher gas and food prices. However, many economists believe things will pick up in coming months, assuming gas prices moderate and more jobs appear. (2)

EXPECTATIONS IMPROVE IN KEY CONFIDENCE POLL
The final May consumer sentiment survey is in from the University of Michigan. At 74.3, it shows a nice rebound from the final 69.8 mark for April. It also surpassed the 72.5 reading forecast by economists polled by MarketWatch. The 2011 high for the survey - 77.5 - was recorded in February before gas prices soared. (3)

MIXED NEWS FROM THE REAL ESTATE SECTOR
The Census Bureau said that new home sales improved by 7.3% in April. (Sales were 23.1% below the tax credit-influenced levels of a year ago.) The National Association of Realtors noted a dip in pending home sales: they fell 11.6% in April. (4,5)

DEMAND LESSENS FOR HARD GOODS
Durable goods orders fell 3.6% in April, much more than the 2.5% slip anticipated by economists surveyed by Bloomberg News. Minus the volatile transportation category, hard goods orders still decreased by 1.5%. (6)
 
INVESTORS LEFT COLD BY TEPID INDICATORS
The latest economic reports suggest that the economy is going through a soft patch. They didn't exactly trigger a wave of buying on Wall Street. Stocks pulled back for the fourth straight week, as follows: DJIA, -0.56% to 12,441.58; S&P 500, -0.16% to 1,331.11; NASDAQ, -0.23% to 2,796.86. One bright spot to note: the CBOE VIX retreated 8.15% for the week. (7)
Market Summary

% Change

Y-T-D

1Yr Chg

5-Year Avg

DJIA

+7.46

+21.27

+2.06

NASDAQ

+5.43

+22.79

+5.31

S&P 500

+5.84

+20.67

+0.80

(Source: cnbc.com, bigcharts.com, treasury.gov, treasurydirect.gov - 5/27/11)
Create a beautiful week!

Karl Frank, MBA, MSF
Certified Financial Planner (R)
A & I Financial Services LLC
303.690.5070
 

Citations:
(1) -http://www.advisorintelligence.com 
(2) - cnbc.com/id/43196816 [5/27/11] 
(3) - marketwatch.com/story/consumer-sentiment-rises-in-may-2011-05-27 [5/27/11]
(4) - census.gov/const/newressales.pdf [5/24/11]
(5) - seattlepi.com/realestate/article/Home-sales-deals-fall-in-nation
-Seattle-area-1398967.php [5/27/11]
(6) dailyfx.com/forex/market_alert/2011/05/25/052411_US_Durable_
Goods_Fall_Most_in_Six_Months.html [5/25/11]
(7) - cnbc.com/id/43198036 [5/27/11]

 

Certain material in this work is proprietary to and copyrighted by Litman/Gregory Analytics and is used by A & I Financial Services LLC with permission. Reproduction or distribution of this material is prohibited and all rights are reserved. 

  
This material has been prepared and is distributed solely for information purposes only. It is not a solicitation or an offer buy any securities or instrument or to participate in any trading strategy. There is no assurance that a particular trading strategy will achieve investment success.

 

Securities offered through Geneos Wealth Management, Inc., member FINRA/SIPC.  Investment advisory services offered through A & I Financial Services LLC, registered investment advisor.


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Words for Thought
"Work harder on yourself than you do on your job."
Jim Rohn
Watch Karl Frank's interview on MoneyLine9 9NEWS on May 9, 2011

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Watch Karl Frank on Channel 9 News & Read his article "Where to Invest in Times of Turmoil"

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Read about Renewable Energy Investments

Karl Frank was interviewed in The Denver Magazine.  The article talks about investing in our renewable energy future.

 

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Read about us in the Denver Post

Karl Frank & Cameron Morgan were featured in the Denver Post.  They talked about how to have a happy holiday while sticking to a budget. 

 

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Riddle of the Week
  Two lawyers sit at opposite ends of a large conference table. Nothing is in between them but the table, yet they don't see each other. How is this possible?
 

Last week's riddle:  

  

You are at sea, it is mid-July, and your ship has reached a unique spot on earth. If you sail north, it will be summer; if you sail south, it will be winter. If you sail east, it will be Friday, but if you sail west, it will be Saturday. Precisely where in the world are you? (Hint: your ship is in the Pacific Ocean, near the island nation of Kiribati.) 

 

Last week's answer: 
  
  intersection of the Equator and the International Date Line.