A&I Financial Services Periscope

A & I Financial Services LLC Newsletter

For the Week of
March 11, 2011
 

Greetings!         


Two years ago, the bull market began. Will it continue?

We have several research partners helping us with our investment decisions at A&I Financial Services. One of them is Litman Gregory, www.lgam.com.

Drawing on history, there are three broad points that Litman Gregory (LG) believes have significant implications for investors over the next five to 10 years. You may be interested, and hence I share a brief summary here.

First, despite poor returns over the past decade, underlying conditions suggest returns over the next five to 10 years could still be well below the long-term historical average.

Second, LG believes a tactical, opportunistic investment approach is better suited to this type of lower-return environment than the strategic investment approach followed by many investors, in which the allocations to investment asset classes are permanently fixed.
  
Third, we believe a clear and consistent investment discipline, executed with rigor and based on a set of fundamental core beliefs, is essential to long-term success.
  
Investors (including many professionals) commonly display a herd mentality in which major changes to their investment approach are driven, after the fact, by major developments in the markets, such as in late 2008/early 2009. However, being reactive rarely results in consistent success.
  
A number of basic principles never change, but the asset allocation and investment methodologies do change, as they should. If you'd like to read more about Litman Gregory's approach, used by some of our portfolios, send us an e-mail!
Economic Briefs

 

JOBS REPORT (NEARLY) LIVES UP TO EXPECTATIONS
Wall Street had high hopes for the February unemployment report. Would it show that more than 200,000 new jobs had been created? Well, it came close - the data revealed 192,000 net new jobs, the best increase in nearly a year. The jobless rate ticked down to 8.9% last month, and the number of underemployed Americans (those either without work or working part-time) dropped to 15.9% from 16.1% in January. On the downside, the Labor Department data showed that just 64.2% of the working-age population was either employed or seeking employment last month. You have to go back to 1985 to find a labor force participation rate that low.(1)
 
WAGES UP 1.0% IN JANUARY
The payroll tax holiday promoted a dramatic increase in personal incomes last month. Additionally, the Commerce Department said that the personal savings rate improved by 0.4% in January to 5.8%. Yet personal spending increased by only 0.2% in January and actually slipped 0.1% in inflation-adjusted terms.(2)

SERVICE & MANUFACTURING SECTORS KEEP GROWING
According to new Institute for Supply Management surveys, the expansion of both sectors continued in February: the service sector reading improved by 0.3% to 59.7 and the manufacturing sector reading went up 0.6% to 61.4.(3)

OIL, GOLD & SILVER PRICES LEAP NORTH AGAIN
Gold cracked a new ceiling last Wednesday, hitting an intraday high of $1,440.10 per ounce. Friday, U.S. gold futures settled at $1,428.60 an ounce. Gold prices have climbed 6.53% over the last five weeks. Silver hit yet another 31-year high on Friday, with futures hitting $35.32 per ounce. Oil prices rose 6.68% last week alone, settling Friday at $104.42 a barrel; oil futures are up 14.27% YTD on the NYMEX.(4,5)
 
A WINNING WEEK (BELIEVE IT OR NOT)
After five rather volatile trading days, the DJIA, S&P 500 and NASDAQ had all managed weekly advances. Their performances for the week: DJIA, +0.33% to 12,169.88; NASDAQ, +0.13% to 2,784.67; S&P 500, +0.10% to 1,321.15. (6)
Market Summary

% Change

Y-T-D

1Yr Chg

5-Year Avg

DJIA

+5.12

+16.52

+2.08

NASDAQ

+5.05

+21.48

+4.19

S&P 500

+4.97

+17.65

+0.53

(Source: cnbc.com, bigcharts.com, ustreas.com, bls.gov, 3/04/11)
Create a beautiful week!

Karl Frank, MBA, MSF
Certified Financial Planner (R)
A & I Financial Services LLC
303.690.5070
 

Citations:
 (1) - nytimes.com/2011/03/05/business/economy/05jobs.html [3/4/11]
(2) - marketwatch.com/story/income-of-workers-climbs-10-in-january-2011-02-28 [2/28/11]
(3) - ism.ws/ISMReport/NonMfgROB.cfm [3/3/11]
(4) - cnbc.com/id/41897407 [3/4/11]
(5) - blogs.wsj.com/marketbeat/2011/03/04/data-points-energy-metals-466/ [3/4/11]
(6) - cnbc.com/id/41907885 [3/4/11]
marketwatch.com/story/consumer-sentiment-rises-in-february-2011-02-25 [2/25/11]

  
This material has been prepared and is distributed solely for information purposes only. It is not a solicitation or an offer buy any securities or instrument or to participate in any trading strategy. There is no assurance that a particular trading strategy will achieve investment success.
  
Securities offered through Geneos Wealth Management, Inc., member FINRA/SIPC.  Investment advisory services offered through A & I Financial Services LLC, registered investment advisor.
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Words for Thought
"Many men go fishing all of their lives without knowing that it is not fish they are after."
Henry David Thoreau
Read about Renewable Energy Investments

Karl Frank was interviewed in The Denver Magazine.  The article talks about investing in our renewable energy future.

 

Click Here to Read Article 

Read about us in the Denver Post

Karl Frank & Cameron Morgan were featured in the Denver Post.  They talked about how to have a happy holiday while sticking to a budget. 

 

Click here to read the article.  

View our Money Makeovers 
Karl Frank, Certified Financial Planner, provided several Money Makeovers for families on CBS Channel 4. 
 
Learn more!
 
 
 Beating the Recession
View The Financial Planning Association Video

Karl Frank and many other Financial Planners  offered pro-bono advice to thousands at the first annual "FPA Financial Planning week." 

 

Click on logo below to view video.

FPA Week
Riddle of the Week
I am soft enough to soothe the skin, yet I have the ability to crumble rocks. I am often slippery and on the move. What am I?
  

Last week's riddle:

 

 I was framed, yet the man who framed me committed no crime. How is this possible?

   

Last week's answer:

 

I am a picture, and I was put in a picture frame.