new logo

August 2011

Group Around Conference Table
Welcome to AVZ  
  

Debt Deal - What Does It Mean? 

  

by Daniel Gross

 

Dear Friend,

  

At long last, a deal on raising the debt ceiling and cutting spending has been reached. The agreement, which the White House dubbed "a Win for the Economy and Budget Discipline," includes: a $2.1 trillion increase in the debt ceiling and 10-year discretionary spending caps generating nearly $1 trillion in deficit reduction (balanced between defense and non-defense spending) over ten years. What's more, a super Congressional committee will come up with a package of $1.5 trillion more in cuts and/or revenue enhancements that's guaranteed an up-or-down vote by December. And if Congress can't agree to a package, automatic cuts will commence in 2013, split 50/50 between domestic and defense spending (exempting entitlement programs like Social Security and Medicare).

 

 Click Here for Entire Story   
 

 

Corporate America Pays a Lot Less in Taxes Than You Think

 

by Stacey Curtin

The Daily Ticker 

 

The day has arrived. Today is the deadline for the U.S. to fully approve an increase to the country's $14.3 trillion debt-ceiling. The U.S. House of Representatives passed a bi-partisan deal Monday to increase the country's spending limit through the end of 2012, and the Senate is set to take up the legislation today. The compromise, which includes $2.4 trillion in spending cuts over the next decade, came together in the final moments Sunday evening at the White House after weeks of bitter debate.

 

But for all congressional haranguing and behaving like children it might do some good to take a step back and ask how we got here in the first place.

 

In The Real State of America Atlas: Mapping the Myths and Truths of the United States, authors Cynthia Enloe and Joni Seager, did just that. In the section "Money Comes, Money Goes" they provide a detailed picture of where the U.S. government collects money and spends money using a series of charts and graphics.

 

2010 U.S. Government Revenues

 

For the fiscal year 2010, the U.S. government collected $2.2 trillion: 40% of revenues came from social insurances taxes, 43% from individual taxes, 7% in corporate and other taxes, and a tiny 3% in excise taxes.

 

2010 U.S. Government Spending

 

For the same fiscal year, the U.S. spent $3.6 trillion: 21% went to Medicare and Medicaid benefits; 20% to Social Security benefits; 20% to defense and security-related activities (like the operations in Iraq and Afghanistan); another 20% to program areas such as education, transportation and the environment; 16% to social safety-net spending like food stamps, home heating insurance and supplemental social security insurance; and finally 6% went to pay all the interest on the U.S. national debt.

 

When Enloe and Seager looked at these numbers in context of the current debt and budget debate, two things jump out at them:

 

Click Here for Entire Story

 Headline 

After the Debt Deal: 5 Money Moves to Make Now

 

by Linda Stern
Reuters  
  

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Now what? If you're confused by the debt deal and what it means for your own wallet, you're not alone.

 

The fine print in the deal raises more questions than it answers. Almost all discretionary federal spending will face some cuts over the next 10 years, with defense spending taking a comparatively heavy hit. The bill calls for $917 billion in initial cuts over 10 years, with roughly $350 billion of that in defense and security spending.

 

Perhaps more significantly, the deal sets up a bipartisan 12-member congressional committee to find another $1.5 trillion in cuts. That group's menu is wide open and could include Social Security reductions or tax increases. If that committee fails to come up with at least $1.2 trillion in savings - or Congress doesn't approve its recommendations by December 23 - automated cuts begin to get triggered. Those cuts would be deep, hitting Medicare and the military but sparing Social Security, Medicaid and a handful of other programs.

 

So, everything's been decided and nothing's been resolved. That doesn't mean that individual savers and investors shouldn't continue to try and protect themselves from the fallout. Here are some moves to make or avoid now.

 

* Play defense on defense stocks, and all government contractors. "Stock investors who have companies that depend on government financing should monitor their holdings carefully," said Charles Rotblut of the American Association of Individual Investors. Defense contractors are likely to lose business as these cuts work their way through the system, but so will other government contractors, and state contractors too, as already recession-pinched states will lose some federal funding.

 

"Infrastructure is at particular risk, because it's going to be a lot harder for states to work on bridges, roads and highways," Rotblut said.

 

He suggested that investors dig into the 10K annual reports of companies to see how dependent they are on government work.

 

* Relax a little about your bonds. "Bonds are not as scary as before," said Don Martin of Mayflower Capital in Los Altos, California. Conventional wisdom still holds that long-term bonds will take a hit as interest rates rise, but this debt deal may defer that day for a number of reasons. With Congress making good on U.S. obligations, that diminishes the possibility of a ratings downgrade pushing Treasury rates up. And the bill's budget cuts, which mainly don't go into effect until 2013 at the earliest, could crimp economic growth, delaying the rise of interest rates.

 

"The economy has hit stall speed and is beginning to slip back into a recession, so with the reduction of government stimulus caused by austerity this means that stocks will go down and bonds will go up," said Martin. Investors still may want to move their bond holdings to a less-concentrated, shorter-term or more cautious approach, but there's less need to panic about them.

 

* Put your student loans on autopilot. The debt bill will eliminate the rebate that education borrowers get when they make a year's worth of loan payments on time. But they still may be able to get an interest-rate discount if they arrange to make their payments automatically through a bank account debit - that's worth doing.

 

Many graduate students will have to pay more for loans, as this deal eliminates the federal subsidies that paid interest costs on some of their loans while they were in school. Grad students may find it worthwhile to pay the interest themselves while they are in school, if they can, to avoid those costs compounding until after they graduate.

 

* Defer your Social Security benefits. That's been bedrock retirement advice for a while, but that new bipartisan congressional committee could make it more true than before. Here's why: Every year that you defer starting your Social Security retirement benefits, they rise by almost 8 percent. But there's a lot of talk about tinkering with the cost-of -living adjustments that apply to benefits once they've started flowing, and the bipartisan committee may do that in their next round of cuts.

 

If Congress shifts to a different inflation measure that moves up less quickly than the currently-used Consumer Price Index, it would limit upward adjustments on benefits. Starting benefits early means you relinquish that 8 percent a year increase and, should the COLA be nipped, start giving up buying power sooner. "That would be a significant problem for clients who rely on Social Security," said Mark Berg, of Timothy Financial Counsel, a fee-only financial planning firm. "We would encourage a wait approach on Social Security if the client can afford it."

 

* Expect more tumult, so, as always, save more. "If we have learned anything from this crisis, it's not to depend on the government for anything," said Bedda D'Angelo, president of Fiduciary Solutions, a Durham, North Carolina, financial -planning firm. "Entitlements change with the wind. Since pensions are being phased out too, the only sane thing to do is max out your tax-deferred retirement savings accounts."

 

Advisers have been telling their clients to get defensive for some time: Investors who pay down their debts, move more of their bond money to shorter-term instruments and their stock money to defensive dividend-earning stocks will be better prepared for whatever the government throws at them next, suggested money manager Daniel Romero, of Romery & Levin Wealth Management in Santa Ana, California.

 

"This is the fourth or fifth Armageddon situation that's come across our desk in recent years," commented Romero, who's had his clients building reserves, paying down debts and diversifying broadly into commodities, Japanese stocks, natural resources stocks and more. "Just put yourself in a situation where it won't affect you so much." At least until the next crisis.

Issue: 15

Where Have America's Jobs Gone?
After the Debt Deal: Money Moves to Make
Budget Control Act of 2011

 

 

PRINCIPAL PROFILE 

 

Ken Laks 

Click Here for

 Ken Laks Profile 

 

 

White House/Congress 

Budget Control Act of 2011

 Click Here

 

 

Quarterbacks 

New Ways to Rate NFL Quarterbacks 

 

 

 

HEALTH WATCH

Headache

Headaches You Should Never Ignore Click Here 

 

 

NYC

 Best Free Things To Do in NYC  

Click Here  

 

Albrecht, Viggiano, Zureck & Company, P.C.

 

25 Suffolk Court, Hauppauge, New York 11788                  P.631.434.9500       F.631.434.9518

245 Park Avenue, 24 Floor, New York, New York 10167     P.212.792.4075

 

PERSONAL SERVICE. TRUSTED ADVICE.