Obama's Unemployment Proposal: "$1 of Relief Now for $7 in Tax Hikes Later"
President Obama's budget proposal for Fiscal Year 2012 was officially released last week. The budget provides for two years of relief from interest and principal on loans taken by states, such as Michigan, to pay unemployment insurance (UI) benefit -- but it is also tied to increases in UI taxes on employers for years to come. This proposal, which has been described by Congressman Dave Camp (R-Michigan) and others as "$1 of relief now for $7 in tax hikes later," is not a proposal the Michigan Chamber can support.
We agree with the President that relief is necessary. In fact, Michigan's employer-financed UI system currently owes over $3.7 billion to the federal government and, without relief, Michigan employers are expected to pay over $240 million in higher UI taxes in 2011. However, the President's proposal comes with too many long-term strings attached. In particular, the proposal would increase the federal unemployment insurance (FUTA) taxable wage base (TWB) from $7,000 to $15,000 in 2014 and permanently index the TWB to growth in wages. It would also decrease the FUTA TWB to 0.38% in 2014. However, the net effect of the short-term relief with the increase in the taxable wage base would cost employers a net $58.5 billion in payroll taxes over 10 years.
The increase in the federal taxable wage base would automatically trigger an increase in the state's taxable wage base from $9,000 to $15,000 because federal law requires the state's taxable wage base to meet or exceed the federal level. The Michigan unemployment tax is determined by multiplying the taxable wage base of each covered employee's wages paid in each calendar year by the employer's own unemployment tax rate (i.e., rates range from 0.06% to 10.3%). The net effect of the increase in the state's taxable wage base is not known at this time but here is an estimate for an employer with 50 employees paying a 4.5% experience rate. Please note that this estimate will vary significantly from employer to employer.
Today: 4.5% rate x $9,000 TWB x 50 employees = $20,250 in state UI taxes.
Under the President's UI Proposal (2014): 4.5% rate x $15,000 TWB x 50 employees = $33,750 in state UI taxes.
As you can see, the President's proposal is a net loser for Michigan businesses. The Michigan Chamber will continue to aggressively advocate for solutions that improve the UI system and reduce debt.
Please contact Wendy Block, Director of Health Policy and Human Resources, if you have any questions at 517-371-7678 or wblock@michamber.com.