Greetings!

The semester is drawing to a close. Graduation will be here soon. Make your plans to come back for the APM Golf tournament. See our first article for all the details.
APM signature logoAPM Quarterly
1st Quarter 2010

a publication of Applied Portfolio Management, KU School of Business
KU template color bar
In This Issue:
APM Golf Tournament
Tried and True Blue Banking
Portfolio Performance Report
Links:
Thanks to all the Spring Speakers!

February
1stJoe Onofrio
Alberto Bassetto

22nd Kent McCarthy - Jayhawk Capital
Brad Shoup - CIO, Armstrong Partners
March
1stJohn Dicus - CEO, Capitol Federal
Kent Townsend, CFO
Jim Wempe, IR

Steve Koenig, JPM MD
8thMatt Hekman
PM Waddell & Reed
22ndAaron Mesmer
Block Real Estate Services, LLC
29th Jim MacMurray
VP Kansas Develpment Finance Authority
April
5thScott Jones / Todd Preheim
12thBill Koehler - CIO
ETF Portfolio Solutions
19th

Alex Verbov - (Bijou Brigitte)
Mike Hirons, CFO EPR
Andrew Limbocker, SR Fin Analyst

26th
Alberto Bassetto
Jayhawk Capital
Alumni News:
Alumni News:
Scott Miller (APM F09) passed Level I of the CFA.

Rekha Patnaik (APM F07) was promoted to M&A Manager at UMB.

Rachel Sanner (APM S09) accepted a position as an Associate with Koch Equity Development in Wichita.

John Marshall (APM F09) accepted a position as a Structured Financial analyst at Mission Peak Capital.

Ashley Moser (APM F09) will be interning in Sales & Trading with JP Morgan in San Francisco.

Nicholas Holmes (APM F09) accepted a position with Tortoise Capital as an analyst.
Dontate Online to the APM program
(scroll to the bottom and specify APM).

Or send your contributions to:
School of Business Endowment
Applied Portfolio Management
c/o Kacy Schmidt
KU School of Business
1300 Sunnyside Avenue
Lawrence, KS 66045-7585
 
Thanks to our Recent Donors!
Gary Abernathy
Chris & Shari Anderson
Matthew J. Anderson
Michael Atkins
Bart Baldwin
Greg Baugh
Marcey Berges
Jonathan Berkley
Gregory J. Bien
Paul T. Bloemer
Jon Blumb
Thad Bolline
Tim Burger
Keith Chauvin
Jim & Julie Colahan
Fred Coulson
Dave Cummings
Teal Dakan
John B.Dicus
Kimberly & Gene Diederich
Jennifer Short Drago
Dan Drake
Steve & Chris Edmonds
Harry Falk
Allen & Joelle Ford
William L. Fuerst
Hugh Gill
James R. Giroux
Greg Greenberg
Adam Hall
William Hannen
Charles Heath
Carol Hiesberger
Matthew R. Hornbaker
Joan Huber
Joshua & Heidi Hydeman
Francis Jones
Scott Jones
John Katzer
Brianna Kelly
Paul Koch
John Kornitzer
Brian Lall
Stephen Lane
Jim & Nancy MacMurray
Frank Marshall
Terry C. Matlack
Michael A. Mayo
Charles & Marie McCarthy
Kent & Missy McCarthy
John McGannon
Jamie Melzer
Steve Meuten
Simon Michael
Mike Michaelis
James Mick
Jason Mitchell
Greg Moore
Jeff Morrison
Craig B. Novorr
Joseph Onofrio
Shane Parr
Ryan J. Peschka
Sydney Pohl
Todd & Colleen Preheim
Jason Purinton
Kevin Rauckman
Michael Raupp
Rex Reinhardt
David Reynoldson
Tom Ruff
Evelyn & Gary Schmidtberger
Frederick Schwenk
Joseph Searle
Josh Selzer
Cathy & Prakash Shenoy
Mako Shimoda
Jade Shopp
Al Simmons
Amos Smith
Andrew Steinbach
Bob Taylor
Matt Taylor
Jeffrey L. Ungerer
Mark Whitaker

The APM Golf Tournament is Back!
APM Golf Tournament 2010
The 6th Annual APM Golf Tournament will be held again this year at Lawrence Country Club on Friday, September 24, 2010 at noon.

Get your foursome together, or just come and we'll pair you with a great group of APM friends and alums! We'll have food, drinks, awards, and drawings for items from the KU athletic department in the club house immediately following golf.  The cost per player is $100 or $400 per foursome.

The LCC course during last year's tournament was in great shape and the greens were fantastic. The tournament was a great success with over 50 players. We're expecting an even bigger turnout this fall.  Get your reservations in early, as space is limited! Registration forms and payment instructions are available on the APM website. Click here to download a form (link).

We really appreciate last year's sponsors. They were Scott Jones: Campanile Capital, Lockton, Todd Preheim: Prairie Wind Capital, Tradebot, Garmin, Entertainment Properties Trust, Inergy, Tortoise Capital Advisors, Al Simmons: Wells Fargo, Capitol Federal, Jeff Ungerer and Matt Taylor: Merrill Lynch, NIC, Inc and Dan Drake.

Would you like to be a sponsor? We'd love to have even more this year! All sponsorships are tax deductible.  Sign up to be a sponsor by email or call 785-864-7519.

More information is available at our webpage.
Another Winner in China?
Joe Onofrio Kent McCarthy and Jayhawk Capital Management visit to continue discussions on China Cord Blood

By Group 3: Braden Cielocha, Adam Finzel, David Larson and Bryan Wright

The APM class started the semester with several visits from Joe Onofrio, an analyst at Jayhawk Capital Management. On his first visit to the class he discussed the basic business model of China Cord Blood (CO), a stem cell storage company for which the portfolio owns stock warrants, and gave the students advice on how they could go about building their first models for CO. He returned the following week accompanied with his coworker at Jayhawk Capital, Senior Analyst Alberto Bassetto.  Mr. Bassetto walked the class through his personal model for China Cord Blood. He laid out in detail his thoughts on China Cord Blood's avenues for organic growth as well as growth through acquisitions.

Each Group had been assigned different methods for valuing China Cord Blood. Group 1 did a valuation based on a per subscriber basis in order to assess the value of China Cord Blood as it grows more subscribers. Group 2 did a valuation of a China Cord Blood subsidiary called CordLife in order to separately see how China Cord Blood's international segment would affect the company, especially if CO increased its ownership in the company. Finally, Group 3 did an asset valuation of CO by individually valuing China Cord Blood's licenses that currently operate in the regions of Beijing, Guangdong, and Shangdong. After each group had explained their models to the class, Joe and Alberto helped to explain the value of each model going forward as China Cord Blood attempts to continue expansion.

The final speaker to the class on China Cord Blood was Executive Lecturer Kent McCarthy. Mr. McCarthy discussed with the class the recent initial coverage report on China Cord Blood by investment bank Rodman and Renshaw. He grilled students to test their knowledge of the company and to see their thinking on the market.

Mr. McCarthy started the APM class in 1993 by donating $230,000 and taught the class full time for several years afterwords. Since 1996 McCarthy has been managing his fund Jayhawk Capital Management. He graduated from the University of Kansas in 1980 with a degree in Business Administration and Accounting and with a Masters in Taxation in 1981.
Tried and True Blue Banking
Officers of local bank, Capitol Federal Financial, share banking insights with APM

By Group 2: Garrett Van Gotten, Jeffrey Otto, Kwan Young Yang and TJ Walz

On March 1st, 2010, John B. Dicus, Chairman, President, and CEO of Capitol Federal Financial (CFFN), visited the APM class to give an update on the status of Capitol Federal Financial and provide insight into key issues for the company.  Kent Townsend, CFO of Capitol Federal, and Jim Wempe, VP of Investor Relations accompanied Dicus on the visit.

After two consecutive years of dividend growth, ending with a $2.00 regular dividend plus a 29 cent special dividend in 2009, Capitol Federal's adherence to sound lending principals have paid off.  High dividends are due to CapFed's mutual holding company (MHC) structure allowing the MHC to waive its dividends.  With only 21 million public shares (roughly 30% of total shares outstanding), CapFed has the ability to pay out a regular and special dividend, which according to both Dicus and Townsend, won't change for the foreseeable future.

While Capitol Federal weathered the credit storm with relative ease, it is facing a new challenge.  Legislation was introduced in the U.S. Senate to remove the thrift charter from savings and loan institutions, forcing CFFN to be regulated by the FDIC instead of the current Office of Thrift Supervision (OTS).  This move would require a change in the current loan portfolio which is primarily single family home loans (94% of portfolio). Under the current FDIC rules, no more than 40% of an institution's loan portfolio can be home loans.  The new legislation also threatens the current legal structure by disallowing the waiver of dividends on MHC shares and possibly forcing a second step conversion of the non-public shares held.  A conversion would raise between $1 and $1.5 billion in capital and create the same problem of where to invest the proceeds.  According to Dicus and Townsend, the likelihood of this event happening is quite small and industry's lobbying efforts have deterred such changes thus far.

Capitol Federal is known for their top-notch management, and even though they face a tough political and economic environment, they continue to stick to their banking principals and focus on shareholder value.  It is that kind of dedication that a shareholder, including APM, looks for in an investment.
An Insider's Perspective on Money Management
Matt Hekman, APM Alum and Waddell & Reed PM, discusses rules to investing and career success with class

By Group 1: Yi Cai, Matt Goehausen, Robert Hite and Doug Johnson


Matt Hekman, Assistant Vice President and Portfolio Manager at Waddell and Reed, visited the APM class on March 8.  He spoke about his work at Waddell and Reed and gave his insights and advice about finding success as a money manager.  Mr. Hekman, an APM alumnus, also discussed what he sees as the main benefits of taking the APM class.

As Mr. Hekman sees it, the main reasons to take APM are to learn 'the rules of the game,' learn how to apply the rules in real life, and to preserve and grow the APM fund's value so next year's class is 'dealt a winning hand.'  He also said that he took APM for the practical experience it offered and because he thought it was a necessary step toward a career in investment finance. He discussed the three main rules of money management:

1. It is a 'loser's game.'  Mr. Hekman described money management as a game in which the best strategy is to make the least mistakes and to try not to lose. He referred the class to an article by Charles D. Ellis entitled "The Loser's Game" which said that mutual fund managers on average do not beat the market.  The article compared money management to tennis, where often the best way to win is to just keep the ball in the lines and let your competitor make mistakes.  While he acknowledged that there are many factors that were not considered in the article, Mr. Hekman did say that the main point of the article was accurate. In order to have success under this rule, you should make fewer mistakes, invest in what you know and minimize the 'shots' you take.

2. Value beats growth.  If you compare stocks over time, more often than not, value stocks provide a higher return than growth stocks, especially in passive investing.  An active investor can create more Alpha with growth stocks, but overall, value beats growth.

3. Understand how much you stand to lose. Mr. Hekman stressed the importance of being aware of the risks and never losing big.  He discussed the idea that in money management, as well as in APM class, you are managing other people's money and it is wise to act as a steward rather than a gambler.

In addition to the rules, Mr. Hekman also offered investment advice. 
·        When analyzing stocks, think in terms of buying a business, not a stock. 
·        It's important to find a business with a sustainable competitive advantage. 
·        Learn to filter information. We're bombarded with more information than we can possibly read. Learning to recognize the important ones is key.
·        A sell discipline will set you apart from your peers. Most analysts want to make primarily buy recommendations. 
·        Valuation matters!
Portfolio Performance Report


Q1 2010Last 4 Quarters3 Year5 Year
SP5006.162.0-18.1-0.95
SP6003.246.6-11.112.1
NASDAQ3.956.9-1.519.9
APM1.850.3-7.954.9

The APM portfolio ended the quarter at just over $1.0 million, up about 2.0%.  The quarterly winners in the portfolio were: LaunchTech (+136%), China Green (+30%), CDC Corp (+27%), and Berkshire Hathaway.B (+23%). Those were offset by these losers:  A-Power Energy (-40%), TravelCenters of America (-23%), and Petrohawk Energy Corp (-20%).