Greetings!

Thanks for your continued support! This semester's students have worked hard in class and on the newsletter.
We've had a wonderful speakers. We hope you enjoy catching up. As always, alumni - send us your news!
We want to hear from you.  Year-to-date the portfolio is up 3.91%
APM signature logoAPM Quarterly 
1st Quarter 2009

a publication of Applied Portfolio Management, KU School of Business
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In This Issue:
Alumni News
Spring 2009 Speakers
Thanks to our Recent Donors
Capitol Federal: Bucking the Banking Trend
APM's "Analyst Day" at Cerner
Jayhawk Capital
High Yield Bond Portfolio Manager Sees Slow Economic Recovery
Portfolio Performance
Links:
Alumni News
 
Karla Goetz (APM S08) and her husband Andrew welcomed their new daughter, Julia Kristine,  to the world on April 6. She weighed in at 6 lbs. 10 oz, 18.5 inches. Congratulations!
 
Aaron Mesmer (APM S03) of Block & Co. has been selected as a finalist for the National Realtor 30 Under 30.  This year, to trim the field from 50 to 30, they are doing an online voting contest. It's not too late to vote for Aaron.
Go here to cast your ballot.
 
Hunter Davis (APM F05) of Moelis Capital, New York has been promoted to associate and will be transferring to the Chicago office in July.
 
Rekha Patnaik (APM F07) has joined the M&A department of UMB.
 
Andrew Limbocker (APM S06) has joined Entertainment Property Trust (NYSE: EPR) in Kansas City as a Financial Analyst.
 
Allie Atwood (APM F07) joined Stephens, Inc. in Dallas as an investment banking analyst.
 
Fred Coulson (APM S97) welcomed his daughter's early arrival into the world on January 18 while vacationing in Vail.  Waverly Wells Coulson weighed 5 lbs 2 oz. 


Alumni - Send us your updates!


Thanks to all the Spring 2009 Speakers! 
February
2th Bryan Krug, PM
Ivy Fund  
Tim Burger
Waddell & Reed 
9th Alex Verbov
RBS
16th John Dicus, CEO
Capitol Federal
Kent Townsend, CFO
Capitol Federal 
March
2nd Brad Shoup
Armstrong Equity Partners
Kent McCarthy
Jayhawk Capital 
9th Bob McAdoo,  Analyst
Avondale Partners
23rd Todd Preheim
Campanile Capital
Steve Meuten
Blackthorn Capital 
27th Allan Kells, Sr. VP
Cerner
30th Sam Duncan, CEO
OfficeMax 
April
6th Kevin Rauckman, CFO
Garmin 
13th Laurian Lytle, Analyst
Waddell & Reed
27th Jade Shopp, Partner
Deloitte

Dontate Online to the APM program
(scroll to the bottom and specify APM).

Or send your contributions to:
School of Business Endowment
Applied Portfolio Management
c/o Kacy Schmidt
KU School of Business
1300 Sunnyside Avenue
Lawrence, KS 66045-7585
 
Thanks to our Recent Donors!
Gary Abernathy
Chris & Shari Anderson
Matthew J. Anderson
Michael Atkins
Bart Baldwin
Greg Baugh
Jonathan Berkley
Jon Blumb
Thad Bolline
Tim Burger
Keith Chauvin
Jim & Julie Colahan
Fred Coulson
Teal Dakan
Kimberly & Gene Diederich
Jennifer Short Drago
Dan Drake
Steve & Chris Edmonds
Harry Falk
Allen Ford
William L. Fuerst
Hugh Gill
James R. Giroux
Greg Greenberg
William Hannen
Charles Heath
Carol Hiesberger
Joan Huber
Joshua & Heidi Hydeman
Francis Jones
Scott Jones
John Katzer
Brianna Kelly
Paul Koch
John Kornitzer
Brian Lall
Stephen Lane
Jim & Nancy MacMurray
Frank Marshall
Michael A. Mayo
Charles & Marie McCarthy
John McGannon
Jamie Melzer
Simon Michael
Mike Michaelis
Jason Mitchell
Jeff Morrison
Craig B. Novorr
Joseph Onofrio
Shane Parr
Ryan J. Peschka
Sydney Pohl
Todd & Colleen Preheim
Jason Purinton
Michael Raupp
Rex Reinhardt
David Reynoldson
Tom Ruff
Evelyn & Gary Schmidtberger
Joseph Searle
Josh Selzer
Cathy & Prakash Shenoy
Mako Shimoda
Jade Shopp
Al Simmons
Amos Smith
Andrew Steinbach
Bob Taylor
Matt Taylor
Megan Wood
Brett A Young

Capitol Federal: Bucking the Banking Trend
By Group 3 - Chet Batson, Joe Hattam, Scott Miller and Spenser Samms
 
On February 16, 2009,   John B. Dicus, President, CEO, and newly elected Chairman of Capitol Federal Financial, joined the APM class to explain how Capitol Federal Savings has managed to escape the roiling financial crisis relatively unscathed. Joining Mr. Dicus was Kent Townsend, CFO of Capitol Federal, and Jim Wempe, VP of Investor Relations.
 
According to Mr. Dicus, who received undergraduate and MBA degrees from the University of Kansas, the key to Capitol Federal's success has been to avoid the toxic assets plaguing many banks' balance sheets. Rather than striving for extra return without regard to risk, Capitol Federal maintained its tried-and-true approach to banking: conservative and disciplined mortgage lending to individuals in the Midwest. Rather than following the industry into underwriting low-doc and no-doc loans, Capitol Federal remained committed to requiring full documentation for all borrowers.
Kent TownsendThese prudent practices have paid off handsomely as the economy has shifted direction. Non-current loans to total assets was 0.2% for Capitol Federal at the end of 2008, while the thrift industry as a whole stood at 2.2%. And while many banks were forced to slash dividends to strengthen their capital position, Capitol Federal paid $2.00 per share in regular dividends in 2008, plus an 11 cent per share special dividend. Management expects to pay a $0.50 per quarter dividend for the foreseeable future.
 
Mr. Dicus and Mr. Townsend said they felt very comfortable with bank's position in the current economic environment. Unfortunately, Mr. Dicus added, in its position of strength, Capitol Federal is now paying for the reckless behavior of peer institutions through higher deposit insurance. Although this will negatively impact the bank's profits in the near term, investors can be sure Capitol Federal is one bank that can thrive without a government bailout.

APM's "Analyst Day" at Cerner
By Group 1 - Brett Kunshek, Justin Lueger and Xin Zhao
 
Getting close to the information is critical when making an investment decision. The APM class was fortunate to get about as close as you can to the information while analyzing Cerner, the Kansas City-based healthcare information technology company. On March 27, 2009, the class visited Cerner's world headquarters for an "Analysts Day."

Joining the APM class were analysts from the Scout Funds, a family a mutual funds managed by Scout Investment Advisors, a division of UMB Bank. The morning started with a walking tour of Cerner's software product in various environments: from the patient's home to the hospital and back home again. The tour showcased Cerner's capabilities in managing all facets of the healthcare experience. The tour allowed the APM class to better understand the functionality of Cerner's products and to ask questions about them.

While the class came away from the product tour impressed by the robustness of the company's software, the most vital portion of the Analysts Day came after the tour. APM students met with Allan Kells, Vice President of Investor Relations for Cerner. After Kells' 15 minute investor presentation, the class had an opportunity to inquire about current events and their impact on Cerner's future.

One of the key topics was the U.S. government's stimulus package, passed by Congress on February 17. The package includes more than $35 billion in funds to assist healthcare organizations implement software solutions like Cerner's. Kells said the stimulus should trigger higher sales for Cerner in the next five years. "Healthcare organizations will have to show meaningful progress in incorporating these solutions in the coming years," Kells confirmed. "In 2015 hospitals will be penalized if they do not have an electronic medical record system in place."

Indeed, the future looks bright for Cerner, but the question for the APM class remained: Is the stock worth buying? The answer to that is much fuzzier.
 

Class Digs Deep into the Portfolio's Largest Holding
By Group 4 - Chris Carr, Vincent Hayes, David Kohtz and Rachel Sanner
 
Executive Lecturer Kent McCarthy came to the APM class on March 2, 2009, to discuss a major holding of the APM portfolio, Golden Meditech. Along with two of his employees, Alberto Bassetto, Portfolio Manager and Joe Onofrio, Analyst, Mr. McCarthy dissected the company's recent performance and expectations for future growth.
 
The APM portfolio currently holds around 298,000 shares of Golden Meditech, making up 5.7% of the portfolio. Golden Meditech produces medical devices, such as blood recovery and plasma exchange systems. It also owns several cord blood banks in China and recently launched a hospital management division.

Mr. McCarthy recommended the class call executives at Golden Meditech to inquire about future product launches, the potential for a share buyback plan, and timelines for certain key corporate transactions. With the large number of shares owned by the class, Mr. McCarthy thought the class was entitled to speak directly with Golden Meditech management.

Golden Meditech is using a special-purpose acquisition company, or SPAC, to spin off its cord blood bank unit into a separate public company. Mr. McCarthy told the class it was vital to understand the SPAC, called Pantheon China Acquisition Corp., and the process of spinning off the unit. Pantheon is a blank check company with large amounts of cash to purchase an investment acceptable to its shareholders. Once spun off, Golden Meditech will continue to own a substantial portion of Pantheon.

McCarthy started the APM class in 1993 by donating $230,000 and taught the class for several years on a full-time basis. Since 1996 McCarthy has been managing his hedge fund, Jayhawk Capital Management, which focuses on Chinese equities. He is a 1980 graduate of the University of Kansas, with a degree in Business Management and Accounting with a Master in Taxation in 1981.

High Yield Bond Portfolio Manager Sees Slow Economic Recovery
Ivy Funds
By Group 4 - Chris Carr,  Vincent Hayes,  David Kohtz and Rachel Sanner

On February 2, 2009, Bryan Krug and Tim Burger (APM S05) of Waddell & Reed, based in Overland Park, KS, visited the APM class to talk about the high yield bond market. They also discussed the odds of an economic turnaround in 2009.

Mr. Krug, who earned his bachelor's degree in finance from Miami University in 1999, was pessimistic about the prospects for a sustained turnaround in 2009. He believes the end of 2010 is a realistic timeframe for the economy to make marked improvement.

Mr. Krug began working at Waddell & Reed in 2001, and he has managed the Ivy High Income Fund since 2006. This fund seeks primarily to provide investors with high income through dividends, but capital growth is a secondary return mechanism. The fund focuses on investments rated BBB and lower, according to S&P's standards. Mr. Krug's current research scope spans from cable to media and leisure to consumer-related industries.  He is a Chartered Financial Analyst and a member of the CFA Institute.
 
Mr. Burger, who also spoke to the APM class, is a client portfolio strategist for Waddell & Reed. He received a bachelor's degree from KU in political science in 2001. He returned to KU to complete the MBA program with a focus in finance.  He is also a Chartered Financial Analyst and a member of the CFA Institute. Mr. Burger addressed the recent debt issuances of Petrohawk and Kansas City Southern. Mr. Burger acknowledged the debt was raised at a high interest rate but noted many investors questioned whether the issuances would go through at all. The new funds should cover operating needs for both companies in the near term.

The importance of the debt market has been placed in the spotlight throughout the current credit crisis. The class was fortunate to hear the wisdom of two investment professionals who have a deep understanding of a market that many believe must recover before the economy shows signs of improvement.
Portfolio Performance Report
 
                 1st Q Return         Last 4 Quarters       3 yr Return
SP500        -11.7%                 -39.7%                    -38.4%
SP600        -17.2%                 -39.0%                    -43.7%
NASDAQ    -3.1%                   -32.9%                    -34.7%
APM          -6.0%                   -45.0%                     -22.6%

The APM portfolio ended the quarter at $1.1 million, down about 6%. Not great, but much better than last quarter.  The quarterly winners in the portfolio were: Elron (+80%), Inergy Holdings (+46%), Companhia Vale do Rio Doce (+29%), and Petrohawk (+23%).  Those were offset by these losers: Interceramic (-50%), Kansas City Southern (-33%) and Scientific Games (-31%).