A weekly sampling of news, analysis and
opinion on economic issues of
India, China and the U.S.
Articles and
opinion pieces are from a variety of sources and
viewpoints and do not necessarily reflect
those of
ICA Institute. Access to some articles may
require
free registration to the site or may not be
cited to the
original
source.
Retail Revolution: The battle for the next 1 billion consumers |
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Join us for the India, China & America
(ICA) Institute's Global Virtual Seminar
Series Tu, June 10 at 11am EDT.
In 2007, the Chinese and Indian retail
markets together were worth about $1
trillion. By 2012, that figure will jump to
$1.7 trillion as increased prosperity
delivers greater spending power, creating
hundreds of millions of new consumers in the
process.
But the two big Asian markets are at
different stages of development. "Modern" or
"organized" retail has 20% of the total
retail spent in China, while in India, the
figure is just 4%. The comparable figure for
the United States is 85%.
The world's two biggest international
retailers, Wal-Mart and Carrefour, have been
operating in China for years, but are yet to
gain much traction in India. Both retailers
plan to have Indian wholesale operations by
2008-09.
India's modern retail sector is growing much
faster than traditional retail. But because
it is starting from such a small base, it
will not match the size of traditional retail
for perhaps 20 years.
Even so, the Indian opportunity is luring
many new entrants. They include such big
Indian names as Reliance, Bharti and Birla,
who are gearing up for battle against
incumbents in India's store wars.
Like their counterparts in China, Indian
retailers face big challenges. There is a
global war for talent, a desperate need for
efficient supply chains, and both China and
India must deal with the political
sensitivities of vast rural hinterlands.
Business journalist Geoff Hiscock, author of
"India's Global Wealth Club" (2007) and a
forthcoming book on the Indian retail scene,
will present this webinar exploring this
retail revolution.
The only cost may be your long distance
charge to dial in.
Date: Tuesday, June 10, 2008
Time: 11:00 AM - 12:00 PM EDT
Space is limited.
Reserve your Webinar seat now at:
https://www1.gotomeeting.com/register/393478071
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Emerging Telecom Market Forums: BRIC Opportunities |
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June
5-6,
2008 � Washington,
D.C.
Information Gatekeepers Inc. (IGI), in
cooperation with Paul, Hastings, Janofsky &
Walker LLP, will organize the Emerging
Telecom Market Forums: BRIC Opportunities on
June 5-6, 2008 at the offices of Paul
Hastings in Washington, D.C.
The Forums will focus on the opportunities
and challenges in four of the largest telecom
markets in the world - Brazil, Russia, India
and China (BRIC).
For more information or to register, please
visit www.etmforums.com
or contact:
Dr. Hui Pan
Information Gatekeepers Inc.
320 Washington Street, Suite 302
Boston, MA 02135
Toll-free: 1-800-323-1088
Tel: 617-782-5033, Fax: 617-782-5735
hpan@igigroup.com
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Free Trial Access: Indian Growth & Development Review |
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Emerald Publishing is happy to offer members
of the ICA Institute free trial access to the
recently launched journal, Indian
Growth & Development Review . This
journal offers new insights in the field of
growth and development economics. It aims not
only to further contemporary debate on growth
and development issues in India, but also to
impact directly on decision-making processes
in the area.
You can access the journal at:
http://www.emeraldinsight.com/igdr.htm
Username: ICAmember
Password: IGDRlaunch
Want to share thoughts about these
articles? E-mail your reflections to
chindiabiz@icainstitute.org for
consideration
to be posted on our ChindiaBiz
Blog.
Free access will run from May 12-May 26
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Free Book Offer for ICA Members |
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DVD: Doing a Deal in India
Free Book Offer for ICA newsletter
recipients
A fifteen minute movie on Doing a Deal
in India is available for $49.95 from
Amritt. It features the challenges faced by a
Texas businessman and his wife on their first
trip to India. Old India hands will find it
useful to share the movie with their
colleagues. People not familiar with India
will enjoy the visual examples of cross
cultural difficulties.
By special arrangement with the creator,
Gunjan Bagla, ICA newsletter recipients who
order this movie will also receive a free
copy of Bagla's upcoming book, Doing
Business in 21st Century India - How to
Profit Today from Tomorrow's most Exciting
Market. Set for release on July 31 by
Hachette Book Group USA, the title also
features interviews of top executives such as
Mike Ducker President of Fedex International,
R Gopalakrsihnan, Tata Sons board member, and
Scot Bayman, former head of General Electric
India.
To order the DVD along with the free book
click here: http://www.amritt.com/Book-offer-with-video.html
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Headlines |
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Xinhua Coverage of China Quake (Xinhua
News Agency, May 14)
The earthquake death toll across China rose
to 14,866 by 2:00 p.m. Wednesday, Xinhua
learnt from authoritative sources. Saving
lives should be taken as the top priority
during the quake relief after nearly 15,000
confirmed dead, a high profile meeting of the
CPC Central Committee was told Wednesday.
FTA with China: 'Let the courtship
begin' (New Zealand Herald, May 14)
New Zealand Trade & Enterprise's "Navigating
China" report on the website www.nzte.govt.nz
is perhaps the most practical guide to doing
business in China. It contains little of the
recent political hype associated with the
free trade agreement but much practical
information including step-by-step guidance
on conducting day-to-day business and many
warnings about what can go wrong.
Indian Stocks Advance; Infosys Gains as Oil
& Natural Declines (Bloomberg, May
14) India's Sensitive Index rose. Infosys
Technologies Ltd. led software exporters
higher after the rupee fell to its lowest
level against the dollar in 13 months,
boosting the value of their exports.
``With the rupee's decline, the outlook for
the software industry is positive,'' said
Sandeep Sabharwal, chief investment officer
at Mumbai-based J.M. Financial Mutual Fund,
which oversees $1.3 billion in equities.
Oil & Natural Gas Corp. declined after the
government said it will compensate 50 percent
of the company's losses from selling fuel at
below cost, less than what the Oil Ministry
is seeking and raising concern the oil
producer may have to bear a higher subsidy.
The Bombay Stock Exchange's Sensitive Index,
or Sensex, rose 179.61, or 1.1 percent, to
16,932.47 as of 1:35 p.m. local time. The S&P
CNX Nifty Index on the National Stock
Exchange added 35.75, or 0.7 percent, to
4,993.55.
The rupee weakened 0.6 percent to 42.36 per
dollar as of 12:15 p.m. in Mumbai, according
to data compiled by Bloomberg.
Opinion Comparing the Incomparable (Business
Standard, May 14)
It is widely believed that India is a distant
second to China; in fact it is considered a
poor cousin of China. It is a favourite
pastime of economists and journalists to
compare India and China across various
parameters like FDI, exports, the number of
cell-phone users, etc. and, without any
doubt, China appears to be on top in terms of
all these rankings. Hence, the judgment is
invariably passed in favour of China almost
unanimously.
But the situation is not as simple as it
appears to be. There were 87,000 protests
(official figures) in China in 2006 alone,
which highlights the fact that not everything
is right with China and the picture is not as
rosy as it appears. Though India and China
are considered "twins", they are as different
as two nations can get.
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Energy |
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Focusing on Solar's Cost (MIT Technology
Review, May 7)
Sunrgi, which emerged out of stealth mode
last week, has created a concentrated
photovoltaic system that uses a lens to focus
sunlight up to 2,000 times onto tiny solar
cells that can convert 37.5 percent of the
sun's energy into electricity. Stronger
concentrations of sunlight allow engineers to
use much smaller solar cells, making it more
economical to use higher-efficiency--but
higher-cost--cells. Sunrgi, for example, will
use cells based on gallium arsenside and
germanium substrates. Sunrgi estimates that
its system will be capable of producing
electricity at a wholesale cost of five cents
per kilowatt-hour. Prototypes have been built
and tested both in the laboratory and in the
field, and the company expects to start
commercial production in 12 to 15 months.
"It's quite an aggressive claim," says Daniel
Friedman, a solar-energy researcher at the
U.S. National Renewable Energy Laboratory
(NREL). He says that most others in the space
are still working toward seven or eight cents
per kilowatt-hour. "I can't say Sunrgi won't
achieve what it's claiming, but right now,
it's just on paper, and costs like that are
only going to be a reality at the large
manufacturing level," he says. "Even then,
the five-cent figure sounds really
optimistic."
PM's visit to Bhutan will boost energy
ties (Thaindian News, May 14) Prime
Minister Manmohan Singh's two-day visit to
Bhutan beginning Friday is expected to give
an impetus to one of India's major imports -
electricity. He will dedicate the 1,020 MW
Tala hydroelectric project, built with
India's assistance, and lay the foundation of
the 1,095 MW Punatsangchhu hydroelectric
project. "Mutually beneficial development of
water resources, particularly hydro-electric
power, in Bhutan have been an important
element in our bilateral relations," said
foreign secretary Shivshankar Menon ahead of
the prime minister's visit.
Will earthquake slow dam-building spree in
China? (Mongabay.com, May 14) With
China's hydroelectric projects already facing
criticism for their social and environmental
impact, the damage to China's dams from the
earthquake renews the question of whether
China's dam-building spree is the best path
to meet surging energy demand in the country.
China has ambitious plans to expand
hydropower capacity, including more than a
dozen power plants on the upper reaches of
the Yangtze and Mekong rivers, but there are
signs that the government may be having
second thoughts at some sites.
Opinion
China's energy security moves it closer to
the Middle East (The Daily Star, May 14)
Energy consumption in China is growing as
fast as the rapidly growing Chinese economy.
China has changed from a net oil exporter to
a net oil importer. In recent years, 40 to 50
percent of the oil that China consumes is
imported. Of that, 60 percent comes from the
Middle East. Saudi Arabia, Iran, Qatar and
Sudan are the main suppliers.
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Information & Communications Technology |
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Can Indian telcos succeed overseas? (The
Economic Times, May 13)
That Bharti Airtel is in exploratory talks
with MTN of South Africa for the possible
acquisition has aroused considerable interest
amongst investors, constituents of telecom
industry and public at large. Reactions from
industry analysts and media have been
sanguine to hagiographic where as the
reactions from investors appears lacklustre
in light of incomplete information. The
genesis of the two contrary viewpoints can be
best coalesced as follows: when the going is
so good in the domestic market, should Indian
players expand overseas? If yes, is there a
value in transmuting the Indian business
model to Africa?
Microsoft's Southeast Asia Boost
(Business Week, May 9) It's nice to play
elder statesman. While Microsoft (MSFT) Chief
Executive Officer Steve Ballmer is coping
with the aftermath of his failed bid for
Yahoo (YHOO) (BusinessWeek, 5/8/08), Bill
Gates is far, far away and focusing on
loftier subjects.
The outgoing Microsoft executive chairman is
in Asia, where he met with South Korean
President Lee Myung-bak on May 7 and then
jetted down to Jakarta to hobnob with
Indonesian President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono
and other top Southeast Asian officials at a
Microsoft-sponsored conference on May 8 and
9. Dominating the agenda in Jakarta:
noncontroversial talk about narrowing the
digital divide and using information
technology to improve education and
government services in developing countries.
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Agriculture |
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Indians bristle at U.S. criticism on food
prices (International Herald Tribune, May
13)
Instead of blaming India and other developing
nations for the rise in food prices,
Americans should rethink their energy policy
and go on a diet, say a growing number of
politicians, economists and academics here.
Criticism of the United States has ballooned
in India recently, particularly after the
Bush administration seemed to blame India's
increasing middle class and prosperity for
rising food prices. Critics from India seem
to be asking one underlying question: "Why do
Americans think they deserve to eat more than
Indians?"
The food problem has "clearly" been created
by Americans, who are eating 50 percent more
calories than the average person in India,
said Pradeep Mehta, the secretary general of
CUTS Center for International Trade,
Economics and Environment, a private economic
research organization based in India with
offices in Kenya, Zambia, Vietnam and
Britain.
Government to open 30 mega food parks
(Silicon India, May 14)
The government is setting up 30 mega food
parks, complete with cold chains, to enable
integration of the agriculture sector from
farm gate to the retail outlet to prevent
large scale waste, Food Processing Industries
Minister Subodh Kant Sahai said Tuesday.
"The ministry will soon announce the setting
up of 30 mega food parks in all the states so
that cold chain facilities are available in
catchment areas comprising not more than
three to four districts", Sahai said.
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Industrial Resources | Manufacturing |
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China Stocks Advance, Led by Smelters, as
Metal Prices Rise (Bloomberg, May 14)
China's stocks rose the most this month, led
by commodities producers, on speculation this
week's earthquake in Sichuan province
disrupted the supply of metals, spurring prices.
Zhuzhou Smelter Group Co., China's biggest
zinc producer, surged by the daily 10 percent
limit. Chongqing Iron & Steel Co. also jumped
by the daily cap as it resumed trading,
saying operations hadn't been affected by the
quake.
``The earthquake has caused concerns about
the supply of commodities, which has boosted
some buying of metal shares,'' said Wu Kan, a
fund manager in Shanghai at Dazhong Insurance
Co., which oversees the equivalent of $285
million.
The CSI 300 Index, which tracks
yuan-denominated A shares listed on China's
two exchanges, gained 124.09, or 3.2 percent,
to 3,975.78 at the close, the steepest
increase since April 30.
Safety
fears to push up manufacturing costs
(Guardian, May 14)
A renewed emphasis on product quality after
a slew of high-profile safety recalls is
likely to mean higher prices for
manufacturers who get products from low-cost
countries like China, according to a new study.
The study by Deloitte Consulting LLP, which
was obtained exclusively by Reuters, found 41
percent of executives in developed markets
like the United States and Europe consider
cost increases very likely. Among executives
in emerging markets, 59 percent said so.
"You'll see a fairly rapid increase in cost
structure in the next five years," said Craig
Giffi, Deloitte's U.S. leader for consumer
and industrial products. "(Manufacturers are)
going to get a direct cost hit in those
current emerging markets they're sourcing from."
The vast majority of manufacturers surveyed
said product quality and safety as well as
environmental standards, have become more
important over the last 12 months when
choosing a supplier, according to the survey.
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Environment | Climate Change |
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McCain
warns India, China over warming (The
Times of India, May 14)
Any expectations that a John McCain
presidency will mean a seamless transition in
US-India ties with a revival of the
Bush-driven civilian nuclear deal will have
to be tempered by a tough warning he issued
on Monday that India and China will be held
to "international standards" on emissions
with a possible risk of sanctions if they did
not meet them.
In a speech that marked a significant
departure from the Bush line on global
warming and also contained the seeds of a
potential showdown with China and India,
McCain described the two countries as "among
the greatest contributors to global warming
today" and said they would have to share the
burden with the industrialized countries in
reducing emission.
Seed
giants see gold in climate change (Asia
Times, May 15)
First the biotech industry promised that its
genetically engineered seeds would clean up
the environment. Then they told us biotech
crops would feed the world. Neither came to
pass. Soon we'll hear that genetically
engineered climate-hardy seeds are the
essential adaptation strategy for crops to
withstand drought, heat, cold, saline soils
and more.
After failing to convince an unwilling public
to accept genetically engineered foods,
biotech companies see a silver lining in
climate change. They are now asserting that
farmers cannot win the war against climate
change without genetic engineering.
According to a new report from ETC Group, the
world's largest
seed and agrochemical corporations such as
Monsanto, BASF, DuPont, Syngenta, Bayer and
Dow, along with biotech partners such as
Mendel, Ceres and Evogene, are stockpiling
hundreds of patents and patent applications
on crop genes related to environmental stress
tolerance at patent offices around the world.
They have acquired a total of 55 patent
families corresponding to 532 patents and
patent applications.
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Corporate Social Responsibility |
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Quake disaster tests corporate social
responsibility (China Daily, May 14)
"This rare natural disaster is a test of
the benevolence and responsibility of every
Chinese citizen," said Chen Bufeng, a
professor of economics with the Peking
University and a researcher with the China
Corporate Culture Institute.
"As corporate citizens, enterprises should
also go all out to help their host country
weather huge events and natural disasters,"
Chen said.
Should enterprises donate? The answer is not
a uniform "Yes".
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Innovation |
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Student
develops promising new alternative to silicon
chip (SiliconIndia News, May 14)
A new generation of transistors will soon
replace one of the world's most ubiquitous
technologies - the silicon chip.
And these transistors will not only slash
energy consumption but also operate under
extreme conditions.
The transistor, designed by doctoral student
Weixiao Huang, uses a compound material known
as gallium nitride (GaN). It would help
electronics systems to operate in extremely
hot, harsh, and high-power environments -
even those that produce radiation.
Where
Are India's Innovative Companies, Products
and Solutions? (Seeking Alpha, May 9)
Fields requiring immediate and large scale
innovation run the gamut from clean energy
(energy independence), housing the burgeoning
middle class, providing affordable housing
for the vast pool of have-nots, elementary,
primary and secondary education, health-care,
national infrastructure (water, power,
transportation) and finally, equality of
opportunity. Solutions developed by India
will be uniquely Indian, but potentially
applicable to the huge swath of global
population mired in poverty and living
limited lives, with little or no hope.
India can lead the way because it now knows
how to develop global solutions that work on
a very large scale, especially those that are
technology intensive (witness India's
response to Y2K).
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Health | Medicine |
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Herbal
medicine seeks fusion of Eastern, Western
approaches (China View, May 14)
Naysayers might call it voodoo. Skeptics
question how it works, feeling much safer to
keep it at arm's length. Proponents laud its
efficacy, although they can't explain its
mysterious ways in scientific language that
appeals to Western ears.
Traditional Chinese medicine (TCM), often
a complex mixture of herbs and animal
products, has found it tough to enter the
territory dominated by Western
pharmaceuticals, despite its 2,000-year-old
strength on its home turf.
But there is a glimmer of hope from this
northern Chinese port city.
One drug has dispelled at least a bit of
the foreign stereotype that Chinese herbs are
basically dietary supplements, by
consolidating its position in the African
market in just five years.
Fufang Danshen Diwan, a cardiotonic pill
totally composed of herbal extracts, is
available in some 16 African countries. It is
used for the emergency treatment of coronary
disease, and sales were 80 million U.S.
dollars last year, compared with less than
100,000 U.S. dollars in 2002.
India
health insurance seen rising, but concerns
stay (Reuters, May 9)
Rising medical costs and life expectancy are
seen attracting a lot of players to the
Indian health insurance sector, even as a
high claims ratio remains a concern, industry
experts said on Friday.
As many as three to four firms are keen to
launch standalone health insurance companies
if they find an Indian partner, said C.S.
Rao, chairman of Insurance Regulatory and
Development Authority (IRDA), the country's
insurance regulator.
Under current Indian regulations, foreign
firms cannot own more than 26 percent in an
Indian insurance company.
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Logistics | Transportation |
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Can
China Take On Boeing and Airbus?
(Business Week, May 12) China hasn't had a
good track record building big airplanes. The
first Made-in-China big jet was the Shanghai
Y-10, which had its maiden flight on Sept.
26, 1980. The 150-seat jet was as big as a
Boeing 707 and bore a striking similarity to
the American plane. The Y-10 flew 130 times,
but the Chinese retired it in 1985 because
local airlines refused to purchase it,
preferring to buy the more fuel-efficient
planes from Boeing (BA) and McDonnell Douglas
instead.
Two decades later, the Chinese government is
hoping for better luck. At a ceremony in
Shanghai on May 11, China unveiled its latest
attempt to build a larger jet-or literally
"big airplane" in Mandarin-with the launch of
the Commercial Aircraft Corp. of China
(CACC). The company's mandate: assemble jets
at home to reduce the nation's reliance on
Western-made planes. There's no shortage of
demand. The aviation industry conservatively
predicts the country will buy 2,800 new
airplanes worth $329 billion over the next 20
years to keep up with China's scorching air
travel growth (BusinessWeek.com, 12/6/05).
"Obviously, China wants to be part of this
perceived profitable airplane making
business," says Martin Lin, head of the
American Chamber of Commerce in China's
aerospace group. "But profits will come only
when China will be able successfully to
capture international markets."
India
and France sign MoU on Railways (Silicon
India, May 14) India and France here
Wednesday signed a Memorandum of
Understanding (MoU) to promote bilateral
cooperation in the Railways sector.
The MoU was signed by R.K. Goel, Additional
Member (Planning) in the Indian Railway
Board, and Jean-Pierre Loubinoux, chairman
and managing director of SNFC International
(French Railways).
The MoU envisages cooperation in line
capacity, safety, maintenance and upgrading
of tracks, signalling, telecommunications,
power supply, electric and diesel traction
stock, information technology, training and
high speed rail projects.
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Education | Workforce Development |
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News
Analysis: India's Regulators Won't Agree on
Single Accreditor (The Chronicle of
Higher Education, May 8)
India's 16 higher-education regulatory bodies
are notorious, many here say, for mistaking
regulation for governance. Every move to
change a course, add more faculty members, or
alter the examination format is stubbornly
resisted while the system as a whole
stagnates for want of leadership.
Now it appears that the latest effort to
better coordinate higher-education oversight
has fallen victim to the beast that is Indian
bureaucracy.
The four largest regulators, which oversee
India's national universities, technical
colleges, and law and medical schools, have
refused to agree to the creation of a single,
independent higher-education regulator, a
junior minister in charge of higher education
reportedly told Parliament last month.
According to a local newspaper, D.
Purandeswari said the ministry had washed its
hands of the matter after the regulators
termed an independent body "nonfeasible." The
Chronicle's calls to Ms. Purandeswari for
comment were not returned.
The problems facing India's higher-education
system are staggering. They include poor
academic quality at many institutions, a
severe shortage of seats at public
universities, tremendous challenges for
private players especially foreign
institutions trying to enter the system, and
a vast gap between what universities offer
and what the market actually needs.
New Study Reveals Exploding 'Culture of
Connectivity' Forcing Enterprises to Change
the Way They Do Business or Be Passed By
(CNN Money, May 13)
An exploding 'Culture of Connectivity' is
forcing enterprises around the world to
change the way they do business faster than
ever before or risk the opportunities of
Hyperconnectivity passing them by. A new
global IDC study(i) sponsored by Nortel(1)
(TSX: NT)(NYSE: NT) found that not only is
the speed of technology adoption accelerating
- impacting business policy and IT investment
- but the global workforce is increasingly
expecting employers to provide similar levels
of "everywhere, all the time" connectivity.
- Asia Pacific is leading the way
The largest percentage of hyperconnected are
in the Asia Pacific region. And, while
hyperconnected workers can be found in all
countries, they are higher than average in
the U.S. and China, lowest in Canada and the
United Arab Emirates.
Why
high-flyers are unwilling to flock to
emerging markets (TimesOnline, May 14)
Would your next career move be to a job in
Europe, America or the emerging markets?
If you are attracted to working for a new
player on the world business scene then you
are in a minority. The reputations of key
emerging markets, including Russia, Eastern
Europe and Asia, discourage the best talent
from working there, according to Hill &
Knowlton's annual Corporate Reputation Watch,
a survey of MBA candidates at leading
business schools.
Paul Taaffe, chairman and chief executive of
Hill & Knowlton, says: "MBAs graduating in a
postEnron world have a strong preference for
the companies and countries with the best
reputations. Some 86 per cent of our sample
rated corporate culture and the working
environment as extremely important and just
18 per cent were interested in working in
Russia or Eastern Europe." Pick your emerging
market with care, advises Giovanni Calimani,
plant manager at Prysmian Cables & Systems in
China. The Italian would not jump at a job
offer in Russia or India. "Their reputation,
particularly in manufacturing, is not as good
as that of China, which has worked on making
itself attractive to Western businesses."
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Newsletter staff |
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Publisher: L. Roxanne Russell
Editor of Academic Resources: Dr. S.V.
Char
Co-Editor: Abhijit Agrawal
Co-Editor: RJ Paulsick
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ICA
Institute, founded by Dr. Jagdish Sheth,
is a non-profit research institute working to
foster research and dissemination of
knowledge on the rise of China and India and
their impact on global markets, global
resources and geopolitics of the world. The
ICA Institute's mission is to generate new
perspectives on the role of market and
resource driven economic development. ICA
Institute fosters interaction and dialogue
between academic scholars, industry leaders
and policy makers on the impact of emerging
economies in general and China and India in
particular. Specifically, ICA Institute is
positioned to be a catalyst between faculty
and students in International Business and
industry leaders and managers.
Learn more about the ICA institute
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