Market Commentary for WH Cornerstone Investments Clients
Greetings!
October is historically a tumultuous time in
the market. We are seeing irrational fear in
the marketplace right now.
It is baffling to watch the market be up 300+
points on Friday on the news that the bail
out plan was likely to pass and then see the
market close down on 150 points on what most
considered good news.
Monday and Tuesday saw two consecutive days
of a significant drop.
Today, The Fed reduced its key rate from 2
percent to 1.5 percent. And the market still
reacts negatively.
Next week we will see the first of quarterly
corporate earning numbers released. We will
get a better sense of how the overall economy
is doing.
We expect that we will continue to see a lot
of volatility in the marketplace. Much of
that is due to all the noise. That noise
makes it hard to concentrate. Our society has
24/7 access to information via TV, radio,
the Internet, PDAs and Black Berry's. It is
often overwhelming. There is so much
information thrown at us it is near
impossible to makes sense of it.
We know these are scary times. We still
recommend staying the course. We continue to
stay focused on the long-term while
monitoring the short-term landscape. The
market got decimated in the October 1987 crash,
but it ended up for the year. Times will
get better.
Since 1948, there have been 12 bear markets
that lasted an average of 14 months and saw
an average decline of 22.4% in the Standard &
Poor's 500 stock index. After each of those,
economic conditions improved with 12 bull
market occurrences lasting an average of 45
months and seeing an average 123.9% gain in
the S&P 500. Investors who held on to
investments during each of those instances
made gains in the long run. (Source:
Putnam Investments)
Please advise us promptly if there are ever
any changes in your financial situation or
investment objectives. Feel free to give us
a call if you want to discuss anything
further.
Sincerely, Paula and Bill Harris, CFP