Issue: #  11
NOVEMBER 2009
Bautis Financial
Dear ,
 
Welcome to the November 2009 issue of The Wealth Chronicle, a free monthly newsletter written by Marc Bautis of Bautis Financial, LLC.  The objective of each newsletter is to present informative articles discussing the topics of wealth management, investment analysis, and personal finance.  If you have any questions or comments about any of the articles, please send them to me.  I also maintain a blog containing more frequently updated information at
http://www.bautisfinancial.com/blog.
 
If you think the articles in this newsletter are informative and useful, please forward it to a friend or colleague.  If you no longer wish to receive the newsletter you can unsubscribe by clicking the unsubscribe link at the bottom of the page.  If you would like to discuss your personal financial situation, I would be happy to offer a free no-obligation consultation.

People Who Have 529 Plans Save More Money for College

 

When people save or invest for a particular goal they usually consider things like risk, returns, asset classes, stocks, bonds.  Most people do not consider the psychological aspect of saving and how that can help or hurt you from reaching your goal.

The College Savings Foundation disclosed the results of a study they did related to saving for College.  Their conclusion was simple; if open up a 529 plan you will save more for college.  A 529 plan is a tax-advantaged account that you can use to save and pay for your child's college. 

The table below provides the detailed numbers of their study.  The results seem to make sense.  If you save for your child's education with a regular Savings or Brokerage account you always can be tempted to use that money for something else with the thought of that you will replace it one day.  With a 529 you get a worthwhile tax advantage in the account, however you are penalized if you use the money for anything other than Higher Education expenses.

529 Savings
 

Psychologically things impact our daily lives, sometimes without us even realizing it.  In this case it is related to saving for College.  A book I recently read called Mindless Evening gave a similar example with respect to eating.  One of the conclusions of the book was that the larger plate you use at dinner, the more food you will eat.

I think things like this can be true and our choices can be impacted by different stimuli even if we do not realize it.

Bautis Financial Business Network


Every day we come in contact with over a thousand advertisements.  Everything from print, radio, television, and signs is trying to get our attention. Advertisements are not nearly as effective as word-of-mouth recommendations from trustworthy sources.  Whether it is a doctor, lawyer, or restaurant, we often feel more comfortable when a professional comes recommended to us. 
 
I have put together a list of companies that I recommend.My list ranges from professionals who specialize in Computer Support Services to Baby Apparel.  The one thing these professionals have in common is that they always put the client's needs and desires first.   
 
Bautis Financial Business Network 
Fighting Inflation with a Bond Ladder

One of the biggest determinants to reaching your financial goals will be the imminent rise in Inflation.  If inflation rises your money will not buy as much as it currently does.  For example, today you may pay $2 for a gallon of gas.  Once inflation rises the price of gas may rise to 3, 4, or even 5 dollars a gallon.  Inflation does not stop at the price of gas.  When inflation comes the price of everything rises.  Examples include groceries, travel, apartment rents, and cars.

This article continues on the theme of inflation and different options on how to combat it.  Most people like the safety of fixed income investments such as bonds and CD's, especially after the stock market crashed in 2008.  Usually fixed income is the last place you want to be when inflation rises.  The interest you earn from your "fixed income" investments is fixed.  For example if you have a bond that pays 5% interest, that is what you will receive 5% for the life of the bond.  If inflation rises there is a lot less you will be able to buy with the interest you will receive from your bond.

The following is a strategy called a "Bond Ladder" and is a way to invest in Fixed Income and still combat inflation.  The premise of the bond ladder is that you set up your portfolio with bonds that have expiration dates in subsequent years.  When one bond matures you take the money from that bond and buy a new bond with a maturity date at the end of the ladder. 

The following is an example of the bond ladder in practice

Initial Portfolio
When setting up the account (Jan 1, 2010), you purchase the following bonds (bonds with longer durations usually have a bigger coupon payment

Bond 1  - 4.8% coupon | Maturity Date 2012
Bond 2  - 4.9% coupon | Maturity Date 2014
Bond 3  - 5.0% coupon | Maturity Date 2016
Bond 4  - 5.1% coupon | Maturity Date 2018
Bond 5  - 5.2% coupon | Maturity Date 2020
Bond 6  - 5.3% coupon | Maturity Date 2022
Bond 7  - 5.4% coupon | Maturity Date 2024
Bond 8  - 5.5% coupon | Maturity Date 2026
Bond 9  - 5.6% coupon | Maturity Date 2028
Bond 10 - 5.7% coupon | Maturity Date 2030

 January 1, 2012
Bond 1 matures, and you are paid your principal back.  You use that money to purchase a new bond set to mature in 2032 (Assume inflation has set in and interest rates are up) Your portfolio would now look like this

Bond 2  - 4.9% coupon | Maturity Date 2014
Bond 3  - 5.0% coupon | Maturity Date 2016
Bond 4  - 5.1% coupon | Maturity Date 2018
Bond 5  - 5.2% coupon | Maturity Date 2020
Bond 6  - 5.3% coupon | Maturity Date 2022
Bond 7  - 5.4% coupon | Maturity Date 2024
Bond 8  - 5.5% coupon | Maturity Date 2026
Bond 9  - 5.6% coupon | Maturity Date 2028
Bond 10 - 5.7% coupon | Maturity Date 2030
Bond 11  - 6.5% coupon | Maturity Date 2032

 January 1, 2014
Bond 2 matures, and you are paid your principal back.  You use that money to purchase a new bond set to mature in 2034 (Assume inflation continues) Your portfolio would now look like this

Bond 3  - 5.0% coupon | Maturity Date 2016
Bond 4  - 5.1% coupon | Maturity Date 2018
Bond 5  - 5.2% coupon | Maturity Date 2020
Bond 6  - 5.3% coupon | Maturity Date 2022
Bond 7  - 5.4% coupon | Maturity Date 2024
Bond 8  - 5.5% coupon | Maturity Date 2026
Bond 9  - 5.6% coupon | Maturity Date 2028
Bond 10 - 5.7% coupon | Maturity Date 2030
Bond 11  - 6.5% coupon | Maturity Date 2032
Bond 12  - 7.8% coupon | Maturity Date 2034

You can continue this process as long as you want and it is a great combat against inflation.  This does not mean that all risks are covered.  There is now a Credit or Default risk that you have to stay on top of.  Since you will be buying individual bonds, if one defaults there will be a 10% loss on your principal.  One way of addressing that is to buy high quality bonds for the ladder

For more information on Bond Ladders the following two articles provide good information.

http://www.kiplinger.com/features/archives/2008/04/build-bond-ladder.html

http://www.investopedia.com/terms/b/bondladder.asp

Commercial Real Estate
The Next Bubble to Burst?
Commercial Real Estate
 

The numbers out of the retail housing sector recently have been decent suggesting that we may have up from the market bottom.  Many investors lump all of real estate together, however the commercial real estate may be a ticking time bomb and if it were to go off, could have the same effect to the market that we saw a year and a half ago when the mortgage industry blew up.

There is over $3 trillion in commercial real estate loans outstanding.  A lot of that debt is held by banks.  No matter where you go nowadays you are bound to see plenty of empty storefronts.   Rents have dropped at almost a 10% annualized rate and when rents go down, property owners have trouble making payments.

Not everyone think the sector is poised for a meltdown.  Both bank stocks and Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITS) have fared well this year.  With people sitting on either side of the fence on this topic it will be interesting to see how things play out.

As an investor is there anything that one can do.  For one I would be careful with the amount of money you have invested in bank stocks.  If there is a problem it will probably be the regional banks who get hit hardest as they have the most exposure to commercial real estate on their books.  For some of the larger banks like (JP Morgan, Citigroup, and Bank of America) commercial real estate is not a big piece of their portfolios.  


Company Spotlight
Fascino

FascinoLiving in North Jersey there are quite of number of Italian Restaurants in the area.  Some of them are good, some are poor, and then there are a few that stand head and shoulders above all of them.  Fascino restaurant in Montclair is one of the few that is in a class by itself.

Whether you are having a holiday dinner with friends of family or entertaining a client, you are guaranteed to have a good experience at Fascino.  The Long Island Duck and the Slow Braised Short Ribs are two of my favorite dishes.  The back section of the restaurant can be used for private parties and they have recently added a catering service.

Fascino is located on Bloomfield Ave in Montclair .  More information can be found www.fascinorestaurant.com  and reservations can be made by calling 973-233-0350.

Sincerely,
Marc Bautis
Wealth Manager
tel: 201-221-6895
fax: 201-754-9760
Disclaimer:The information contained in this newsletter is for information purposes only and may not be suitable for your specific financial situation.  You should consult a financial advisor before making any investment decisions relating to the information contained in this newsletter

Table of Contents
529 Plan Savings
Business Network
Bond Ladders
Commercial Real Estate
Fascino
BautisFinancial Logo
About Marc

Marc Bautis is an Independent Investment Adviser specializing in working with retirees and those nearing retirement who want to protect their principal and ensure their money lasts.  He is proud to deliver independent advice, always in his clients best interest.

Marc is a Bergen County native. He is a graduate of Lyndhurst High School and Seton Hall University. He, his wife Katie, and puppy Winnie live in Hasbrouck Heights.
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