Audience Development Group will be at
the Grand Hyatt, Washington, DC for the NAB September 29th
- October 1st
Malcolm Gladwell could not
possibly have known the full implication of his 2002 book The Tipping Point. Masterfully conceived, Gladwell introduced the
idea of social epidemics; why they start, how they propagate and how they
change society. Eight years later with social medium enveloping our daily lives,
Gladwell's case studies carry forward a haunting look at how things
mysteriously develop and how they affect who and what we are.
With one of our firm's offices in
Grand Rapids it was commonplace to hear about happenings at the Wolverine Shoe
Company. This work-a-day factory has conservatively produced footwear for
decades, including their Hushpuppy brand. By the mid 90's Hushpuppies were
about as hip as a cassette player with sales slipping to only 30,000 pairs
annually. This crushed suede, lightweight crepe sole shoe was ready for the
dumpster. Then something strange happened.
The company's executives Owen
Baxter and Geoffrey Lewis ran into a stylist from Manhattan who stunned them
with the news that Hushpuppies had suddenly become hip in all the clubs and
bars there. Baxter recounted, "We were being told that resale shops in Soho and
the small Ma and Pa stores that still carried them were selling out." Baffled,
the Wolverine executives looked for an answer since it made no sense to them
that shoes so out of fashion were making a comeback. They were told that Isaac
Mizrahi was wearing the shoes himself. Baxter and Lewis admitted in Gladwell's
book that in fact at the time, "they had no idea who Mizrahi was." By fall 1995
everything exploded; designers from L.A. to New York requested shoes for their
shows and 460,000 Hushpuppies were sold. In 1996, the shoes won the prize for
"best accessories" at the Fashion Designers awards dinner, and the company
quadrupled sales from the year before!
How did this happen? Gladwell
opines the first few kids, whoever they were, weren't on a mission to promote a
trend.
They were wearing them precisely
because no one else would wear them. Then a fashion designer picked up on
the smallest ripple of a trend and used the shoes to promote haute culture. The
shoes and the buzz surrounding them passed a critical point and they "tipped"
in Gladwell's vernacular.
But this amusing case study only
scratches the surface as to why inertia is so ethereal; arriving without fanfare
as it did in New York City when 15 years of rising street crime and after-dark
violence reached a point in 1992 where 2,154 murders and over 6,000 serious
crimes occurred. Just then, something strange happened. At this mysterious
zenith writes Gladwell, the crime rate tipped and began to turn. Within 5 years,
murders and serious crimes dropped by 64 percent! Streets became habitable and
beat-cops heard less and less chatter after dark.
How can a subtle shift in social
current lead to a national redemption of a pair of shoes, or cause murder rates
to drop by two-thirds over 5 years? The answer is being played out in front of
us every day. We see it in PPM reports, social media indices and focus groups.
Ideas, messages and products spread just like viruses do. The phenomena of the
word-of-mouth now geometrically ignited by our formats riding the current of
social mediums is here to stay, offering us mind-bending potential to use our
imaging and creativity to go where we've never gone.
If some fail to exploit the pantheon of viral expansion they'll miss the
race. If it doesn't exist in the mind, it doesn't exist.