April Newsletter - Morning in America
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To identify American Hero Companies

In This Issue
Morning in America
Investment Commentary
Portfolio Performance
American Hero Research
 

Greetings,
 
We hope you enjoy this web version of our April 2010 Newsletter.
 
Sincerely,
Carter LeCraw
Morning in America
Weeping may last for the night,   
but a shout of joy comes in the morning.
Carter LeCraw, CEO
Carter photo
               
 "It's morning again in America" were the first words of a TV ad used in Ronald Reagan's 1984 reelection campaign. I found it on YouTube.
It highlighted the signs of life in our nation's economy as an example of the positive results of Reagan's first term in office. Optimism may have ruled then, but today, with so many economic, social and moral problems, many are struggling to see even glimmers of an early dawn much less a bright new morning for America
 
But in reality the stage IS set, our people ARE ready, and the world IS watching. Like other pivotal and precarious times in our history America is poised to rise to a brave new level of leadership and example on the world's stage. Today's deepening darkness is precisely the catalyst that is awakening millions of average Americans to act. Strains of, as Francis Scott Key put it, "dawn's early light", are here, and, like other times past, "Morning in America" is just around the bend.
 
My son (Peter, age 14) and I had our own first-hand glimpse of the dawn as we paraded down Pennsylvania Avenue in Washington, DC on 9/12/2009 with, what some estimated as over one million, people. Some say we were protesting Big Government, but I say we were promoting faith and freedom which together are the best source of hope and change for America and the world. The atmosphere was safe, warm, friendly, and fun. We all experienced 
a remarkable kinship of people ready to act for positive cultural renewal. I was on a "high" for next two weeks.
 
It's great to have a pep rally, but now it's time to act. I have some thoughts.
 
First of all, we can NOT give in to discouragement in the face of the negative "waves" that are so prevalent and constant. It's disturbing that even some religious leaders seem to have forgotten America's historical habit of righting herself in times of great upheaval and distress. Yes, there are numerous examples of how evil is winning many battles, but genuine goodness is much stronger and can and will ultimately win the war.
 
Next we must NOT focus only on fighting what is evil. This is, of course, important, but it only keeps us from full scale retreat. Defense helps, but we need a strong , inspired offense to score some points. As Calvin Coolidge said, "Little progress can be made by merely attempting to repress what is evil; our great hope lies in developing what is good." The watching world wants to see positive alternatives to supplant, replace and ultimately destroy the "bad stuff".
 
Opportunities to heed the advice of President Coolidge are increasing. Some are even influencing the entertainment industry. One example, about which I am particularly excited, is a new movie, "Letters to God". Movie Guide, an organization that rates movies based on family friendly content, states, " 'Letters to God' is an entertaining, heart-rending, and inspiring story about a boy with cancer whose letters to God change the lives of the people around him." What a great alternative for movie audiences across America. I am grateful for a visionary financial professional and personal friend, Glenn Repple, whose organization, GA Repple and Company, raised capital for this inspiring project.
 
Whether it be in entertainment, the business arena or simply our homes, there are jobs for everyone who loves and cares deeply for the principles and values that represent America. No matter how insignificant it may seem, each positive act of patriotism will help. Be creative, just do something. If you are lacking ideas call me. 
 
We, at American Values Investments, are trying to do our part. Actually, we do little, it's what our investors do that REALLY matters. By investing in public companies that are immersed in, exude and are operated by timeless American values, investors make a significant contribution to rebuilding the values upon which our country was and continues to be built.
 
These companies, we call American Hero Companies, are on the front line of culture fighting to create products and services that make a difference and help move America forward. What they do is important but HOW they do it is critical. Temptations abound to cut corners on key values like Integrity, Humility, Diligence and Caring, in favor of public opinion or short term profits. They deserve our financial support. More often than not, these companies outperform their competitors, but this should not be our main reason for investing; we invest to build a better America for ourselves and future generations.
 
The patriotic season, which runs from Memorial day to Independence Day, is a great time to refresh our resolve, with God's help, to do something for the country that has done so much for us. Above all, be encouraged, for beyond the glimmers of "dawn's early light" is a bright new "Morning in America".
Investment Commentary - April 2010
 
The better than average stock performance of 2009 has continued into
George Parks, Investment Committe Chairman
AVI color logo white background
the first quarter of 2010. The American Hero Portfolios have continued their fourth quarter 2009 out performance of the market as defined by the S & P 500 for the first quarter of 2010. The largest contributors to these returns were Deere, Potash, FMC Technologies, Waters, and Cognizant Technology. The laggards were CH Robinson, FPL Group, and Smucker's. As the economy recovers and shipping picks up CH Robinson is well positioned to benefit. As a utility FPL has suffered from some regulatory uncertainties, but it is a solid company and its consistent yield will help it be a better contributor to overall performance.  Smucker's has had outstanding performance since its purchase of Folger's Coffee pushing its stock price up a little too fast, but their operating efficiencies and competitive advantage should make up the difference in the near future.
 
The stock market does not like uncertainty, so the resolution of the health care bill was good news to it. Most market analyst see the bill as basically neutral or marginally helpful for stocks. The bill will create new opportunities for some parts of the health care sector and some challenges in other areas. The effect of government reimbursements seems to be the biggest question. As with any legislation there will be the unintended consequences, some good and others not so good. By the time we understand those unintended consequences the media will have everyone focused on the more 'pressing' issue at hand. Overall, the bill probably is not as good for the economy as the Democrats claim and not as bad as the Republicans bemoan. American Hero Companies will do everything they can to understand 
the bill's ramifications and incorporate them into their business models in a positive way.
 
As the second quarter begins it looks like the market is close to fairly priced. Analysts are forecasting earnings growth of 35-40% for the quarter. If earnings meet those expectations, there is an argument for the market to continue its upward trend. If earnings fall short there could be a correction. The other interesting data in the forecasts is revenue growth of 10%. If earnings are going to grow by more than a third and revenue is only going to increase by a tenth, there have got to be some significant improvement in margins. Most of the earnings growth in 2009 was achieved on lower revenues with drastic cost reductions which were mainly jobs. How much more can companies improve their efficiencies? At some point revenue, earnings, and stock prices are likely to be more closely correlated or revert to the mean. American Hero Companies seem to have the ingenuity to be the leaders in adapting to their competitive
vironments. We are seeing various strategies from marketing initiatives to reengineering operations to strategic takeovers that should position them well going forward.
 
RLI Corporation will be replacing Sonic in the American Values Index.
American Hero Portfolio Performance *
 

 

YTD

1 year

3 years

5 years

American Hero Equity

+5.88%

+51.88%

-2.03

+2.97

American Hero Index

+8.65%

N/A

 

N/A

N/A

S&P 500  

 (total return)

+5.39 

+49.77

-4.17%

+1.92%

 
* Returns are computed before fees and expenses. Past Performance is no assurance of future results.
 
American Hero Research Summary
 
Am Hero Company logo
Total American Hero Companies: 125
Newest American Hero: Lowes
Top Five scoring Heroes:
     1. Xilinx
     2. McCormick
                       3. J.M. Smucker
                       4. Total Systems Services
                       5. Fluor
Important Note:
 
Please contact your advisor if there are any changes in your financial situation or investment objectives, or if you wish to impose, add or modify any reasonable restrictions to the management of your account. Our current disclosure statement is set forth on Part II of Form ADV and is available for your review upon request.
© 2010 Anerican Values Investments, Inc