|
|
Greetings!
If you've been perplexed by the mystery of how golf
clubs are marketed by the multi-national
conglomerates that dominate the golf equipment
industry, I'll help make sense of it - and provide
some details about our December Sidewalk Sale
coming up this Saturday - the 13th.
The golf equipment industry is in turmoil. The recent
financial upheaval exacerbated the problem. Some
venerable old names like MacGregor are in danger of
going away forever. MacGregor just fired its President
and the entire field sales force. The story "on the
street" is that they're looking for a buyer. Greg
Norman is not answering calls from the press. Niche
producers - especially those with short lines of
putters, wedges and irons are all hoping to be
acquired by a giant. Designing and marketing golf
clubs has always been a good way to make a small
fortune. That is, if you start with a large fortune.
The golf selling season begins in late fall. That's
when sales representatives from the big companies
come around to their retailers (referred to as "doors")
and negotiate "pre-book" orders. The target size of the
order is prior year sales with an appropriate increase.
The incentive to commit to a long lead time order is
additional discounts and extended time to pay. If you
pre-book a big enough order, you'll owe ten to twenty
percent less and you won't have to pay for the
merchandise you receive in January until June.
That's the big advantage in dealing with uber-rich
multi-nationals - they finance your inventory
investment. On a more subtle level, committing to
large purchases makes less "open to buy" available
for other companies - a great competitive advantage.
Especially disadvantaged are those companies that
need you to pay for your merchandise within normal
30 day terms.
That's good business. With orders in hand from all of
their established accounts it's a simple matter to
crank up the factories in China for a few months and
build most of the golf clubs they'll need for the year in
the most efficient and cheapest way possible. The
multi-nationals can forecast their sales reliably and
manage their production. It's a "win-win" - but only
available to companies with nearly unlimited capital.
 |
 |
 |
"Net Down" - the Ultimate Weapon
If you look at the golf equipment business as a fight to
the death between the big guys and the little guys -
this time I'm talking about manufacturers, not
retailers - the neutron bomb in the business is the
concept of "net down".
Take Nike as an example. At the beginning of the
year, the signature Nike product was the "SQ Square
driver - 5900". Way back in February 2008 when it first
shipped, the 5900 carried a retail price tag of $599.95
equipped with an Aldila VS Proto shaft. It was never
really expected to sell for that price. That was the high
water mark for the Sumo 5900 with the "premium"
shaft. The stock shaft was the Mitsubishi "Yellow
Board" with a price tag of $499. But at the beginning
of 2008, all of the major golf equipment companies
had figured out that 2009 was going to be the year of
the $399 driver - so that became MAP. The $499
price tag on day one looked like a discount.
The "street price" was always $399. Either the VS
Proto or the Yellow Board shaft came with the deal.
If the Nike Sumo 5900 was priced at wholesale to
allow a 30% markup at $399 you can do the
arithmetic. Dealers were paying something like $270
for each driver they brought in the "door". Most dealers
made a little over 100 bucks for every Sumo 5900 they
sold for $399 and that lasted until about July, 2008.
By July 2008 the Nike sales representatives polled
their "doors" and tallied up the number of 5900's that
were still in inventory. The number was too high.
They decided that they needed to drop the price of the
Sumo Square 5900's to $299 to make sure
inventories were depleted. Word went out to their
retail channel to count up all of the 5900's that were in
stock and forward the number to Nike. In return,
each "door" was credited for every driver still in stock
to allow them to sell it for $299 and maintain a
survivable profit margin. Credit is received in the form
of more Sumo 5900's. That's "net down" - the retailer
gets credit for the products still in inventory - paid with
more inventory - "netting down" the cost so it can be
sold at a lower price and still make a little profit.
The essence of big business is the "product year".
Make a new product, launch it, sell it, close it out, tally
the results and then go again for the next year.
Today's multi national conglomerates operate in that
mode. That was never the way the golf industry
operated before - when it was a "mom and pop"
business. In the old days a good design lasted for
three or four years. If you didn't sell it this year, you
could hold it over to sell next year. It's only been since
the "go-go days" of the golf industry - the golden
1990's - when golf equipment started being marketed
like fashion products. At the end of the season what
doesn't sell goes to the liquidator.
It would be great if every new golf club design were
better than every one that came before. If that
happened, 18 cappers would be hitting 300 yard
drives straight down the middle. Only a few new
models ever make it into the "classic" category.
In November 2008, the Nike sales team polled the
distribution channel once again and found that there
were still too many 5900's in inventory. Time for
another "net down". The official MAP price dropped
again, this time to $199 - presumably cheap enough
to flush all of those drivers that were $499 six months
ago. D-Day for the last reduction just happens to be
Friday, the 12th of December. At that point all Nike
retailers will be free advertise and sell their 5900's for
$199. It just so happens that this is an opportune
time for our Sidewalk Sale.
All Nike 5900 drivers in stock (and special orders) will
be available for $199 this Saturday at the Golf Lab
Sidewalk Sale. That's a fabulous deal for a very good
driver. The Nike 5000 Sumo drivers will also be
available at the same price. The Sumo irons are
getting a price cut as well. This information is
not "advertising". It is a private communication
between the Golf Lab and our proprietary customer
list. Repeat: this is not advertising, this is private
communication.
It's a little confusing to keep up with falling prices. The
Sumo 5900 that cost $270 and sold for $399 at the
beginning of the year was costing $130 and selling for
$199 at the end of the year. With "net down" Nike was
able to allow its retailers to continue to sell the 5900
for a small profit even as the selling price
collapsed. "Net Down" is not unique to Nike. All of the
major companies have similar programs to try to
stabilize their distribution channels.
|
 |
 |
 |
 |
Radioactive Fallout
So this sounds pretty good. If you bought a new Nike
5900 driver in March you had a great season with
better drives to remember. That's the benefit of
making your buying decision early, if you pick the right
clubs, you get the advantage of time. How much is
one more Low Gross Trophy worth? To me, it's
priceless. I have no sympathy for our customers who
bought their 5900's for $399 this year. They got more
than their money's worth.
But next Saturday, bargain hunters who were willing to
wait six months can save a cool $200 on their new
Nike 5900. (That Low Gross prize wasn't a sure thing
anyway). On Saturday, the Nike 5900 will be $199 at
the Golf Lab - and at every other Nike retailer in the
world. For a small up charge, we'll set your new driver
up with the patented SST PURE system for a great
incentive price and you can even get the shaft
changed. We'll give you a free launch monitor test to
see if we can squeeze a few more MPH out of your
ball speed with a Balance-Certified Stabilizer. We can
add a lot of "tweaks" without getting up to $399. The
5900 is a very good example of an exceptional value at
our Sidewalk Sale.
But what about the smaller manufacturers that can't
design, manufacture, sell and then close out a
completely new product line every year? What about
those who can't afford to give money back on
purchases already made? There are some very good
companies that deserve to survive. In the golf
component industry KZG, SMT, and Infiniti come to
mind. These are companies that need to sell a
titanium driver head for $125 at wholesale, more or
less, to stay in business. If a KZG, SMT or Infiniti
dealer fits a titanium head to a good quality graphite
shaft and puts the combination together with some
fitting knowledge - the cost of the parts and time will
vastly exceed the $199 selling price of the Nike Sumo
5900. $399 is probably a very fair price.
That presents a problem. The price conundrum
defines the reason that I wrote this essay.
It's not all about price. Or, hopefully, it should not all
be about price. Sometimes you should pay more.
If price becomes the common denominator, only the
monster multi-national conglomerates will survive.
That would be a horrible result. Creativity rarely thrives
in corporate boardrooms. If there are no small-scale,
independent entrepreneurs in the golf equipment
industry, we all face infinite boredom. To me, it's the
great little niche products from the dreamers that
make the golf equipment industry interesting. We try
to represent their interests at the Golf Lab.
If you want to cast your vote for the health of the
industry, look beyond the price tag. $199 is an
impossible price for any independent manufacturer to
match. $199 is a clearance price, aimed at flushing
the distribution channel of inventory that has to be
liquidated before the executives can get their bonuses
paid out. That's the same for all of the multi-national
conglomerates. They need to close their books on the
year - and that includes selling the remaining
inventory below cost.
Go ahead and pick up a cheap OEM driver at the end
of the selling season. It's just pennies on the dollar
anyway. But save some money for the little guys.
|
 |
Call the Golf Lab for your free Club Balancing (650)
493-1770.
Seasons Greetings,
|
|