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News Update: 16th April 2012
Greetings!

Please find enclosed a copy of our weekly news summary. Please feel free to pass this to anyone who could benefit from it.
Energy Investment

 

£1bn Scheme To Turn Rubbish Into Electricity

 

A week after E.ON and RWE scrapped plans to build half a dozen nuclear plants, Scottish and Southern Energy and Shanks have signed a 25-year, £750 million PFI contract with Barnsley, Doncaster and Rotherham councils to build a waste plant in Rotherham to treat 265,000 tonnes of household rubbish a year. TUNSE/The Times 3rd April.

 

Talks To Secure County's Nuclear Future

 

The Government is talking with global sovereign funds in the Middle East and Far East about buying into the UK's nuclear renaissance. The talks could see a deal struck to secure new investment into Horizon Nuclear Power, the group bidding to build new nuclear reactors at Wylfa in Anglesey and Oldbury, TUNSE/Lancashire Evening Post, 3rd April.

 

UK Nuclear Plan At Risk In Moody's Credit Alert

 

Britain's nuclear programme faces a new threat after the revelation that ratings agencies could downgrade French energy giant EDF and British Gas owner Centrica if they decide to build four reactors. A credit downgrade would be highly likely to spark a confrontation with shareholders because it would make it more expensive for the companies to borrow and could undermine the share price. ...Britain's nuclear programme is likely to cost EDF and Centrica £24bn together. This is Money, 7th April. Global Energy Advisory comment: such a statement was not unforseen; the balancesheets of the UK utilities have been weakened over the years partly through consolidation aquisitions; furthermore investment spending at this level was expected to have an affect on company ratings. 

 

UK's Energy Production

 

The UK's energy production fell by 14% last year as a result of decreased gas and oil output from the continental shelf. The production of low carbon energy increased, with nuclear power output up by 11% and wind power from major producers rising 59% due to more turbines and higher wind speeds last year. PO Review, 9th April.

 

Indonesia's PLN to Bid $2.18bn Sumatra-Java Grid

 

PLN will begin the tender process for the US$2.18bn Sumatra-Java interconnection project....Part of funds required to run the project will come from the Japan International Cooperation Agency, while the remainder will be taken from PLN's internal budget. The project is expected to be completed in 2017 and channel 3,000 megawatts of power. Asia Power, 10th April.

 

Japan Signs Funding MOU for UK Wind Projects

 

Japan's state-backed Japanese Bank for International Co-operation (JBIC) has signed a deal to fund UK infrastructure projects with the bulk of the money going to offshore wind energy. According the Financial Times, the deal will see Japan put "billions of pounds" into UK infrastructure. ...In terms of wind power, the UK needs to fund its ambitious 33GW Round 3 offshore programme. The UK is seeking to generate 21% of electricity requirements from wind by 2020. However, with only 6GW currently in place, the UK will need to double its installation rate to hit its 2020 low-carbon target of 28GW installed capacity. Previously, the JBIC has funded wind projects in Bulgaria, Mexico and Brazil. Windpower Monthly, 11th April. 

  

www.globalenergyadvisory.com

Gas 

 

Gazprom Flags Shtokman Gas Shift; Europe Wary

 

Gazprom may ditch plans to pipe Arctic gas from its Shtokman project, ...potentially giving Russia's top energy firm more leeway to sell supplies from the huge field to customers outside Europe. Gazprom may instead focus on producing more easily transportable liquefied natural gas at the Barents Sea deposit, deputy chief executive Alexander Medvedev said...The comment is likely to stoke concerns in Europe about whether Russia can be relied on as a major long-term gas supplier, given rising demand for the fuel in Asian markets. Reuters, 7th April.

 

Spanish LNG Projects Put On Hold

 

(The problem is) the Mandatory Planning's predictions for gas demand were much higher than the reality and, as such, more projects were built than are now considered necessary. Indeed, while the government had predicted a demand of 526 TWh in 2011, the actual figure came to 373TWh. In fact, demand for conventional gas (excluding power plants) has not grown much since 2005, according to the CNE. The government said it could take a few years to return to the levels seen in 2008...Furthermore, according to the CNE, only 40% to 60% of Spain's existing gas infrastructure is used, a situation which is not expected to change until 2014. www.intefaxenergy.com, 9th April.

 

EU Lawmakers Divided On Approach to Take On Shale Gas

 

European lawmakers are deeply divided on how to deal with shale gas exploration in the European Union, (according to) two draft reports seen by Dow Jones Newswires....(Lawmakers in charge of energy issues are much more enthusiastic about the potential development of shale gas in the EU than their (environmental) colleagues. Rigzone, 6th April.

 

Mackenzie Natural Gas Pipeline  

 

A decision to pull back from the Mackenzie natural gas pipeline from Alberta would strike a blow to provincial economies, an official said. The pipeline would run 743 miles from the Beaufort Sea to north western Alberta. It's designed to carry more than 1bn cubic feet of natural gas per day. Project partners -- Imperial Oil Ltd., Exxon Mobil and Royal Dutch Shell -- said the low price of natural gas caused the hold. PO Review, 12th April.

 

Industry, Electricity Rates Slide and Coal Feels the Heat as Natural-Gas Prices Plunge

 

Plummeting natural-gas prices are pushing U.S. industries into virgin terrain, even beginning to dislodge cheap Western coal from its once-untouchable perch as the nation's favorite fuel for power production. On Tuesday, natural-gas futures settled at $2.03 per million British thermal units-just a hint above $2, the lowest price since January 2002. The shock wave for industry could intensify this summer because the U.S. is running out of room to store the glut of natural gas, which could drive gas prices down to sustained lows not seen in decades. The Wall Street Journal, 11th April.

 

Chinese Shale Gas Boom

 

The heavily mined and polluted province of Shanxi in northern China is in the midst of a gas boom...Gas output from the coal seams is rising fast and is set to hit 8bn cubic metres (bcm) this year, up a half from 2011 - emerging from nowhere just six years ago to provide China with a cleaner, home-grown alternative fuel for the future. China is investing 100bn Yuan ($16bn) to double output again by 2015. Beijing wants coal seam gas output as high as 30bcm by 2020, which would be 15 percent of China's total gas production, up from 5 percent of the total last year. Reuters, 11th April.

 

India's Gas Shortage

 

India's gas shortage has reached alarming levels...Operation of three gas-fired plants - with a combined capacity of 1,730 MW - had to be halted in India's National Capital Region (NCR) region due to a lack of gas supply to fuel the plants...India's ministry of petroleum this week forecast a 35% plunge in India's domestic gas production in the current fiscal year and another 12% drop between 2013 and 2014. The severe shortage in domestic gas supply is unlikely to abate, with Reliance Industries, India's largest gas producer, alleged to restrain efforts to increase domestic gas production as a bargaining chip for higher prices. Gas to Power, Journal, 12th April.  

www.globalenergyadvisory.com

 
 
  
Oil  

  

BG To Invest $2bn In Brazil's Oil Industry

 

BG Group will invest more than $2bn in research and development in Brazils booming oil industry in an attempt to become the country's biggest foreign producer by 2020....Brazil's vast "pre salt" oil reserves, which were discovered in 2007, which are enough to turn the country into one of the top five producers has helped attract over 30 foreign oil companies to the industry with particularly large investments from the Chinese. FT, 9th April.

 

Global Production Troubles

 

All the attention may be on a loss of oil from Iran these days, but production outages in a variety of spots worldwide is causing about 1mn barrels of oil a day to sit on the sidelines, helping push oil and gas prices to near record highs. In places like South Sudan, Yemen and Syria the oil is offline due to violence. In Canada and the North Sea it's due to technical problems. No one outage is particularly large. But taken together, they rival the amount of oil that could be lost from Iran over the next few months as sanctions take hold. CNN, 8th April.

 

South Sudan Border Bombing

 

Military jets belonging to the Sudanese government bombed an oil pipeline along the border with South Sudan. The United Nations has expressed concern about the conflict on the border between Sudan and South Sudan. PO Review, 9th April.

 

Libya

 

Libya is struggling to maintain its post-war pace of oil production in large part because of funding constraints. PO Review, 9th April.

 

GTL Tech Converts Methane to Ethylene without Fischer Tropsch

 

A Texas company has developed gas-to-liquids (GTL) technology designed to convert methane to ethylene without using the Fischer Tropsch (FT) process. The firm claims that its GTL system can perform at a level of efficiency rivalling conventional methane conversion technologies. "Our focus is actually on monetizing abundant, remote or flared gas," said Edward Peterson, Chief Engineer with Dallas-based Synfuels International. Rigzone, 11th April.

 

www.globalenergyadvisory.com

Nuclear

 

China Edges Ahead in Turkeys Nuclear Race

 

China seems to be edging ahead in the international contest to build a new nuclear power station on the Black Sea coast - a sign of how its ambitions of its nuclear companies are poised to reshape the global nuclear industry. Beijing is not looking for guarantees and can provide its own finance. FT, 9th April.

 

India Joins Multinational Design Group

 

India's Atomic Energy Regulatory Board (AERB) has become the 11th member of the Multinational Design Evaluation Program (MDEP), which pools resources of national regulators for reviewing new nuclear power reactor designs. Administered by the OECD Nuclear Energy Agency (NEA), MDEP is a program through which national regulators are working to share technical data and standardize regulations and practices in order to avoid duplication of work. Participating in MDEP are Canada, China, Finland, France, Japan, South Africa, South Korea, Russia, the UK and the USA. World Nuclear News, 9th April.

 

Experts Predict 34-Metre Wave

 

A Japanese government panel has warned that much of the country's Pacific coast could be inundated by a tsunami wave over 34 metres high if a powerful earthquake hits offshore. The earthquake last year which sparked the Fukushima emergency created wave 14-metres high. TUNSE/The Independent, 2nd April.

 

Restart of Japanese Reactors?

 

Japan's government is rushing to try to restart two nuclear reactors idled after the Fukushima crisis by next month out of what experts say is a fear that surviving a total shutdown would make it hard to convince the public that atomic energy is vital. PO Review, 9th April.

 

China Will Definitely Build More Nuclear Power Plants

 

Safety revisions on 27 reactors being built have revealed no risks similar to the catastrophe that afflicted the ill-fated Fukushima Daiichi nuclear plant in Japan in March 2011...China now has 14 nuclear power plants that produce less than 2% of all its electricity. In comparison, coal contributes some 83% of China's electricity. China plans to expand non-fossil fuel sources of energy to 15% by 2020. Asia Power, 11th April.

 

FPL Fined For Violations At Turkey Point

 

The US nuclear regulator has issued a fine to Florida Power & Light (FPL) for failing to report that the ventilation system for the emergency response facility at its Turkey Point nuclear power plant had been taken out of service on two occasions - one lasting some seven months. World Nuclear News,11th April.

 

New Reactor at Bulgaria's Kozloduy

 

The process to build a new reactor at Bulgaria's Kozloduy nuclear power plant has started with an agreement in principle to go ahead with the project from the country's cabinet. The move comes two weeks after the government scrapped plans for a new plant at Belene. World Nuclear News,12th April.

 

www.globalenergyadvisory.com   

Renewable Investment

 

Vestas & Gamesa Respond To Analysts' Comments On Turbine Flaw

 

Vestas and Gamesa have responded to reports from an ING analyst that highlight previously recognised component failure defects on 660kW turbines. The component - a blade route insert - attaches the blade to the hub and was manufactured by Vestas and also used by Gamesa. Spokespeople from both businesses say that the analysts' cost of repair estimates are wrong and that the company's have been working on the problem since as long ago as 2010. www.awordaboutwind.com, 9th April.

 

Seajacks Snatched Up By Japanese

 

Japanese companies Marubeni and the Innovation Network Corporation of Japan (INCJ) are buying UK company Seajacks International, a leading supplier of offshore installation and maintenance vessels which are used in the construction and maintenance of wind farms and to support the oil and gas sector. TUNSE/Press and Journal, 2nd April.

 

Wind Power to Blow Strong In New Zealand

 

Falling wind turbine prices are set to spark a surge in wind power investments in New Zealand. New Zealand's Wind Energy Association predicts the country's wind farm capacity over the next 20 years could increase by as much as six times compared to today. Wind capacity is presently estimated at 622MW but is forecast to rise to 3500MW by 2030. The association expects wind to generate around 20% of New Zealand's electricity by 2030, up from 5% today because wind turbines have become more reliable and operations and maintenance costs are falling...The government also wants 90% of the country's energy to be generated from renewable sources by 2025, a goal that bodes well for the wind sector. The association cited sources which said that wind projects commercially attractive at under NZ$85MWh. Asia Power, 11th April.

 

India to Build Offshore Turbines 'Within Five Years'

 

India will build its first offshore turbines within the next five years(said Gomathi Nayagam)...However, Nayagam added any European turbine designs would need to be tailored to Indian offshore conditions where wind speeds rarely exceed 6-7 metres per second. Windpower Monthly,10th April.

 

www.globalenergyadvisory.com  

Coal 

 

Zimbabwe Coal Industry Hinges On Power Plant Construction

 

The future of Zimbabwe's coal mining industry depends on the government's commitment to construction of more power stations to create demand for low grades of coal...The country is currently wasting tonnes of low grade coal by backfilling it into mining pits because there are no takers. Steel Guru, 6th April.

 

China Power & Coal

 

Since stepping into the Australian coal market in 2000, Yankuang Group has obtained overseas coal resources of more than 4bn tonnes through acquisition of Austar Coalmine, Felix Coalmine, Syntech Resources, and Premier Coal Ltd. Not long ago, Yanzhou Coal reached agreement with Gloucester Coal Ltd, an Australian coal company, on taking over coal assets of Gloucester. The deal is expected to be closed before June 2012...By then, total overseas coal reserve of Yankuang Group would reach 6.252bn tonnes with total production capacity of 41.6mn tonnes. Power Engineering, 6th April.

 

 www.globalenergyadvisory.com    

Energy Trading & Market Dynamics

 

Europe Power-Prices Rise with Cold Weather, Less Wind

  

Lower wind and solar power output combined with cooler weather forecasts lifted European spot power prices on Tuesday, after a four-day Easter break. In the German spot market, day ahead base was up €7.15 at €51.65MWh for Wednesday delivery. Peak-load for Wednesday jumped €7.90 to €57.40MW, compared with what Tuesday power cost last week. In France, the Wednesday delivery contract rose €54.50MWh. Reuters, 11th April.

 

Gazprom Has Abandoned Plans to Increase Sales to Europe In 2012

 

(Gazprom said) it faced stiffer than expected competition from LNG and lower spot market prices. However, the state-owned company said it would meet its planned earnings targets thanks to higher prices charged to consumers..."Choosing between 154bn cubic meters (cm) at a lower price and 150bn cm at a higher price, we choose to export 150bn," Alexander Medvedev, Gazprom's deputy CEO, was quoted as saying by Russian news media...Gazprom previously forecast its exports to Europe would grow 2.6% to 154bn cubic meters, with the price up to $415 (€317) per thousand cubic meters from current $384 (€293)... Medvedev pointed out the 150 billion cm is a minimum level of supply in terms of Gazprom's long-term contracts. Euractiv, 10th April.

 

Electricity and Gas Supply Market Indicators

 

Our latest calculations show that for the 12 month period from April 2012 up to and including March 2013 the total indicative net margin for a typical, standard tariff dual fuel customer will be approximately £45 per customer. This represents a £10 decrease from our previous update, which we published on 4 April 2012. The reduction is due to a decrease in the average annual bill for a typical, standard tariff dual fuel customer. Ofgem, 11th April.

 

NBP Q3 Gas Prices Need To Rise By 14p to Attract LNG Diversions From Asia

 

Investment bank Goldman Sachs said a 14p price rise of NBP gas contracts for delivery between July and end-September is needed to prompt diversions of LNG cargoes from higher-yielding Asian destinations to the U.K. European power producers are advised to hedge forward gas in anticipation of rising prices....NBP Q-3 natural gas contracts are forecast to reach 73.9p/th, 1.6p above previous forecasts, to satisfy demand and fully restore inventories by the end of the summer. Gas to Power Journal, 12th April.

 

FERC Takes Aim At Barclays Over Power Market Manipulation

 

Energy regulators have alleged Barclays PLC and four former electricity traders manipulated the California power markets more than three years ago. In a public notice of "alleged violations" published on its website, the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) said the UK bank and its four West Coast power traders manipulated the electricity market between November 2006 and December 2008, trading in the physical market in such a way to derive bigger gains on derivative markets....Barclays Capital rejected the allegations and said it has been cooperating fully with the investigation. Reuters, 12th April.

 

www.globalenergyadvisory.com

Our news update comments are provided by our Advisory CEO, Aily Armour-Biggs, if you want to talk to her then contact her on +44 207 692 0888 or aily@globalenergyadvisory.com.

 
Sincerely,
 

Anthony Francis
Global Energy Advisory