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News Update: 26th March 2012 |
Greetings!
Please find enclosed a copy of our weekly news summary. Please feel free to pass this to anyone who could benefit from it. Fred works for a partner firm of ours. He often sends us his cartoons They all make us smile so we thought we would share them you. You can find him on the net under fridcartoons. |
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Energy Investment | |
Stalemate Hits $10bn Czech Nuclear Plan on Funding
The Czech Republic's $10bn plan to build 2 atomic reactors near the German border that could supply electricity to the Bavarian industrial heartland is unravelling over financial and pricing disputes. CEZ, Europe's only utility with an atomic project out to bid, is beset by falling power prices and predictions that its financial muscle is too weak to safeguard investors. The Prague-based power company's two most senior executives clashed last month on how to fund the reactors. Bloomberg, 16th March.
Major Energy Firms Lobby for Delay to Green Deal
The UK's largest energy firms - including EDF - are pressing ministers to delay the launch of the Green Deal, saying they will not be ready to deliver the payment mechanism for it until the first quarter of 2013. Climate change minister Greg Barker insisted that the October launch of the Green Deal would go ahead as planned. TUNSE/Buildings, 16th March.
Cockenzie Power Station to Close after 45 Years
The Cockenzie coal-fired power station owned by Scottish Power is to close by next March because it cannot meet environmental standards. Scottish Power said it would make "every effort" to redeploy the 100 staff elsewhere in the company. Permission has been granted for a new gas-fired power plant at the site, though Scottish Power said it was evaluating its options. TUNSE/The Times (Scotland), 16th March.
New Secretary Of State Launches Energy Efficiency Deployment Office
Edward Davey, the new Secretary of State for Energy & Climate Change, used his first public speech to launch the long-awaited Energy Efficiency Deployment Office, which will combat policies that might deter energy efficiency investments. TUNSE/Energy in Buildings & Industry, 1st March.
UK Budget
The UK budget has provided greater certainty to the country's oil and gas sector with tax relief for decommissioning and field allowances to attract new investments. Chancellor George Osborne's promised tax relief of £3bn ($4.6bn) for new field allowances for deep fields with large reserves, targeted for the west of Shetland, in an effort to boost investment in the North Sea. www.interfaxenergy.com 22nd March.
Shotton CHP to Close by the End of 2012
International Power proposes to close the 210MW Shotton Combined Heat & Power (CHP) plant by the end of 2012. The plant is no longer competitive in the U.K. wholesale electricity market. Gas to Power Journal, 22nd March.
Shuweihat S2 IWPP
Japan's Marubeni Corporation announced the Shuweihat S2 IWPP, an Independent Water and Power Project, located at 250km south west of the city of Abu Dhabi, has achieved project commercial operation. The project includes the construction of 1,510MW power and 100 MIGD seawater desalination plant. A consortium of Siemens, Samsung C&T and Doosan Heavy Industries built the desalination and power plant on full turnkey basis. Gas to Power Journal, 22nd March.
CRC Could be Replaced by an Alternative Environmental Tax
The Carbon Reduction Commitment could potentially be replaced by an "alternative environmental tax" if it can't be simplified...Unveiling details of the Budget for 2012, Mr Osborne criticised the CRC...for being "cumbersome" and "bureaucratic" and suggested he wanted to lighten the burden on businesses....DECC will be bringing out full details of how they want to simplify the CRC and a formal consultation will be launched to give businesses a chance to have their say. Eddie News, 22nd March.
Obama Hits Back At Energy Policy Critics
The President says he supports speeding up building of Keystone XL pipeline as opponents accuse him of opposing traditional energy industry. FT, 23rd March.
EON Gas to Power
EON is not planning to mothball any of its gas-fired power plants in Germany, despite the negative impact of oil-indexed gas purchase on the economics of operating power plants. Falling operating hours of gas-fired plants in consequence of rising renewable energy production is exacerbating the dire economics of E.ON's portfolio of gas-to-power plants. Gas to Power Journal, 22nd March.
www.globalenergyadvisory.com
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Gas | |
Norwegian Gas Flow
January saw 11.2bn standard cubic meters (395mcf) of gas sold from the Norwegian Continental Shelf. The figure was the highest of all time, according to the Norwegian Petroleum Directorate (NPD). The NPD also said that the Gjøa field in the North Sea is expected be at full capacity again following a period of reduced production due to problems with vibrations from the risers, while gas sales from the Norwegian shelf are expected to remain high in the future. Rigzone, 16th March.
US Gas Prices Hit a 10 Year Low
Natural gas prices in the US continued to fall, hitting a 10-year low of $2.20 per mn BTU's on Tuesday. Unusually warm weather for March continues to more than offset the increasing amount of natural gas going to generate electricity. PO Review, 19th March.
US Imports of Natural Gas Are At Their Lowest Levels in 2 Decades
Net imports, which the EIA defined as imports minus exports, for 2011 were slightly more than 5bn cubic feet per day in 2011, the lowest level since 1992. PO Review, 19th March.
Israel Oil and Gas Find
The discovery of potential oil reserves of 232mn barrels, plus another natural gas field off Israel's coast couldn't have come at a better time as Egypt's Islamist-dominated parliament calls for cutting off gas exports to its eastern neighbour. PO Review, 19th March.
Japanese Demand for Gas
Japanese officials are seeking natural gas assurances from the US as Tokyo scrambles to find alternative energy sources to offset the lack of nuclear power. PO Review, 19th March.
Turkey Power Prices Influenced by Gas
Electricity prices in Turkey have surged as markets are concerned about a looming reduction in Russian gas supply as well as bottlenecks in the country's gas transmission infrastructure. Uncertainties about the outcome of negotiations between Botas and Gazprom over the extension of long-term gas supply contracts keep gas prices well supported. "There's no acute shortage just yet but electricity prices have jumped on supply concerns," a Geneva-based trader said. As Botas and Gazprom are at loggerheads over pricing and volumes of gas supply, Turkish electricity producers are keen to secure alternative gas supplies in the form of LNG. Gas to Power Journal, 22nd March.
Third Party Access Rules and Nord Stream
The EU has ruled that the Gazprom-led consortium, Nord Stream, must allow other gas suppliers to share the capacities of that consortium's pipelines on German territory. This requirement, known as third-party access, is based on the EU's competition law and EU energy market legislation (natural gas and electricity). It is designed to mitigate the effects of vertically integrated monopoly arrangements, forcing a monopoly supplier to grant access to its own infrastructure for third-party competitors in a given market. The objects of the commission's decision are the OPAL and NEL gas pipelines in Germany. These lines connect the Nord Stream offshore pipeline (transporting Gazprom's gas on the Baltic seabed) with Germany's interior and farther afield in Europe. In effect, the commission has denied the requests for OPAL and NEL to be exempted from third-party access. Asia Times Online, 21st March.
Shell Signs Landmark Shale Gas Deal in China
Royal Dutch Shell has signed China's first shale gas production sharing contract (PSC) with China National Petroleum Corp. (CNPC). The PSC, which is awaiting government approval, covers the exploration, development and production of shale gas for a 3,500 square km area in the Fushun-Yongchuan Block within the Sichuan Basin. ....The shale interval they were targeting in the Fushun-Yongchuan Block was "very deep", and that hydraulic fracturing ('fracking') technology was being deployed...Gas produced from the PSC will be sold to Petro China, the operating division of CNPC, through its pipeline network in the Sichuan Basin, and will be delivered to customers throughout China. www.interfaxenergy.com 22nd March.
www.globalenergyadvisory.com |
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Oil | |
The Luck of the Irish
Amid controversy concerning the development of a gas field offshore west of Ireland, junior explorers are drilling around Emerald Isle's coast with the knowledge that there are hundreds of millions of consumers hungry for hydrocarbons in Britain and mainland Europe. Ireland is a country that has seen interest in the oil fields that exist in its waters since the 1970s. But while the 1980s and 1990s saw little drilling and development take place due to low oil prices and difficulty in getting at resources, a combination of a high oil price environment and improving technology, not to mention a more favourable fiscal policy towards explorers and producers, is seeing interest in Irish oil and gas pick up. Rigzone, 16th March.
Tax Reliefs Spell £20bn Boost for North Sea Oil
George Osborne's budget next week is to include a permanent lock-in on tax relief for rig decommissioning costs which could incentivise North Sea investment of £20bn or more. Estimates suggest that certainty over decommissioning costs would lead to the recovery of 1.7bn barrels of oil and gas equivalent that would otherwise be left in the ground. TUNSE/The Daily Telegraph, 17th March.
Spain to Drill for Oil off the Canary Islands
The Spanish government has approved Repsol to explore for oil off the Canary Islands near to the maritime border with Morocco. It is thought production could reach 100,000 bpd, equivalent to 10% of the country's oil imports. TUNSE/The Daily Telegraph, 17th March.
Increase in Saudi Arabian Crude Going to the USA
A 38% jump in US crude imports from Saudi Arabia during the first 10 weeks of 2012 is causing a stir among oil analysts. The trend appears to be continuing with another 11 very large (2 mn barrel) tanker loads scheduled for March and April. The jump in Saudi oil production to circa 10 mn b/d has been well reported, but traders believed this increase was going to Asia and Europe rather than the US. PO Review, 19th March.
IEA Oil Market Report
In its monthly survey of the global oil situation for March (the Oil Market Report), the IEA warned of troubles ahead noting that numerous supply problems around the world, resulting in a 500,000 b/d drop in normal production that more than offset the 315,000 b/d jump in OPEC's crude output. The Agency forecasts that the Iranian sanction program will cut its exports by 800,000 - 1 mn b/d when fully implemented. PO Review, 19th March.
Iran Update
The major development last week was cutting off access for many Iranian banks from the global electronic funds transfer system known as SWIFT. This action will, in theory, prevent the Iranians from carrying out international monetary transactions through certain "blacklisted" banks. Opinion on the efficacy of this move is mixed. Some believe the country's economy will be devastated, while others, noting that the Iranians are masters at skirting around sanctions, say the country will find ways to keep functioning. The sanctions, particularly the withdrawal of much of the world's tanker fleet from doing business with the Iranians, seem to be having an effect. Barclay's Capital says exports are already down by 300,000-400,000 b/d. Firms tracking tanker movements say that half the tankers scheduled to pick up loads at Kharg Island, Iran's main export terminal, failed to arrive last month. Iran own 39 tankers which, if fully utilized, could handle on a sustained basis only about 1 mnb/d of the 2.2mn b/d that Tehran normally exports. As much of the world's tanker fleet is already staying clear of Iran, it appears that chiefly the Chinese, if they chose, could import Iranian oil using their own tankers. The Saudi's continue to assure the US that they can and will make up for any loss of Iranian exports. PO Review, 19th March. Then, later in the week....... Asian countries reduced their imports of Iranian oil in February "to comply with Washington sanctions on Iran's central bank". FT Alphaville, 22nd March.
Bunker Fuel
A new problem seems to be arising - shortages of fuel for ships. Just before you get to the bottom of a barrel of crude you find the residual fuels made up of very long molecules that are used in boilers and furnaces. It usually sells for 50-60 cents a gallon less than gasoline and diesel and therefore is not particularly popular with refiners. Now modern refineries have incorporated processes to upgrade the lower quality residuals into more valuable products - and therein lay the problem. China's output of residual fuels fell by 2.7% in February to the lowest level in 5 years. Russian shipments are expected to fall by 7% this year due to higher taxes....As the older refineries are replaced by new one's, there is less fuel for ships and thermal power plants coming on the market. PO Review, 19th March.
Kuwait
Kuwait's oil minister says the country aims to boost its crude production capacity to 4mn b/d by 2020, up from 3mn now. PO Review, 19th March.
Point Thomson
Alaska and three oil giants may strike a deal as early as next week on developing a $40bn gas pipeline. BP, ExxonMobil and ConocoPhillips are in discussions about settling a long-running lease dispute over Point Thomson, a key Alaskan oil and gas field (Financial Times). A large gas pipeline to Alaska's southern coast could ship LNG from the field to China and other Asian countries. FT Alphaville, 21st March.
North Uist Well Given Consent
Energy Minister Charles Hendry has given BP consent to drill the deepwater North Uist well, northwest of the Shetland Islands. The North Uist well, in Block 213/25c, is 125km northwest of the Shetland Isles in a water depth of approximately 1,290m. DECC, 22nd March.
Brazil
Brazil's 11th licensing round, which includes 174 oil and gas exploration areas, appears to be delayed by bureaucracy. The country's National Energy Policy Council (CNPE) has yet to publish its official approval for the round, which would open a six-month bidding administrative process, despite it being due to take place by June. www.interfaxenergy.com 22nd March.
End of Week Prices
Benchmark U.S. crude rose sharply following the report from Reuters that Iranian exports in March had fallen 300,000 barrels a day, or 14%, citing industry sources. The report prompted a sudden run-up, sending oil prices spiking as much as 3% to their highest level in three weeks, before paring much of those gains to end the day modestly higher. Light, sweet crude for June delivery settled $1.52, or 1.4%, higher at $106.87 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Brent crude on the ICE futures exchange recently rose $1.97, or 1.6%, to $125.11 a barrel. Rigzone, 23rd March.
www.globalenergyadvisory.com |
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Nuclear | |
Salmond Defies Party with Major Nuclear U-Turn
In what is seen as an astonishing U-turn, Scotland's First Minister Alex Salmond has said that an independent Scotland would retain its ageing nuclear power stations until as late as 2030. EDF Energy had been planning to extend the lifespan of both nuclear plants north of the border by an average of 5 years. However, it could extend their lifespan by up to 7 years. TUNSE/The Mail on Sunday (Scotland), 11th March.
Thousands Protest Against Reopening of Nuclear Plants
A year after the Fukushima Daiichi disaster, as many as 45,000 people took part in demonstrations in Tokyo against nuclear power. There are concerns that the government is pressurising local authorities to bring reactors back online after being shut down for safety checks. TUNSE/The Daily Telegraph, 12th March.
Safer Nuclear Power Set To Become Reality
Nuclear fusion remains the 'holy grail' in the search for a sustainable and non-polluting power source. Scientists have been working on fusion technology for 50 years, and an international collaboration based in Cadarache, southern France, is hoping to make fusion a reality. Components for fusion machinery are starting to be manufactured. TUNSE/Professional Engineering, 1st March.
Having Atomic Kittens
Cumbria will decide later this month whether to pursue being the site of the underground storage facility for the UK's nuclear waste. Though local support has been expressed for such a facility it is as yet unclear whether Cumbria's geology is suitable. TUNSE/Daily Mail, 15th March.
Third Nuclear Plant Plans on Ice
EDF Energy has cancelled an agreement with the National Grid to set up any new connection to the grid from Heysham. EDF Energy said all its plans for new stations will be focused on their sites at Sizewell and Hinkley Point. TUNSE/BBC 15th March.
US Nuclear Outlook
The US nuclear industry seemed to be staging a comeback several years ago, with 15 power companies proposing as many as 29 new reactors. Today, only 2 projects are moving off the drawing board. A shale-gas boom flooded the market with cheap natural gas, offering utilities a cheaper, less risky alternative to nuclear technology. PO Review, 19th March.
Safety Culture at Kori 1
The manager of the Kori 1 nuclear power reactor in South Korea has been sacked for covering up a safety-related incident at the plant last month. The plant owner now faces prosecution by safety regulators. A report yesterday by the Nuclear Safety and Security Commission (NSSC) said the incident came about during Kori 1's month-long maintenance outage in February. Placed in a cold shutdown state, the reactor had been receiving power from one of its three grid connections while the other two were undergoing maintenance. One of the two diesel generators was also under maintenance while the other was on standby and a third was available for manual start. The incident began when a worker made a mistake that led to the disconnection of grid power supply and then the standby diesel failed to start automatically. World Nuclear News, 22nd March.
Black Swan Nuclear Cost
Jim Crawford needs to know his nuclear power station on a gentle stretch of England's North Sea coast can withstand a chunk of volcanic rock dropping into the ocean 2,000m (3,200km) away in the Canary Islands. Since Japan's 2011 nuclear disaster, SizewellB's operator EDF has earmarked about £200mn ($317mn) to protect its U.K. reactors from previously inconceivable events. The collapse of an island off northwest Africa is among the most likely causes of a wave big enough to threaten the UK. EDF, the largest producer of atomic power, is preparing for so-called black swan events, crises that are almost impossible to predict, following the earthquake and tsunami that crippled the Fukushima atomic complex a year ago. Bloomberg, 22nd March.
www.globalenergyadvisory.com
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Renwable Investment | |
The Toad and the Tortoise: Why Solar Power Schemes in the Desert Are Feeling the Heat
At least two US multi-billion dollar solar power projects are beset by lengthy construction delays, while others are facing legal challenges from environmental campaigners and Native American groups who fear damage to the desert ecology and to ancient sacred sites. TUNSE/The Guardian, 12th March.
DONG Announces JV with Centrica
DONG Energy, the Danish utility has announced that it has invested £40mn in a joint venture with UK based energy company, Centrica, to develop Round 3 wind farms in the Irish Sea. The two companies will work together to develop different projects in the zone on a 50/50 basis with construction management of the projects alternating between the parties. www.awordaboutwind.com 22nd March.
Repower First To Install 6MW Machine Offshore
Suzlon-owned turbine manufacturer, REpower, has become the first firm to install a 6MW machine offshore. The turbine, with a rated power of 6.15MW is the first of 48 such turbines to be installed at the second and third phases of the Belgian Thornton Bank project. www.awordaboutwind.com 22nd March.
World-Leading Energy Firm Invests In UK
Wind turbine manufacturer Gamesa today gave a huge vote of confidence to the UK offshore wind industry by announcing their plans to build a major manufacturing facility in Leith which will produce the giant wind turbines that are set to be built around the British coast. The project could be worth up to €150mn of investment (around £125mn) and is expected to support over 1,000 direct jobs. The new factory is expected to make the enormous blades for wind turbines - which can be longer than an Olympic swimming pool - as well as the generator units that sit at the top of the turbine. DECC, 23rd March.
New Tariffs On Solar Panels From China On Way
The U.S. Commerce Department is expected to announce new tariffs on solar panels imported to the United States from China. Milwaukee's Helios USA, which opened its factory in February 2011, announced this month it's among solar companies that have filed a petition seeking the trade sanctions. They allege that solar companies in China are undercutting U.S. counterparts by selling the solar panels for less than they cost to produce. Analysts are forecasting duties in the range of 20% to 30%, according to a Reuters report published Monday. Energy Central, 22nd March.
Marubeni Acquires Seajacks for $850mn
Marubeni has partnered with a Japanese state-funded investment group to acquire Seajacks, the UK-based offshore wind power construction firm, for $850mn. Marubeni and Innovation Network Corporation of Japan will each invest a 50% stake in Seajacks. The aim is for Marubeni to utilise Seajacks' knowledge of installing offshore wind turbines in the North Sea in order to develop offshore projects in Japan and Asia more generally. www.awordaboutwind.com 21st March.
www.globalenergyadvisory.com |
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Energy Trading Dynamics | |
The EU's Vanishing Electricity Market
The EU's contestable electricity markets are shrinking. The deployment of subsidized Renewable Energy Sources (RES) is eating up the lion's share of new demand growth, or, where demand is contracting, they are biting deep into the share of the contestable market. As a result, wholesale electricity prices are becoming increasingly disconnected from the cost of new generation plant. There are two forms of power generation that have dominated new build capacity in recent years in Europe, and increasingly in the US: natural gas-fired plant and wind. This suggests that the backbone of the low carbon energy system of the near future will be flexible gas-fired plant responding to the vagaries of wind and other variable RES. Gas will act as the hydrocarbon bridge to a more sophisticated low carbon smart energy system that will include a greater range of RES, backed by demand response, storage and other clever means of balancing electricity supply with demand. Platts, 22nd March.
Weak European Spot Power Prices
European spot electricity prices were weaker on Thursday due to bearish supply factors and poor demand, as temperatures continued to climb above seasonal averages ahead of the weekend. French baseload prices for Friday delivery fell by 60 cents to €46.40/MWh in the over-the-counter market, while the equivalent German contract was off 70 cents at €43.90. The warmer weather has helped generate huge amounts of solar power while curbing consumption. Together with good thermal capacity supply, this has overridden the potentially bullish effect of low German wind power generation. Reuters, 22nd March.
UK Gas-Fired Plants Get Pass On Emissions Regulations
Gas-fired power plants in the UK will run free of limits on emissions until 2045, UK energy secretary Edward Davey announced... Natural gas plants consented under the 450g/kWh-based limit as part of the proposed emissions performance standard (EPS) would then be subject to that level until 2045...A new combined cycle gas turbine plant emits under 400g/kWh, while an open cycle gas turbine emits slightly above 450g/kWh, but since it operates less frequently, it is unaffected by the measure...The UK government hopes to head off a predicted generation capacity crunch by the end of the decade by attracting investment to build new gas-fired power plants to bridge the gap until the new, hoped-for nuclear electricity stations come on line. Power Engineering, 21st March.
www.globalenergyadvisory.com |
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Our news update comments are provided by our Advisory CEO, Aily Armour-Biggs, if you want to talk to her then contact her on +44 207 692 0888 or aily@globalenergyadvisory.com.
Sincerely, Anthony Francis Global Energy Advisory |
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