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Hello and Welcome,
Welcome to the new Trizen Systems newsletter. This will be the new format for discussing our algorithmic trading systems and other information. Bi-weekly updates will include Actual Profits/Losses, Commitment of Traders, Articles and Actual Trading screen shots. Pass this along to anyone that you feel would like to understand more about the financial markets, derivatives, and how to trade them successfully. 2011 Year To Date (System): +7.00%
2011 Year To Date (Aggressive): +4.00% 2011 Year To Date (Actual): +0.00% 2011 Year To Date Options (Actual): +50.00% 2011 S&P: 2.75% BladeTrader Performance Against S&P: -2.75%
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| Market Action
FUTURES - Bi-Weekly Profit (P/L): 0
FUTURES - Bi-Weekly Profit Aggressive Strategy: -(2000.00)
OPTIONS - Liquidation Value: +1000
OPTIONS - Premium Taken In: +11,000.00 (Dec Expiry)
DISCRETIONARY (Strategy Testing): 0 | |
There have been no main trades triggered in the last few weeks, only aggressive trades which have been +4000 to -4000. Overall the market and the system have been stuck on dull, government sponsored malaise.
The market had an absolutely miserable week with the government of the United States demonstrating how it actually operates--last minute compromise. This is normal, but it should not have happened with our debt ceiling and as such the markets sold off nearly 5% and have retraced most of the year.
The only saving grace has been the Options strategies. During times of complete confusion, options offer a way to gain in flat markets. If at the end of the year our entire profit came from options, we would not be surprised.
Look for a bounce to coincide with the Tuesday debt limit vote off the 200-day moving average and a subsequent fade of such numbers.
We also have non-farm payrolls this coming Friday. Overall, this market looks weak.
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| Commentary
Bulls-n-Bears | |
The market has been completely focused on government. The entire rally going back to March of 2009 has been engineered, manipulated, fretted, concerned, and otherwise completely focused on what our governments of the world are doing.
Corporatoins and securities analysis have taken back seats to economics and its dismal science. This has been an extremely difficult year, there have been few trends, and mostly whipsaw countertrends which take us up 5%, down 5% up 5% and now currently 0%.
Rallies and sell-offs have been explosive. Its been extremely difficult to make modifications to strategies when markets move 7% in a direction and just when the signals require a shift in direction, markets move in the opposite direction. Its been frustrating, but at the same time it has made our next release of the software that much better.
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| Version 4.0?
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Its been a good year, the hedging strategy was put into place and has helped to offset our negative numbers on the futures and maintain better performance than the market. This last sentence seems strange since we are down 2 points compared to the markets, but remember if the market moves 5%, we move 10% or more.
Version 4.0 will attempt to move away from daily analysis, sticking to a position regardless of intraday news, and cut that into 4 sections of analysis inside the daily analysis.
We will get our last of the paperwork out this week, but in light of the issues in congress and the market, we needed to focus some attention in the evening hours on the market.
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Sincerely,
Edward Zaremba Trizen Systems, Inc.
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| | BladeTrader Version 3.6 | | Version 3.6 and 3.3 have been released. We will have four accounts for each side and version and seperate percentages. |
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U.S. Government Required Disclaimer - Commodity Futures Trading Commission Futures and Options trading has large potential rewards, but also large potential risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in the futures and options markets. Don't trade with money you can't afford to lose. This is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell futures, stocks or options on the same. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this web site. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results. CFTC RULE 4.41 - HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL, OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE DISCUSSED WITHIN THIS SITE, SUPPORT AND TEXTS. OUR COURSE(S), PRODUCTS AND SERVICES SHOULD BE USED AS LEARNING AIDS ONLY AND SHOULD NOT BE USED TO INVEST REAL MONEY. IF YOU DECIDE TO INVEST REAL MONEY, ALL TRADING DECISIONS SHOULD BE YOUR OWN. ALL INVESTMENT RECOMMENDATIONS ARE BEING MADE REGARDLESS OF PERSONAL PORTFOLIO CONSIDERATIONS. ALL RECOMMENDATIONS ARE DERIVED FROM A SYSTEM OF TRADING VIA AUTOMATION AND OPERATIONAL RULES AND NO PREFERENCE IS GIVEN TO ANY INDIVIDUAL'S PORTFOLIO REQUIREMENTS.
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