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Topic: Economic Forecasting
 


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Hello Alaska,

 January is the season for economic recaps and forecasts. This week the calendar included luncheons sponsored by the World Trade Center and the Anchorage Convention and Visitors Bureau, while the Anchorage Economic Development Corporation is on the schedule for next week. The outlook from this week's events was cautiously optimistic, but to paraphrase Jon Snare, Senior Vice President and Regional Investment Manager from Wells Fargo, who provided an international economic update for the WTC event, "if all economists were laid end-to-end, they still wouldn't reach a conclusion".  Naturally economic forecasting is very industry specific. While construction may continue to see flat numbers, other sectors are projected to grow and thrive. In general all speakers spoke about continued improvements in the local economy, which already held its own very well in the last couple of years.

 

What struck me this week and will continue to do so is the staggering amount of information and indicators that offer insights into potential economic trends and the fact that they often point in different directions. Economists choose those factors that they deem viable and base their projections on that interpretation. Similar to Las Vegas betting houses who set the odds for games, economic prognosticators predict a result given all the available data and like those odds makers they seem to be right about fifty percent of the time.
 

 

Although consumer confidence is mentioned often, I am  always surprised how little social factors and the human spirit are taken into consideration during the interpretation of economic models. In general we are perceived as sheep, who follow trends that are dictated by our  confidence in the economy, our politicians and our fellow man. There are several obvious reasons why Alaska was less affected then almost every state in the union. However, I am a firm believe that the "sheep" mentality simply doesn't apply to Alaskans entrepreneurs. We have a little more drive, motivation and chutzpah than the next guy in the lower 48 and more often than not we look out for our neighbors.

 

Unlike most economists I contribute our steady economy and slow upswing to you Alaskans and specifically to those of you that owned a small business three years ago and still do so today. Thank you for persevering and fighting. Things are getting better! To those of you that may have had to throw in the towel recently, hang in there and think about jumping back into the mix. Slowly but surely, the water is getting nice again.

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I made what I consider to be a long overdue adjustment to the bids section and separated the Mat-Su Valley from South-Central. Don't want to have those get lost in the Anchorage shuffle.  Additionally just a reminder that I segregated the State of Alaska bid opportunities a while a go and if you'll notice, there is a pile!

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Winter Alaska Gift & Food Show 2011 is in full swing. I'm not sure how you might get in at this late daye to be able to take advantage of this buying opportunity, but you can try to give Mike a call...................

January 21, 22 & 23, 2011

Dana'ina Convention Center in Anchorage, AK

Summer/Tourist Season. Wholesale Show. Call Mike Anderson at (907)929-2822, or visit www.alaskagiftshow.com for more information or to register

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If you haven't been to www.alaskanstateofmind.com in a while, please check it out again and snoop around a little bit. The site is not only the home of the "Alaska owned and operated" T-shirts, but  a phenomenal resource when it comes to our fair state. Becky recently added a very good Lance Mackey video here: http://www.alaskanstateofmind.com/Trivia.html

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Here is the first business to send me their valentine's info.

Thank you Land's End Resort!!

Lea has hooked up a very cool Valentine's Weekend Package that includes a wedding expo, dinner and a Sweethearts Dance on the weekend of Feb 11-14. Please email, landsendsales@alaska.net, or call her (907) 299-4210 to get the details. Check out their revamped website at www.lands-end-resort.com to always get the latest info.

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City-Wide Career and Job Fair at UAA

Friday, Feb. 18, 11 a.m.-5 p.m.
Wells Fargo Sports Complex

The annual City-Wide Career and Job Fair features about 100 local and national companies and organizations offering full-time, part-time, seasonal and internship opportunities in various career fields. This event is open to UAA students and alumni of all majors and community members. Attendees should dress professionally and bring resumes to give to prospective employers.

This fair is sponsored by the UAA Career Services Center. For more information, please contact Devon Rust at drust@uaa.alaska.edu, or call (907) 786-4513.

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The Rasmuson Foundation is inviting all Alaska artists to apply for grant funding
Alaska artists are invited to apply for Individual Artist Awards to support the activities and experiences necessary to nurture and foster their creative work. Artists who are currently producing or performing work, are at least 18, and who have lived in Alaska for at least two years are eligible to apply. More information including the full guidelines is available at http://www.rasmuson.org/index.php?switch=viewpage&pageid=92

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The Health Fairs continue around the state next month and here are the February dates:

FEB 5    9am- noon Rogers Park Community Health Fair (in memory of Gerrie  Ivy)1st Christian Church 3010 La Touche Anchorage


 

FEB 5    9am-noon  Bethel Community Health Fair              Yuiit Piciryarait Cultural Center. Blood draws are 9am-noon, health faircontinues until 4pm


 

FEB16   9am-noon  Kenai Peninsula College Community Health  Fair  156 College Rd.  Soldotna.  Blood draws go until noon, Health fair continues  until 4pm.


 

FEB 19  8am-noon Mt.View Community Health Fair           

            Held at Boys and Girls Club, 315 Price St, Anchorage. This health fair is  specialized for those with language barriers in several languages. Interpreters are    planned to be available to help with Spanish, Hmong, Samoan, and Tagalog. We may add other languages if Interpreters become available. Brought to you by,          AUY Family Services Collaboration.


 

Claudia Hering has the 411. You can reach her at ahfaa@gci.net, or 907-278-0234

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You're cordially invited to join the Palmer, Wasilla, Houston and Mat-Su Borough Mayor's in an evening of fun and help fight hunger in the Valley with live music by Bill Tull's Big Band

January 29th, 8:00pm-11:00pm at Raven Hall on the Alaska State Fair Grounds.

Tickets are $30 each, or purchase a table of 8 for $200

All proceeds to benefit the United Way, Salvation Army and Mat-Su Valley Food Banks

 For more information call 907-745-2880, or click here to purchase online

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Alaska Top Forty Under 40 Awards - Now accepting nominations
Sponsored by the Alaska Journal of Commerce, the awards recognize the state's top young professionals younger than age 40 who have demonstrated professional excellence and a commitment to their community.  Attached is a flyer that you can post to encourage nominations to this prestigious recognition program.


Criteria for Selection:

  • Must be younger than age 40 on January 1, 2011
  • Must live and work in Alaska year-round
  • Must have demonstrated professional excellence in their field
  • Must display a commitment to the community

Find nomination forms at http://www.alaskajournal.com.

Simply download the form, fill it out, and e-mail it as an attachment to editor@alaskajournal.com.

An event to honor those selected is set for March 2011.
For questions, contact: Melissa Campbell, Managing Editor of the Alaska Journal of Commerce - (907) 275-2158, or editor@alaskajournal.com


 

Mark Your Calendars:
 

 Hot Topics for Women in Business 2011
 

January 26, 2010, 8am-10am 

Bob Nicholl _International Speaker, Author, and Chief Paradigm Shifter__Bob Nicoll offers an introduction into his cutting-edge, empowering word choice program. Join us and learn about raising your "word choice" awareness.  The words you choose, and the body language you use to demonstrate your message, make all the difference in getting, or losing, your audience's attention. Remember, January 26th, join us! After this presentation, your sales approach will change forever! Register here


 

The Alaska Railroad is calling all artists

The Alaska Railroad Corporation is soliciting submissions for its annual commemorative artwork program. Submissions should be a thumbnail sketch no larger than 11x17 inch. Mail or deliver to Tim Thompson at Thompson & Co., 445 West 9th Ave, Anchorage. Deadline is Friday, Feb. 18, 2011. The chosen artist will be paid $3,000 in return for participation in signing events in Anchorage and Fairbanks.

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  • South-Central:

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    Central:
     
    Remodels & More
     

     


    Great North:

     

    Southwest:
     



    Southeast:


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    Article Headline

     

    State of Alaska

    • Fairbanks International Airport (FIA) Apron Rehabilitation
    • Parks Highway MP 43.5 to MP 44.5 Reconstruction & Parks Highway MP 44.5 to MP 52 Reconstruction Drilling Services
    • Contract To Provide Staff Uniforms For The Department Of Corrections At Various Locations Within Alaska
    • Lease of approx 3,600 sf usable off. sp Dept of Labor & Dept. Health and Social Services in Kodiak
    • Anvil Mountain Correctional Center Roof Replacement
    • Northern Region Procurement is soliciting Sealed Bids for the purchase Calcium Chloride to various locations in the Northern Region
    • Miscellaneous Seating for the UAA Health Science Building
    • The Alaska Court System is soliciting proposals to provide janitorial services and sidewalk snow removal services for the Palmer Courthouse
    • Central Region ITS Signal Control Upgrades
    • This project will consist of regrading and resurfacing approximately 11.6 miles of the Nome-Council Highway
    • PETERSBURG AIRPORT RUNWAY SAFETY AREA IMPROVEMENTS (PHASE IV) RE-BID
    • BRUSH CUTTING, MULTIPLE LOCATIONS, NORTHERN REGION
    • This state funded project constructs a new double bay maintenance station building and storage yard in the community of Coffman Cove
    • This project improves approaches to eight Nome area bridges. Six bridges are on the Nome-Teller Highway and two are located along the Nome-Taylor Highway
    • Asphalt Distributor Trucks
    • UAA Alaska Science And Engineering Program (ANSEP) Computer Replacement
    • SAND POINT SCHOOL LOOP ROAD

    http://notes3.state.ak.us/

     


    • South-Central -

    Department of the Army, Army Contracting Command

    The Army at Fort Richardson is seeking Small Business sources for requirement for a digital interactive display.

    https://www.fbo.gov/notices

     

    Anchorage School District

    • AURORA ELEMENTARY SCHOOL MASTER PLAN
    • CLAIMS MANAGEMENT SOFTWARE

    http://www.asdk12.org

     

    General Services Administration, Public Buildings Service

    Remodel Office Space for Environmental Protection Agency, New Anchorage Federal Building

    https://www.fbo.gov/

     

    Alaska Railroad

    Anchors & Spikes ARRC 2011 Track Material

    http://www.akrr.com/arrc1.html

     

     

    • Mat-Su Valley -

    Matanuska-Susitna Borough

    • The Matanuska-Susitna Borough is soliciting bids from qualified Contractors to perform multiple upgrades to the Wasilla Pool
    • PUBLIC INVOLVEMENT CONSULTANT

    http://www.matsugov.us/

     

     

    • Northern - Arctic -

    North Slope Borough

    • King Air Engine Upgrades project
    • Nunamuit School Major Renovations

    http://www.north-slope-procurement.com

     

     

    • Southwest -

     

     

    • Kenai Peninsula -

    Kenai Peninsula Borough

    • Professional Design Services for River Hills Drive Paving Project
    • Port Graham Alutiiq Landfill Feasibility Study

    http://purchasing.borough.kenai.ak.us

     

     

    • Southeast -

    City of Juneau

    Term Contract for Vending Machine Service

    http://www.demandstar.com/

     

     

    • Interior -

    Department of the Army, U.S. Army Corps of Engineers

    Urban Assault Course, Ft. Wainwright https://www.fbo.gov/spg/USA/COE




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