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Capitol Notes
Wisconsin Political and Legislative Update
TO: Clients/Friends of Capitol Consultants, Inc./Wimmer & Company, S.C.

FROM:  Capitol Consultants, Inc.
              & Wimmer Company, S.C.

DATE:  May 25, 2012

SUBJECT:   Wisconsin Political and Legislative Update
 
In This Issue
RECALL: Gubernatorial Race Polling
Absentee Voting Underway and Way Up
Campaign Ad Roundup
Upcoming Fundraisers
Stay Connected
 
RECALL:  Gubernatorial Race Polling 

This week two more polls were released that showed Governor Scott Walker beating his opponent, Milwaukee Mayor Tom Barrett, by margins of three to five points and reaching 50 percent of the vote in each of the polls.

 

These two recently released polls are consistent with several polls that were released last week that showed the incumbent Governor leading by the same or similar margins.


St. Norbert College - Wisconsin Public Radio Poll

taken May 17 through May 22
Random sample of 406 Wisconsin Residents - Likely Voters Only
Both landlines and cell phones were used

 

The survey found 50 percent of respondents backed the Walker, while 45 percent favored Barrett. The margin of error of the poll was plus or minus 5 percentage points.


Walker's job approval rating was 52 percent with 48 percent disapproving. The Governor's job perfomance have risen 14 points since last Fall according to the poll. The poll also found President Obama's job approval rating split was 54-45 percent, which is one point increase from the Fall poll.

 

Some other interesting crosstabs from poll are:

  • 51 percent of respondents who support Scott Walker think that one of Governor Walker's greatest successes is that he got the state finance's and budget under control.
  •  72 percent of respondents who support Tom Barrett think that his character of honesty and as a unifier is one of the strongest assets he will bring if elected Governor.
  • 57 percent of all respondents believe that the economy is the number one issue in this Fall's Presidential election. 

To view the crosstabs from the poll, clck here.

 

 

We Are Wisconsin Poll
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research
Survey of 472 likely general election voters

 

The union-affiliated We Are Wisconsin released a poll this week of showing Governor Walker beating Tom Barrett by a 50 to 47 margin with a margin of error of plus or minus 4.5 percentage points.

The poll shows a very polarized electorate with Barrett leading among Dems 93-7 percent and independents 50-44, while Walker led with Republicans 96-3 percent.

The survey also found Barrett's favorable-unfavorable split at 47-32 percent, while Walker's was 50-46 percent. Walker was down among independents 43-52 percent, while Barrett's split with them was 50-24 percent.

To read the We Are Wisconsin polling memo, click the following link:
https://wfc2.wiredforchange.com/o/8788/images/WI_recall_still_dead_heat.pdf
 
Absentee Voting Underway and Way Up

As of this Wednesday, more than 90,000 Wisconsin voters had already cast and absentee ballot for the June 5 recall election. That number is more than 20,000 above the 68,000 voters who voted absentee in the May 8 recall primary, according to the Government Accountability Board. 

 

The absentee voting figures came out as a new poll (and several recent polls) have shown Governor Walker with a 5 percentage point lead over Milwaukee Mayor Tom Barrett.

 

In response to the increase number of absentee voters for the upcoming recall general election, both Republicans and Democrats are focusing their efforts on voter turnout through television, radio and print ads, direct mail, phone calls and door to door solitications. In response the increased absentee voting numbers, Democrats contend the race is tightening as spending begins to even in the final two weeks of the race. (www.jsonline.com).

 

In-person absentee voting started Monday across the state and runs through 5 p.m. on June 1. 

 

To find out where and how you can vote absentee, click here.

  

 

Ad Round Up 

Wisconsin residents continue to see the onslaught of constant televison ads as the June 5 recall election approaches. Below are a few of the new ads that have come out this week, but just in case we missed any or if you want to look at some previous ads, below are the two campaigns YouTube channels for direct links to their ads. 

Governor Recall Election 

The campaign of Mayor Tom Barrett released ad this week called "Answers." It is the second ad Barrett has aired that raises questions regarding the John Doe investigation in Milwaukee County. In the ad, Barrett, in advance of tonight's debate (the first of two debates) asks for Walker to answering any lingering questions that may exist around the investigation.

 

To view, Barrett's new ad, click here.

 

Governor Walker released another ad this week entitled "Spending." In the ad, the Governor is seated and talks directly to the camera and accuses his opponent, Tom Barrett, of reckless spending for supporting a $100 million trolley for Milwaukee County. Walker then pivots his message and talks about how his budget reform measures have put Wisconsin financially back on track and led to the creation of 30,000 new jobs.

 

To view Walker's new ad, click here  

 

To view all of the recall elections from the Lieutenant Governor recall race, the four state Senate recall campaigns and from third party interest groups, please visit the following link:

http://wispolitics.com/index.iml?Content=24  

 

Fundraisers Coming Up

  

Wednesday, May 30th 

Fundraiser for Lt. Gov. Rebecca Kleefisch 4:30 p.m. 

 

Home of Carol McNeill-Skorupan & Rick Skorupan,  

1810 Thorstrand Road,

Madison.

 

Platinum Host - $1,000 and above/individual or couple 

Gold Host - $500/individual or couple

 

Silver Host - $250/individual or couple

 

Personal checks made payable to People for Rebecca. 

 

Any questions, contact Heidi at 608.358.6116 or HKGreen@aol.com.

 

Reception for Rep. Howard Marklein 

5 p.m.

 

Home of Barbe and Jim Kackley,  

Steve & Shannon Badger,

1049 Miller Road,

Mineral Pont.

 

With Special Guest Attorney General J.B. Van Hollen 

 

All individual contributions gratefully accepted 

 

Please make checks payable to: 

Taxpayers for Marklein, S11665 Soeldner Rd. Spring Green, WI 53588 

  

Barrett for Wisconsin 

5:30 p.m.

 

Majestic Theatre,  

115 King St.,

Madison.

 

You are cordially invited to join special guest Russ Feingold 

 

Sponsorships Available 

Pre-Reception: $2,500 (give or raise)

 

Host $1,000

 

Co-Host $500

 

Grassroots Contribution $50

  

Please reply and contribute online via:  

http://www.barrettforwisconsin.com/event/madisonrally


Or send contributions to 

Barrett for Wisconsin PO BOX 510796 Milwaukee, WI 53202

 

Contributions are welcome at the door! 

 

To sponsor, please contact Jordan:  

jordan@barrettforwisconsin.com or call 414-271-8050 

Fundraiser for Rep. Endsley
5:30 p.m.

The Bull at Pinehurst Farms,
1 Long Drive,
Sheboygan Falls.

With special Ggests Senator Joseph Leibham and Representative Robin Vos

Suggested contribution $100
All contributions gratefully accepted.

Please send checks to:
Taxpayers for Endsley
1829 N. 27th Place
Sheboygan, WI 53081

RSVP appreciated to Endsley_michael@yahoo.com

Thursday, May 31st

ADCC candidate roll out 

5 p.m.

 

Monona Terrace,  

1 John Nolen Drive,

Madison.
 

Host: $2500

 

Sponsor: $1000

 

Supporter: $500

 

Friend: $250

 

All individual and conduit contributions gratefully accepted 

 

RSVP to Joel Gratz at (608) 258-9225 or joelg@wisdems.org 

 

Please send contributions to the ADCC, PO Box 814, Madison, WI 53701 or give online. 

 

RACC presents Assembly Republican candidates 5:30 p.m.

Concourse Hotel,  

1 W. Dayton St.,

Madison.

 

 

$250 per person 

Individual and Conduit Dollars Welcome

 

No PAC or Corporate Contributions

 

RSVP Appreciated

 

Questions: mhubbard@wisgop.org or 608-279-1275 

 

Please make checks payable to: 

Republican Assembly Campaign Committee (RACC)

 

148 East Johnson

 

Madison, WI 53703

 
 

 

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