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Capitol Notes
WI: Weekly Political and Legislative Update |
TO: Clients/Friends of Capitol Consultants, Inc./Wimmer & Company, S.C.
FROM: Capitol Consultants, Inc. & Wimmer Company, S.C.
DATE: August 19, 2011
SUBJECT: Weekly Legislative and Political Update
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Recall Elections Recap
This past Tuesday saw the end of the recall elections efforts against nine - six Republican and three Republican - State Senators. The nine recalls were unprecedented in the state's history and were predominantly the politcal effect and reaction to the tumultous debate that occurred earlier this year over the Governor's Budget Repair Bill (Act 10) that curtailed the collective bargaining rights of public employees. Prior to the recall elections, Republicans controlled the State Senate by a 19 to 14 margin. Now after an estimated more than $30 million (final numbers are not in yet to the Government Accountability Board) was spent by the candidates and by mostly outside interest groups on the recall elections, the State Senate is still controlled by the Republicans by a slimmer 17 to 16 margin as a result of the two Republican Senators - Randy Hopper (District 18) and Dan Kapanke (District 32) - being defeated. According to the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel, voter turnout in all nine recall elections averaged more than 40% of voting-age adults. Turnout varied dramatically by district. In one district (the 10th that Senator Sheila Harsforf (R-River Falls) won), it exceeded the 2010 turnout for governor and in another, it came close (the 32nd that Senator Kapanke (R-La Crosse) lost). Turnout was lowest in the three recall races that were considered the least competitive and attracted the lowest levels of spending and media attention, which were the 2nd District that Robert Cowles (R-DePere) won, the 22nd District that Bob Wirch (D-Pleasant Prairie) won and the 30th District where Dave Hansen (D-Green Bay) held on to his seat. To view a the Journal Sentinel's recall election analysis story, click here. |
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Legislative Fall Period Begins in September
Both the State Assembly and State Senate are expected to return to the Capitol on Tuesday, September 13, to begin the Fall Floor period, which is expected to run through November 3.
Lawmakers are expected to work on legislation that focuses on venture capital for businesses, mining permitting rules for a potential mine in Northern Wisconsin and efforts to improve accountablity in Wisconsin's public education system.
The question that is yet to be determined or fully analyzed heading into the upcoming legislative session is what direction the two party's will take especially in regard to possible collaboration on legislation as a result of the slimmer GOP margin of 17 to 16 in the State Senate. Heading into the Fall session, Republicans still control the Assemby by a wide margin and of course, the Governor's office.
To view an article that previews the upcoming Fall legislative session, click here.
In other Capitol news, it was also announced this week that the state's unemployment rate rose in July rose two-tenths of a percentage point to 7.8 percent in July as the state lost 8,200 jobs, including 12,500 in the private sector (www.wispolitics.com).
To read the DWD announcement about the rise in the July unemployment, click on the link below:
http://www.wisbusiness.com/index.Iml?Article=245287
"Wisconsin is not immune to the national economic slowdown this summer, and we are seeing the effects of the national economy in our July numbers," said Department of Workforce Development Secretary Scott Baumbach after releasing the July unemployment numbers. |
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2012 U.S. Senate Race Gets Attention This week, Wisconsin's political observers began to move some of their attention away from the recall elections in the State Capitol to the election of the open U.S. Senate seat that is the result of four-term, popular U.S. Senator Herb Kohl (D-Milwaukee) announcing in May that he would retire and not seek re-election to a potential fifth-term in the U.S. Senate.
On Thursday, former U.S. Department of Health and Human Services Secretary and the longest-serving, popular Governor Tommy Thompson took more steps toward announcing his candidacy for the open seat by naming two prominent Republican leaders as the co-chairman of his campaign. Thompson, who has been out of elected public office since 2000, announced that Wisconsin Attorney General J.B. Van Hollen and former Department of Administration Secretary and long-time confidante Jim Klauser will co-chair the former Governor's U.S. Senate Campaign.
According to the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel, Thompson has been signaling for months that he intends to make a Senate run, but the naming of co-chairmen for a campaign is the strongest sign yet that he is serious about returning to politics. On Wednesday, Klauser confirmed that Thompson would launch a formal campaign committee after Labor Day (www.jsonline.com).
To read the story about Thompson's moves, click here.
This week, the Democratic-leaning Public Policy Polling (PPP) firm released a poll about the 2012 open U.S. Senate seat. PPP released polling results for both the expected Republican and Democratic primaries.
In a potential Republican primary match up, the PPP poll showed Thompson with a 47% to 39% lead in a hypothetical matchup with former U.S. Rep. Mark Neumann, another Republican who is considering a run after running unsuccessfully last year in a GOP primary for governor against Scott Walker. The automated telephone survey of 362 usual GOP primary voters had a margin of error of plus or minus 5.2 percentage points and was conducted from Aug. 12 to 14.
Other names on the Republican side who were not included in the PPP poll but have shown some interest in potentially running for the open Senate seat include Assembly Speaker Jeff Fitzgerald (R-Horicon), State Senator Frank Lasee (R-Bellvue) and former State Senator Ted Kanavas (R-Brookfield).
On the Democratic side, the PPP poll showed surveyed 387 Democrats about their party's possible primary candidates. That survey had a margin of error of plus or minus 5 percentage points. The poll found that U.S. Rep. Tammy Baldwin (D-Madison) had 37% support in a three-way match up against U.S. Rep. Ron Kind of La Crosse, who had 21%, and former U.S. Rep. Steve Kagen of Appleton, who had 15%, with 27% still undecided.
To view the PPP poll on the 2012 U.S. Senate seat, click here. No Democrat has announced for the seat yet. However, one big-name Democrat announced that he will not be running for U.S. Senator or for any office in 2012. Former three-term U.S. Senator Russ Feingold announced earlier today through an email to his supporters that he will not be running next fall but will instead focus his time on teaching, writing a book and leading his Progressives United PAC. According to Wispolitics.com, Feingold was the favored candidate of some Dems to seek the party's nomination next year either for the open U.S. Senate seat or to challenge Scott Walker in a potential recall election of Walker. He also acknowledged in the email to his Progressives United supporters of his strong standings in the polls for both races (www.wispolitics.com). "After twenty-eight continuous years as an elected official, however, I have found the past eight months to be an opportunity to look at things from a different perspective," Feingold late last night wrote in his email to supporters.
Many Wisconsin political followers expect with Feingold out of the race, U.S. Rep. Tammy Baldwin, D-Madison, will soon announce her candidacy for the Senate. Last month, she has said she wanted to make a decision in August. To read Feingold's email to his supporters, click here: http://bit.ly/nOZblp . |
The Week Ahead
Aug 24 Wed
| Health (Assembly) (Executive Session) 10:00 AM 417 North (GAR Hall) | Items: Assembly Bill 147
| Executive Session |
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Aug 24 Wed
| Children and Families (Assembly) (Executive Session) 10:00 AM 400 Northeast | Items: Assembly Bill 42
| Executive Session |
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Aug 24 Wed
| Children and Families (Assembly) 10:01 AM or Immediately after the conclusion of the executive session 400 Northeast | Items: Assembly Bill 172; Assembly Bill 134
| Public Hearing |
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