Cap and Trade Would Cut Tens of Thousands of Louisiana Jobs
A Joint Study of the Pelican Institute and the American Council for Capital Formation Details Economic Impacts of Pending Legislation for Louisiana
New Orleans, LA -
April 20, 2010
If pending federal climate change legislation is enacted,
Louisiana would stand to lose between 26,066 and
35,500 jobs by 2030, according to a study by the Pelican
Institute for Public Policy and the American Council for
Capital Formation (ACCF).
The primary cause of job losses is lower industrial output
due to higher energy prices, the high cost of complying
with emissions cuts required by the legislation, and
greater competition from overseas manufacturers.
Among the hardest hit would be manufacturing jobs.
"As Congress considers far-reaching energy
legislation that would impose an aggressive 'cap-and-
trade' system, it's important for us to examine what this
means for Louisiana families and businesses," said
Kevin Kane, president of the Pelican Institute for
Public Policy. "It's clear from these findings that the
impact would be devastating for our fragile economy -
slashing jobs and inflicting damage on the energy
industry-the economic engine for our recovering
state."
The economic impact of this legislation on Louisiana is
not isolated to jobs:
· By 2030, the average Louisiana family can expect
the price of electricity to increase by up to 54 percent,
gasoline 26 percent and natural gas 77 percent. Low
income families and the elderly, who spend a
disproportionate amount of their income on energy,
will be especially hurt. Disposable income in
Louisiana would fall between $485 and $874 by 2030.
· Under this legislation, Louisiana would experience a
sharp decrease in manufacturing output. Higher energy
prices, fewer jobs and loss of industrial output are
estimated to cause a $5.1 to $6.9 billion reduction in
Louisiana's gross state product (GSP) in 2030.
· State tax revenues would be reduced by as much as
$690 million by 2030, forcing Louisiana policymakers to
make hard choices about how to fund basic services,
such as law enforcement and Louisiana schools.
For decades, Louisiana's economy has benefited from
growth in chemical manufacturing and oil and gas
industries, operating among the top oil and chemical
producers in the nation. Louisiana is the leading oil
producing state and ranks second in the nation in
natural gas production, responsible for contributing
close to $1 trillion to the U.S. economy. Since
Hurricane Katrina, the role of the energy industry as
the economic engine of this recovering state has
become more important. If pending energy legislation
were enacted, this continued growth and recovery
would be impossible.
"Previous research about the impacts of this
legislation on the national level found significant loss
to gross domestic product. As a state whose economy
is closely tied to the chemical, oil and gas industries,
Louisiana is particularly vulnerable," said Margo
Thorning, Ph.D., senior vice president and chief
economist of ACCF, who recently testified on Capitol
Hill. "If pending federal energy legislation is enacted,
the Louisiana economy will significantly decline and
tens of thousands of jobs will be lost."
About the Pelican Institute for Public Policy
The Pelican Institute for Public Policy is a nonprofit,
nonpartisan research institute dedicated to the
principles of individual liberty, the free market and
limited, accountable government. Through research
papers, policy briefings, commentaries and
conferences, the Institute seeks to educate and inform
Louisiana's policymakers, news media and general
public.