January 2009
Nicholls Real Estate Group

Truckee Update
From The Nicholls Real Estate Group 

 
What's Going On . . .  
   
That's a great question.  Things have obviously slowed down a bit, but did the buyers disappear?  Some of them have.  But there are still deals being done and many of our more sophisticated clients are taking advantage of the turmoil in the industry to find good, solid value in the real estate market. 
 
As real estate professionals, we always remind our clients that a) real estate can be a sound, solid investment, and b) right now there is significant opportunity in the market. 
 
Real Estate - A Solid Investment
Real estate can be a solid investment for the following reasons:

Income - Bay Area rents increased 9.4% last year, and many markets, like San Jose, have seen even higher increases.   With lending standards tight, many first time homebuyers are remaining tenants and those who are losing homes to foreclosure are getting back into the rental market.  Many of our investors are choosing to acquire single family homes and apartment buildings to capitalize on the strong rental market. 
 
Leverage and Appreciation - Appreciation won't happen overnight, but with the right property, over the long term, appreciation is a safe bet.  Using leverage to acquire the property will magnify the return on investment.  Appreciation of 10% on a $1MM property translates into a 50% return on investment with a 20% down payment.  Real estate is one of the few investments where investors can use other people's money to magnify their return. 

Tax Advantages - With real estate there are tax advantages both while the property is owned and when it is sold.  While a property is owned, the property can be depreciated, expenses can be deducted and the interest on the mortgage can be written off.  A majority, if not all, of the income a property generates can be sheltered from taxes because of these tax advantages. 
When the property is sold, taxes can either by avoided, or deferred.  Section 121 of the tax code allows for the avoidance of taxes on a primary residence, and Section 1031 allows for the deferral of taxes on the sale on an investment property.  Many sophisticated investors will combine Section 121 and 1031 together for maximum tax advantage.  An example would be to convert a rental property into a primary and avoid taxes on the sale. 
 
 
Right Now There is Significant Opportunity in the Market Turmoil creates opportunity.  Right now we have a confluence of events that make the real estate market very attractive:

1.  Interest rates are at historic lows, and expected to get even lower.
2.  The supply of property is at a very high level and our investors are cherry-picking the best properties in the best locations for their portfolios.
3.  Rents for single family homes and apartments remain strong.
4.  Prices are down significantly.  In many markets (Sacramento) prices are down to year 2000 levels. 
 
Warren Buffet advises "be fearful when others are greedy, and be greedy when others are fearful". We like what Mr. Buffet has to say, and we advise that our clients approach today's market with the same perspective.

*From our friends at Asset Exchange Company, San Francisco, CA
In The News
 
  
 
 
 
 
 
 
Local:
 
Think Snow!!
  
Snow
 
 
Pick up  DISCOUNTED LIFT TICKETS and support our local schools on these "Skiing for Schools" dates:
 
Homewood, March 15th
Sugar Bowl, March 21st
Alpine Meadows, April 5th

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
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2008 By The Numbers
 

 

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Nationally, real estate is seeing some very trying times and those of us who have invested in the Lake Tahoe region certainly are not immune to it.  As we've mentioned in this space before real estate values have dropped in this area for most types of real estate.  Since the peak of the market, in early 2006, single family homes in Truckee have dropped in value around 15% and prices are looking very similar to where they were in late 2004.  Condos have dropped in the 20 to 25% range (depending on location and construction quality), again with prices resembling late 2004 levels.  Despite the national news and the local drops in value, there are still some very positive things happening in our market, some of which can be seen in the following statistics comparing 2007 and 2008.
 2008 Sales Report 1
Sales activity for 2008 tracked very closely with that of 2007 and statistically (see reports) sales prices went up a bit. 
 
Prices in primary residential areas (i.e. areas such as Glenshire, Sierra Meadows, Ponderosa Palisades) did drop approximately 15 percent this year, but that spurred on sales to local residents who had been priced out of the residential home market several years ago. There were 71 home sales in the $200,000 to $400,000 price range this year compared to only 46 in 2007.
 
The number of Tahoe Donner home sales increased by about 8% this year and the numbers of homes in the various price bands (see Price Band Report) tracked very closely except for home sales between $1,000,000 and $1,500,000 which actually increased from 17 sales in 2007 to 31 in 2008.  These sales actually represented 69% of the entire number of home sales in Truckee in this price band.
 

2008 Sales Data 2
 
 
 
Sales of Homes and Condos in Northstar and Northstar Village tracked about the same as last year, but at discounted prices.  The high end represented by new escrows having to do with the Ritz Carlton and associated properties created some good high end buyer interest and will play a big part in the sales volume in this area for 2009 when construction is completed and escrows closed. There are 11 Ritz related properties in escrow with asking prices of $3.2 to $7.5 million.
 
Martis Camp has hit the nail on the head and has become the most popular high end development in the Truckee/North Tahoe area.  In the last 2 and a half years they have sold 207 lots with a total sales volume of $175 million.  That's an average of nearly $850,000 per lot!!!  A good number of their sales have been to buyers who have owned properties in Lahontan, Northstar, and Tahoe Donner.  The package of high end ammenities for the whole family and a gorgeous piece of land has really impressed the buying public and defied a faltering economy.

Contact us 

Al and Norm
Alan Nicholls
530-550-5005
 
 
 
Norm Nicholls
530-550-5035