REAL ESTATE
Just wanted to spend a little time this month on updating you on the Foreclosure issues. I read an article by Luke Mullins dated February 12th 2009 in U.S. News & World Report
"Which states had the highest foreclosure rates?
January 2009
1. Nevada: 1 in 76 homes
2. California: 1 in 173 homes
3. Arizona: 1 in 182 homes
4. Florida: 1 in 214 homes
5. Oregon: 1 in 357 homes
6. Illinois: 1 in 363 homes
7. Michigan: 1 in 397 homes
8. Georgia: 1 in 400 homes
9. Idaho: 1 in 417 homes
10. Ohio: 1 in 452 homes
June 2009
Nevada: One in 122 homes
California: One in 192 homes
Arizona: One in 201 homes
Florida: One in 211 homes
Michigan: One in 375 homes
Ohio: One in 382 homes
Colorado: One in 429 homes
Georgia: One in 444 homes
Indiana: One in 568 homes
Utah: One in 600 homes
As you can see the top 4 stayed the same and the rest just shuffled around a bit. But the foreclosure issue is still around. Until banks start to either work short sales faster or increase the amount of foreclosures they take to the courthouse steps, the residential real estate market in the above areas will continue to decline.
Bottom line is most, not all, investors are afraid to jump into a market because they are afraid they will get stuck with a house they cannot sell. And home owners that would like to sell can't, because the market keeps dropping. It's a never-ending circle.
In my
opinion two things must happen 1) the federal government must stop putting in moratoriums that stop or restrict foreclosures and 2) banks need to move forward with negotiations on repo and short sales with integrity and purpose instead of just going through the process half-heartedly.
The next wave of foreclosures is just around the corner and I believe it will be in the commercial market. Quite a few of the properties will need to refinance and the money or credit, and the value is not there. The only options will be a commercial short sale or foreclosure.
The coming commercial market meltdown may be a prime opportunity for the investors who start to plan now. I will be putting together groups to buy prime commercial or apartment properties in the near future.
I believe an opportunity like this only comes once in a life time so you must be ready. You need to evaluate where you are and where you want to be in the next 2 -4 years. Take a hard look at your real estate business: is it where you want to be? If not what are you willing to do to change it?