Reames Financial

The Circle of Sentiment

No BS Weekly Update  6/25/2012

In This Issue
Looking in the Mirror
Cool Stuff
Secret Lives of Links
Good Eats

QOTD

 

"Change is good, but dollars are better." -Anonymous 

 

 

Like us on Facebook

 

Follow us on Twitter

 

View our profile on LinkedIn 

 

Dear  ,

 

The Circle of Sentiment

 

How many of you remember the Lion King movie from Disney.  It talked about the Circle of Life.  Well today I'm going to talk about the Circle of Sentiment within our economy.  To make my point I am going to use this article about Dick Bove, banking analyst for Rochdale Securites.


Bove: To Fire Up Growth, Scrap Excessive Bank Rules

 

"Excessive bank rules".  Let's take a look back in time.  For years and years many felt we were weakening our bank rules.  Banks were allowed to leverage their businesses more and more.  In the late 90's rules were eliminated so that retail banks and investment banks could combine.  Credit requirements were loosened to the point that we had things called No Doc mortgages or Liars Loans, where very minimal documentation was needed.


As a result you had the first half of the circle.  What were the results?  Undercapitalized banks whose loan portfolios were weakened by their Sub Prime holdings.  Sub Prime being lower credit quality loans that had a much higher likelihood of defaulting.  Then when the economy headed south in 08-09, people couldn't make their mortgage payments and the whole thing fell apart.


So then the second half of the circle began.  The tightening of banking regulations.  What were those idiot bankers thinking giving loans to people that probably couldn't pay them back?  From now on only give loans to people that qualify and can afford them.  (This means less loans will be made because fewer people will qualify)  Raise more capital and strengthen reserves.  (This also will mean fewer loans being made because the banks will have less money to lend)  The government will raise fees on the banks for the additional oversight.  (And this also will mean less money available to be loaned out)

 
The result of the tightened regulations seems to be a long term weak economy.  So now we are starting to see calls for less regulation in the banking industry.  Less restrictions so they can loan more money.  That's the ticket!  That'll get the economy going.  Does that seem like a good idea to you?


In the World of Make Believe

 

This next article is what I consider to be a great example of why so many people now days are a bit contemptuous of our government.   
Fox Headline
(Click to read article)

The EPA actually has a rule that requires oil refiners to add a substance that doesn't even exist in the marketplace.  And then they are fining the refiners millions of dollars for not including the product that doesn't exist.  Does that seem fair to you?  Here are a couple of quotes from the article. 

 
"Refiners are at their wit's end because the government set out requirements to blend cellulosic ethanol back in 2005, assuming that someone would make it. Seven years later, no one has." 

 

"And Charles Drevna adds, "forcing us to use a product that doesn't exist, they might as well tell us to use unicorns.""


And what is the government's response?  Take a look. 

 

""We are going to reduce your blending obligation by 98 percent because we feel that that's the right thing to do," says Brooke Coleman, the executive director of the Advanced Ethanol Council of the Renewable Fuels Association. "We are going to maintain your blending obligation on the gallons that we think are going to emerge.""


So let me get this straight.  In 2005 the government put forth this rule, knowing that the product didn't exist, but they assumed someone would make it.  Now 7 years later, even though no one is making the product yet, the government still going to fine you on a reduced amount based on the amount of a non existent product that they think will emerge, even though none has emerged in the last 7 years.  Incredible!


Want To Have Some Fun?


I try to stay as non political as possible in this update.  But I would hope that those of us on the right and those of us on the left could all agree that this is simply ridiculous and unfair.  If that is true then let's see if we can get an explanation from our government.  Our Congressman, Fred Upton, is the Chairman of the House on Energy and Commerce.  I bet he would be a good place to start.

 

Print out the article and mail it to his office with a respectful letter asking for an explanation as to how it is even in the realm of fairness for the government to fine a company for not including a substance in their product that doesn't even exist?  Then let's compare answers.  Please let me know if you hear back from his office and what the explanation is.  Thanks!

 
Until next week , Protect Your Wealth! 

 

Sincerely,
Phil's signature in blue

 

 

 

 

Like us on FacebookFollow us on TwitterView our profile on LinkedIn

Week In Review
US home sales slipped 1.5 percent in May(Denver Post)

RF: As we've said in the past, it all starts with housing. We're in the prime season for real estate and sales are falling. What do you think that means for the recovery?

Moody's cuts credit ratings on 15 major banks(LA Times)

RF: Remember those too big to fail banks? Well they are now bigger than they were before and they have just been downgraded. Could we be headed for more bailouts?

Multi-trillion plan to save the eurozone being prepared(The Telegraph)

RF: LOL! Here's the key sentence. "Their aim is to build a "firebreak" around Greece, Portugal and Ireland to prevent the crisis spreading to Italy and Spain, countries considered "too big to bail"." Seems to me that train has already left the station.

Fed Move Knocks Down Lincoln, Other Life Insurers(Bloomberg News)

RF: Check this out. "Lincoln National Corp. led a slump among shares of life insurers Wednesday after the Federal Reserve said it will expand its Operation Twist program to reduce longer-term interest rates." How much lower do they want long term rates to go? The 10 year Treasury is currently at 1.64% and the 30 year Treasury is at 2.72%. Wow. Talk about starving seniors!

Greece's ailing economy grinds to a halt (Financial Times)

RF: You may recall that when the last bailout of Greece was announced around February if I recall correctly, I said that it would fail. My main reason was that one of the assumptions in the bailout was that Greece would return to 3% positive positive GDP. At the time I said that would never happen. If you want to know why I believed that, read this article.

Laughter

DownDaily 9-22-2011 

DownDaily 9-22-2011
(www.chartoftheday.com)

GrowthRocky Balboa's inspirational speech to his son.
Rocky Balboa's inspirational speech to his son.

  

Link 
 
Dare to take the mystery link challenge? 

 

We can't be held responsible for the time you waste or the knowledge you gain by clicking this link!

 

CLICK HERE IF YOU DARE!

Good Eats
I know that not everyone likes asparagus but it is a favorite in our household.  Here is an asparagus recipe with a nice touch!
recipe
(Click for recipe and to print)

If we're worth reading we're worth recommending.

That's no BS.

Please let others know about us!

 

Like us on FacebookFollow us on TwitterView our profile on LinkedIn

Securities offered through Foothill Securities, Inc.  Member FINRA/SIPC
Reames Financial is not an affiliate of Foothill Securities, Inc.

Investing involves risk including the potential loss of principal. No investment strategy can guarantee a profit or protect against loss in periods of declining values.

The Standard & Poor's 500 (S&P 500) is an unmanaged group of securities considered to be representative of the stock market in general.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average is a price-weighted average of 30 significant stocks traded on the New York Stock Exchange and the Nasdaq. The DJIA was invented by Charles Dow back in 1896.

The MSCI EAFE Index was created by Morgan Stanley Capital International (MSCI) that serves as a benchmark of the performance in major international equity markets as represented by 21 major MSCI indexes from Europe, Australia and Southeast Asia.
 
The 10-year Treasury Note represents debt owed by the United States Treasury to the public. Since the U.S. Government is seen as a risk-free borrower, investors use the 10-year Treasury Note as a benchmark for the long-term bond market.

Google Finance is the source for any reference to the performance of an index between two specific periods.
Opinions expressed are subject to change without notice and are not intended as investment advice or to predict future performance.

Past performance does not guarantee future results.

You cannot invest directly in an index.

Consult your financial professional before making any investment decision.

Fixed income investments are subject to various risks including changes in interest rates, credit quality, inflation risk, market valuations, prepayments, corporate events, tax ramifications and other factors.

These are the views of Reames Financial and not necessarily those of Foothill Securities, Inc., and should not be construed as investment advice. Neither Phil Reames, Reames Financial, nor Foothill Securities, Inc. gives tax or legal advice. All information is believed to be from reliable sources; however, we make no representation as to its completeness or accuracy. Please consult your financial advisor for further information.

By clicking on these links in the No BS Weekly Update, you will leave our server as they are located on another server. We have not independently verified the information available through this link. The link is provided to you as a matter of interest.

Phil Reames

Reames Financial

1856 Skyler Dr.

Kalamazoo, MI 49008

269-349-3966

preames@reamesfinancial.com