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"TRUST, SERVICE, PERFORMANCE"
QUARTERLY NEWSLETTER                                                                               2011 Q-4     
In This Issue
From Our Investment Team
2012 Retirement Plan Limits
Emotion vs. Intellect
Wirelss Hotspots
Quick Links


Trent Capital Management, Inc.
In today's economic environment, investors want and need advisors they can trust.  Trent Capital's professionals are focused on the best interests of our clients.  Trent harbors no self-interest that creates conflict within the investment decision process.  Our structure eliminates bias, restriction and negative influence in the pursuit of achieving each client's objectives in a prudent process.

Note & Quote

What helps luck is a habit of watching for opportunities, of having a patient, but restless mind, of sacrificing one's ease or vanity, of uniting a love of detail to foresight, and of passing through hard times bravely and cheerfully.

Victor Cherbuliez

___________________


"If past history was all there is to it, the richest people would be librarians."

Warren Buffett




From Our Investment Team

 

One of the common phrases we use at Trent Capital is, "Finding great businesses is easier than buying them at the right price." Often, the most important variable in having a successful investment and managing risk is the price paid for a security. Many of our top holdings are now at lower prices than they sold for five or ten years ago even though the earnings of the businesses are significantly higher today.

 

Although price is typically the most important investment consideration, we also like to invest in businesses we think have the ability to perform in both good and bad economic times. These companies often have dominant market share in products that are inexpensive and consumed frequently, enjoy high barriers to entry and have strong brand names. Examples include PepsiCo selling snack chips and beverages, Caterpillar selling construction and mining equipment, and Visa providing global transaction processing services. PepsiCo, Caterpillar, and Visa are among our largest holdings because each company has a good business and is selling at a very attractive price. Ultimately, we think this business boils down to what you buy and what you pay for it. Think of it as trying to be a good shopper.

 

We believe investing is about trying to obtain the highest risk adjusted forward rate of return over a long period of time. In order to reach that goal, we focus on what we are buying and what we pay for it. The most important decision is the purchase price relative to the value of the investment. The value of an investment is a function of the future cash flows generated from the current assets and the reinvestment of those cash flows by either the investor (reinvesting the dividends) or the management.  

 

The quality of the cash flows is a function of their degree of predictability. We believe it is better to analyze a business model by looking at the asset side of the balance sheet and determining how much cash is being generated by the assets necessary to run the business.

 

We have a very long time horizon, and we think in terms of buying something and holding it until better opportunities become avail­able or we think we made a mistake. By definition, owning shares of companies for years or even decades means that some, perhaps all, of our investments will traverse rough patches along the way, whether they are specific to a company, an industry or the broader market. We know in advance we are going to own businesses in periods of rising interest rates, falling interest rates, inflation, disinflation, a weak dollar, a strong dollar, and so forth. Therefore, when we think about purchasing shares of a company, we have to weigh carefully up front whether we think the business can withstand inevitable shocks in addition to considering the likelihood the business can grow earnings power, and therefore intrinsic worth, over full cycles. Then, company by company, we set out to build a durable, all-weather portfolio of businesses that can compound over the long term.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012 Qualified Retirement Plan Limits

 

 

 

Below are the maximums set by the Internal Revenue Service for 2012 for the various categories.  Trent Capital can assist those seeking to maximize their contributions by plan design consulting, a service we offer to our clients.

 

 

2012

2011

Elective Deferral Limit for 401-(k) and 403-(b) Plans

$17,000

 $16,500

Catch-up Contribution Limit

$5,500

  $5,500

Annual Limit for Defined Contribution Plans

$50,000

 $49,000

Annual Benefits for Defined Benefit Plans

$200,000

$195,000

Annual Compensation Limit

$250,000

$245,000

Highly Compensated Employee

$115,000

$110,000

Key Employee Determination Limit

$165,000

$160,000

Social Security Wage Base

$110,000

$106,000


 

 

 

 

 

 

Emotions vs. Intellect

 
What is taking place in the markets today is simply stupid! Emotions are playing havoc with a process that should naturally evolve from within the measured framework of an intelligent decision making process. There is no rational explanation for the extreme movements seen [both ways!] within stock market indices and the individual businesses they represent. Logic, has been hijacked by short-term emotional responses.

 

When one attempts forecasting "how much and when" the market will move within a volatility factor that can move indices nearly ten percent in a month, 5% in three days, one runs the chance of a very large permanent loss of capital if they guess the wrong direction or time. 

 

Our clients own not one penny of the stock market. We invest for them in businesses whose owner/managers would laugh at some of the offerings of prices that are served up daily, both sold and bought, within the psychotic environment stirring within totay's turbulent investment cauldron. 

 

We try never to forget that those who entrust Trent Capital to "invest" for them are expecting us to do so rationally....i.e. in a researched and consistently responsible manner. Aside from the mistakes one will likely make from reacting to emotions by chasing yesterday's returns or dodging tomorrows anticipated declines, an additional negative to this practice will certainly be much higher transactional costs. These unnecessary expenses will also erode what should be accumulating as profits, and ultimately higher investment performance.

 

The very severe danger of "missing the moves" should keep one invested in those companies whose business characteristics will continue to provide above average earnings while selling at prices well below historic ones.  Making that decision is not emotional, but more calculable when emotions are left from the equation.  

 

  

 
Be Careful of Wireless Hotspots   

 

 

While it's convenient to use e-mail or surf the Web using your laptop or other mobile devices from your favorite hot spot, the Federal Trade Commission and the Better Business Bureau warn people to be careful. New hacking tools are making it easier for people to steal usernames, passwords, credit card numbers, electronic mail and other personal information. Some tips on how to avoid becoming a victim include:

  • Don't use a wireless network if it doesn't require a unique password. Networks that don't, or that have generic passwords available to many users are vulnerable to hacking.
  • Use a unique password in each hot spot in case one of your passwords is hacked.
  • Be sure the website and network are encrypted. Look for "https" at the beginning of the Web address, which indicates your browser and the computer on the other end are both encrypting the information.
  • If you're using a computer, make sure you have file sharing turned off and a firewall installed.
  • Avoid typing passwords and other personal information into public computers which could have "key logger" software for recording keystrokes.
  • Don't remain logged onto wireless hot spots. Log off after every use and don't leave your mobile device unattended.

 

 

  

 

 

 

 

For a review of your current investment programs from our team of professionals, please give us a call at 336-282-9302

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