October 6, 2009 Issue 22

Sherpa Snapshots 

 

"Preparing you for the financial road ahead"

-Ask DWM-
Q: What's the latest on 529 Plans?
   
 
  
Thanks for the question. As another school year starts, clients and friends are asking about 529 plans and other college funding programs.  Here are some things to consider:
 
Is it any wonder that 90% of parents are worried about the cost of their kids' college education?  Tuition and fees are rising even as the economy sputters and the average 529 plan, many invested in "age-based funds," lost 22% in 2008.   As a result, the tax benefit of 529s (tax-free appreciation of principal), has lost much of its luster.
 
Almost every state is pushing its own state 529 plan.  In addition to the federal exclusion on appreciation on principal earnings, most states allow residents a tax break, usually a deduction from state income, for new contributions to the plan sponsored by the resident's state. No deductions are typically given to investments to other state's plans.  It's big business.  There is roughly $85 billion in state sponsored 529 plans. Virginia and New Hampshire have been particularly successful in attracting assets, with $19 billion and $6 billion under management, respectively.  Illinois has $2 billion and South Carolina $810 million as of March 31, 2009.
 
Most states offer two types of 529s; college savings and prepaid tuition plans. The prepaid plans are receiving much interest lately. For example, College Illinois! benefits may be used at any non-profit, accredited institution eligible to receive federal financial aid.  This includes Illinois public universities and community colleges and many other colleges throughout the country.  College Illinois! will pay the undergraduate in-state or in-district tuition and mandatory fees for the number of credit hours covered by the prepaid tuition plan.  College Illinois! does not cover the full tuition and fees at private colleges and at schools outside of Illinois.
 
Much like the College Illinois! plan, but geared toward private schools all across the country, thre is also the Independent 529 Plan.  This prepaid plan is sponsored by the Tuition Plan Consortium mde up of 270 Privates, including Duke, Pepperdine, Notre Dame and Xavier.  The members guarantee your tuition benefit at the pre-purchased discount rate.
 
By prepaying, parents lock in the cost.  So, if college education costs continue to grow at 5 to 8%, you in effect are earning that much of a return on your money. You've eliminated the investment risk and the risk of college costs exceeding your investment returns.

529 college saving plans do provide more flexibility, since they can be used for qualified higher education costs in the United States and some foreign universities as well.  However, the plans can be expensive.  Many of the state investment choices include funds with underlying fund expenses in excess of 2% annually plus sales charges of 3-4% upfront.

Lastly, if you do select a 529 plan, be very careful about your porfolio selection. The age-based program, which was very popular, typically allocates almost 100% of the funds for the youngest children to equities and reduces the percentage of equity to all or almost all fixed by the time the student is ready for college. In the 90s, this worked well. Now, it may result in lack of appreciation of even loss of principal for many students. Since you can only change allocations once a year, consider a more conservative approach for all portfolios, particularly for those students approaching college years.
 
Of course, give us a call if you have questions about college educating funding options and choices.  It's a topic very close to our hearts.
 
For more information on the College of Illinois! plan click here
In This Issue
Ask DWM: What's The Latest On 529 Plans?
Business: KiddieLand Train Pulls Out!
Housing: Latest Case-Shiller Indicies Give Mixed Signals
World: Rio's Win May Be Chicago's Gain
Market Update
Quick Links
Detterbeck Wealth Management
 
www.dwmgmt.com
 
 
 
220 N. Smith Street
Suite 410
Palatine, IL 60067
847.359.6262
 
 
39 Broad Street
Suite 210
Charleston, SC 29401 
843.577.2463 
Join Our Mailing List!
 
Click here to be added to our mailing list! 
 
Please be assured that your e-mail address will only be used for the delivery of your newsletter.
 
Thanks 
          kiddieland
 
Kiddieland, established in 1929 in Melrose Park, Illinois, officially retired its rides on Sunday, October 4th in an emotional ceremony. The rides were closed one at a time starting at 1 pm with riders who had successfully bid for the last chance at auction earlier in the week.  The park had announced this spring that the 2009 summer would be it's last, and for months, melancholy visitors have come to Kiddieland to ride the Big Dipper or the Roto Whip one more time.
 
There was a time when the Chicago area was dotted with smaller amusement parks geared for families: Adventureland in Bloomingdale, Kiddie Kingdom in Oakbrook Terrace, and Santa's Village in East Dundee to name a few.  Riverview Amusement Park closed in 1967 and one by one, the others succumbed to competition from larger theme parks, suburban development and the breakup of longtime family businesses.
 
Art Fritz founded the park in 1929. Today, the 17 acres where the amusement park operates are owned by the founder's daughter and her son, while the amusement park is owned and was run by other family members. Earlier this year, the landowners indicated that they would not be renewing the lease.  Publicly, both sides of the family have agreed it was time to close the park.
 
The rides and the equipment are expected to be sold this month. Contractors have been taking soil samples for potential development projects on the land.  Life goes on.
 
Sunday was the final private "retirement" ceremony for the succesful online auction bidders.  There were 24 bids, topping out at $220, for one of the final seats on the last ride of the Big Dipper roller coaster.  Another bidder paid $500 for one of the 38 final seats on the gas train. Apparently, when the train pulled away for its last ride, many Baby Boomers' childhood memories were in its caboose.
 
For more information on KiddieLand click here.
Housing: Latest Case-Shiller Indicies Give Mixed Signals
 
.shiller index jpeg

The July 2009 results are in. They show U.S. home prices are still negative, but slowing in their rate of descent.  Homes prices increased a seasonally adjusted 1.2% from June to July, but fell 12.8% from a year earlier.  Of  course, the Case-Shiller Indices reflect 10-city and 20-city composites nationwide, so these values aren't necessarily applicable in any one area in the country.
  
Shiller was interviewed recently.  He indicated that he thought we could expect five years of stagnant home prices.  His logic is that the $8,000 first-time homebuyer's credit expires at the end of November and, up til now, this credit has produced many sales of lower priced homes.  Second, the Federal Reserve has purchased $694 billion of mortgage-backed securities since January 2009 to keep interest rates down. They intend to invest an additional $556 billion until April 2010 to continue this support. Then, the $1.25 trillion program will be complete and will go away.  Thirdly, Shiller believes as foreclosures continue that the oversupply of houses in the U.S. will grow. 

USA Today reported recently that home sales dropped 2.7% in August from July.  In addition, home prices also slid.  Part of the reason for this, is that 30% of the sales were to first-time buyers, who typically are buying lower priced houses.
 
While every area of the country is unique, nationally house prices are back to autumn 2003 levels.  Hopefully, the downturn in housing is almost over.
 
For additional information on Housing click here
World: Rio's Win May Be Chicago's Gain

 olympic rings
 
Carnival came four months early to Brazil this year. Tens of thousands of Rio's samba-loving residents poured out onto Copacabana Beach to celebrate their country's selection as the site of the 2016 Olympics. 
 
That Rio won the 2016 Summer Games is understandable. Last Friday's vote was a chance for the IOC to break ground with the first Olympics in South America.  For Brazil, the most populous country in the continent, it will certainly aid their development. 
 
The fact that Chicago was eliminated in the first round, though shocking, is surprisingly understandable. NBC Sports chairman Dick Ebersol, whose company paid $5.7 billion for Olympic TV rights from 2000 to 2012, placed the blame on the USOC and said "Chicago never had a chance".  However, in the long run, Rio's win may be Chicago's gain. 
 
Politically, Ebersol feels that the IOC was saying that US cities will not be hosts until they "join" the IOC movement. Certainly, that fact that the US has the least user-friendly entry of any country was a problem for Chicago.  But, more importantly, politics and money, particularly TV revenue-sharing did Chicago in.  Currently, the US receives 20% of global sponsorship money and 12.75% of TV money through 2012.  The arrangement gets renegotiated in 2013. The USOC's recent decision to go forward with its own TV network, despite IOC objections, has been a big problem. 
 
Regardless, the Windy City protest group, Chicagoans for Rio, have gotten their way.  They were concerned about crowds, traffic, potential crime and, most importantly, major infrastructure investments in Chicago that would not produce long-term benefit.  Typically, being selected as the Olympic host city is the chance to direct significant funds toward urban subways, bridges, housing, parks and, of course, all sorts of stadiums.  The problem is that preparing for a 17-day sports event is not necessarily the best way to undertake socially responsible urban planning.
 
Facilities may or may not be used in the future. Beijing's $423 million Bird's Nest Stadium has been vacant with the exception of one Jackie Chan concert.  Most of the 22 venues built in Athens for the 2004 games are now empty, strewn with garbage and are patrolled by police.  Fortunately, Atlanta has done a good job with its 1996 facilities; turning the major sports venue into the home for the Braves and using Olympic Village as dorms for Georgia Tech.
 
Fears of cost-overruns and ongoing maintenance are big concerns. In 2006, Montreal made news by paying off its $1.5 billion mortgage from the 1976 games.  China's Bird Nest costs $10 million in annual maintenance.  Ultimately, China spent $65 billion on their 2008 games.  London is already $20 billion in the hole for the 2012 games.
 
Certainly, Chicago would have done a marvelous job if it had been selected for 2016.  Undoubtedly, Chicago would have followed Daniel Burnham advice a century ago in his Plan for Chicago when he suggested: "Make no small plans".  Fortunately, with Rio's win, Chicago won't have to be funding those big Olympic city plans anytime soon.

olympics bid

For additional information on the Olympics-Chicago issue click here
Market Update-

 

strange bedfellows

 "Sure, it may be great for us, but its hell on the markets..."
 via New Yorker Cartoon Bank
We appreciate your feedback! 
 
Let us know what you think... 
 
Send feedback and suggestions to: amy@dwmfnclgroup.com