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FINANCIAL TEA TIME
 
Your freshly brewed cup of financial updates
 
July 2010
In this issue
Month in Review
For Fun...
How Long to Keep Financial Records?
Greetings!

As we stand at the midpoint, reflecting back and looking forward at the rest of the year, one thing is for certain: this has not been and is not expected to be one of those boring, average years by any standards.  As we welcome the second half of 2010, concern over a double-dip recession is taking hold. Are we headed for one? Read below for more.  Then get insights for an easy retirement plan from an eight year old and by popular demand, some specifics on how long to keep certain financial records.
Month in Review

Last quarter saw a string of bad economic news: concerns about Europe, slower global growth and weak domestic economic indicators.  These contributed to a drop of over 10% in the Dow Jones Industrial Average for the quarter and 12% each for both the Standard & Poor's 500 Index as well as the Nasdaq Composite.  Pending home sales, June's jobs report and the manufacturing PMI all came in below expectations.

 

Are we in for a double-dip? If you watch CNBC or other media sources, you'd think we're already in a double-dip recession.  The level of pessimism is high, not an unreasonable thing in light of the recent weak reports.  However, manufacturing and export growth have remained pretty decent along with better than expected consumer spending, in spite of the weak jobs reports.

 

Secondly, we enter the third quarter with pretty bearish sentiments with oversold equity markets. Citigroup strategists comment that stocks are at a deep and rare undervaluation versus high-grade bonds, having gone from somewhat over optimistic expectations at the beginning of 2010 to being too pessimistic.  This means, we may have already discounted for some of the bad earnings news due to the recent market volatility.

 

Doug Ramsey, research director of Leuthold Group made an interesting observation.  He said there have been only two severe corrections of between 12% and 18% between 1980 -2010 while there were six bear markets with an average loss of 34.3% during the same period.  However, there were more corrections than there were bear markets from 1930s to 1980.  The present generation, he says, has little muscle memory for corrections than it does for recessions and bear markets.

 

Finally, double-dip recessions are rare. Fred Goodwin, a macro economist at Nomura, says the double-dip recession in 1980-82 only came about after the Federal Reserve raised interest rates by over 10%. Clearly, that is not the case today.

 

However, headwinds will continue to batter the economy (and our confidence) for the rest of the year and well into 2011, especially as concerns over the expiration of Bush tax cuts at the end of the year pick up. 

 

I had to leave you with a positive note: a new study by PricewaterhouseCoopers found that the personal-savings rate (the share of after-tax income that isn't spent) rose to 4% in June - more than double than in the year preceding the recession. They're forecasting it to rise over the next five years to a whopping 10%! It seems like something good did come out of this recession after all!


For Fun... 
 

Kids July 2010

How Long to Keep Financial Records?

I get asked this quite often from clients and my answer often is - for as long as you can! But if you must know, here's an article from www.bankrate.com to help.  The entire article can be found at  http://www.bankrate.com/finance/personal-finance/how-long-to-keep-financial-records.aspx

Financial records time-line

Type of record

Length of time to keep, and why:

Taxes

Returns


Canceled checks/receipts (alimony, charitable contributions, mortgage interest and retirement plan contributions)


Records for tax deductions taken

Seven years

  • The IRS has three years from your filing date to audit your return if it suspects good-faith errors.
  • The three-year deadline also applies if you discover a mistake in your return and decide to file an amended return to claim a refund.
  • The IRS has six years to challenge your return if it thinks you underreported your gross income by 25 percent or more.
  • There is no time limit if you failed to file your return or filed a fraudulent return.

IRA contribution records

Permanently
If you made a nondeductible contribution to an IRA, keep the records indefinitely to prove that you already paid tax on this money when the time comes to withdraw.

Retirement/savings plan statements

From one year to permanently

  • Keep the quarterly statements from your 401(k) or other plans until you receive the annual summary; if everything matches up, then shred the quarterlies.
  • Keep the annual summaries until you retire or close the account.

Bank records

From one year to permanently

  • Go through your checks each year and keep those related to your taxes, business expenses, home improvements and mortgage payments.
  • Shred those that have no long-term importance.

Brokerage statements

Until you sell the securities
You need the purchase or sales slips from your brokerage or mutual fund to prove whether you have capital gains or losses at tax time.

Bills

From one year to permanently

  • Go through your bills once a year.
  • In most cases, when the canceled check from a paid bill has been returned, you can shred the bill.
  • However, bills for big purchases -- such as jewelry, rugs, appliances, antiques, cars, collectibles, furniture, computers, etc. -- should be kept in an insurance file for proof of their value in the event of loss or damage.

Credit card receipts and statements

From 45 days to seven years

  • Keep your original receipts until you get your monthly statement; shred the receipts if the two match up.
  • Keep the statements for seven years if tax-related expenses are documented.

Paycheck stubs

One year

  • When you receive your annual W-2 form from your employer, make sure the information on your stubs matches.
  • If it does, shred the stubs.
  • If it doesn't, demand a corrected form, known as a W-2c.

House/condominium records

From six years to permanently

  • Keep all records documenting the purchase price and the cost of all permanent improvements -- such as remodeling, additions and installations.
  • Keep records of expenses incurred in selling and buying the property, such as legal fees and your real estate agent's commission, for six years after you sell your home.
  • Holding on to these records is important because any improvements you make on your house, as well as expenses in selling it, are added to the original purchase price or cost basis. This adds up to a greater profit (also known as capital gains) when you sell your house. Therefore, you lower your capital gains tax.

Source: Marquette National Bank and Catherine Williams, President of Consumer Credit Counseling Services of Greater Chicago

 




Rashida Lilani CFP CMFC
Lilani Wealth Management
 
1624 Santa Clara Drive, Suite 235, Roseville, CA 95661
 
Phone: (916) 782-7752
Fax: (916) 720-0194
 
Lilani Wealth Management is a Registered Investment Advisor.  Securities offered through Foothill Securities Inc. Lilani Wealth Management and Foothill Securities are not affiliated companies. Member FINRA/SIPC.
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