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Developing Patterns
A brief look at a couple of Futures Markets
May 5th 2012
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Hello:
Today, we'll discuss the Silver and Crude markets.  The Silver market is relatively "quiet" and the crude market broke out of it's trading range with a vengeance.
Silver: A market poised for a breakout
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Silver is building a sort of a descending wedge.  A break of the wedge to the downside could lead to a straight shot down to 27.  A break to the upside could lead to a target of 34.  Regardless of which direction the break occurs, the target is 15000.00 per contract (SI) or 3000.00 per contract (YI - Minis). Right now though, it is chip-chop city - a condition that eventually leads traders to ignore a market.  However, that is the time to start to keep a closer eye on things - Good breakouts tend to occur when you least expect it. 
 
Crude: Fake upside breakout followed by vicious downside...
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EURCHF Monthly Crossrate Chart
Crude spent the last few months creating a giant triangle.  Last week, it made a convincing upside breakout only to FAIL and careen through the lower trendline.  At this point, any move back to the 5 SMA is a SHORT for a scalp. This short opportunity may set up on Tuesday.  I suspect that Monday will be a day spent in consolidation - anyone that likes to do counter-trend intraday trades should be in heaven on Monday.
 
More Markets
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If you'd like coverage of more FUTURES markets, please join our beta program. Join us at http://www.structuredmarketseducation.com.  We cover all the major US futures markets including the Metals, Grains, Softs, Indices, Currencies, Meats and Interest Rates.  We occasionally cover some foreign markets such as German Dax and Bunds.
 
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