ERC banner
ETF Spotlight Newsletter
A sampling of research & data from AltaVista Research
In This Issue
In This Issue
Chart of the week
Fund focus
Special Offer
One month
Free Trial

Sign up here
Quick Links
Coverage at a glance
No. of ETFs
593

Total Mkt Cap ($bns)

$728.8

Avg. daily value traded ($bns)

$45.1
Join Our List
Join Our Mailing List
December 20, 2010
Greetings!

Below please find the ETF Spotlight newsletter containing highlights of the research and data on www.etfresearchcenter.com as well as a recap of the past week's action in the ETF market. 

In this week's issue

technicianRise of the Indexers
  • Chart of the week: Rise of the Indexers
  • Fund Focus: Energy Select Sector SPDR (XLE)
  • Revisions, asset flows & short interest
  • 2011 ROE estimates, YoY change, and P/BV multiples for major ETFs
  • Market monitor - movers & categories
To download the full newsletter click here.

Chart of the week
ETF Assets Exceed $1 Trillion

Assets of exchange-traded products--including equities, fixed income, commodity and other instruments-- surpassed $1 trillion for the first time last week. The equity ETFs we cover account for about 73% of that figure.

The news sparked more media debate about whether ETPs have grown too rapidly, like MBS and CDOs before them. We think that's a spurious comparison. Rather, ETFs are part of a longer-term shift towards indexing. Among equity funds, assets in index funds (both ETFs and mutual funds) have increased from 3% of total assets in 1993 to an estimated 28% today, meaning that they have taken market share away from actively managed funds.

This "Rise of the Indexers" has interesting implications for indexers and stock-pickers alike. While we believe ETFs are an excellent vehicle for asset allocation between areas of the market, what we call the "Central Paradox of Indexing" means that at some point the practice of indexing itself starts to increase market inefficiency, thereby expanding opportunities for stock-pickers.


Download the full newsletter here.  

Chart: Rise of the Indexers
Assets in index funds (ETFs & MFs) as a percentage of all equity fund assets
Index_assets
Source: Investment Company Institute and AltaVista Research

Fund Focus
Energy Select Sector SPDR (XLE)oil_rig

Higher oil prices will result in huge sales and earnings growth this year and probably additional gains in 2011, but profit margins and ROE are forecast to remain well below levels of a few years ago when sales were similar. XLE does enjoy an ALTAR Score™ well above average thanks to low valuation multiples (relative to average profits over the course of the boom/bust cycle) but politics and soaring natural gas production (which sent nat. gas prices plummeting) also make this one of the riskier sectors.

To download the full newsletter, click here.

As always your questions & feedback are most welcome.
 
Sincerely,
 
Michael Krause
AltaVista Research