Polling
Firm
|
Date
|
Approve
|
Disapprove
|
DK
|
CBS
|
7/12/09
|
49%
|
37%
|
14%
|
ABC/ Wash Post
|
6/21/09
|
53%
|
39%
|
9%
|
Polling
Firm
|
Date
|
Obama
|
Reps
|
Neither
|
ABC/ Wash Post
|
6/21/09
|
55%
|
27%
|
11%
|
CBS/ NY Times
|
6/16/09
|
44%
|
34%
|
22%
|
Proposal
|
Date
|
Acceptable
|
Not Acceptable
|
Require all to get
health insurance, those who can afford it can get their own
|
6/15/09
|
62%
|
31%
|
Raising taxes on
those making $250K+
|
6/15/09
|
62%
|
33%
|
Require all but the
smallest businesses to offer health care coverage or pay a percentage of
payroll to the government
|
6/15/09
|
55%
|
37%
|
Reduce payments to
doctors and hospitals for services provided to Medicare and Medicaid patients
|
6/15/09
|
47%
|
46%
|
Require people with
expensive plans with more generous benefits to pay taxes on portion of that
plan's cots
|
6/15/09
|
33%
|
59%
|
Require all to pay
taxes on cost of private plans
|
6/15/09
|
23%
|
70%
|
NBC/ WSJ: Experts currently estimate that this
proposed health care plan will cost one trillion dollars over the next decade.
I am going to read you some proposals for how the plan could be funded. After I
read each statement, please tell me whether that proposal is acceptable or not
acceptable.
Barack Obama's Health Care Plan
Polling
Firm
|
Date
|
Good
Idea/ Favor
|
Bad
Idea/ Oppose
|
No
Opinion
|
CNN/ ORC
|
6/28/09
|
51%
|
45%
|
-
|
|
|
6/15/09
|
33%
|
32%
|
30%
|
NBC/ WSJ
|
4/26/09
|
33%
|
26%
|
34%
|
CNN/ORC: From
everything you have heard or read so far, do you favor or oppose Barack Obama's
plan to reform health care? NBC/ WSJ:
Turning to the issue of health care: From what you have heard about Barack
Obama's health care plan, do you think his plan is a good idea or a bad idea?
Polling
Firm
|
Date
|
Should
|
Should
not
|
Unsure
|
CBS
|
7/12/09
|
62%
|
34%
|
4%
|
CBS:
Given the problems the county is facing, do you think the government should or
should not exert more control over the nation's health care system?
Favor or oppose a
government administered health insurance plan
Polling Firm
|
Date
|
Favor
|
Oppose
|
Unsure
|
CBS
|
7/12/09
|
64%
|
29%
|
7%
|
CBS/ NY Times
|
6/16/09
|
72%
|
20%
|
8%
|
CBS/ NY Times: Would you favor or oppose the government
offering everyone a government administered health insurance plan - something
like the Medicare coverage that people 65 and older get - that would compete
with private insurance plans?
Would government do a
better or worse job providing medical coverage vs. private insurance co
Polling
Firm
|
Date
|
Better
|
Worse
|
Unsure
|
CBS/ NY Times
|
6/16/09
|
50%
|
34%
|
14%
|
CBS/ NY Times: Do
you think the government would do a better or worse job than private insurance
companies in providing medical coverage?
Polling Firm
|
Date
|
Better
|
Worse
|
Unsure
|
CBS/ NY Times
|
6/16/09
|
59%
|
26%
|
12%
|
CBS/ NY Times: Do you think the government would do a
better or worse job than private insurance companies in holding down health
care costs?
Informed View on Obama's Health Care Plan
Polling
Firm
|
Date
|
Favor
|
Oppose
|
Unsure
|
NBC/ WSJ
|
6/15/09
|
55%
|
35%
|
7%
|
NBC/ WSJ: Now
I am going to tell you more about the health care plan that President Obama
supports and please tell me whether you would favor or oppose it. The plan
requires that health insurance companies cover people with pre-existing medical
conditions. It also requires all but the smallest employers to provide health
coverage for their employees, or pay a percentage of their payroll to help fund
coverage for the uninsured. Families and individuals with lower - and
middle-incomes would receive tax credits to help them afford insurance
coverage. Some of the funding for this plan would come from raining taxes on
wealthier Americans. Do you favor or oppose this plan?
Polling
Firm
|
Date
|
Keeping
costs down/ Controlling Costs
|
Providing
insurance/ Expanding Coverage
|
Unsure
|
USA Today/ Gallup
|
7/12/09
|
52%
|
42%
|
4%
|
Ipsos/ McClatchy
|
5/3/09
|
51%
|
42%
|
8%
|
USA Today/ Gallup: If
you had to choose, which goal of health care reform would you say is more
important: expanding health care coverage to include nearly all Americans, or
controlling rising health care costs in the U.S. today? Ipsos/McClatch: On
the topic of federal health care reform, some say that controlling costs should
be the main emphasis. Others say that expanding coverage so that all Americans
will have insurance should be the main emphasis. Which of these comes closest
to your own personal opinion?
What is Barack Obama's Health Care Plan Most Focused On
Polling
Firm
|
Date
|
Cost
|
Coverage
|
Unsure
|
NBC/ WSJ
|
6/15/09
|
18%
|
64%
|
10%
|
NBC/ WSJ
|
4/26/09
|
12%
|
69%
|
7%
|
NBC/ WSJ:
Turning to the issue of health care: From what you have heard about Barack
Obama's health care plan, do you think his plan is a good idea or a bad idea?
Polling
Firm
|
Date
|
Increase
|
Decrease
|
Remain
the same
|
CNN/ ORC
|
6/28/09
|
54%
|
17%
|
26%
|
CNN/ORC: From
what you know of the health care reforms, which the Administration is working
on, do you think the amount you pay for medical care would increase, decrease,
or remain the same?
Taking on Health Care
Reform
Polling Firm
|
Date
|
Cannot Afford Right Now
|
More Important/ Need to fix now
|
Unsure
|
CBS
|
7/12/09
|
46%
|
49%
|
5%
|
Kaiser Health
Tracking
|
6/8/09
|
35%
|
61%
|
4%
|
CBS: Given the problems the country is facing,
do you think the government should or should not exert more control over the
nation's health care system? Kaiser Health Tracking: Which comes closer to describing your
own views? Given the serious economic problems facing the country we cannot
afford to take on health care reform right now, OR it is more important than
ever to take on health care reform now?
USA Today/ Gallup:
Importance of Changes
Statement
|
Date
|
Extremely/ Very Important
|
Not/S'wht Important
|
Having your health
care plan cover any medical test or treatment you and your doctor think you
need
|
7/12/09
|
93%
|
6%
|
Being able to choose
any doctor or hospital you like
|
7/12/09
|
88%
|
12%
|
Being able to get
health insurance regardless of your job status or medical situation
|
7/12/09
|
86%
|
13%
|
Making your health
insurance more affordable
|
7/12/09
|
83%
|
17%
|
Having the option to
keep the health insurance plan you have now
|
7/12/09
|
77%
|
21%
|
USA Today/ Gallup: Next, as you may know, Congress is
currently considering major changes to the way the health care system works in
this country. Think about how such changes might affect you, personally, please
tell me whether each of the following is extremely important, very important,
somewhat important, or not important to you. How about...?
Issues in the News
Sarah Palin Favorability
Polling
Firm
|
Date
|
Fav
|
Unfav
|
Und
|
Haven't
heard enough
|
CBS
|
7/12/09
|
23%
|
37%
|
22%
|
17%
|
CBS
|
11/2/08
|
37%
|
37%
|
16%
|
9%
|
CBS: Is
your opinion of Sarah Palin favorable, not favorable, undecided, or haven't you
heard enough about Sarah Palin yet to have an opinion?
Media on Sarah Palin
Polling
Firm
|
Date
|
Harder
|
Easier
|
Same
|
Unsure
|
CBS
|
7/12/09
|
46%
|
7%
|
44%
|
3%
|
Do you think Sarah Palin would have the ability to be an
effective president?
Polling
Firm
|
Date
|
Yes
|
No
|
Unsure
|
CBS
|
7/12/09
|
22%
|
65%
|
13%
|
Do you think the federal government should regulate the
emission of greenhouse gases
Polling
Firm
|
Date
|
Should
|
Should
Not
|
Unsure
|
ABC/ Wash Post
|
6/21/09
|
75%
|
22%
|
3%
|
ABC/ Wash Post
|
4/24/09
|
75%
|
21%
|
4%
|
ABC/ Wash Post: Do
you think the federal government should or should not regulate the release of
greenhouse gases from sources like power plants, cars and factories in an
effort to reduce global warming?
Support for "Cap and Trade"
Polling
Firm
|
Date
|
Support/
Favor
|
Oppose
|
Unsure
|
ABC/ Wash Post
|
6/21/09
|
52%
|
42%
|
6%
|
CNN/ ORC
|
4/26/09
|
44%
|
51%
|
5%
|
ABC/ Wash Post
|
7/28/08
|
59%
|
34%
|
7%
|
ABC/ Wash Post: There's
a proposed system called 'cap and trade.' The government would issue permits
limiting the amount of greenhouse gases companies can put out. Companies that
did not use all their permits could sell them to other companies. The idea is
that many companies would find ways to put out less greenhouse gases, because
that would be cheaper than buying permits. Would you support or oppose this
system? CNN/ ORC: A
proposal called 'cap and trade' would allow the federal government to limit the
emissions from industrial facilities such as power plants and factories that
some people believe cause global warming. Companies that exceed the limit could
avoid fines or higher taxes by paying money to other companies that produced
fewer emissions than allowed. Would you favor or oppose this proposal?
Should the Senate Confirm Judge Sotomayor
Polling
Firm
|
Date
|
Should
|
Should
Not
|
Unsure
|
ABC/ Wash Post
|
6/21/09
|
62%
|
25%
|
13%
|
ABC/ Wash Post: As
you may know, Obama has nominated federal judge Sonia Sotomayor to serve on the
U.S. Supreme Court. Do you think the U.S. Senate should or should not confirm
Sotomayor's nomination to the Supreme Court?
Confidence in Obama has right set of goals and policies to
improve the economy
Polling
Firm
|
Date
|
Confident
|
Somewhat
|
Not
at all
|
NBC/ WSJ
|
6/15/09
|
46%
|
24%
|
29%
|
Polling Firm
|
Date
|
Positive/ Approve
|
Negative/ Disapprove
|
DK
|
CBS
|
7/12/09
|
48%
|
44%
|
8%
|
ABC/ Wash Post
|
6/21/09
|
56%
|
41%
|
3%
|
President Obama's policies effect on the economy
Polling
Firm
|
Date
|
Better
|
Worse
|
No
Effect
|
CBS/ NY Times
|
6/16/09
|
32%
|
15%
|
48%
|
CBS/ NY Times: So
far, do you think Barack Obama's policies have made the economy better, made
the economy worse, or haven't his policies had any effect on the economy yet?
Did Obama inherit or cause the current economic conditions
Polling
Firm
|
Date
|
Inherited
|
Obama's
policies responsible for
|
Some
of both
|
NBC/ WSJ
|
6/15/09
|
72%
|
14%
|
10%
|
NBC/ WSJ: When
you think about the current economic conditions do you feel that this is a
situation that Barack Obama has inherited or is this a situation his policies
are mostly responsible for?
Who do you trust more President Obama or Republicans in
Congress on the economy
Polling
Firm
|
Date
|
Obama
|
Reps
|
Neither
|
ABC/ Wash Post
|
6/21/09
|
55%
|
31%
|
9%
|
ABC/ Wash Post
|
4/24/09
|
61%
|
24%
|
11%
|
Are the Government actions to stabilize the economy working?
Polling
Firm
|
Date
|
Govt.
Actions Working
|
Govt.
Actions Failing
|
Too
Soon to Tell
|
DK
|
Fox
|
6/10/09
|
46%
|
39%
|
12%
|
3%
|
Fox
|
3/2/09
|
38%
|
44%
|
14%
|
4%
|
Fox: Since
last fall, the federal government has spent hundreds of billions of dollars to
stabilize the nation's economy. Which of the following statements do you think
best describes the actions the government has taken? 1. Government actions are
basically working and without them things could have been a lot worse 2.
Government actions are basically failing and without them things would be the
same as they are today or even better 3. Too soon to tell 4. Don't Know
Impact of the stimulus package on the economy
Polling
Firm
|
Date
|
Better
|
Worse
|
No
Impact
|
DK
|
CBS
|
7/12/09
|
21%
|
15%
|
60%
|
4%
|
CBS: So
far, do you think the federal government's stimulus package has made the
economy better, made the economy worse, or has it had no impact on the economy
so far?
Long term impact of the stimulus package on the economy
Polling
Firm
|
Date
|
Better
|
Worse
|
No
Impact
|
DK
|
CBS
|
7/12/09
|
42%
|
21%
|
29%
|
8%
|
CBS: In
the long run, do you think the federal government's stimulus package will make
the economy better, will make the economy worse, or will it have no impact on
the economy in the long run?
Direction of Economy
Polling
Firm
|
Date
|
Right
Track
|
Wrong
Track
|
Unsure
|
Pew
|
5/24/09
|
53%
|
39%
|
8%
|
Pew
|
3/30/09
|
50%
|
39%
|
11%
|
Pew
|
2/23/09
|
47%
|
34%
|
19%
|
Pew
|
1/19/09
|
31%
|
48%
|
21%
|
US Bureau of Labor Statistics Unemployment Rate
Date
|
Rate
|
June 2009
|
9.5%
|
May 2009
|
9.4%
|
April 2009
|
8.9%
|
June 2008
|
5.6%
|
The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index
Polling
Firm
|
Date
|
|
CB
|
June
|
49.3
|
CB
|
May
|
54.9
|
CB
|
April
|
40.8
|
President Obama
President Obama's Popularity
Polling
Firm
|
Date
|
Fav
|
Unfav
|
Und/
Neutral
|
Daily Kos
|
7/9/09
|
61%
|
34%
|
5%
|
NBC/ WSJ
|
6/15/09
|
60%
|
29%
|
11%
|
Polling Firm
|
Date
|
Positive/ Approve
|
Negative/ Disapprove
|
Gallup
|
7/13/09
|
60%
|
32%
|
CBS
|
7/12/09
|
57%
|
32%
|
The Parties and
Congress
Party Self Identification
Polling
Firm
|
Date
|
Dems
|
Reps
|
Ind
|
CBS
|
7/12/09
|
35%
|
23%
|
42%
|
ABC/ Wash Post
|
6/21/09
|
35%
|
22%
|
37%
|
Pew Yearly Totals of Party Identification
Polling
Firm
|
Date
|
Dems
|
Reps
|
Ind
|
Pew
|
2009
|
35%
|
23%
|
36%
|
Pew
|
2008
|
36%
|
25%
|
32%
|
Pew
|
2007
|
33%
|
25%
|
34%
|
Pew
|
2006
|
33%
|
28%
|
30%
|
2010 Congressional Generic Ballot
Polling
Firm
|
Date
|
Dems
|
Reps
|
Und/
Other
|
Rasmussen
|
7/12/09
|
37%
|
40%
|
23%
|
Quinnipiac
|
6/29/09
|
42%
|
34%
|
24%
|
Congressional Job Rating
Polling
Firm
|
Date
|
Positive/Approve
|
Negative/Disprove
|
DK
|
CBS
|
7/12/09
|
22%
|
65%
|
-
|
NBC/ WSJ
|
6/15/09
|
29%
|
57%
|
14%
|
|
|
Date
|
Pos/Approve
|
Neg/Disprove
|
DK
|
|
|
6/29/09
|
38%
|
50%
|
12%
|
Pew
|
6/14/09
|
42%
|
45%
|
13%
|
Congressional Republicans Job Rating
|
|
Date
|
Pos/Approve
|
Neg/Disprove
|
DK
|
Quinnipiac
|
6/29/09
|
29%
|
57%
|
14%
|
Pew
|
6/14/09
|
29%
|
56%
|
15%
|
Polling Firm
|
Date
|
Right Direction
|
Wrong Direction
|
No
Opinion
|
CBS
|
7/12/09
|
35%
|
57%
|
8%
|
ABC/ Wash Post
|
6/21/09
|
47%
|
50%
|
3%
|
Anzalone Liszt Research Polls
Virginia Governor's
Race
Polling Firm
|
Date
|
Deeds
|
McDonnell
|
Und
|
Anzalone Liszt
Research
|
6/14/09
|
42%
|
38%
|
20%
|
Alabama Governor's Race
Polling Firm
|
Date
|
Davis
|
Byrne
|
Und
|
Anzalone Liszt
Research
|
5/9/09
|
43%
|
38%
|
20%
|
Fun Facts
Some Tweeting
Facts From Tweetcongress.org
·
146
Members of Congress are on Twitter:
o 38 Democratic
Representatives (8 of them are ALR clients = 23%)
o 14 Democratic Senators
(2 of them are ALR clients = 15%)
o 16 Republican Senators
o 78 Republican
Representatives
o 20 ALR Clients are on
Twitter (or 43% of our current clients)
·
Mike Doyle
has the third most political tweets of any member of Congress.
·
Our
Top 5 clients with the most followers are:
1. Democratic
Congressional Campaign Committee - 2,777
2. Artur Davis - 1,613
3. Anthony Foxx - 861
4. Kay Hagan - 768
5. Leonard Boswell - 755
Not including President Obama our
clients are followed by a total of 8,992 tweeters.
President Obama is followed by 1,604,390 tweeters
|