National Polling Summary

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July 1, 2009
Anzalone Liszt Research
National Polling Summary

Welcome to the Anzalone Liszt Research National Polling Summary, a quick look at national public polls detailing key political environment measures as well as attitudes of voters on the pressing issues of the week. We hope that this summary will be helpful to you and your clients.

The Energy Bill passed the House this week and initial numbers are encouraging on how voters view the basic tenets of the plan - regulating greenhouse gases and cap and trade. Attitudes on Obama's healthcare plan is still unformed for most voters, with only 22% saying they have heard or seen a lot of Obama's plan. This leaves nearly one-third of all voters without an opinion about the plan itself at this time. In short, we are in only the second inning of the Health Care game but with over 60% of people feeling that the healthcare system needs a major overhaul, the time is right to play the game out

Happy Fourth of July,
John Anzalone

Issues in the News

Do you think the federal government should regulate the emission of greenhouse gases

Polling Firm	Date	Should	Should Not	Unsure
ABC/ Wash Post	6/21/09	75%	22%	3%
ABC/ Wash Post	4/24/09	75%	21%	4%

ABC/ Wash Post: Do you think the federal government should or should not regulate the release of greenhouse gases from sources like power plants, cars and factories in an effort to reduce global warming?

Support for "Cap and Trade"

Polling Firm	Date	Support/ Favor	Oppose	Unsure
ABC/ Wash Post	6/21/09	52%	42%	6%
CNN/ ORC	4/26/09	44%	51%	5%
ABC/ Wash Post	7/28/08	59%	34%	7%

ABC/ Wash Post:There's a proposed system called 'cap and trade.' The government would issue permits limiting the amount of greenhouse gases companies can put out. Companies that did not use all their permits could sell them to other companies. The idea is that many companies would find ways to put out less greenhouse gases, because that would be cheaper than buying permits. Would you support or oppose this system? CNN/ ORC: A proposal called 'cap and trade' would allow the federal government to limit the emissions from industrial facilities such as power plants and factories that some people believe cause global warming. Companies that exceed the limit could avoid fines or higher taxes by paying money to other companies that produced fewer emissions than allowed. Would you favor or oppose this proposal?

Should the Senate Confirm Judge Sotomayor

Polling Firm	Date	Should	Should Not	Unsure
ABC/ Wash Post	6/21/09	62%	25%	13%

ABC/ Wash Post: As you may know, Obama has nominated federal judge Sonia Sotomayor to serve on the U.S. Supreme Court. Do you think the U.S. Senate should or should not confirm Sotomayor's nomination to the Supreme Court?

Health Care

President Obama's Job Rating on Handling Health Care

Polling Firm	Date	Approve	Disapprove	DK
ABC/ Wash Post	6/21/09	53%	39%	9%
CBS/ NY Times	6/16/09	44%	34%	22%

Who do you trust more President Obama or Republicans in Congress on health care reform

Polling Firm	Date	Obama	Reps	Neither
ABC/ Wash Post	6/21/09	55%	27%	11%
CBS/ NY Times	6/16/09	44%	34%	22%

Awareness regarding proposals on reforming health care

Polling Firm	Date	A Lot	Some	Not Much
CBS/ NY Times	6/16/09	22%	50%	23%

CBS/ NY Times: How much have you heard or read about current proposals in Washington to reform health care?

Barack Obama's Health Care Plan

Polling Firm	Date	Good Idea/ Favor	Bad Idea/ Oppose	No Opinion
CNN/ ORC	6/28/09	51%	45%	-
NBC/ WSJ	6/15/09	33%	32%	30%
NBC/ WSJ	4/26/09	33%	26%	34%

CNN/ORC: From everything you have heard or read so far, do you favor or oppose Barack Obama's plan to reform health care? NBC/ WSJ: Turning to the issue of health care: From what you have heard about Barack Obama's health care plan, do you think his plan is a good idea or a bad idea?

Informed View on Obama's Health Care Plan

Polling Firm	Date	Favor	Oppose	Unsure
NBC/ WSJ	6/15/09	55%	35%	7%

NBC/ WSJ: Now I am going to tell you more about the health care plan that President Obama supports and please tell me whether you would favor or oppose it. The plan requires that health insurance companies cover people with pre-existing medical conditions. It also requires all but the smallest employers to provide health coverage for their employees, or pay a percentage of their payroll to help fund coverage for the uninsured. Families and individuals with lower - and middle-incomes would receive tax credits to help them afford insurance coverage. Some of the funding for this plan would come from raining taxes on wealthier Americans. Do you favor or oppose this plan?

What is Barack Obama's Health Care Plan Most Focused On

Polling Firm	Date	Cost	Coverage	Unsure
NBC/ WSJ	6/15/09	18%	64%	10%
NBC/ WSJ	4/26/09	12%	69%	7%

NBC/ WSJ: Turning to the issue of health care: From what you have heard about Barack Obama's health care plan, do you think his plan is a good idea or a bad idea?

Will the administrations health care reforms increase or decrease medical costs?

Polling Firm	Date	Increase	Decrease	Remain the same
CNN/ ORC	6/28/09	54%	17%	26%

CNN/ORC: From what you know of the health care reforms which the Administration is working on, do you think the amount you pay for medical care would increase, decrease, or remain the same?

Favor or oppose a government administered health insurance plan

Polling Firm	Date	Favor	Oppose	Unsure
CBS/ NY Times	6/16/09	72%	20%	8%

CBS/ NY Times: Would you favor or oppose the government offering everyone a government administered health insurance plan - something like the Medicare coverage that people 65 and older get - that would compete with private insurance plans?

Would government do a better or worse job providing medical coverage vs. private insurance co

Polling Firm	Date	Better	Worse	Unsure
CBS/ NY Times	6/16/09	50%	34%	14%

CBS/ NY Times: Do you think the government would do a better or worse job than private insurance companies in providing medical coverage?

Would government do a better or worse job holding down health care costs vs. private insurance co

Polling Firm	Date	Better	Worse	Unsure
CBS/ NY Times	6/16/09	59%	26%	12%

CBS/ NY Times: Do you think the government would do a better or worse job than private insurance companies in holding down health care costs?

Importance of Choice in Government Program or Private Insurance

Polling Firm	Date	Extremely Important	Quite Important
NBC/ WSJ	6/15/09	41%	35%

NBC/ WSJ: In any health care proposal, how important do you feel it is to give people a choice of both a public plan administered by the federal government and a private plan for their health insurance: extremely important, quite important, not that important, or not at all important?

Taking on Health Care Reform

Polling Firm	Date	Cannot Afford Right Now	More Important	Unsure
Kaiser Health Tracking	6/8/09	35%	61%	4%

Kaiser Health Tracking: Which comes closer to describing your own views? Given the serious economic problems facing the country we cannot afford to take on health care reform right now, OR it is more important than ever to take on health care reform now?

Diageo/ Hotline: Enacting a major overhaul of The U.S. health care system

Demographic	Date	Support
Total	6/7/09	62%

Government involvement in Health care to reduce costs

Polling Firm	Date	Favor	Oppose	Unsure
CNN/ORC	5/15/09	69%	29%	1%
CNN/ORC	2/19/09	72%	27%	1%

CNN/ORC: In general, would you favor or oppose a program that would increase the federal government's influence over the country's health care system in an attempt to lower costs and provide health care coverage to more Americans?

NBC/ WSJ: Proposals to pay for the one trillion dollars

Proposal	Date	Acceptable	Not Acceptable
Require all to get health insurance, those who can afford it can get their own	6/15/09	62%	31%
Raising taxes on those making $250K+	6/15/09	62%	33%
Require all but the smallest businesses to offer health care coverage or pay a percentage of payroll to the government	6/15/09	55%	37%
Reduce payments to doctors and hospitals for services provided to Medicare and Medicaid patients	6/15/09	47%	46%
Require people with expensive plans with more generous benefits to pay taxes on portion of that plan's cots	6/15/09	33%	59%
Require all to pay taxes on cost of private plans	6/15/09	23%	70%

NBC/ WSJ: Experts currently estimate that this proposed health care plan will cost one trillion dollars over the next decade. I am going to read you some proposals for how the plan could be funded. After I read each statement, please tell me whether that proposal is acceptable or not acceptable.

Emphasis of health care reform should be: Health care costs or providing Health insurance for all

Polling Firm	Date	Keeping costs down/ Controlling Costs	Providing insurance/ Expanding Coverage	Unsure
Ipsos/ McClatchy	5/3/09	51%	42%	8%

Ipsos/McClatch: On the topic of federal health care reform, some say that controlling costs should be the main emphasis. Others say that expanding coverage so that all Americans will have insurance should be the main emphasis. Which of these comes closest to your own personal opinion?

Government guaranteeing health insurance for all Americans

Polling Firm	Date	Should	Not Responsibility	Unsure
CBS/ NY Times	6/16/09	64%	30%	6%
CBS/ NY Times	3/12/09	62%	30%	8%

CBS/ NY Times: Do you think the federal government should guarantee health insurance for all Americans, or isn't this the responsibility of the federal government?

The Economy

Confidence in Obama has right set of goals and policies to improve the economy

Polling Firm	Date	Confident	Somewhat	Not at all
NBC/ WSJ	6/15/09	46%	24%	29%

President Obama's Job Rating on the Economy

Polling Firm	Date	Positive/ Approve	Negative/ Disapprove	DK
ABC/ Wash Post	6/21/09	56%	41%	3%
CBS/ NY Times	6/16/09	57%	35%	8%

President Obama's policies effect on the economy

Polling Firm	Date	Better	Worse	No Effect
CBS/ NY Times	6/16/09	32%	15%	48%

CBS/ NY Times: So far, do you think Barack Obama's policies have made the economy better, made the economy worse, or haven't his policies had any effect on the economy yet?

Did Obama inherit or cause the current economic conditions

Polling Firm	Date	Inherited	Obama's policies responsible	Some of both
NBC/ WSJ	6/15/09	72%	14%	10%

NBC/ WSJ: When you think about the current economic conditions do you feel that this is a situation that Barack Obama has inherited or is this a situation his policies are mostly responsible for?

Who do you trust more President Obama or Republicans in Congress on the economy

Polling Firm	Date	Obama	Reps	Neither
ABC/ Wash Post	6/21/09	55%	31%	9%
ABC/ Wash Post	4/24/09	61%	24%	11%

Are the Government actions to stabilize the economy working?

Polling Firm	Date	Govt. Actions Working	Govt. Actions Failing	Too Soon to Tell	DK
Fox	6/10/09	46%	39%	12%	3%
Fox	3/2/09	38%	44%	14%	4%

Fox: Since last fall, the federal government has spent hundreds of billions of dollars to stabilize the nation's economy. Which of the following statements do you think best describes the actions the government has taken? 1. Government actions are basically working and without them things could have been a lot worse 2. Government actions are basically failing and without them things would be the same as they are today or even better 3. Too soon to tell 4. Don't Know

Direction of Economy

Polling Firm	Date	Right Track	Wrong Track	Unsure
Pew	5/24/09	53%	39%	8%
Pew	3/30/09	50%	39%	11%
Pew	2/23/09	47%	34%	19%
Pew	1/19/09	31%	48%	21%

US Bureau of Labor Statistics Unemployment Rate

Date	Rate
May 2009	9.4%
April 2009	8.9%
Jan 2009	7.6%
May 2008	5.5%

The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index

Polling Firm	Date
CB	June	49.3
CB	May	54.9
CB	April	40.8

Social Issues

How would you want judge Sotomayor to rule in a case challenging Roe v. Wade

Polling Firm	Date	Uphold	Overturn	Unsure
ABC/ Wash Post	6/21/09	60%	34%	6%

ABC/ Wash Post: Do you think Sotomayor's racial and ethnic background plays a role in the way she decides cases as a judge, or not? IF YES: Do you think that's a good thing or a bad thing?

Roe v. Wade

Polling Firm	Date	Yes, Overturn	No, Don't Overturn
CBS/ NY Times	6/16/09	29%	64%
CNN/ORC	5/15/09	30%	68%

CBS/ NY Times: Would you like to see the Supreme Court overturn it 1973 Roe versus Wad decision concerning abortion, or not? CNN/ORC: The 1973 Roe versus Wade decision established a woman's constitutional right to an abortion, at least in the first three months of pregnancy. Would you like to see the Supreme Court completely overturn its Roe versus Wade decision, or not?

President Obama

President Obama's Popularity

Polling Firm	Date	Fav	Unfav	Und/ Neutral
Daily Kos	6/25/09	62%	32%	6%
NBC/ WSJ	6/15/09	60%	29%	11%

President Obama's Job Rating

Polling Firm	Date	Positive/ Approve	Negative/ Disapprove
CNN/ ORC	6/28/09	61%	37%
Gallup	6/28/09	59%	34%

The Parties and Congress

Party Self Identification

Polling Firm	Date	Dems	Reps	Ind
ABC/ Wash Post	6/21/09	35%	22%	37%
Pew	6/14/09	34%	25%	34%

Pew Yearly Totals of Party Identification

Polling Firm	Date	Dems	Reps	Ind
Pew	2009	35%	23%	36%
Pew	2008	36%	25%	32%
Pew	2007	33%	25%	34%
Pew	2006	33%	28%	30%

2010 Congressional Generic Ballot

Polling Firm	Date	Dems	Reps	Und/ Other	Refused
Rasmussen	6/21/09	41%	39%	20%	-
Diageo/ Hotline	6/7/09	39%	30%	31%	-

Congressional Job Rating

Polling Firm	Date	Positive/Approve	Negative/Disprove	DK
NBC/ WSJ	6/15/09	29%	57%	14%

Congressional Democrats Job Rating

Polling Firm	Date	Pos/Approve	Neg/Disprove	DK
Pew	6/14/09	42%	45%	13%

Congressional Republicans Job Rating

Polling Firm	Date	Pos/Approve	Neg/Disprove	DK
Pew	6/14/09	29%	56%	15%

United States Direction

Polling Firm	Date	Right Direction	Wrong Direction	No Opinion
ABC/ Wash Post	6/21/09	47%	50%	3%
CBS/ NY Times	6/16/09	44%	50%	6%

Anzalone Liszt Research Polls

Virginia Governor's Race

Polling Firm	Date	Deeds	McDonnell	Und
Anzalone Liszt Research	6/14/09	42%	38%	20%

Alabama Governor's Race

Polling Firm	Date	Davis	Byrne	Und
Anzalone Liszt Research	5/9/09	43%	38%	20%

Fun Facts

Fourth of July

� Fourth of July was not declared a holiday until 1941

� Uncle Sam first became popular during the War of 1812 but was not adopted as a national symbol until 1961

� The first two versions of the Liberty Bell were defective and had to be melted down and recast. The third version rang every Fourth of July from 1778 to 1835.

� The American national anthem, the "Star-Spangled Banner," is set to the tune of an English drinking song ("To Anacreon in Heaven")

� In 2002, $128.8 million worth of fireworks were imported from China

� In 2002, $7.9 million worth of American flags were imported and over half ($5.2) million) came from China

� 125,000 U.S. flags were flown over the U.S. Capitol last year at the request of House and Senate members.

Some Tweeting Facts From Tweetcongress.org

� 146 Members of Congress are on Twitter:

o 38 Democratic Representatives (8 of them are ALR clients = 23%)

o 14 Democratic Senators (2 of them are ALR clients = 15%)

o 16 Republican Senators

o 78 Republican Representatives

o 20 ALR Clients are on Twitter (or 43% of our current clients)

� Mike Doyle has the third most political tweets of any member of Congress.

� Our Top 5 clients with the most followers are:

1. Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee - 2,777
2. Artur Davis - 1,613
3. Anthony Foxx - 861
4. Kay Hagan - 768
5. Leonard Boswell - 755
Not including President Obama our clients are followed by a total of 8,992 tweeters.
President Obama is followed by 1,604,390 tweeters

Issues in the News

Do you think the federal government should regulate the emission of greenhouse gases

Polling Firm

Date

Should

Should Not

Unsure

ABC/ Wash Post

6/21/09

75%

22%

3%

ABC/ Wash Post

4/24/09

75%

21%

4%

ABC/ Wash Post: Do you think the federal government should or should not regulate the release of greenhouse gases from sources like power plants, cars and factories in an effort to reduce global warming?

Support for "Cap and Trade"

Polling Firm

Date

Support/ Favor

Oppose

Unsure

ABC/ Wash Post

6/21/09

52%

42%

6%

CNN/ ORC

4/26/09

44%

51%

5%

ABC/ Wash Post

7/28/08

59%

34%

7%

Should the Senate Confirm Judge Sotomayor

Polling Firm

Date

Should

Should Not

Unsure

ABC/ Wash Post

6/21/09

62%

25%

13%

ABC/ Wash Post: As you may know, Obama has nominated federal judge Sonia Sotomayor to serve on the U.S. Supreme Court. Do you think the U.S. Senate should or should not confirm Sotomayor's nomination to the Supreme Court?

Health Care

President Obama's Job Rating on Handling Health Care

Polling Firm

Date

Approve

Disapprove

DK

ABC/ Wash Post

6/21/09

53%

39%

9%

CBS/ NY Times

6/16/09

44%

34%

22%

Who do you trust more President Obama or Republicans in Congress on health care reform

Polling Firm

Date

Obama

Reps

Neither

ABC/ Wash Post

6/21/09

55%

27%

11%

CBS/ NY Times