February 2011 Issue 24


Greetings!  This edition marks the second anniversary of the monthly newsletters.  Twenty four newsletters!  Sometimes it has been fun and sometimes it has been a job.  The software and provider, Constant Contact is one of the more quirkier programs I've ever used.  Just this morning, upon starting this section the program wanted me to type in red 10pt Arial font.  I have never used 10pt red Arial font--but there is was.  It took three minutes to figure out that if I backspace and delete and then space bar two spaces from your first name I could get back to my favorite 12pt black Times New Roman.  Who knows why?

Anyway, the 24 editions are archived on our website and I'm thinking that when I look back on these articles a few years from now it will give me a unique perspective on where I was and what was I thinking throughout these crazy stock market days.  I started these at the suggestion of a client in February 2009 right at the bottom of the market crash (the low was March 9, 2009).  This particular client I had worked with in my prior career with the State Police and I trusted his opinion--and he was thinking that the newsletter or monthly updates would give him an idea of what was going on with his investment account.  So I thought I would give it a try--worried that I wouldn't have enough to write each and every month.  

Well, the newsletters have been a success and many of my clients like them and pass them on to their friends and relatives.  (I suspect an equal number hit the delete button before the full thing even loads.)  However, I think there is no better way to thoroughly learn a subject than having to write and publish a few paragraphs about it, and in that respect these report have benefited me more than you.   

So, we will continue to put these out no matter how difficult Constant Contact makes it--if for no other reason than it is a good way to keep me current on the complex financial world.  If you grow tired of them it is pretty easy to unsubscribe.  I don't want to be a pest about things.  Thank you for your continued support, Marty

A Pretty Good Start to 2011

 

January was a good start to the new year, with all three indices showing significant gains;

 

DJIA, up 2.89%

S&P 500 up 2.26% 

NASDAQ up 0.87%.   

(Yahoo Finance) 

 

The one area that didn't fare so well was the municipal bond market--and we often use Muni-bond mutual funds in our taxable accounts since the interest and dividends for the most part is National-tax-free.  This asset class is traditionally one of low-risk, even known as a place for Widows and Orphans accounts due to their steady flow of dividends with little worry about loss of principal.  Recently however, some people are beginning to worry about the fiscal viability of local governments and States and we need look no further than here in Maryland.  

 

With our part-time legislature in session, Annapolis is a daily drumbeat of budget problems; and Maryland enjoys the highest credit rating given.  Some estimates put the State of Maryland's current budget gap at $1.6 billion (http://www.baltimoresun.com/news/opinion/editorial/bs-ed-budget-cuts-20110104,0,7018195.story)     

 

However, as investors, if we have the time to wait out some inevitable short-term fluctuations I think the Muni-bond market is still a safe investment with the potential for some very attractive tax-free yields.  Tax-free interest payments usually means that Muni-bonds pay less interest than comparable corporate bonds.  But with the sudden worry about Muni-bonds the yields are becoming very close to corporate bond funds.  

 

To calculate your after-tax yield or effective yield, simply take the stated yield and divide it by 1 minus your marginal income tax rate.  So for example you are in a fund paying 4.28% and you're lucky enough to be in the 35% tax bracket, take your tax-free yield and divide it by .65 (1 - .35).  Or 4.28/.65 = 6.58% effective yield.  And all you are betting on is that local Governments and States pay on their debt and don't default.  Sit back and collect 6.58% effective yield just from the interest payments.  Then add on any appreciation in the bond fund price and you have the potential for a pretty good investment on your hands.

 

Living in Maryland and working for the State I have seen the great machinations the Governor and Legislature go through each year to maintain its spotless credit rating.  Democrat or Republican administrations alike covet the great credit rating since it is the key to easy credit access at low interest rates.  I don't think we will see high default rates on Municipals for the simple reason that politicians don't want to box themselves out of future credit markets.  Credit is oxygen for Governments and they can't afford to lose access just when they may need it the most.   

 

Marty 

1099's are Coming, 1099's are Coming!

Pershing LLC will mail out their 1099's on or about February 15.  FTJ started mailing them last week.  Each year the receipt of the 1099 causes quite a few questions--especially if there were sales in a taxable investment account.  So lets try to get ahead of the curve and talk about them now. 

Each year the custodian, lets use Pershing as an example, must report to the IRS and you via the 1099 the sale of a stock or fund during the previous calendar year.  For example, if you sold 100 shares of Exxon (XOM) in December 2010 for $71.50 per share Pershing will send you and the Government a 1099 for that account showing a sale for $7,150.  Sometimes people look at that number in horror and think they owe taxes on $7,150--not true.  This is where the term "Cost Basis" comes in.  Cost basis is what it cost you to buy the 100 shares of XOM.  The difference between the basis price and the sale price is what may be taxable. 

If you bought those 100 shares of XOM for $64 per share in March of 2009 you only owe taxes on the profit, or in this case, $7,150 - $6,400 or $750.  And since you held the shares for more than a year you only owe Long Term Capital Gains tax on the $750--or 15% normally, depending on your income, or $112.50.  If however you held the shares for less than a year--look out because the profit is now considered ordinary income and you are taxed at your normal income tax rate for the profit which may be as high as 35% or $262.50.  It is for this reason that investors should try to hold highly appreciated stock for at least a year (if possible) to pay the lower tax rate on the gains.

Now as we all have painfully seen over the last couple of years, not all investments end up in profits.  In that case we often sell something at a loss because we can cancel out profits in another area. 

In our XOM example we earned $750 long term capital gains.  But lets say we owned another stock that had lost value since we bought it, then we might want to sell it during the same calendar year and invest in a similar asset class stock to harvest the tax loss.  If we sold for a loss in value of $750 or more we can effectively cancel out our capital gain in XOM and thus owe zero capital gains tax.  By moving out of the stock and into a similar asset class stock or some other like-investment we don't miss the opportunity to gain should the asset class turn around, but we take our paper-loss and earn ourselves $112 in tax savings.  We can buy back in to the prior investment in 31 days if we still like it.  

So when you receive your 1099 from your custodian the first thing you should look for is the cost basis for the stock sold--but don't worry, you don't have to find it, Jenna, Mike or I will.  Just give us a call and we will research our files and report to you your cost basis for the 1099 you have.  
Good luck, Marty

   
(Material in this newsletter is provided for general information and is subject to change without notice.  Every effort has been made to compile this material from reliable sources; however no warranty can be made as to its accuracy or completeness.  All illustrations shown are hypothetical in nature and do not represent any real investments or tax situations. Actual results may vary.  The S&P 500 index is an unmanaged group of securities considered to be representative of the stock market in general.  You cannot invest directly into an index.)
At Desk
Chesapeake Investment Advisors Inc.
 Martin Knight, MBA CFP®
410-810-0735
800-994-0221
Fax: 410-810-3422
 
Securities and Advisory Services offered through Geneos Wealth Management, Inc.  Member FINRA/SIPC