January 2010
Greetings!
 
 
Two Months of winter down and just three to go! 
 
Market Recap for 2009:
 
Exchange     12/31/2009        01/01/2009   % Change
DJIA                10,428.05         8,776.39          + 18.82%
S&P 500            1,115.10            903.25          + 23.45%
NASDAQ           2,269.15          1,577.03         + 43.89%
 
2009 provided a nice comeback from the depths of despair in 2008.  We still have a way to go before we can get to the January 2008 levels but at least we are heading in the right direction.  And anyone who started their investments in 2008 and early 2009 are experiencing great returns--by having bought at pretty cheap prices. 
 
That was last year--what do we expect from next year?  I think of 2008 and early 2009 as investor panic--the world was coming to an end and our modern civilization was never going to be the same--etcetera.  I think it was a very severe recession--but not anything that would ruin capitalism; capitalism is self correcting and as much a function of human nature as it is a financial construct.  
 
Adam Smith's "invisible hand" guides humans to do what is in their best interest and it doesn't stop nudging merely due to economic turmoil or stock market panic.  Corporations and small businesses cut back on expenses the same way we all have cut back--and we and they will survive.  When a company goes out of business there is usually another one ready to step in and gain market share.     
 
So, with corporate USA and citizen USA building equity in their balance sheet it is just a matter of time before the earnings for both start to increase.  When a company feels comfortable enough with its view of the future they will re-hire employees--and the business cycle starts all over again.  
 
Over time the stock market will return the earnings to their investors--and I believe that those earnings will be significant.  With China, Russia, Brazil, India and all the new entrants into the global economy I think there are more worldwide participants than at any other time in the history of the world; and a bigger pie means a bigger slice!      
  
Marty
 
Many of you have Loomis Sayles Bond Fund in your portfolio and hopefully you, like me, have been pleased with its performance.  Well, we are not the only ones that think this is a great fund--Morningstar Inc. named the investment team "Bond Manager of the Year for 2009."  (See link for Story below).  
 
I first noticed Mr. Dan Fuss (the head manager of the fund) on the economic news talk show circuit sometime around September or October 2008.  He was frequently interviewed about the collapse of the bond markets and how it was hurting his fund--they were down 22% in 2008.  Mr. Fuss who is in his mid-70's gives a wonderful interview--honest and frank about the fund's missteps.  But he was saying what I was thinking which was basically, he thought the current bond prices were not realistic--babies were being tossed out with the proverbial bath water.  And he was buying.  I distinctly remember him saying (paraphrasing) . . . he had been in the bond buying business for over 50 years and this was the greatest opportunity for buying he had ever seen!   
 
Mr. Fuss reminds me of Warren Buffet and as you know, he's a big hero of mine so I began searching out his interviews--and he never failed to impress; so I started moving some of our managed money into his fund--and what a great year he had in 2009--up over 36% for the year--for a Bond Fund! 
 
I still like the fund going forward and it will be a staple in most of our managed accounts.  Let's hope the award doesn't go to his head.  Incidentally, Mr. Fuss is up for Bond Manager of the Decade too.   
 
RMD's are Back in 2010
 
If you are over 70 1/2 years of age we must take some money out of your IRA this year--the Required Minimum Distribution are back.  The Government gave us a tremendous break by suspending the RMD's in 2009, but I am sure they could use a little more income tax revenue this year so I don't anticipate them giving us another waiver anytime in the near future.
 
If you need to take your RMD Jenna will contact you sometime during the year to get the distribution form signed.  You will be asked if you want to have taxes withheld from your distribution--I usually recommend that you do since the IRS can levy a fine for not withholding enough taxes and we don't want to pay them anymore than we need to.   
 
The exact amount of RMD is based on your age and the end-of-year balance in all your IRA's we have under management--if you have IRA's elsewhere that other company should be in touch with you for the RMD from that account.  Of course, if you need some money now you can take your RMD at anytime during the calendar year. 
 
Thanks, Marty
Issue: 11

Concept of the MonthSocial Security

As we move on in our Social Security section we need to start thinking about a couple of strategies for taking our benefits.  We wrote in last month's column about how exactly the monthly benefit is calculated and how we can increase the monthly payment by postponing the start date.  In one of the adjoining articles this month I talk about Life Insurance.  Well, if you are married, the SS payments have a survivor benefit that can act as a type of life insurance for the one who is left behind.   

What exactly happens when a spouse dies and both parties were receiving SS pension checks?  The simple answer and the general rule is that the survivor keeps the highest monthly check and the smaller one is eliminated.  In that household that means monthly income drops by up to 50% since instead of two checks there is now only one.  Now maybe expenses dropped when one spouse died-but did they really drop by 30%-50%?  Could it be that the surviving spouse still needs to pay the utilities, the mortgage, the car insurance, real estate taxes, car payments, rent, phone bill etc. even though their spouse just died?  Of course they do.  But now instead of receiving two SS checks they get just one-so it is vitally important to get that one check as high as possible.      

A popular strategy is for the spouse with the highest Primary Insurance Amount (PIA) to wait as long as possible before taking their benefit.  Remember, each year past the Full Retirement Age (FRA) increases the PIA by 8% up until a 32% increase.  So (excluding COLA's which only intensify the effect) if both parties have an equal  $1,000 per month PIA-if one waits until age 70, then the $1,000 will increase to $1,320.   The survivors benefit then is also increased 32% and would be $1,320 (the highest monthly payment) rather than $1,000.

Now, all is not lost to the spouse who waits.  Here is an important point so pay attention!  The spouse who is waiting until age 70 can, in the meantime, apply for and collect the Spouse's benefit.  I would bet a dollar to a dozen donuts that there are folks out there who are waiting until age 70 and are not taking the spouses benefit.  They are simply leaving free money on the table and probably don't even know it; the spousal benefit is a little known feature of your SS benefit. 

Simply, the spousal benefit is 50% of the spouse who has taken, or can take their SS benefit.  So in our example, the spouse who is postponing taking their benefit can apply for the spouse's benefit and receive a check for about $500 per month-and then when they turn 70 convert back to their own PIA-which would be 32% higher than at 66.  (Heck, you don't even have to be married to the other spouse anymore; so long as you were married for at least 10 years before the divorce you can apply for a spousal benefit based on the ex-spouse's earnings.  And the ex doesn't even need to know about it-all that is required is that the ex has reached Full Retirement Age.)   

Here we write of equal PIA's-but we know that rarely happens.  The tactic of postponing and taking the spouses benefit works even better if the one who postpones is the one with higher PIA.  This leaves a larger survivor benefit and higher monthly payments when they turn 70. 

Again, the bottom line is that every situation is very specific to the people involved.  Lifetime earnings, life expectancies and retirement goals all play a part in Social Security planning.  I would highly recommend an outside perspective from a financial advisor who knows something about Social Security before making any final decisions.  It is very likely that at least one half of a couple is going to live for a long time;  the decision as to who's benefit to take may have 20 to 30 or more years of consequences behind it.   Marty
Book I am reading now:  Never Call Retreat by Bruce Catton
1965, Doubleday & Company, Inc. Garden City, NY
 
 
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 Martin Knight, MBA CFP®
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