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Survey Suggests Law Firm Economics May Be Stabilizing
Law Firms Post-Recovery: How They'll Hire and Whom They'll Serve
Attorneys: Long Term Jobs Outlook
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Greetings!

As the season draws to a close and we enjoy the last few days of summer, it is time to turn our attention to the challenges that fall is likely to bring. Though the overall national employment outlook is mixed, we have noticed signs of life in the legal sector of Colorado. We have seen local growth in litigation, regulatory, and intellectual property groups. 
 
Take a moment to review the attached articles that pertain to both the immediate and longer term outlook of legal hiring trends. 
As always, please check out our featured attorney and legal staff candidates in the upper left hand corner of this newsletter. The resumes of both our featured candidates and our other top candidates can also be viewed on the 'Recruiting' page of our website at www.lawqteam.com. 
 
Savor these last days of summer and feel free to contact us with any of your recruiting or employment questions!
.

Truly yours,
 
R. Christopher Newton
LAW Q, LLC


Survey Suggests Law Firm Economics May Be Stabilizing
Karen Sloan
The National Law Journal
 

The legal industry is not poised to make a miraculous recovery in the immediate future, but for the time being things aren't getting any worse.
 
That's the gist of the latest Hildebrandt International Peer Monitor Economic Index, which tracked demand for legal services, attorney productivity, billing rates and direct and overhead expenses at large and midsize law firms during the second quarter of 2009.

The index has been on a steady decline since the second quarter of 2008, but it ticked up slightly last quarter - an indication that the economic situation for law firms may be bottoming out.
 
"The message is that demand is still pretty soft and pricing is still pretty soft, but the management decisions firms have made has helped," said Hildebrandt consultant Lisa Smith. "We're not seeing significant drops anymore, and it seems like we are stabilizing."
 
Demand for legal services and productivity both remained weak during the second quarter compared to one year earlier but those drop-offs were not as large as they were during the first quarter. For example, productivity was down by 11.5 percent during the first quarter and just under 9 percent during the second quarter. Demand for transaction work including corporate, mergers and acquisitions and capital markets was still far below where it was during the second quarter of 2008 but was flat or slightly up compared to the first quarter of 2009.

The biggest element helping law firms compensate for low billing rate growth, slow demand and low productivity was that their cost-cutting measures were paying off, according to the report. For the first time in the four-year history of the index, both direct expenses and overhead expenses at law firms declined. Direct expenses, which primarily refers to compensation, were down by nearly 2 percent compared to the second quarter of 2008.

"Much of this has been achieved through headcount reduction along with adjustments in compensation structures," the report said.

Law firm headcount fell by 2 percent during the second quarter, a "slight acceleration" compared to the first quarter, the report said. Due to severance packages and lags in departure times, firms were finally feeling the full effect of the layoffs that began in late 2008.

Overheard expenses dropped by 0.5 percent during the second quarter, which indicates that firms have become more successful in controlling their costs, according to the report. The document forecast that both direct and overhead expenses will continue to drop during the second half of 2009, with firms taking even bigger steps to roll back costs.
"The legal industry's success in systematically reducing expenses will give firms greater confidence and leeway in addressing other issues and exploring new approaches to the law firm business model, such as alternative compensation and pricing models, to position themselves for continued success in a low-growth environment," the report said.
*reprinted with permission 2009 
Law Firms Post-Recovery: How They'll Hire and Whom They'll Serve
Gina Passarella
 The Legal Intelligencer
 
As firms climb out of the morass that is today's economy, the type of work they do will largely remain unchanged, but the people doing the work and the clients they serve could be quite different.
Industry consultants and firm leaders alike anticipate law firms will primarily model themselves to suit their clients' geographic needs, rather than focusing on diversifying practices. As the economy rebounds, they also expect hiring levels similar to those seen pre-recession, but firms will likely hire fewer partner-track associates as part of that push.
While many firms pointed to practice diversification as their saving grace through the financial sector collapse, most consultants and firm leaders said the largest of firms are already offering a pretty broad array of services, albeit for perhaps bigger clients or higher-end matters.
So those firms aren't going to push to diversify to combat slowdowns in other practices, Hildebrandt's Joseph Altonji said. But he does see a narrowing of the client type they serve, and he doesn't mean by industry.
"Firms of all sizes are going to begin optimizing their service models around the type of clients and work they can handle," he said.
Altonji said he is already seeing opportunities for midsize firms to acquire laterals from the largest firms and said that is a good thing. While some may be getting pushed out of the large firms, many lawyers and clients are repositioning themselves. Why would a partner, even with a profitable, strong practice, stay in a firm with thousands of lawyers around the world -- and the infrastructure that entails -- when his practice is focused mainly in one geographic area, Altonji questioned.
"So I think what you're going to start to see is some of the bigger firms will optimize around broad swaths of work that need that infrastructure," he said. "Other firms will start to optimize around more local practices."
This isn't to say that clients won't use both types of firm, he said. But there are only a handful of firms that currently meet the truly global model and only a certain number of clients who require such a reach, he said.
Recruiter Robert Nourian of Coleman Nourian said while firms that traditionally have focused on slightly lower-rate, middle-market work for a diversified client base are thinking now that they made the right move, larger firms aren't going to be suddenly looking to get into lower-rate work. Instead, firms are back to asking the old questions of whether they need to be national, regional or international.
"I think if you're focusing on regions, then you have to be more diversified in terms of the clients you bring in," Nourian said.
Firms with 400 to 600 lawyers that are in-between a regional and truly national model might have the toughest time because they have fairly regional practices with national offices and ambitions to match, he said.
"I think it's going to be hard to establish themselves as a regional player in every region in which they want to service," Nourian said.
So those firms might need to develop a national reputation and go after national clients. When there was a lot of work to be had, that was easier to do, he said. In this economy, that goal becomes much more difficult to achieve. Many firms are still at the drawing board stage, looking to figure out how they fit into this new market.
FREE YOUR MIND
So once the model is selected, who will be doing the work? Well right now it's no one new.
Nourian said firms aren't hiring much at all and even when they are, it's to refill vacancies in busy practice areas. They are reluctant to bring in anyone new, even into a busy practice area, because they are often conducting layoffs in other practices, he said.
And the traditional partner-track associate hiring is "virtually non-existent," Nourian said.
Both Nourian and Altonji said hiring practices are pretty cyclical and firms will start to bulk back up as the economy improves. It's whom they might bring on board that could change.
"I think you'll see that hiring will change," Altonji said. "We're really looking at a rethinking of how you bring people along and the other thing that will happen is a rethinking about what kind of people we actually need to do the work."
The distribution of starting salaries has a high point at the big firms of around $145,000, a big trough in the middle for people who aren't making it to the big firm world and then the majority of graduates who come out making around $65,000 to $70,000, he said.
It's that middle group that typically was passed over by the large firms that will now have a shot as firms start to think about what types of people need to do certain levels of work. They will start to move away from wanting only the top Ivy League graduates in their firms, he said.
Firms aren't going to go back to the same level of hiring for partner-track associates, Altonji said. Firms still need to hire for the traditional associate track because they will be future leaders of the firm, Nourian said, but there won't be as much of that hiring.
Instead, firms will focus on staff lawyers with credentials maybe only half a step below the traditional associate level to help in a support capacity.
"There's chiefs and there's Indians," Nourian said. "Somewhere down the pyramid you can have some folks who maybe aren't Ivy League grads."
Those staff attorneys typically have fewer hours, capped compensation and different bonus opportunities, he said.
While firms are loosening their traditional standards at the associate level through hiring staff attorneys, they are becoming all the more critical of partner-track associates and partners.
Nourian said the two phenomena aren't inconsistent. He said there could be more of an up-or-out philosophy when it comes to partners and fewer people will be made partners.
Firms are currently having difficult conversations with a number of partners who are either being de-equitized or sometimes asked to leave.
"Firms don't want to have to do that again in any major way," Nourian said. "But if you're more careful about who enters the partnership ranks from the start, you don't have to do that."
Pepper Hamilton partner-level hiring partner Joan Arnold has definitely been more closely scrutinizing potential laterals and the books of business they promise to bring along. She said the firm is paying more critical attention to the parameters it has always had in place.
"You're more risk averse today in that you want to have more comfort that the choices you're making are long-term," she said.
But Arnold said the firm was always focused on strategic hiring rather than expansive hiring. So its focus hasn't changed too much with the down economy and won't change drastically as the economy improves.
Nourian said firms aren't looking to make investments right now in partners that might not pay off for a few years, but he said that will change as the recession ends and firms feel more confident in taking some risks. 

*reprinted with permission 2009
Attorneys: Long Term Jobs Outlook
JobbankUSA.com
 
Employment of lawyers is expected to grow about as fast as the average through 2012, primarily as a result of growth in the population and in the general level of business activities. Employment growth of lawyers also will result from growth in demand for legal services in such areas as elder, antitrust, environmental, and intellectual-property law. In addition, the wider availability and affordability of legal clinics and prepaid legal service programs should result in increased use of legal services by middle-income people.

Growth in demand will be somewhat mitigated, because, in an effort to reduce money spent on legal fees, many businesses increasingly are using large accounting firms and paralegals to perform some of the same functions that lawyers do. For example, accounting firms may provide employee-benefit counseling, process documents, or handle various other services previously performed by a law firm. Also, mediation and dispute resolution increasingly are being used as alternatives to litigation.

Competition for job openings should continue to be keen because of the large number of students graduating from law school each year. Graduates with superior academic records from well-regarded law schools will have the best job opportunities. Perhaps as a result of competition for attorney positions, lawyers are increasingly finding work in nontraditional areas for which legal training is an asset, but not normally a requirement-for example, administrative, managerial, and business positions in banks, insurance firms, real-estate companies, government agencies, and other organizations. Employment opportunities are expected to continue to arise in these organizations at a growing rate.

As in the past, some graduates may have to accept positions in areas outside of their field of interest or for which they feel overqualified. Some recent law school graduates who have been unable to find permanent positions are turning to the growing number of temporary staffing firms that place attorneys in short-term jobs until they are able to secure full-time positions. This service allows companies to hire lawyers on an "as-needed" basis and permits beginning lawyers to develop practical skills while looking for permanent positions.

Due to the competition for jobs, a law graduate's geographic mobility and work experience assume greater importance. The willingness to relocate may be an advantage in getting a job, but, to be licensed in another State, a lawyer may have to take an additional State bar examination. In addition, employers are increasingly seeking graduates who have advanced law degrees and experience in a specialty, such as tax, patent, or admiralty law.

Employment growth for lawyers will continue to be concentrated in salaried jobs, as businesses and all levels of government employ a growing number of staff attorneys and as employment in the legal services industry grows. Most salaried positions are in urban areas where government agencies, law firms, and big corporations are concentrated. The number of self-employed lawyers is expected to decrease slowly, reflecting the difficulty of establishing a profitable new practice in the face of competition from larger, established law firms. Moreover, the growing complexity of law, which encourages specialization, along with the cost of maintaining up-to-date legal research materials, favors larger firms.

For lawyers who wish to work independently, establishing a new practice will probably be easiest in small towns and expanding suburban areas. In such communities, competition from larger, established law firms is likely to be less keen than in big cities, and new lawyers may find it easier to become known to potential clients.

Some lawyers are adversely affected by cyclical swings in the economy. During recessions, demand declines for some discretionary legal services, such as planning estates, drafting wills, and handling real-estate transactions. Also, corporations are less likely to litigate cases when declining sales and profits result in budgetary restrictions. Some corporations and law firms will not hire new attorneys until business improves, and these establishments may even cut staff to contain costs. Several factors, however, mitigate the overall impact of recessions on lawyers; during recessions, for example, individuals and corporations face other legal problems, such as bankruptcies, foreclosures, and divorces requiring legal action.

 
*reprinted with permission 2009