Avgroup log
Summer, 2010
Vol 7, Issue 3
Observations on Our Industry
Thoughts and Commentary
In This Issue
Business Jet Activity Grows
FAA Nixes Airport Drilling
Three Year Tsunami
Safety First
Quick Links
Greetings!
Pen & Ink logo

Just when we thought we were seeing the light at the end of the tunnel, we realized the light turned out to be a train.  The gulf erupted in oil, a majority of the newly employed turned out to be temporary census workers, and the realization of huge tax increases at the beginning of 2011 began to sink in.  Then the stock market enthusiasm of 2009 disappeared.  Gallup Polls reported that the president's approval rating (49%) sank below that of any of the last 12 presidents (going back to Truman) at this point in their presidency. Only approval ratings of the failed presidency of Jimmy Carter (39%) and Johnson (48%) during the thick of Viet Nam were lower than Obama's today.  And then there was Greece and the falling Euro. It has been a fun year.

 

Most of the business jet production predictors don't see a real upward trend until at least 2013. But in the meantime we are still a global economy that relies on speed, and nothing goes faster than in the air.  After reading Bill Garvey's Viewpoint article, Studebaker Time, I was inspired to write The Need for Speed at Hangar Talk. It's a little bit of aviation history that I think you will enjoy.

 

Strategic planning and innovation are critical for every business, especially at this point in the business cycle.  The Aviation Group has assisted several hundred aviation businesses, entrepreneurs, and others with innovation and strategic plans. A year ago in Will Innovation Lead the Way?, I explained how Outcome Innovation (ODI) has become a highly respected and successful innovation tool. A product developed with ODI just won the Gold Edison Award. This was just the latest of many success stories. In partnership with Strategyn Ventures we are working with several aviation companies to innovate with ODI.  See the coupon at the end of this newsletter for a one-hour free telephone consultation with me and one other member of The Aviation Group Team.

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Business Jet Activity Grows
What Moves Must be Serviced
ARGUS logo

ARGUS International reported that all business aircraft flight activity climbed 7.9 percent in May compared to a year ago.  This was less than half the rate of increase that was being recorded in the first quarter of 2010.  However, in that quarter the comparisons were being made to a dismal Q1 of 2009.  Aviation International News commenting on the ARGUS data said, "Activity was positive across all aircraft types: mid-size jets led with a 13.6-percent increase over May 2009, followed by light jets (8.3 percent), large-cabin jets (5.2 percent) and turboprops (3.5 percent). Part 135 charter operators saw their flying climb by 8.6 percent, while Part 91 and fractional operators each logged a 7.9-percent increase. Notably, mid-size jet activity at Part 135 charter operators soared by a whopping 24.6 percent."

 

I believe ARGUS's TraqPak data is the most accurate and timely data on business jet activity.  You can find a link to their TraqPak database in the links section of this newsletter.
 
FAA Nixes Airport Drilling

This isn't deep water


CrosstrailYou would think if you discovered gas on a part of your 9.300 acre airport land and it could be drilled and recovered safely after jumping through all the environmental hoops, it would be a slam dunk, especially if the royalties would balance your budget.  Think again.  The Pittsburgh Tribune reported, in a story headlined FAA says drilling at airports can't be used to balance budget, that gas royalties, from the gas-rich Marcellus shale formation a mile below Pittsburgh International and Allegheny County airports, can not be invested in the airports. I fail to see the difference between rent paid by Starbucks on an airport and gas royalties.  I guess the solution is to increase landing fees, PFCs, and other taxes to balance the airports' budgets.  Only in Washington does this make sense.
 
The Three Year Tsunami
And the Cat with Nine Lives

WavesIt was in the fall of 2007 when the worst case of prosecutorial excess struck the general aviation industry.  But it was the week of June 7, 2010 that the final nail may have been driven into the coffin of one of the most bizarre and saddest stories in general aviation history.

 

In 2007 an aggressive lawyer at the FAA, decided that the operations of TAG Aviation USA were not legal, and despite perfect safety and operations record, revoked their air carrier certificate, and assessed the company a $10 million fine, the largest FAA fine in history.

 

What was left of TAG Aviation, USA's assets were sold in early 2008 to JetDirect Aviation, which could not handle the influx of more than 100 business jets to their operations.  JetDirect declared bankruptcy in early 2009, stiffing employees, customers, and vendors.  A third resurrection, under the name of Wayfarer Aviation, was attempted by Robert Pinkas of Brantley Partners.  Wayfarer was the name of another highly regarded aircraft management company started by the Rockefeller family.  (The original White Plains-based Wayfarer Aviation had been acquired by TAG in 1999.)  This effort, too, failed, and Brantley investors removed Pinkas from any management of Wayfarer.

 

Most recently Arcadia Aviation, a relatively new company, has signed a binding letter of intent to acquire certain assets, which can only mean the "10 or more" Part 135 air carrier certificate of Wayfarer.  Arcadia acquired two very small FBOs at, Martinsburg, VA, and Monticello, NY.  Monticello is in the Catskill Mountains near the site of the infamous Woodstock Festival held during the summer of love.  Neither of these are centers of business jet activity.  But Wayfarer's customers could use some love.  We will have to wait and see if this deal closes.  Is this the end of the story?  Stay tuned.
Safety First
But how do we define it?


Safety First

It was a year ago when I wrote A Tale of Two Standards.  Not much has changed to resolve this issue.  I received a few calls about this article and have had numerous discussions but no one seems to want to comment publicly.  So I have just published a poll on Hangar Talk where you can vote anonymously.  Comments are still welcome.  Just go to the article and at the end you will find a link for comments at the end of this and every article on Hangar Talk.  I would love to hear from you on this subject, or about anything else.

Thanks for reading,

Jim Haynes

couponFree Consult

If you own a general aviation service business and would like to discuss how we have helped other companies develop a growth plan and how we might help you, send me an e-mail to schedule a time to talk.  Just put the word "Consult" in the subject line.  I will reply to your email suggesting a time for a one-hour call.  I will also include a short list of questions about your company that will help make the time as productive as possible.  You are welcome to include anyone on you management team on the call.  I will ask one other member of The Aviation Group's Team to be on the call.


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