BAGAKOAA; 22 April 2012 Liquid Metal=Liquid Assets

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April/2012

 

According to my records, Thursday night the 19th was the last time you heard from me. I apologize. I know there are a handful of you like my aunt Kay who are probably worried enough to say a prayer that I am Ok. Then there is a handful of you who are saying, well, nothing because you didn't even know I had not sent anything out.

 

To the rest of you, just a quick one tonight.

 

I actually went to start this about 4 times this weekend. Friday was bit hectic as it was day two of Devin's big knee adventure. (BTW, Thursday days post I Kneed My Pain Med, was the most read post of all time. 46 out of 54 readers opened that post. Thank you.

 

Friday was a stay close to Devin day and watch her get antsy as the minutes dragged on. Now you have heard me use the phrase "Sittin On Ready" in this blog on many occasions. Well, I actually have a picture of what it looks like.

 

That picture was taken at about 11:30 AM PST. Devin was sitting on the edge of her bed, sunglasses on and looking beautiful and ready for her post op meeting with the doctor. The problem was, her appointment was not until 2:15 PM PST. But there she sat on the edge of the bed, "Sittin On Ready".

 

The meeting went well and she is healing extremely fast. Her doctor credits that to the great shape she is in. She can now put full weight on her leg, but still must use crutches for balance. She can start physical therapy on Tuesday. All the news was good except for the doctor saying she should curtail her running. All other exercise should be OK. She has already started planning her approach for the clime to the two mountain peaks in our local mountain Saddleback. Ted, that was a warning.

 

Devin is doing well and she got out today to attend a Mother Daughter wedding shower for my assistant's (Ellen) daughter's wedding. Kristin and Devin headed to the Balboa Bay Club for a lovely afternoon. Thanks to all of you who have wished Devin a speedy recovery. Karen thanks for the Banana Cream Pie.

 

I got to sneak out an hour to join the guys Saturday Morning. The rest of the weekend was spent making sure my wonderful wife had all the things she needed. (And did she need a lot. There were about 4 occasions when she called me upstairs to get something that was down stairs. I even started wondering if in fact she was not doing it on purpose? But I know she loves me way too much for that.) I really didn't mind. She did tell Jack and Kristin, how helpful I was being. Of course that was after I asked her to tell them how helpful I was being.

 

Saturday night, quite late, Devin was not feeling well and I had to run an errand to the drug store. When I came back, Jack had fixed her some oatmeal, sliced apples, and peanut butter. I was thinking what a wonderful child. So thoughtful and kind. I tucked him in and told him how proud I was of him. Then as I shut off our upstairs lights, I noticed our kitchen lights were still on. No problem. I went into the kitchen and OMG, you would have thought Emiril Lagasse and Wolfgang Puck had gotten into a gourmet cook off. There was dishes and cutting boards and knives, and peanut bitter, and apple corer/slicers an open container of milk and a drum of oatmeal all over the kitchen. So thoughtful and kind.

 

On occasion, I did get to read Barron's cover to cover, so let's get too it before I get lazy and sign off.

 

 

 

Liquid Metal to Liquid Assets

 

Before we get into the week goneth and the week cometh, let talk about a couple of wins. We were bragging about our quick turn of our Apple Calls we sold for a nice gain. On Friday we sold out of our positions in LQMT, Liquid Metal. We got a natural double for the main account and quite a few others. We mentioned it here several times suggesting you use the Vegas Money as it was extremely speculative and a penny stock.

 

We took the double and so did about eight of the accounts we manage. I like creating tax problems like that. We had a sizable position so it was a good day. We will watch this stock and see of the value subsides to its 20 cent level again. If so we will be back in and hope for the iPhone 5 rumor to come again.

 

The week that was.

 

The Dow was up 1.4% on the week and the S&P 500 was up .6%. I was suggesting a really bad week. Uh, I was talking about AAPL, yeah that's the ticket, I was talking about AAPL down 4% on the week. Ok I got the week wrong.

 

Our main portfolio was call out of GWW because of a silly set of call options I sold about 9 days ago. I got to keep the premium for selling the call options, but my strike price was 13 dollar below where the stock ended up on Friday. It worked out, I gains the trades by .003%, plus the dividend I received earlier this year. Not the brightest call option I ever sold, but we are now out of Grainger. Good stock.

 

The week ahead.

 

I got a l busy week this week personally and professionally, so I do not know how much time I will have to writing this, so let me get most of the key points to keep an eye out laid out tonight.

 

Monday

 

Australia reports Producer Price Index number was expect inflation to be in check, perhaps a small bump but nothing too scary.

 

Tuesday

 

Our Fed has its monetary policy meetings on Tuesday and Wednesday with most of any news breaking Tuesday. I am sure we will see yet another confirmation that there will be no QE III and Mr. Market won't like despite the fact he has heard it twice already. The meeting will be wrapped up with comments by Uncle Ben Bernanke. Watch this close to see if he surprises us. Australia follows its Producer's Price Index with the consumer price index, again we are assuming a small bump. We also have some retail reports due out which should be positive due to frugal fatigue and decent weather. The Case Schiller home price report is out and prices are expected to recover an eeny teeny bit. If not, an unhappy market. New Home sale numbers are expected to be up a teeny eeny bit. A disappointment would be disappointing. Consumer confidence comes out and the brains think it will be down a little. We can't argue that, but suggest maybe a little lower than some are thinking. The Richmand Fed report comes out and should follow the NY and Philly numbers down.

 

Wednesday

 

The UK releases its Q1 GDP and most expect a contraction. If the contraction is worse than expected, that will chase the market around the globe to the downside. We have the weekly mortgage application numbers and the consensus is up with refi's doing most of the lifting. We will also have a disappointing durable good order number but most are expecting a lower number.

 

Thursday

 

New Zealand announce its monetary policy. ZZZZZZzz. We will also get consumer and business sentiment figures out of the Eurozone. It will be lower. We will have initial jobless claims as usual and as we mentioned last week, with business starting to hire, people are coming out of the shadows to look for work and many get back on the unemployment roles so we could see this number increase for a good reason. We will also have pending home sales reporting. They are expected to rise a little, we think not. A disappointment for Mr. Market.

 

Friday

 

Look for the empirical evidence of a slowing economy as the GDP is expected to drop to 2.5% from 3.0. This will be followed by consumer sentiment which is expected to be unchanged. Look for a disappointment. Japan will state its monetary policy and look for no changes. It also has a string economic data to release Consumer Price Index (March) Household Spending (March) Unemployment (March) Industrial Output (March) Retail Sales (March). France will report consumption and price information and we expect disappointments. France will report consumption and price information and we expect disappointments.

 

And that is the week ahead. I did have some time to run the 36 stocks I screened using the Auer Fund Screen we talked about last week through the Buffet Screener and have found a few nice looking candidates. Would you like a teaser? LXU, GA, and ESIC. A little more homework before we look for entry points when the market recovers.

 

Salve Lucrum 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Brian Ireland
 
Since 4/5/2012
BAGAKOAA;

I am not a professional investment advisor. Anybody reading my blog and investing accordingly must be out of their minds. I have made more money than I have lost. There are many more qualified people than I to actually tell you how to invest your money.

BAGAKOAA=Boys And Girls And Kids Of All Ages

Salve Lucrum=Latin for Hurrah for Profit.

2012 Year Ending

Dow 13,073

S&P 500 1,358

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