BAGAKOAA; 13 October 2011Time To Dangle Your Toes? 

Post 520 CLICK HERE To See Past PostsOctober/2011

Today it was a scorcher.

scorcher

We got up early and had the dogs out and even at 5:35 it was quite warm, but what a wonderful moon. It was so bright it was sparkling. We got the dogs back up stairs and woke up man child, jumped in the shower and scurried off to work to get ready for another day of meetings.

 meeting hell

We did manage to plow through quite a few e-mails first thing and I saw one of the most amazing videos ever, sent to us by my buddy Douglas N., In the UK. I don't usually share this kind of stuff because there is so much of it plying around, but you got to see this amazing clip. Another contact told me this video received more than one million hits in the first 24 hours. Here it is:

biker deer 

 

 

Thought you'd like that. That is why I do not got mountain biking in Africa.

 

Anyway, after the meetings I snuck away (I know you can't really sneak way in BMW 650 I convertible.) to catch a few minutes of Jack's team play one of their cross town rivals Mater Dei. We got crunched in this game played in the 97 degree heat. The heat was taken its toll on Devin as well. Tough afternoon.

 

We picked up some Barbeque and had a restful night. We were all tired. We did not have a pear salad. A reader was quite perturbed that we keep going on and on about the pear salad at Hanna's. I won't mention it again, tonight. BTW, a reader (My Lovely Wife) pointed out I misspelled Hanna's name the other night. The bright and beautiful young lady, future economist of the world Hannah, was inadvertently referred to as Hanna. Sorry Hannah.

It's Time To Dangle Your Toes

 dangle toes

Is this correction over? Yes, we called it last night and it was confirmed by The IBD, AAII, and the JOURNAL. Is it time to move all your monies back into equities? NO. Is the end of this correction a sign that market will go shooting back up to 1,400 in the S&P and 14,000 in the DOW? NO. Might this be a time to think about getting back into your truly magnificent stocks? Maybe. We did today.

 

As we mentioned we moved into NUAN yesterday and added more today. We added to our WY positions. We added to our GLW positions. We are adding in small chuncks. What does that mean? It differs from portfolio to portfolio as we are doing this as a percentage of position. In one portfolio it could be 100 shares in another it could be 10 shares. In the Salve Lucrum portfolio we added to AMZN and AAPL. We are enjoying a nice 14% gain in AMZN so we are locking in an 8% gain with a stop order and insuring it with the same PUT orders we had a month ago.

 

What we like about what we read in the market today was the low volume on a down day. This indicates some market stabilization (Note the VIX was down again) and a possible end to the short position shenanigans.

 

In reading what happen in the market as we did not get to see much of it, JPM earnings call this morning could have been a real anchor to the good ship rally, but it was taken in stride. JPM disappointed today coming it right at a very reduced expectation of $1.02 a share. That was 25% drop, and they blamed the Euro mess for some of their woes. (Why not everyone else is.) The stock was down 6.5%, and the company is already (like about a half hour ago) announcing layoffs globally. Why should you care?

 

Look at the numbers the market is flat, a stock comes down 6.5% because they just about made their earnings. Possible an over correction? It is selling at $31.60 a share, throwing a 3.6% dividend with target prices starting in the mid 40s going to the low fifties. Any thrill seekers out there? WE DO NOT own JPM but fold the value intriguing.

 

Another reason we liked what we saw today was that the DOW and the S&P are teasing their resistance levels 11,700 and 1,250 respectively. If they can keep teasing it for a few days, we will see the eggheads work their algorithms up a couple of percent and we will have more upside room to run before program trading pushes the number back down.

 

If you are brave of heart and done your homework now I mean really done your homework,don't read the good news about GOOG and go out and buy it. Don't think ISRG has a nice chart and go out and buy it. Don't read this blog and think that JPM is undervalued and go out and buy it. PLEASE do your homework. This is not the market to be playing whims. Good luck and keep a good defense in mind.

 

Salve Lucrum

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Brian Ireland
BAGAKOAA;

I am not a professional investment advisor. Anybody reading my blog and investing accordingly must be out of their minds. I have made more money than I have lost. There are many more qualified people than I to actually tell you how to invest your money.

BAGAKOAA=Boys And Girls And Kids Of All Ages

Salve Lucrum=Latin for Hurrah for Profit.

Tool Box

  
  
  
  
  
  
 
 
hannas