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Greetings!
Now that I help owners sell their business (I think the hot new term is Exit Planning) I find people are asking me frequently: What is my business worth? That is, how much can I sell it for? Frankly, I am finding a lot of misconceptions. Some business owners believe their business is worth a lot more than it really is. Well, here's the lowdown. First, I am talking about businesses with a profitable track record and between $2 and $50 million in annual revenues. These are the businesses I deal with and can speak about.
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Buyers of these businesses are most of all looking at future cash flow to pay back the purchase price over a given number of years, the quicker the better. This estimated payback period drives value. From the payback period you can calculate value components - you may have heard of such terms as earnings multiple or capitalization rate. The payback period typically ranges from a low of two years in a very risky business without stable cash flow and staying power and up to six or even seven years in special cases. If you were looking for an 8 - 12 multiple those days are passed unless you are Facebook. A profitable company with good growth prospects will permit a longer payback period. These payback periods correspond to cash flow multiples of between 2 and 7. The greater the risk associated with the cash flow, the quicker the necessary payback and the lower the business value. A track record of stable or growing cash flow usually means less risk and more value. However, the potential buyer is always trying to gauge future risk as best he can.
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Buyers of these businesses are most of all looking at future cash flow to pay back the purchase price over a given number of years, the quicker the better. This estimated payback period drives value. From the payback period you can calculate value components - you may have heard of such terms as earnings multiple or capitalization rate. The payback period typically ranges from a low of two years in a very risky business without stable cash flow and staying power and up to six or even seven years in special cases. If you were looking for an 8 - 12 multiple those days are passed unless you are Facebook. A profitable company with good growth prospects will permit a longer payback period. These payback periods correspond to cash flow multiples of between 2 and 7. The greater the risk associated with the cash flow, the quicker the necessary payback and the lower the business value. A track record of stable or growing cash flow usually means less risk and more value. However, the potential buyer is always trying to gauge future risk as best he can.
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