What's Going on in the Market?
Placer County
March 2007 - Vol 2, Issue 3
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Greetings!
Green River Chicago

If going to Ireland to celebrate this St. Patrick's Day isn't in your budget, try Chicago! Chicago starts their celebration by dying the river green, changing building lights downtown to green and hosting huge parades both Saturday and Sunday. Most Chicagoans are dressed in green and Irish garb for the occasion and of course every Irish bar has green beer, corned beef & cabbage and Irish dancers.

Since we don't live in Chicago I'd like to give you our local update. 2007 has picked up quite a bit in Placer county. In Placer county we've seen a 38% increase from December to January in pending sales and multiple offers have started emerging again. Buyers confidence has increased which is great news for sellers who have been waiting patiently.

I recently mailed out an article about working with a good financial advisor. I'd like to follow up on that with information about the subprime lending market. The last six weeks have dramatically started to reshape the subprime market. We've seen over 30 subprime lenders go out of business and loan requirements are getting much more stringent. We've also seen the stock market drop sharply this week. This is a good reminder that working with a reputable and experienced financial advisor is important in creating and managing your financial goals.

May you get all your wishes but one, so you always have something to strive for. (old Irish saying)

Happy Saint Patrick's Day
Kia Kapci

During the boom, lenders gave homeowners loans they couldn't afford. Now they're feeling the consequences.

When a certain $126,000 subprime loan on a $696,000 house on the West Coast failed to produce a single mortgage payment, alarm bells went off at Clayton Holdings, a company that monitors credit risk.

Closer scrutiny revealed other red flags. The borrower's previous rent payment had been $1,000, compared to the $4,482 she was supposed to be shelling out for both the primary loan and the $126,000 piggyback. And her stated income was $84,000 even though she was an hourly worker at Target.

"We do an autopsy to find out what caused the loss of blood," says Keith Johnson, Clayton's COO. "It's a CSI subprime."

In the past few weeks, the bodies have been piling up fast and furiously. Fallout from subprime mortgages - that is, home loans to borrowers with a blemished credit history - gone bad has wreaked havoc on the industry.

Big names Washington Mutual (Charts) and HSBC have reported hits tied to their subprime business and there has been a nonstop barrage of bad news for major subprime lenders, including New Century Financial (Charts) and NovaStar Financial (Charts).

Now the worry is what happens to the economy if enough homeowners go into default and to the financial markets if enough investors take a bath on mortgage-related securities.

The market may want to brace itself for more surprises. "To one degree or another, all of these lenders are facing the same kind of difficulty," says Mark Zandi, chief economist with Moody's Economy.com.

Last year, 13.5 percent of mortgages originated in the U.S. were subprime, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association, compared to 2.6 percent in 2000. Overall, the subprime market was $600 billion in 2006, 20 percent of the $3 trillion mortgage market, according to Inside Mortgage Finance. In 2001, subprime loans made ups just 5.6 percent of mortgage dollars.

By the end of 2006, subprime delinquencies more than 60 days late jumped to almost 13 percent, compared to 8 percent a year earlier, according to LoanPerformance.
Info from CNN Money

FOR A FREE MARKET ANALYSIS OF YOUR HOME AND ESTIMATE OF VALUE CALL OR EMAIL ME! I WILL GET YOU THE INFO WITHIN 24 HOURS OF YOUR REQUEST. Please contact me with all of your real estate needs and questions. I am always available to you, your family and friends!

Happy St. Patrick's Day,


Kia Kapci
Lyon Real Estate

phone: 916-960-7010
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