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| Greetings!
Thank you for interest in Blue Haven Capital. We welcome your questions and comments and can be reached via email at info@bluehavencapital.com
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Question: The S&P's closing low for 2009 occurred on March 9. What was the total return from March 9, 2009 through July 31, 2009...a time period of less than 5 months?
22%
44%
52%
Click here for the answer!
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| THE MARKETS
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Stock index performance (Domestic and International)
as of 07/31/2009
Domestic Index Performance Year to Date: Dow Jones Industrial Average................ +4.50% Standard & Poor's 500........................... +9.33% Russell 2000........................................ +12.85% Domini 400 Social Index......................... +12.26%
International Index Performance Year to Date: MSCI Japan (in $US).............................+3.02% MSCI Pacific xJapan (in $US).................+35.45% MSCI Latin America (in $US)..................+47.89% MSCI EAFE (World xUS in $US)...............+19.90
Current Interest Rates: 10 year US Treasuries...........................3.71% 10 year AAA rated municipal bonds..........3.01%
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IN THE NEWS: HIGH INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT FEES
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Recent press about high fees and expenses
High
investment management fees and expenses from actively managed accounts and
funds continue to be in the news. With lower investment returns predicted,
high fees will take a bigger bite out of portfolio returns going forward in the new normal economy.
The
following are some excerpts from the business and investing press regarding
this topic:
...roughly
90% of the $1.5 trillion in 401(k) and other defined contribution assets in
mutual funds are in actively managed offerings with expenses close to
1%. Paying for those "potions" (i.e. services) during an era of asset
appreciation with double-digit returns may have been tolerable, but if
investment returns gravitate close to 6% as envisaged in PIMCO's "new normal,"
then 15% of your income will be extracted... Investment Outlook, by Bill Gross, August 2009
...according to a study by Mark Kritzman, President
and CEO of Windham Capital Management. "It is very hard, if not impossible,"
he wrote in his study, "to justify active management for most individual,
taxable investors, if their goal is to grow wealth." And
he said that those who still insist on an actively managed
fund are almost certainly "deluding themselves." "The Index Funds Win Again" by Mark Hulbert, New York Times, February 22, 2009
Owning the market remains the strategy of choice. Such a strategy guarantees a return that lags
the market return by a minuscule amount, and exceeds
the return captured by active equity-fund managers as a group by a substantial amount. Why? Because
the heavy costs incurred by investors in actively managed equity funds can easily amount to 2% to
3% annually. Typical expense ratios run from 1% to 1.5%; the hidden costs of portfolio turnover
often come to 0.5% to 1.0%; a 5% front-end sales load, amortized over a holding period of five to 10
years, adds another 0.5% to 1.0% per year in costs. "6 Lessons for Investors" by John Bogle on WSJ.com, January 8, 2009.
David Swenson from his book Unconventional
Success: A Fundamental Approach to Personal Investment recommends that
individual and under-resourced institutions should simply index their entire
portfolio. Foundation and Endowment Investing, Lawrence Kochard and Cathleen Rittereiser, 2008.
Blue Haven Capital continues to focus on low investment management fees and low-cost funds for our
customers, along with using individual fixed income securities. We recommend that investors take a look at all the fees, expenses and commissions associated with
their current accounts and evaluate whether they are getting "value" for those
fees. Remember, investment management expenses directly reduce the return on investment accounts.
We are certain that a low cost approach, as part of
a long-term diversified investment strategy, will maximize investor returns. At
Blue Haven Capital we believe that the less you spend, the more you make.
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| RECENT PRESS
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Socially responsible Investing and its returns
In
David Roeder's business column of the Sun-Times Sunday edition from July 26,
Don Cummings is quoted regarded Socially Responsible Investing. The following
is an excerpt,
"Don Cummings, principal of Geneva-based Blue Haven
Capital, said the social values that apply in a fund can have a substantial
impact on performance. Funds that leave out oil companies suffered last year
when oil prices were high and the refiners were raking in record profits. Now
those funds are faring better, Cummings said."
Blue Haven Capital continues to offer socially responsible investing to clients who are concerned about the industries and companies in which their money is
being invested. Often, Socially Responsible Investing can provide very similar returns when compared to the general market, as discussed in Mr. Roeder's column.
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| 2009
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Looking Ahead
The stock market's volatility has come down 36% year to date as measured by the VIX Index at the Chicago Board Options Exchange. Five year Treasury rates have moved from 1.55% at the beginning of the year to 2.72% in August, while 30 year Treasury rates have gone from 2.69% to 4.55%. We are seeing what has been referred to as "green shoots" in the mass of economic indicators, and the stock markets have rallied nicely.
As the economy slowly recovers, Blue Haven Capital will continue to work proactively to position client accounts for a rise in interest rates and a potential increase in inflation. A small percentage of portfolio exposure to commodities such as metals, agriculture, livestock, and energy should help dampen the effect of inflation. Likewise, we have shifted our focus to bonds with somewhat larger coupons to similarly dampen the effect of rising interest rates.
As always, we thank our clients and supporters for the confidence you have given us.
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Blue Haven Capital is a fee-only registered investment advisor providing experienced, professional low cost investment management for individuals, associations, private foundations, and public charities. If you know an individual or group who might be interested in our services, please forward this email to them!
Best Regards,
Donald Cummings Bill Moucka Principal Principal
Blue Haven Capital LLC 630.588.3800
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