Protecting your older family members from scams
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As the number of aging Americans continues to grow, more and more scams are targeting people 60 and older, who are often perceived as more trusting and polite.
What kinds of scams are out there?
One of the most common frauds is known as the "grandparent scam," in which con artists scare their elderly suspects with a phone call in the middle of the night, catching them off guard with a heartbreaking story about a loved one. The "grandchild" is always in need of cash, asking the victim to wire funds through a money-transfer service and repeatedly mentioning not to tell anyone.
Besides the grandparent scam, those who prey on the elderly have plenty of other tricks up their sleeves. For example:
Scammers posing as telemarketers ask for donations to civic causes, attempting to appeal to the older generation's patriotism.
Imposters pretending to be with a government agency, such as the Social Security Administration or Internal Revenue Service, try to convince their targets that they must pay an exorbitant sum to comply with new regulations.
Crooks claiming to represent a well-known company, such as Wal-Mart, inform their targets that they've won a sweepstakes and need to make a payment to obtain the supposed prize.
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Start saving more: 401(k)s are failing millions of families
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This article from The Week online points out some real concerns about 401(k)s. Call us if you have any questions. 614-888-2121 or 877-389-2121.
What's the case against 401(k)s? They're failing to provide enough money for older Americans. As the country's principal way to save for retirement, the 401(k) program allows employees to set aside a portion of their paychecks, often supplemented with matching funds from their employers, and to defer taxes until they start withdrawing funds. But most of the nearly 80 million baby boomers - the oldest of whom are just now starting to turn 65 - haven't put aside nearly enough, and are in danger of exhausting their savings within a few years of retirement. "It has already become clear," said Karen Friedman, of the Pension Rights Center in Washington, D.C., "that 401(k)s have failed millions of Americans." How much have people put aside? The average balance in all 50 million 401(k) accounts is just over $60,000, according to the Employee Benefit Research Institute. Even people within 10 years of retirement have saved an average of only $78,000, and more than a third of them have less than $25,000. More than half of U.S. workers have no retirement plan at all. With Social Security averaging $14,780 a year for individuals and $22,000 for couples, many Americans will exhaust their savings in just a few years. Since millions of boomers are likely to live into their 70s and 80s, the country is headed toward a major crisis. "It looks like most middle-class Americans will become poor or near-poor retirees," said Teresa Ghilarducci, a retirement specialist at the New School in New York. Why are balances so low? The financial crisis is partly to blame. It knocked $1.6 trillion, or about a third of the total value, off the nation's 401(k) accounts. But the larger truth is that most Americans do a poor job of anticipating the future and saving money. People don't seem to grasp that the pensions their parents' generation enjoyed have been almost entirely supplanted by 401(k)s, leaving them largely on their own to fund the final stage of their lives. In one recent survey, 43 percent of workers between the ages of 45 and 54 said they weren't currently saving for retirement at all. Very few 401(k) participants contribute the annual maximum of $17,000, and people tend to stop funding their retirement - or even borrow against balances - when they change jobs or have debts to pay. Most 401(k) account holders have little knowledge of how to manage stocks and bonds over decades to produce the best returns. How did we come to depend so much on 401(k)s? The Revenue Act of 1978 created 401(k)s - their name comes from the relevant subsection of the Internal Revenue Code - as a way for corporate executives to supplement their traditional pensions with extra cash. But when employers realized that they could use them to slash their pension costs by shifting the burden of retirement funding to employees, they adopted 401(k)s in droves. In 1980, 60 percent of private-sector workers with retirement plans had employer-paid pensions; by 2006, only 10 percent did, and 66 percent had 401(k)s. The chief selling points of 401(k)s are that they allow workers to take savings with them if they change jobs and to decide how - and how much - to invest in their retirement. But even automatic enrollment and free financial counseling haven't compelled people to save enough. How much should people really be saving? More. Far more. Many people are still assuming that they'll get 10 percent annual returns on their savings; the stock market volatility of recent years would suggest that's overly optimistic. To provide for a retirement lasting 20 years, Vanguard, a major 401(k) administrator, now recommends an annual contribution of 12 to 15 percent of income, including an employer's match. But even that is only enough if you start young: A worker who starts contributing at 35 and earns $43,000 has to sock away more than $10,000 a year, the Center for Retirement Research estimates, to maintain his or her lifestyle after retiring at 65. The Employee Benefit Research Institute says the average earner will need $900,000 upon retirement - a sum few people are on target to reach. So how will boomers cope? Many will just have to keep working. They'll also have to move into cheaper housing, cut back on travel, and live with far greater financial uncertainty. "The baby boomers will be the first generation that will do worse in retirement than their parents," said the New School's Ghilarducci. That's not news to Gloria Moss. Now over 60, she has been saving in a 401(k) since 1985, but has only half what she needs. "I am going to probably have to work considerably longer than I anticipated," she said. Financial adviser Paul Merritt says most of his retirement-age clients reach the same conclusion after taking a hard look at the numbers. "The discussion turns out to be: What kind of part-time work do you want to do after you retire?"
Skimming off the top
Future retirees don't have only themselves to blame for paltry retirement savings. Excessive management fees also play a role. Every day, Americans pay about $164 million in 401(k) fees to the financial industry. "There are enormous dollar amounts involved," said Frank Cirullo, a former plan consultant. "Employees are getting ripped off." Fees vary from plan to plan, and can run anywhere from 0.5 to 2 percent of assets per year. An extra 0.5 percent annual fee can cut an employee's savings by 10 percent by the time he's 65, according to Vanguard. Most 401(k) fees have long been hidden, but under new rules taking effect this summer, plan providers have to give detailed breakdowns of all the fees to employers, who in turn have to inform employees. Savers can only hope that transparency kicks off competition that will lower fees.
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Stay-at-home vs working moms
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With the debate about working vs non-working mothers heating up again, the Pew Research Center's Kim Parker summarizes past research findings.
Democratic strategist Hilary Rosen's comment about Ann Romney's lack of work experience has put the "mommy wars" back in the news. The Pew Research Center has done many surveys in recent years that explore public attitudes about issues related to women, work and motherhood. What follows is a summary of our key findings. In many ways a public consensus has developed around the changing role of women in society. Nearly three quarters of American adults (73%) say the trend toward more women in the workforce has been a change for the better. And 62% of adults believe that a marriage in which the husband and wife both have jobs and both take care of the house and children provides a more satisfying life than one in which the husband provides for the family and the wife takes care of the home.
At the same time, when motherhood and children are brought into the debate, there is an ongoing ambivalence about what is best for society. Only 21% of adults say the trend toward more mothers of young children working outside the home has been a good thing for society. Some 37% say this has been a bad thing, and 38% say it hasn't made much difference. And women themselves report feeling stressed about balancing work and family. When asked in general how they feel about their time, 40% of working moms said they always feel rushed. This compares with 24% of the general public and 26% of stay-at-home moms. For their part working fathers don't seem to feel nearly as harried as working mothers. Only 25% of working dads said they always feel rushed.
Most working mothers (62%) say that they would prefer to work part time, and only 37% say they prefer full-time work. By contrast, most working fathers (79%) would prefer to work full time, while only 21% say they would prefer working part time. The reality for today's working moms does not reflect their preferences: 74% work full time while only 26% work part time. Only about one-in-ten moms (12%) say having a mother who works full time is the ideal situation for a child.
Partisanship is strongly linked to views on women, work and motherhood. While majorities of Republicans, Democrats and independents say having more women in the workforce has been a change for the better, Democrats feel more positively about this trend: 82% of Democrats compared with 72% of independents and 68% of Republicans say this has been a change for the better. When asked specifically about the trend toward more mothers of young children working outside the home, Republicans and independents react much more negatively. Nearly half of Republicans (45%) and 42% of independents say this trend has been bad for society. Only 28% of Democrats agree.
While the share of mothers in the workforce has risen significantly in recent decades, roughly three-in-ten mothers of children under age 18 still do not work outside the home. Ann Romney became the face of stay-at-home moms this week, but she doesn't fit the demographic profile of the average at-home mom. According to Census data, stay-at-home moms are on average less educated than their counterparts in the labor force (18% of stay-at-home moms lack a high school degree, compared with 7% of working moms). More than one-fourth (27%) of stay-at-home moms are Hispanic, compared with 15% of working moms. Stay-at-home moms also have markedly lower household incomes than their working mom counterparts.
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What's happening now
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Will the next iPhone be made of liquid metal - an "amorphous metal alloy," which would allow Apple to make a thinner, lighter device?
Ten great convertibles for summer - from Audi to Volkswagen. Which would you choose?
Does it still make sense to borrow to pay for college? Tuition dollars simply don't go nearly as far today as they did 10, or 20, or 30 years ago.
Wal-Mart shareholder sues over bribery scandal - the lawsuit seeks to recover damage to the company's reputation as well as costs of investigating the claims.
The atmosphere in your office can sometimes quickly go from manageable to miserable. Here four ways to stay sane in a toxic office.
Think you have tasted Kobe beef? You can't buy Japanese Kobe beef in this country. Not in stores, not by mail, and certainly not in restaurants.
CNN News lists the world's largest economies. The U.S. is number one, but who's at number two?
The Federal Reserve sees economy improving and the unemployment rate to fall to between 7.8% and 8% by the end of the year.
The increasing availability of e-books is prompting some Americans to read more than in the past and to prefer buying books to borrowing them.
Who are the 20% of Americans who never use the Internet?
The ten rudest countries in the world for tourists... and the ten nicest.
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May 2012
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Many of us have aging parents or family members who cause us concern because of their vulnerability to potential scam artists. This month's lead article describes the types of unsavory activities that are out there and what we need to tell family members to alert them to potential dangers. Did you know that 401(k) plans are the major means for saving for retirement in the United States? Are they enough? I found an important article in the Business Insider that I thought you should read to give you the facts about relying too heavily on this form of investment. Are you setting aside enough for retirement? Our last major article from the Pew Research Center gives a portrait of American's opinions on the working vs. stay-at-home mom debate. It turns out that a strong majority of American adults believe that more women in the workforce has been an asset to our society and that dual-income families lead to a more satisfying lifestyle. However, when small children are brought into the equation, fewer people are as happy with the situation. Read the stats and see what you think.
Finally, don't miss our "What's happening now" column with some interesting updates on issues from sleek new convertibles and the iPhone 5 to Kobe beef! You can always feel free to contact me at: 614-888-2121 (or toll- free 877-389-2121), e-mail:
Sincerely, Joe
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Market Update
| A good month and a great quarter
March carried on with strong market performance, capping the best first quarter since 1998. Although the monthly returns for domestic markets were slightly less robust than in the first two months, they remained positive in March, at 3.29 percent for the S&P 500 Index and 2.15 percent for the Dow Jones Industrial Average. The two indices returned a total of 12.59 percent and 8.84 percent, respectively, over the quarter.
Foreign markets also had a strong first quarter but suffered from a weak March, with the MSCI EAFE Index falling 0.46 percent and the MSCI Emerging Markets Index declining 3.52 percent. The differential reflected stronger economic performance in the U.S. compared with other areas of the world.
For U.S. markets, technical factors remained supportive, with the 200-day moving average still in an uptrend and the 50-day still above the 200-day. The S&P 500 again ran through potential resistance levels of 1,370 and 1,400. Looking at market internals, growth outperformed value, as investors returned to a more "risk-on"; trade, and financials and technology led the pack for the quarter as a whole.
Such strong first-quarter performance is relatively rare. This chart shows returns over the rest of the year for periods when the S&P 500 gained more than 7 percent in the first quarter-a value chosen as a reasonable approximation of a typical full-year return.
Although historical patterns may not be repeated in the future, overall, results look encouraging. Average additional returns after a 7+-percent first quarter have been nearly 8 percent, excluding dividends, and eight of the nine years have been positive. These seem like pretty good odds, but the inclusion of 1987 in this list reminds us that risks remain.
The Federal Reserve and interest rates
Broad bond portfolios appeared to be in a holding pattern over the first three months of the year. The Barclays Capital U.S. Aggregate Bond Index returned 0.3 percent. Riskier debt performed better, with the Barclays Capital U.S. High Yield Index posting a 3.54-percent price return.
The Fed showed no inclination to raise rates or introduce QE3. The 10-year Treasury yields remained at historically low levels throughout the quarter. They did, however, increase substantially in late March, before subsiding, suggesting that the low rates remained susceptible to market pressures.
Another issue with rates is based in price discovery. The Fed has been buying a very large proportion of Treasury debt. This has kept the market from determining the fair value of government debt without the impact of purchasing, adding to the uncertainty associated with future Fed actions.
Finally, the potential resumption of economic growth raises the question of when and how the Fed will start to drain excess reserves from the banking system. This must be carefully executed lest excessive inflation result-though the bias of the Fed is toward inflation rather than deflation at this time. As a result, the risks of inflation in the medium term cannot be ignored.
Over to Europe
The first quarter saw many developments in Europe. Greece completed its default on outstanding debt, which included "voluntary"; participation from the private sector. Interestingly, bonds issued as part of the settlement are now trading at a discount, suggesting that markets expect a further default. Still, with the Greek situation seen as settled, at least for the moment, concerns have shifted to other countries, with Portugal, Ireland, and Spain at the head of the list.
Portugal seems to be in a similar situation to Greece, though it has made substantial efforts to comply with European Union requirements and is small enough to be rescued. Ireland is in much the same boat.
Spain, however, is much larger and its problems could lead to a resumption of the crisis. That said, the European Central Bank has largely removed liquidity risk from the financial system with its Long-Term Refinancing Operation. A sort of circuit breaker, it could make contagion less likely, at least for the next couple of years. Therefore, while risks remain, market perception seems to be that the European situation is under control.
A quarter of good economic news raises investor confidence
The U.S. economy appears to be growing at a moderate clip, and expectations are for growth to have averaged approximately 2 percent in the first quarter of 2012-not remarkable, except that in late 2011 many had feared a contraction. Equally important for the investor psyche is the unemployment rate, which has continued to show signs of slow improvement, falling to 8.3 percent, after hitting 10 percent in 2010.
Employment growth has supported increased consumer spending, which has, in turn, provided support to the economy against decreases in exports, as other areas of the world have slowed. The consumer savings rate, although lower in the past quarter than in recent years, is still reasonably healthy, suggesting that these spending levels may be sustainable.
Consumer spending also has bolstered industrial production and manufacturing, which have continued a trend of improvement that began in 2009. While manufacturer sentiment has been less optimistic recently than through most of 2010 and early 2011, a positive trajectory has remained.
Market commentators and investors seem to expect a housing bottom and rebound in 2012. Homebuilder share prices rocketed upward during the quarter, nearly doubling the return of the S&P 500. Indeed, home prices net distressed sales started to increase, suggesting that the market has begun to heal. Some markets have also shown overall price increases. That said, according to the Case-Shiller Home Price Index, home values continued to fall in January, although less quickly than in previous months. The future may likely depend on the degree to which new foreclosures are put on the market.
A strong base but continuing headwinds
The U.S. economy has continued to exceed expectations, showing positive trends through quarter-end. Headwinds include slowing economies elsewhere, high oil and gas prices, and uncertainty associated with the European situation and Iran.
This is the third year in a row where the end of the first quarter has looked good, but growth looks more sustainable this year. Given the headwinds, however, investors would do well to stick to their long-term portfolio allocations and resist the urge to take on too much risk.
Authored by Brad McMillan, vice president, chief investment officer, at Commonwealth Financial Network.
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