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Market Comments covers weekly developments from Wed. to Tues.
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Weekly Market Comments: 12/01/10


China Still Dominates Forecasts 

 

Image of Graph Yuan Value vs US Dollar
Click for Full WSJ Article

Yesterday we finished the first monthly price decline for corn since June.  We also saw the Dec-Mar corn spread go into the December delivery month at

78% of full carry (15¢).  After the October USDA crop report, the spread traded at 48% of full carry (9¢).  The bullishness of the USDA report had many thinking of the prospect of the spread trading at even money.  The obvious thought (now) is that procurement cost/risk management may be blessed with a few weeks of reduced volatility for the balance of 2010.  

 

Looking back over the past month's price action, we went through every trading day reviewing China and its currency relationships/impact.  Somewhere in 2011, traditional, domestic (fundamental ag) issues like "acres and weather" will return to the spotlight, right?

 

 

Ethanol Subsidy Extension Stalls
This Monday our great expectations for the extension of the ethanol subsidy waned a bit after listening to Energy Secretary, Steve Chu, at a National Press Club luncheon state, "Ethanol is not an ideal transportation fuel".
A Personal Note 
Early Ethanol Advocate: Jack Dinsdale  
Image of Dinsdale Brothers
Roy and Jack Dinsdale
On Thanksgiving, Nebraska lost a community leader and a shining advocate for rural development with the passing of Jack Dinsdale.  I lived 7 years in Merrick county (Palmer/Central City area) and witnessed the manner in which brothers Jack and Roy, suprisingly "regular" guys when you think of all they've accomplished, embraced husbandry.  I wish I had a few of those Wall Street Journal snippets over the years that mentioned the "Palmer bankers" that acquired small town banks and assimilated them into Pinnacle Bank (PPBN).

Learn More: Pinnacle Ranked Top 100 Ag Banks

We believe positions are unique to each person's risk bearing ability, marketing strategy and crop conditions, therefore we give no blanket recommendations. The risk of loss in trading commodities can be substantial, therefore carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition.