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Maine State Planning Office 
Economics and Demographics 
Vol. II, Issue 3 Forward to a Friend   July 2009
In This Issue:
Historic Tax Reform Legislation
Board to Review Maine's Regulatory Systems
May Retail Sales
2008 Town Population Estimates
Census Highlights
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Our last newsletter included articles on reducing Maine's tax burden, the Consensus Economic Forecasting Commission, Census workers preparing for the 2010 Census, and Maine's real estate market. If you missed a previous newsletter, archived versions are available on our website.
Meet the Team
 

Mike LeVert is the State Economist. Michael manages the Economics and Demographics team and sits on the State's Revenue Forecasting Committee. His interests include leveraging Maine's Quality of Place as an economic development strategy. Michael lives in Cumberland with his wife Fonda and daughter Robin.

Amanda Rector coordinates the Census Bureau's State Data Center program in Maine, serves as the Governor's Liaison to the Census Bureau, and works on special research projects. Amanda has a BA in economics from Wellesley College and is pursuing a Master's degree in Public Policy from the Muskie School at the University of Southern Maine. She is originally from mid-coast Maine and now lives in Union.

Thomas Merrill is a geographer and computer scientist with an undergraduate degree from the University of Maine at Farmington and pursuing a Master's degree in Regional Economic and Social Development at the University of Massachusetts Lowell.  He has previous experience and continuing interest in Asset Development for low-income communities, Geographical Information Science, and database/MIS development.  Thomas is a native of central Maine and currently lives in Augusta.
 
Greetings from the Economics and Demographics Team

Welcome to the latest edition of the Economics and Demographics newsletter from the Maine State Planning Office.  If you have received a text version and would like to see the full version, please visit our website.  Please let us know if you have any comments or suggestions.
Historic Tax Reform Legislation
 
Last month, the Governor signed historic legislation to lower taxes for Maine people and create a more competitive and stable tax system.
 
LD 1495, An Act to Implement Tax Relief and Tax Reform, accomplishes several important goals.
 
It lowers state taxes paid by Maine residents by over $50 million and puts money directly in the hands of Maine people. The average household will pay $160 less in total taxes per year.
 
It reduces the top marginal income tax rate thus encouraging economic development. It will make Maine more competitive in attracting and retaining businesses, entrepreneurs, and individuals to the state.
 
It broadens the items subject to sales tax reducing the volatility of state revenues and state-funded programs.
 
It improves the progressivity of Maine's tax system, easing the tax burden on lower income families.
 
And it's revenue neutral - it does not raise any additional money for the state.
 
These changes will have a positive impact on Maine's economy as 580,000 families (87%) see a tax decrease. And it will help Maine's economy grow by improving our reputation as a business-friendly state.
 
Specifically, this law changes our tax system in several important ways: 
  • it lowers the top income tax rate from 8.5 percent to 6.5 percent for income up to $250,000; on income greater than 250,000, it lowers the top income tax rate from 8.5 percent to 6.85 percent;
  • it broadens the sale tax;
  • it makes a portion of the Earned Income Tax Credit refundable for lower and middle income families; and
  • it increases funding for tourism marketing.
For more information, go to http://www.maine.gov/revenue.

Board to Review Maine's Regulatory Systems
 
The Economics and Demographics Team provides staff support for the Regulatory Fairness Board, an independent group of business representatives from around the State appointed by the Governor and Legislature.  The board's purpose is to  hear testimony and report to the Legislature and the Governor on regulatory and statutory changes necessary to enhance the State's business climate.  

This summer the Regulatory Fairness Board will establish a workplan to review Maine's current regulatory systems and hear testimony from businesses regarding their concerns about enforcement activities of state departments and agencies.  Scheduled for next winter, the board's final report will address improving the efficiency, effectiveness, and consistency of State regulations to ensure Maine's status as a welcoming place for new and expanding businesses.  All meetings will be open to the public and advertised on the State Planning Office website calendar of events.

More information about the Regulatory Fairness Board can be found at: http://www.maine.gov/spo
May Retail Sales 
 
The Economics and Demographics Team reports monthly retail sales information on its website.  Timely information on retail sales provides an up-to-date picture of Maine's economy.  Many businesses use it to gauge their market strength and find new sales opportunities.  Public officials use it to estimate revenues.  Economists use it to project income and employment growth.

Total taxable retail sales in May 2009 were down 12.3% from May 2008, and 9.2% lower year-to-date compared to the same period last year.  Sales from Food Stores remained positive for the fifth month of 2009 while sales from all other categories of stores were negative.  May Building Supply sales were down 19.9% from May 2008 and down 19% year-to-date compared to the same period last year.  Auto Transportation experienced the steepest drop this May at -20%.  Detailed reports on Maine retail sales are available here
May 2009 Retail Sales
Retail sales data originate in businesses' reports to Maine Revenue Services.

State Data Center News

Maine's Source for Census Data
 Census 2010: it's in our hands
2008 Town Population Estimates
 
On July 1, 2009, the U.S. Census Bureau released city and town population estimates as of July 1, 2008. In Maine, 260 of the state's 533 minor civil divisions (cities, towns, and unorganized territories) experienced population growth between 2000 and 2008, while 254 minor civil divisions experienced population decline.  Between 2007 and 2008, 164 minor civil divisions grew in population, while 310 decreased. The remaining minor civil divisions experienced no population change.
 
The five minor civil divisions experiencing the largest population growth from 2000 to 2008 were: Scarborough (+2,084), Windham (+1,811), Gorham (+1,422), Saco (+1,303), and York (+1,210). The five minor civil divisions experiencing the largest population decline from 2000 to 2008 were Portland (-1,688), Lewiston (-559), Presque Isle (-466), Old Town (-421), and Bath (-381).
 
In general, population growth has been occurring in coastal and central towns, while the towns in the rim counties (Washington, Aroostook, Piscataquis, Somerset, Franklin, and Oxford) have been seeing population decline. From 2000 to 2008, only a third of the towns in the rim counties experienced population growth. In the coastal counties (York, Cumberland, Lincoln, Knox, Waldo, and Hancock), 70% of the minor civil divisions had growing or stable populations. The central counties (Androscoggin, Kennebec, and Penobscot) were more evenly balanced, with 61% of the minor civil divisions either gaining population or holding steady.
 
For more information, please visit: http://www.census.gov/Press-Release/www/releases/
 
Census Highlights 

  • The Census Bureau is hiring managers and assistant managers for two additional local census offices in Maine: Bangor and Gardiner. For more information, or to apply, please visit www.usajobs.gov.
  • The State Planning Office has created a webpage with information about the 2010 Census and the Maine Complete Count Committee. This website will provide updated information as Census 2010 preparations progress. Please visit the website at: http://www.maine.gov/spo/economics/census2010/index.htm
  • On June 25, 2009, the U.S. Census Bureau released the 2007 Nonemployer Statistics. The nonemployer statistics are part of the County Business Patterns and are based on Internal Revenue Services data. Nonemployers are businesses without paid employees - most are sole proprietorships. In 2007, Maine had a total of 118,500 firms that qualified as nonemployers with total receipts of around $4.85 billion. Construction was the largest sector in Maine, with 22,150 nonemployer firms and receipts of $1.18 billion. For more information on the Nonemployer Statistics, please visit: http://www.census.gov/econ/nonemployer/
This newsletter is prepared by the Maine State Planning Office's Economics and Demographics Team. It is designed to provide economic and demographic information and analysis to state policy makers and affiliates of the Maine State Data Center. 
 
SPO Economics and Demographics Team:
(207) 287-6077 
Michael LeVert, State Economist
Amanda Rector, Senior Economist
Thomas Merrill, Economist