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Greetings from the Economics and Demographics Program.
This is the second edition of the new Economics and Demographics newsletter from the Maine State Planning Office. We have switched to a new format with this edition; we hope you like the changes. If you have received a text version and would like to see the full version, please visit our website. Please let us know if you have any comments or suggestions. |
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Beaches: A Cornerstone of the Maine Economy
Maine's recreational sand beaches help attract millions of tourists each year. By bringing dollars into the state, these beaches support the local economy. The following helps clarify the connection between Maine beaches and the economy. Maine recreational beaches represent a small part of the Maine landscape. Most of Maine's coast is rocky, with limited access. Out of the nearly 3,500 miles of tidal coastline, there are less than 40 miles of sandy beach. [1] Despite their small size, sand beaches are a very popular destination. According to the Maine Department of Conservation nearly 620,000 trips were made to ocean beach state parks in 2007. This is equal to 27% of the estimated visits to all state parks. [2] Traffic data from the Maine Turnpike Authority also shows a large increase in traffic to beach towns during the summer. In 2007 the exits for towns in southern Maine that have a beach (Wells, Kennebunk, Biddeford, and Saco) had a combined average daily traffic of more than 90,000 vehicles in August. This is a 46% increase over average traffic in January, the month of lowest traffic, and 26% above the annual average. [3] All of these visitors bring a lot of money into the state. Based on a survey for the Maine Office of Tourism, in 2006, out-of-state visitors spent $4.9 billion. For each dollar an inn, Maine guide, or antique shop earns from a tourist, there are subsequent rounds of spending in the local economy. In 2006 the combined spending by out-of-state visitors and Maine overnight travelers, which also provides a base for other economic activity, resulted in $10 billion of direct and indirect sales and supported 139,000 jobs. [4] A rough measure of the amount of tourist activity attributed to beaches is possible using the tourism survey data. In 2006, 13% of the overnight vacationers and 9% of the day visitors said that their primary destination was an ocean beach. Of the $2.1 billion in spending by overnight vacationers, beach visitors spent $260 million. The combined direct tourist sales and the additional local sales supported by adding tourist dollars to the local economy is over $500 million. All of the tourist dollars support more than 8,000 jobs. This estimate provides a minimum measure of the economic activity supported by beaches. It does not include spending by day or overnight visitors that went to the beach but did not consider it their primary destination. In the survey, 40% of the out-of-state overnight visitors said they went to an ocean beach during their trip. [5] Although this only provides a rough measure of the value of beaches it is clear that they are a substantial asset for the state.
[1] Maine Geological Survey Website FAQ [2] Maine Department of Conservation, provided by Jim Crocker, 5/6/08 [3] Maine Turnpike Authority, 6/23/08 [4] Maine Office of Tourism. (July 2007) Travel and Tourism in Maine 2006 Visitors Study. [5] Maine Office of Tourism. (July 2007) Travel and Tourism in Maine 2006 Visitors Study. And Bureau of Economic Analysis RIMS II multipliers 2005.
Maine beach image courtesy of Maine Office of Tourism. |
| Energy Prices Drive Recent Inflation Growth

(Click on the above chart to see a larger version.)
Data from the US Department of Labor confirm what most Mainers know instinctively: energy prices are driving the recent rise in inflation. Between January 2005 and June 2008, energy prices measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased fully 64%. By comparison, food and beverages increased just 13% and the cost of all other items grew about 8%. The above chart shows that prices for food and beverages grew roughly in line with other items between January 2005 and January 2007 - around 5% over two years. But since January 2007, food prices have increased another 8%, while prices for other items have increased just 3%. The following article discusses some reasons for the recent climb in food prices. |
Understanding Food Price Increases
This June, the cost of food and beverages for US consumers was over 5% higher than just one year ago, according to the US Department of Labor's Consumer Price Index. That is the highest increase since 1990. The cost of some staple foods, like cereals and fresh fruits and vegetables increased even more sharply, 10% and 7% respectively. Households in Maine, across the US, and around the world, have struggled to adjust to this unexpected and unwelcomed event. The root causes of the price increases are varied and complex, but roughly fall into three categories.
1. Supply Pressures - Staple crops like corn, rice, wheat, and other grains become ingredients for processed foods and feed for livestock. Several recent events have tightened the supply of these crops and pushed up their cost, thereby increasing the cost of the foods they become and the livestock they feed. Demand for crops used in biofuels like ethanol and biodiesel has begun to compete with food production. The OECD and UN estimate that use of biofuels accounted for over half the increase of world grain use between 2005 and 2007. At the same time, adverse weather conditions in Australia and Canada, two of the world's leading agricultural producers, decreased crop yields.
2. Weak US Dollar - Compounding these factors, the US dollar has depreciated in recent years. Since each dollar is worth less, foreign producers demand more dollars in exchange for the same amount of food. This increases prices for US consumers.
3. High Energy Costs - Rising energy prices are increasing the expense of producing, transporting, and selling food. Take the example of an orange grown in California. Higher energy prices increase the grower's cost of planting, cultivating, and harvesting the orange. They increase the trucker's cost of transporting it to Maine. Then they increase the store owner's cost of lighting and heating (or cooling) the building where the orange is ultimately sold. Despite the best efforts of many businesses, their ability to absorb these costs is limited and increases have begun to reach consumers. For a more complete discussion of this issue, see "Agricultural Outlook 2008-2017" by the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) and the United Nations (UN), available online at www.oecd.org/dataoecd/54/15/40715381.pdf. |
Why are Oil Prices so High?
From the grocery store to the evening news, the price of oil is on everyone's mind. With gasoline prices averaging over $4 this summer and pre-pay contracts for home heating oil approaching $5.00/gallon, it's no wonder. The question everyone is asking is: Why are oil prices so high? 1. Demand. The high oil prices we're seeing reflect the fact that world energy use is increasing at unprecedented levels, particularly from developing countries. Between 2004 and 2007, world oil consumption has increased 4%, driven by the strongest world GDP growth in 20 years. The developing economies of China, India, and the Middle East account for two-thirds of the increase in consumption. 2. Supply. Coupled with the rise in consumption has been a tightened global supply. Non OPEC countries have been struggling to increase their capacity to produce oil. OPEC, too, is having trouble increasing production: their "spare capacity" - essentially how much more oil they could produce - is at historically low levels. This creates additional price volatility as buyers worry about real or perceived shortages. 3. Risk. Geopolitical tensions are putting further upward pressure on prices, in effect adding a "risk premium" to the already high price of oil. Current conflicts in Nigeria and Iraq, and potential conflicts in Iran and Venezuela cause buyers to worry that their supply needs won't be met at a reasonable cost. 4. Price Controls. Almost all of the increase in oil consumption this year is projected to be from countries which keep oil at prices below market value. In these countries, where the government pays or subsidizes part of its citizens' costs for oil, demand will remain artificially high, despite historically high global prices, further contributing to the rise in oil prices. 5. The Dollar. In general, the price of oil rises as the value of the dollar falls. Since oil is priced in dollars, a falling dollar means a decline in purchasing power for oil producing countries, who, if possible, will seek to offset this by raising prices. 6. Speculation. A final contribution to high oil prices often talked about is the significant increase in speculators and investors into the oil futures market. The sheer volume (the number of oil traders has doubled since 2004 while the number of contracts bought and sold has tripled) has played a role in the recent run-up of prices. In summary, there are a number of reasons why oil prices are on the rise. In the short run, it is a difficult time for everyone relying on oil-based products such as gasoline or heating fuel. In the long run, we can hope that this price spike encourages energy efficiency and the development of alternate energy sources such as wind and solar, leading to cheaper and cleaner energy. |
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State Data Center News
Maine's Source for Census Data |
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2006 County Business Patterns Released
On June 27, 2008, the U.S. Census Bureau released the 2006 County Business Patterns. The County Business Patterns are an annual series that provide economic data by industry for states, counties, metropolitan areas, and ZIP codes.
Data include the number of employees for the week including March 12, 2006, the first quarter and annual payroll, the total number of establishments, and the number of establishments by employment size class. County Business Patterns allow users to compare geographies (such as all states within the U.S. or all counties within Maine), compare industries within a particular geography, and look at detailed industry data for most geographies. Users can look at trends in industries over time - data have been published according to the North American Industry Classification System since 1998. There are some limitations to the data, however: the County Business Patterns exclude data on the self-employed, employees of private households, railroad employees, agricultural production employees, and most government employees.
For Maine, the largest industry sector in 2006 was health care and social assistance, with 101,078 employees during the week including March 12.
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Census Highlights
- Interested in a job with the Census? The Census Bureau has posted job openings for one manager and five assistant managers for the Portland Local Census Office. For more information, or to view the job postings, visit the Boston Regional Office website.
- On July 10, 2008, the Census Bureau released the 2007 population estimates for towns and cities. For more information, view the press release.
- The Census Bureau has announced the release schedule for the results of the 2007 American Community Survey. For more information, view the release schedule.
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