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PEACE & SECURITY REPORT
IPSI's Peace & Security Report (PSR) is a concise weekly e-publication intended to brief busy students, academics, advocates, and practitioners in the conflict management community on pertinent global news, events, and trends. Meticulously researched and written by IPSI, the PSR empowers us all to take a step back from our immediate deadlines each Friday and gain a greater understanding of the week's global events.
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Featured Article
Annual Report 2012: The state of the world's human rights Amnesty International A watershed year for activism
2011 was a truly tumultuous year. Millions of people took to the streets to demand freedom, justice and dignity - some of them securing memorable victories. Successful uprisings in Tunisia and Egypt early in the year ignited protests across the region and then the world, stretching from Moscow, London and Athens in Europe, to Dakar and Kampala in Africa, to New York, La Paz and Cuernavaca in the Americas, to Phnom Penh and Tokyo in Asia.
In the Middle East and North Africa, the pent up grievances and demands of a rising generation exploded onto the streets, sweeping aside or threatening the survival of autocratic regimes that had ruled with iron fists for decades and had seemed invincible.
Inspired by these events, people elsewhere in Africa also risked reprisals by protesting against their desperate social and economic conditions and expressing their desire for political freedoms.
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Africa
GUINEA-BISSAU: UN Security Council approves sanctions on five coup leaders Last Friday, the UN Security Council voted unanimously to impose travel bans on last month's military coup leaders General Antonio Injai, Major General Mamadu Ture, General Estevao Na Mena, Brigadier General Ibraima Camara, and Lieutenant Colonel Daba Naualna. The 15 member committee also demands the immediate restoration of constitutional order and the relinquishment of power by the Military Command. Amidst concerns over reports of looting and human rights abuses by the military, as well as possible increases in drug trafficking, the Council is also prepared to consider additional measures including an embargo on arms and financial sanctions. Comment: The West African regional bloc ECOWAS has deployed 600 soldiers to Guinea-Bissau to oversee local army reforms and a one-year peaceful transition to civilian rule. This new contingent replaces Angolan forces, whom the coup leaders had accused of meddling in local affairs to justify their power grab last month. Guinea-Bissau was weeks away from holding a presidential runoff election when soldiers arrested the interim president and attacked the frontrunner's home. (Al Jazeera, BBC, Reuters)
MALAWI: Malawi president to repeal gay ban As part of her first state of the nation address last Friday, President Joyce Banda vowed to lift the country's ban on homosexuality, regarded as a serious crime by many African countries. Because repealing the law in of itself will require a parliamentary vote, it is unclear how much political support Banda will be able to gain on this issue. Banda's speech additionally mentioned efforts to normalize relations with Western donors and development partners. Comment: Malawi was condemned for sentencing two men celebrating their engagement in 2010 to a 14-year imprisonment. Although the couple was eventually pardoned on humanitarian grounds, the former president claimed they had committed a crime that was "unnatural" and "indecent." Several Western leaders have recently come out and said that recognizing gay rights is a critical condition in return for receiving development aid. (Al Jazeera, AP, BBC, The Guardian, New Zimbabwe)
MALI: Interim president Dioncounda Traore injured by protesters On Monday, Mali's interim president Dioncounda Traore was injured when pro-CNRDRE demonstrators, partisans of the junta, attacked the presidential palace. Thousands of people protested over a deal between ECOWAS and the CNRDRE junta, which would extend the interim president's 40-day mandate set to expire on Thursday. Multiple national and foreign newspapers allege that soldiers guarding the president were complicit in allowing protestors to attack the interim leader, which clearly illustrates the current tenuous security situation in Mali. Comment: The soldiers who seized power in March were angry over the former president's handling of the Tuareg rebellion in the north. Even though the junta leader Amadou Haya Sanogo signed an agreement in April agreeing to step down, he has continued to act as the country's de facto ruler with Traore on the sidelines. Although many Malians are proud of their nation's relative democratic roots, a significant proportion of the population backed the junta over the ex-president's handling of the rebellion in the north and corruption in the country. Traore has since flown to France for medical checks on Wednesday. (Al Jazeera, AP, Mali Web, Reuters)
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Americas
CANADA: Bill 78 amplifies student protests On May 22, Montreal police enforced Quebec's controversial emergency law "Bill 78" against an estimated 100,000 to 250,000 student protesters. Bill 78, which passed on May 17, mandates that organizers of demonstrations of ten or more people must advise police in advance of their intended march route. In addition, the bill discourages ongoing protests through imposing fines up to $125,000 CAD on student or union associations for preventing enrolled students from attending classes. The students began protesting in February against tuition-fee hikes. Bill 78 broadened the attention and scope of the protests as labor unions and pro-independence nationalists are now joining the movement. The Canadian Association of University Teachers, who already voiced support, is also considering financially backing the student groups as a result of Bill 78. On May 22, at least 100 people were arrested and two police officers were injured. Comment: Prior to the passing of Bill 78, protests were largely peaceful, with a few skirmishes. One of the nighttime tactics of the marches was to walk against the flow of traffic. (The Globe and Mail, The Globe and Mail, Calgary Herald)
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC: Danilo Medina elected president Danilo Medina received 51.24 percent of the votes in Sunday's presidential election in the Dominican Republic. In his acceptance speech, Medina reiterated his campaign platform to fight poverty and social inequality in the country. During the elections, Medina promised projects that directly support youth, women, and the elderly. Medina's main opponent, Hipólito Mejía grudgingly accepted the election results, comparing the outcome to the inequitable elections during the Trujillo Era. The Organization of American States election monitoring teams did report a few instances of ballot box tampering, but stated that these isolated reports were not large enough to affect the overall results. Comment: In his address to the nation after the election, Mejía called for the unity of Dominicans "to work together to strengthen the democratic system, to approve the Political Parties Law, and the new Electoral Law, because these will guarantee that this is last time that the will of Dominicans will be violated." (El Nuevo Diario, La Nación Dominicana, Prensa Latina)
MEXICO: Yo Soy 132 movement growing in numbers and influence The grassroots student movement Yo Soy 132 ("I am number 132") is increasing its influence in the upcoming Mexican presidential election, threatening to undermine Institutional Revolutionary Party's (PRI) candidate Enrique Peña Nieto. The movement's name refers to the original 131 students from the Iberoamericana University who posted a YouTube video on May 11 with each student stating their name and student identification number in response to PRI accusations against students who voiced disapproval against Peña Nieto. The PRI claims that students were working for opposing political parties in exchange for favors. The students state that they are defending their right to freedom of expression and are calling for balanced media coverage of the presidential campaign. An estimated 40,000 people protested on Saturday in Mexico City. Comment: The PRI governed Mexico and the media from 1929 to 2000. (Latin American Herald Tribune, International Business Times, Excelsior, Latino Times)
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East Asia
MYANMAR: Public protests follow power shortages Chronic power shortages in Myanmar prompted hundreds of locals to take to the streets of Mandalay with placards voicing their discontent this week. The public demonstrations are the largest in the country since a failed uprising in 2007, and are widely regarded as a test of Myanmar's new reforms. While arrests were made, early reports did not indicate abuses of protesters by security forces and state-owned newspapers released pleas for the patience of the population. These developments have led many observers to be cautiously optimistic about the future of Myanmar's political system. Comment: Myanmar's military government began instituting reforms in 2010, opening the nation for more civilian empowerment and earning the praise of many world leaders. (BBC, ABC, Telegraph)
NORTH KOREA: Concerns raised over possible nuclear test Shortly after a round of three-party talks concerning the issue on Tuesday, representatives of the United States, South Korea, and Japan expressed their dismay that North Korea has allegedly been preparing a third nuclear test. Last month, North Korea conducted a widely-condemned rocket launch in violation of an agreement to exchange food for an end to ballistic missile tests, prompting diplomatic censure from many leaders in the region. U.S., Korean, and Japanese officials warned that further "provocation" would result in harsher sanctions, then invited North Korean leaders to consider pursuing a path of reconciliation. Comment: Pyongyang resumed construction of nuclear reactors last week, which it claims are intended for the generation of civilian electrical power only. Its challengers contend that the sites could be used to produce weapons-grade materials for use in nuclear weapons. (NY Times, BBC, CNN)
REGIONAL: Chinese presence in Scarborough Shoal escalates tensions The standoff between China and the Philippines over the disputed Scarborough Shoal showed no signs of easing this week, as the Philippine Navy reported the presence of nearly 100 Chinese ships in the area. The two nations have been locked in a diplomatic confrontation since eight Chinese fishing craft were discovered loitering in the territory earlier this month, and Chinese naval vessels allegedly interfered with Philippine attempts to enforce a mutual ban on fishing. Beijing maintains that the ships in question are within the limits of the agreement, and their presence represents a reaction to Philippine provocations. Comment: Six nations claim full or partial sovereignty of the disputed territories in the South China Sea, which are believed to contain large oil reserves. (BBC, Guardian, Channel News Asia)
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| Europe & Central Asia
TURKEY: Suicide attack kills two police officers A suicide car bomb exploded in the town of Pinarbasi, Turkey, on May 26, approximately 300km southeast of Ankara. The driver sped through a security checkpoint and detonated in front of a police station, killing two police officers and wounding at least 16 civilians. The bombing is suspected to have been carried out by the Kurdistan Workers Party (PKK); however, a suicide attack is a deviation from their usual tactics. Comment: Earlier this week, Turkey accused Syria of aiding the PKK after Ankara urged President Assad to step down from power and accepted over 20,000 Syrian refugees. The PKK has been fighting for autonomy in southeastern Turkey and is labeled as a terrorist organization by both the European Union and the United States. (Al-Arabiya, Ahram Online, AP)
RUSSIA: Former Georgian general killed in Moscow On May 21, renegade Georgian general Roman Dumbadze was shot dead along Rublyovskoe Shosse in Moscow. According to witnesses, two men wearing masks pulled up next to Dumbadze on a motorbike, and after a brief exchange of words, one of the men opened fire, hitting Dumbadze in the head and in the stomach. He was pronounced dead on the scene and the assassin's vehicle was found abandoned several blocks away. Comment: Dumbadze defected from the Georgian army in 2004 and declared allegiance to Abkhazia; he was later arrested and jailed for treason in Tbilisi. In 2008, Dumbadze was part of a prisoner exchange between Russia and Georgia after the war and became a Russian citizen in 2010 by order of President Medvedev. The assassination comes at a time of rising tensions between the two nations. On May 5, Russian authorities intercepted a large weapons cache in Abkhazia they claim was to be used in attacks in Sochi during the run up to the 2014 Olympics, accusing Tbilisi as the supplier. Russian counterterrorism activity is likely to increase in the Caucasus as they prepare for the Sochi Olympics. (The Moscow Times, AFP, RFE/RL)
RUSSIA: Military test fires new ballistic missile Russia's Strategic Missile Forces announced the successful trial of a new intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) on May 23. The missile, which is being touted by military officials as immune to missile defense shields, is reported to be an updated version of current ICBMs in Russia's arsenal, using a new type of fuel to give the missile better in-flight maneuverability. The missile was first tested in September of 2011; however, the first stage engine reportedly failed and crashed 10km from the launch pad. Comments: The announcement comes just one day after NATO stated that the first stage of the European missile shield is currently on-line and should be fully operational by 2018. Open sources have not reported on the range or number of warheads the new missile can carry. (The Telegraph, RFE/RL, RIA Novosti)
Researched/Written by Daniel Pechtol
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Middle East & North Africa
IRAN: Chief IAEA nuclear inspector commences talks with Iran, accord in sight
On Tuesday, negotiations between International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) director-general Yukiya Amano and Iran's top officials resulted in a pending agreement to increase Iran's cooperation with the IAEA investigations of the country's suspected nuclear arms development. Amano reports "remaining unspecified differences" prevented the official signing of the accord, but reassured the public that "A decision was made to conclude and sign the agreement...I can say it will be signed quite soon." The IAEA is seeking access to nuclear sites, officials, and documents to determine the potential military applications of Iran's nuclear program, which Tehran insists is for peaceful purposes only. Comment: On Wednesday, six world powers, including the U.S., Russia, China, Britain, France and Germany commenced nuclear talks with Iranian officials in Iran. In the negotiations, the "P5+1" are urging Iran to halt suspected weapon development activities, while Iranian officials are pushing for the alleviation of the country's economic sanctions in return. (AP, Reuters, Al Jazeera)
LEBANON: Sectarian violence follows deaths of two Syrian March 14 alliance members
Early on Monday, violent street clashes in Beirut erupted after a soldier shot and killed Sheikh Ahmed Abdul Wahid and Muhammed Hussein Miraib, two members the anti-Syrian government opposition March 14 alliance. In the street clashes, anti-Assad government forces and supporters of the Syrian government fired small arms and rocket-propelled grenades into the capital streets, killing two and wounding at least 18. Protesters also erected roadblocks and burnt tires in the northern region of Akkar. Khaled Daher, a member of the March 14 alliance, projected that the two men shot were directly targeted by the Lebanese army, fueling rumors that it was at the behest of the Syrian government. The Lebanese released a statement that confirms the deaths of the two March 14 members and plans to investigate. Comment: Daher explains that the army's alleged involvement in the shootings is troubling, since the Lebanese military has been a symbol of neutrality. Al Jazeera correspondent Zeina Khodr links the clashes in Lebanon to Syria as tensions continue to spill over: "The rival groups are divided in their support and opposition to the Syrian government." (Reuters, Al Jazeera, The Daily Star)
YEMEN: Suicide bombing targets military parade, killing roughly 100 On Monday, Yemeni officials report that an unidentified uniformed suicide bomber detonated at a military parade rehearsal in Sana'a for Yemen's National Day, leaving roughly 100 dead and more than 200 wounded. The al-Qaeda (AQ) branch in Yemen, Ansar al-Sharia, has claimed responsibility for the attack, which they say was retaliation for the joint U.S.-Yemen military campaign against the group's stronghold in southern Yemen. AQ sent a statement to Reuters warning that more attacks will follow if the government does not cease its military operations against AQ; however, Yemen President Abdo Rabu Mansour Hadi stated, "The war on terrorism will continue until it is uprooted and annihilated completely, regardless of the sacrifices." Comment: The U.S. is adamant about increasing military support for the Yemeni government's campaign against AQ, who threaten the shipping routes in the Gulf of Aden and the Red Sea. The U.S. military has targeted AQ members using drones, which, according to Reuters, have killed civilians in the process, fomenting local Yemeni resentment. (Reuters, Al Jazeera, Yemen News Agency, BBC)
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South Asia
AFGHANISTAN: Schoolgirls poisoned in Talokhan On Wednesday, doctors stated that they are treating more than 120 female students ranging in age from 15-18 and three teachers in the northern Afghanistan province of Talokhan for deliberate poisoning distributed through air contamination in classrooms. No one has claimed responsibility for the attacks, but local and international media sources speculate that the Taliban is involved. Comment: The Taliban and other militant groups in Afghanistan have attacked schools in the past. Most school attacks are conducted against girls as many Afghan militant groups are ideologically opposed to women's education. (CNN, MSNBC, Reuters)
BANGLADESH: Oil found in Sylhet On Saturday, PetroBangla, the state-run Oil, Gas, and Mineral Corporation, announced that it struck oil in two fields located in the Sylhet region. It is estimated that there is about 152 million barrels in the ground, which is enough to help meet the energy needs of the country for at least two years. Comment: Bangladesh currently imports about seven million tons of oil from abroad to support its energy demands. Plans are underway to begin domestic oil production as soon as possible. (Asia Times, Al Jazeera, Reuters)
PAKISTAN: Violence during Karachi protest On Tuesday, unidentified gunmen opened fire on a rally by the Awami Tehrik in Karachi killing at least nine people and wounding 30. Following the attacks, the Awami Tehrik protestors rioted, torching vehicles and buildings. Comment: The rally was held in protest against the creation of a separate Muhajir province which would divide the Sindh province. The Muhajir are an Urdu-speaking group that migrated from India to the Sindh province during the 1947 partition of the Indian sub-continent. They are the dominant community in Sindh. (DAWN, BBC, Al Jazeera)
Researched/Written by Nishat Jafreen
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IPSI News Fatou Bensouda, incoming prosecutor of the International Criminal Court and IPSI Faculty, dismisses criticism that the court is biased against African states. Read Article >> ___________________ |
IPSI News Juan Mendez, the United Nation's envoy on torture and IPSI Faculty, has criticised investigators in Tajikistan for torturing crime suspects to extract confessions. Read Article >> ___________________ |
IPSI News Gareth Evans, former Foreign Minister of Australia and IPSI Advisor, writes an op-ed expressing his concerns about Washington politics and what they mean for nuclear disarmament. Tea Party Victory, Global Defeat >>
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