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PEACE & SECURITY REPORT
IPSI's Peace & Security Report (PSR) is a concise weekly e-publication intended to keep busy students, academics, advocates, and practitioners in the conflict management community briefed on pertinent global news, events, and trends.  Meticulously researched and written by IPSI, the PSR empowers us all to take a step back from our immediate deadlines each Friday and gain a greater understanding of the week's global events.

Featured Article

 

Afghan Civil Society The transition from war to peace in Afghanistan requires much more than high level official negotiations and low level reintegration efforts. A comprehensive Afghan peace process would also facilitate discussion amongst diverse civil society sectors about their relationship with the Afghan government and on the future relations between diverse groups in Afghanistan. A political settlement without significant progress on these two other dimensions is unlikely to produce a national consensus supporting sustainable peace.

Excluding or limiting civil society input into formal negotiations creates long-term problems. First, it rewards groups who use violence with political influence and positions of power, further entrenching illegitimate and ineffective governance. Second, a peace agreement that excludes public input and interests will lack public ownership of the agreement and the political will required to implement it.

Members of civil society fear that government and armed actors will use negotiations to achieve narrow political goals that will benefit particular ideological, ethnic, tribal or religious groups and undermine the Constitution, human rights and justice, further fragmenting the country. Civil society leaders flag the continued exclusion of public interests in the National Peace Council and current peace talks, and before that in the 2010 National Peace Jirga and the 2001 Bonn Agreement. Public discussions on how to tackle corruption, and how to enshrine Islamic values supporting human rights and women's rights, for example, are important elements of building a national consensus on the future of Afghanistan. The long and messy process of all stakeholders coming to understand each other's underlying interests through wide consultations and public dialogue is necessary for all to understand why certain provisions in an agreement may be the best possible outcome.

 

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Africa
ERITREA: Bid to rejoin IGAD in preliminary stages
The Inter-Governmental Authority on Development (IGAD) Executive Secretary, Mahboub Maalim, stated this week that the process of Eritrea's bid to rejoin the East African body was only in "very early, preliminary stages" and its members were still considering the country's request. This is contradictory to his earlier statement that IGAD members would be "delighted" to have Eritrea back. A UN report released last week accused Eritrea of plotting to attack an African Union summit in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia in January this year. It also stated that Eritrea was funding al-Qaeda-linked Islamist Somali group al-Shabab through its embassy in Kenya. Comment: IGAD currently consists of 6 countries from the Horn of Africa: Djibouti, Ethiopia, Kenya, Somalia, Sudan, and Uganda. Eritrea pulled out of IGAD in 2007. It is currently under UN sanctions for its support of Islamist militant groups, and there are reports that the UN Security Council may impose tougher sanctions targeting the crucial sectors of mining and remittances. Analysts state that Eritrea's bid for IGAD may be directed at avoiding new sanctions. (BBC, Bloomberg, Reuters, UPI)

HORN OF AFRICA: Aid efforts delayed even as famine spreads
On August 3, the UN announced that the famine has spread to three more areas of Somalia and that the entire south of the country is likely to be affected in the next six weeks, although aid efforts are compromised due to Islamist group al-Shabab's ban on aid agencies. Additionally, relief efforts are hampered due to delays in procuring food aid and funding gaps, as well as concerns that relief supplies may end up with the militants if efforts are not carefully monitored. Meanwhile, on August 2, the UN Food and Agriculture Organization announced that neighboring Uganda may be the next victim of food shortages given the region's current severe conditions. Comment: Approximately 12 million people in Djibouti, Ethiopia, and Kenya are affected by the drought. Tens of thousands of Somalis, mostly children, are estimated to have died due to the famine. (AFP, Associated Press, Guardian, Reuters)

SOUTH AFRICA: Swazi activists criticize bailout
On August 3, South Africa announced a $355 million bailout package for its neighbor Swaziland to avoid a financial collapse. Swazi activists, including members of the banned opposition political parties, criticized the decision stating that the loan did not have any accompanying conditions on political reform. Activists were seeking a hold on the loan until the Swazi monarch, King Mswati III, lifted a ban on political parties and committed to hold elections within four years. South Africa defended its decision stating that it was in its interest to have a stable neighbor; the economic meltdown in Zimbabwe sent thousands of people across the border to South Africa in search of work. Comment: Critics state that South Africa's decision points to its reluctance in pushing for political reform in the continent. Mswati is accused of autocratic rule and fiscal mismanagement. He was listed on the Forbes magazine list of 15 wealthiest monarchs, even as 70 percent of Swazi people live on less than a dollar a day. (AFP, News24, Reuters)

SUDAN: Four peacekeepers die in landmine blast; UN blames Sudan for delaying evacuation
On August 2, four Ethiopian UN peacekeepers died and seven others were injured when their patrol vehicle hit a landmine in the disputed territory of Abyei. The UN accused Sudan of delaying the injured peacekeepers' evacuation for three hours by denying clearance to the rescue helicopter to take-off immediately and by threatening to shoot it down. The UN Under-Secretary General for Peacekeeping Operations Alain Le Roy stated that under its "status of forces" agreement with a government of a country, medical evacuation flights did not need any prior authorization. Comment: 1,500 Ethiopian blue helmets are currently in Abyei. The disputed territory is particularly tense after Sudanese forces occupied the region in May sparking fears of renewed fighting with the South. (BBC, CNN, UN News Center)

Americas
GUATEMALA: Soldiers sentenced to 6,060 years for massacre
On Wednesday, a Guatemalan court sentenced four former Special Forces soldiers to over 6,000 years in prison for their part in the 1982 Dos Erres massacre during the country's civil war. Each soldier received 30 years for each of the 201 victims and an additional 30 years for crimes against humanity. Suspected of harboring rebels, the soldiers shot or bludgeoned to death the villagers, including women, children and elderly. According to the court, the village of Dos Erres was "erased from the map." The remains of 171 victims were recovered from an exhumed well. Among the dead were the bodies of 67 children under the age of 12. Comment: The massacre is one of 699 cases documented by the Historical Clarification Commission whose report cites around 200,000 casualties, predominantly Mayan Indians, who were killed or disappeared from the 1960-1996 civil war. This is the second trial related to the war and the first conviction after a verdict in 2004 was overturned on appeal. (AFP, Guardian, BBC)

HAITI: Tent camp evictions cause protest
For several hours on Monday, 60 to 80 protesters peacefully set up tents and lay down in the middle of one of the busiest streets in Port-Au-Prince after police showed up to evict them from the private lot on which they are residing; the lot became home to several hundred people after the 2010 earthquake. Last week, employees from the mayor's office offered $125 to each family to leave, but many claimed it was not enough money to secure housing elsewhere. Two weeks ago, families living in the soccer stadium in downtown Port-au-Prince were paid $250 each to relocate. The soccer arena is one of six public spaces from which President Martelly wants to relocate 30,000 people, or roughly five percent of the displaced population, into 16 redeveloped neighborhoods. Comment: According to the International Organization for Migration, approximately 630,000 Haitians are still without homes after last year's earthquake. Haitian officials have increased forced removals in recent weeks despite being opposed by Martelly. On Tuesday, lawmakers rejected yet another choice for Prime Minister by Martelly, whose inability to establish an administration has hampered planning and collaboration with international agencies involved in the task of rebuilding after the 2010 quake. (Seattle Times, Global Post, AP)

MEXICO: Captured cartel leader admits killing 1,500
Former police officer turned gang leader, Jose Antonio Acosta Hernandez, was captured along with his bodyguard in the northern city of Chihuahua on Friday. Acosta is head of a gang of enforcers which include corrupt police officers and hitmen in the city of Juárez. He allegedly admitted to ordering over 1,500 killings, including a notorious car bomb that killed 15 people, mostly teenagers, at a birthday party in 2010. He is also suspected in the murder of a U.S. Consulate employee, and a Mexican official stated he expects an extradition request from the U.S. government. Comment: Officials are hoping this arrest weakens the cartel's presence in Juárez. President Calderón, via Twitter, declared that Acosta's capture is the "biggest blow" to organized crime in Ciudad Juárez since ordering 5,000 troops to the city in April 2010. (La Prensa, BBC, Guardian, Washington Post)

VENEZUELA: Minister plans to release 20,000 prisoners
Newly appointed Minister for Prisons Iris Varela, has stated some 20,000 prisoners would be released in an attempt to ease Venezuela's notoriously overcrowded prisons. Varela claims of the imprisoned "50,000 inmates, 20,000 shouldn't be in jail," and only those who had committed minor crimes would be conditionally freed. Varela, in an attempt to prevent panic, stated "I want to promise the Venezuelan people that we won't let the wolves loose." The declaration comes just one month after the deadly prison riot in the El Rodeo prison which left some 30 people dead. Comment: Venezuelan prisons are notoriously overcrowded and there have been several riots this year. In the first quarter of 2011, 131 prisoners died while incarcerated. Last year, 476 inmates died in the country's prison system, according to the Venezuelan Prisons Observatory. (El Nuevo Herald, BBC,  Christian Science Monitor, Hispanically Speaking News)

 

Researched/Written by  Leah Cullins
East Asia
INDONESIA: Thousands of Papuans rally for independence
Papuans gathered by the thousands in Jayapura as well as several other cities on Tuesday to demand freedom from what they feel is unjust rule from Indonesia. The protests were purposely timed to coincide with a conference in England where pro-independence lawyers discussed the legality of Indonesia's rule over the region. Approximately 700 policemen armed with anti-riot gear were present at the rally to ensure security after unknown gunmen killed four people in a raid outside the city the day before. Comment: Proponents of an independent Papua argue that the 1969 "Act of Free Choice" UN referendum that allowed for integration with Indonesia was inherently corrupt and did not accurately represent the views and opinions of people at large. The international community has grown increasingly concerned with the situation in Papua and has criticized the Indonesian government for human rights abuses against the ethnically distinct Papuans. (Bangkok Post, NY Times, Reuters Africa, Jakarta Globe, Jakarta Post)

NORTH KOREA: Government expresses interest in resuming six party talks
On Monday, AFP quoted Pyongyang saying "it remains unchanged in its stand to resume the six-party talks without preconditions at an early date." The announcement comes less than a week after a North Korean delegation met with U.S. Diplomats in New York City to explore the potential of resuming the six-party talks between South Korea, North Korea, China, Japan, Russia and the United States. The U.S. has continually insisted that North Korea abandon its nuclear enrichment program as a precursor to resuming talks that would include compensation for North Korea. Comment: Pyongyang has expressed its disdain for this precondition, but seems interested in maintaining a dialogue at this stage of the discussion. The U.S. and South Korea are also eager to keep North Korea at the negotiation table as a means of countering future provocations. Global Post, Guardian, Xinhua, Asahi, Australian)

PHILIPPINES: Soldiers clash with NPA rebels
Authorities reported that a clash with New People's Army (NPA) rebels in Agusan del sur on Sunday, resulted in one military and 12 rebel fatalities. Colonel Rodrigo Diapana, who commands the 402nd infantry brigade based in the region, admits that despite the reported figure, only four rebel bodies have been recovered thus far. Soldiers were dispatched in response to reports that a large group of rebels extorting civilians for food and recruiting in the region. Comment: The NPA is an armed branch of the Communist Party of the Philippines (CPP) that has been operating in rural areas for more than four decades. Recent peace talks stagnated after the Philippine government refused to release certain NPA negotiators from captivity due to suspicions that they are members of the Central Committee of the CPP. (Inquirer, Phil Star, Xinhua, ABS CBN)
  

Researched/Written by  Matthew McGrath 

Europe & Central Asia
ITALY: Parliamentary committee approves draft bill on face veil ban
On Tuesday, an Italian parliamentary committee passed a draft law which, if passed, will ban women from wearing face veils in public, including the burka, niqab or any head wear which covers the face. The bill would fine those who defy the ban €150-300 and some form of community service. For those who forced someone else to wear the veil, the penalty would be €30,000 and up to 12 months in jail. The bill is supported by Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi's central-right coalition and will go to a parliamentary vote after the summer recess. Comment: The bill would expand a decades-old law that prohibits people from wearing face-covering items in public places for security reasons. Italy, with a Muslim population under one million, is the latest European country to take action against the burqa. Belgium passed a ban last week, and France last year. The Italian law was sponsored by Souad Sbai, a Moroccan-born member of parliament who said she wanted to help Islamic women better integrate into Italian society. Many critics argue, however, that such bans in Europe will only further stigmatize the Muslim population. (BBCThe GuardianUPIThe Telegraph)

KOSOVO: Government rejects NATO-Serbia deal as hundreds more peacekeepers arrive
NATO and Serbian officials reached a draft agreement Wednesday on two border posts in Kosovo's Serb-dominated north. The ethnic Albanian-led government in Pristina, however, rejected the deal out of concern that its sovereignty could be weakened, calling it "unacceptable and unfeasible." The deal would keep two disputed border posts in the north under the control of NATO peacekeeping forces until September and would remove road blocks set up by Serbs after Kosovo's government deployed special police units to take control of the border crossings last Wednesday. Troops from Kosovo Force (KFOR), numbering about 6,000, stepped in to guard the border after last week's unrest. KFOR is sending an additional 600 German and 100 Austrian troops to relieve those already in the area. Comment: An ethnic Albanian police officer was shot dead and a border post set on fire in subsequent violence last week, which forced NATO peacekeepers to intervene. The government in Pristina wants to deploy its customs officials at the border posts in order to enforce an import ban against Serbia. The import ban is the latest trade dispute that began when Kosovo declared its independence from Serbia in 2008. Belgrade refuses to recognize Kosovo as a sovereign state and has blocked Kosovo's exports. (RFE/RLDeutsche WelleBBCBalkan InsightRIA Novosti)

TAJIKISTAN: Government bans minors from mosques and mandates secular study
On Wednesday, Tajik President Emomali Rahmon signed a law that bans children under the age of 18 from attending regular Friday prayers in mosques in a stated attempt to prevent Islamic radicalization. The controversial law holds the parents of underage children attending Friday prayers legally responsible for allowing them to do so. It also requires minors to study in secular schools, thus barring thousands of students from attending mosque schools seen by authorities as a breeding ground of Islamism. The law allows children who study at state-run religious schools to attend mosques and join religious associations, but others may only pray at mosques on religious festivals and at funerals. Comment: The law was signed despite vocal resistance from rights activists and the opposition Islamic Revival Party. Critics argue ordinary people will simply ignore it and continue to allow their children to pray in mosques. Tajikistan, an impoverished and predominantly Sunni Muslim nation, was ravaged in the 1990s by a civil war between government forces and a loose alliance of Islamists and democrats. The country shares a long and porous border with Afghanistan, and has seen increasing influence of Islam. (RFE/RLWashington PostAFP)

TURKEY: Kurdish politicians charged over alleged terrorist links
On Wednesday, Turkey charged 106 Kurdish politicians belonging to the main pro-Kurdish Peace and Democracy Party (BDP) of conspiring with an alleged terrorist group, the Kurdish Communities Union (KCK), when they demanded better conditions for imprisoned ex-rebel leader, Abdullah Ocalan. Prosecutors said the appeal constituted terrorist propaganda and claimed members of the legal Kurdish movement are part of a conspiracy to support the Kurdistan Workers' Party (PKK), which is listed as a terrorist organization by Turkey, the U.S., and the EU. Another 152 Kurdish politicians are already on trial for alleged ties to the PKK, and 300 lawyers are accused of obstruction of justice. Comment: The investigation of the KCK began two years ago, and approximately 2,000 people have been detained so far. The political controversy is raising concerns within the EU, stalling Turkey's accession process and discrediting the Turkish government's claims they are seeking a peaceful solution to the conflict over Kurdish rights. Tension has grown since Kurdish politicians declared autonomy in the southeast last month, and PKK rebels killed 13 Turkish soldiers in clashes. (Hurriyet Daily NewsBBCDeutsche Welle)
 

Researched/Written by  Mark Simeone

Middle East & North Africa
LEBANON: Military exchange fire with IDF
On Monday, the Lebanese military briefly exchanged fire with the Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) at the border. Lebanon claims that the Israeli forces crossed into its territory by a 15-meter margin, while Israel believes that Lebanon initiated the offense against IDF troops. Both countries filed official complaints to the UN accusing the other of violating UN Security Council Resolution 1701, which ended their 2006 war. Comment: Monday's incident adds yet another strain on the neighboring countries' relationship. Recent oil discoveries between their nautical borders remain disputed, and a host of other border incidents keep their militaries on guard. As tensions between the two continue to grow, the media reports the fear of a looming war. (Jpost, DailyStar, Alittihad)

SAUDI ARABIA: Saudi woman to go on trial for terrorism charges
On Sunday and Monday, Saudi media reported the start of court hearings for the first Saudi female to go on trial for terrorism-related charges. The 47-year-old Haila Al-Qusayyer, better known as "Madam al-Qaeda, or Um al-Rabab," is charged with "financing terrorist activities, carrying weapons to be used in terrorist activities, and forging identifications for those who wanted to travel abroad to join terrorist organizations." Al-Qusayyer was arrested 16 months ago, along with 115 al-Qaeda members in Qusaim by Saudi authorities. Comment: In Saudi Arabia, women are generally expected to fall under their male guardians' authority. Al-Qusayyer could face more charges because of her actions, "engaging in combat without the permission of a guardian." The court judge granted al-Qusayyer, who appointed two of her male relatives to defend her, until September to respond to the charges she is being accused of. Due to the "sensitivity of the case," the judge also approved a request by her relatives to ban the media from attending the court sessions, while allowing her family to attend. (NabaNews, ArabNews, AFP, Ahram)

SYRIA: New multi-party decree amid violence
On Thursday, the Syrian news agency reported Syrian President Bashar al-Assad issued a decree authorizing a multi-party political system. The government, which is currently ruled solely by the Baath party, passed a bill last Sunday proposing an end to the single-party rule that has been in effect for decades. The new law faced widespread objection by the Syrian opposition and activists. It lacks an implementation method, and the opposition calls it "simply for show and will not bring about real change." Others called it "too little and too late," explaining that many people have died already. Comment: Since the start of Ramadan late Sunday, more than one hundred civilians have died in the city of Hama. The UN officially condemned the violence last Wednesday, andSecretary-General Ban Ki-moon called on Assad "to immediately cease all violence against their people, to fully respect human rights and implement reforms that they have already announced." More than 2,000 have died since the uprising in March, 1,629 of which are civilians. (CNN, Aljazeera, Elaph)

 

Researched/Written by Ibrahim Al-Hajjri

South Asia
NEPAL: PM announces ultimatum
On Monday, Prime Minister Khanal announced that he would resign from office August 13 if no progress was made on the nation's peace process. The Prime Minister and members of opposition parties signed a five-point deal in May aimed at completing the peace process and instituting a new constitution by August 31. Khanal said it was his "political and moral duty to step down if we fail to conclude the major tasks of peace process by August 13." No significant progress has been made on the peace process since Khanal came to power in February of this year. Comment: The news of Khanal's ultimatum followed his concession on Monday regarding the induction of ten new members of the Minister's cabinet. In July, Maoist leaders insisted upon appointing new members to the cabinet, to which Khanal had initially refused. Monday's concession highlights Khanal's waning political power. (The Himalayan, Hindustan Times, Times of India)

PAKISTAN: U.S. path to peace in Afghanistan passes through Islamabad
On Monday, the U.S. special envoy to Afghanistan and Pakistan, Marc Grossman, met with senior Afghani, Pakistani, and American officials in Islamabad. Among the topics of discussion, Grossman remarked that no resolutions could be made in Afghanistan without the involvement of Pakistan. In a meeting with Grossman, President Zardari noted that "clear terms of engagement" are needed between the two countries to mend relations. Comment: Last week, U.S. diplomats in Pakistan were prevented from traveling between Islamabad and Peshawar. The Pakistani government declared that they have no travel restrictions specific to U.S. diplomats, but they do practice "general guidelines regarding travel of Pakistan-based diplomats, designed only to ensure their safety and security." On Tuesday, Grossman stated that U.S. diplomats could travel in Pakistan and steps were being taken to ease travel restrictions on U.S. diplomats. (BBC, Dawn, Reuters, Voice of America)

SRI LANKA: Human Rights Watch calls for investigation
On Monday, Human Rights Watch called for an investigation into the "execution" style killings of 17 aid workers in Sri Lanka in 2006. The 17 aid workers, including four women, from France's Action Against Hunger, were found in Sri Lanka during a period of increased fighting between the government and the Tamil Tigers. HRW representatives noted that "despite strong evidence of involvement by the security forces in the killings, government inquiries have languished and no one has been arrested for the crime." Comment: Sri Lanka has faced increased pressure from the international community regarding war crimes and human rights violations perpetrated by parties in its 25-year civil war. Human Rights Watch reiterated calls for an "international investigation" and urged the UN to take action. (Associated Press, BBC, Voice of America).
 

Researched/Written by  Kamila A. Badat

August 5, 2011
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In This Issue
Featured Article
Africa
Americas
East Asia
Europe & Central Asia
Middle East & N. Africa
South Asia

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2011 Bologna Symposium  

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IPSI Adviser Betty Bigombe  

IPSI Adviser Betty Bigombe works to halt amuru evictions in Uganda. Read Article >>  

 

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