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PEACE & SECURITY REPORT
IPSI's Peace & Security Report (PSR) is a concise weekly e-publication intended to keep busy students, academics, advocates, and practitioners in the conflict management community briefed on pertinent global news, events, and trends.  Meticulously researched and written by IPSI, the PSR empowers us all to take a step back from our immediate deadlines each Friday and gain a greater understanding of the week's global events.

Featured Article


UN MDGsSince they were first adopted, the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) have raised awareness and shaped a broad vision that remains the overarching framework for the development activities of the United Nations. At the September 2010 MDG Summit, world leaders put forward an ambitious action plan - a roadmap outlining what is needed to meet the goals by the agreed deadline of 2015. The information presented on the following pages demonstrates that this can be done if concrete steps are taken. 

Already, the MDGs have helped to lift millions of people out of poverty, save lives and ensure that children attend school. They have reduced maternal deaths, expanded opportunities for women, increased access to clean water and freed many people from deadly and debilitating disease. At the same time, the report shows that we still have a long way to go in empowering women and girls, promoting sustainable development, and protecting the most vulnerable from the devastating effects of multiple crises, be they conflicts, natural disasters or volatility in prices for food and energy.    

 

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Africa
SENEGAL: President Wade says he will learn lesson from riots
On July 6, President Wade said he will "learn a lesson" from recent violent protests against his government. In the first address to the nation after the riots, he said that the incidents were regrettable and showed the fragility of Senegal's democracy. Riots started on June 23 after the President announced proposed changes to the constitution which would allow him to seek a third term in office. Wade abandoned his plans following the violence. The President's spokesperson said the legality of Wade's candidature in the next elections, slated for February 2012, will be decided by the country's constitutional council. Meanwhile, ex-Prime Minister and Opposition leader, Mickey Sall accused Wade of hiring mercenaries from the neighboring countries of Ivory Coast, Guinea, and Nigeria to intimidate opponents and civil society members. Comment: The proposed electoral changes were also seen as a move to line the presidential succession in favor of Wade's son, Karim, an unpopular minister. Riots have been fueled by already persistent anger against rolling power cuts and rising cost of living. (AFP, Reuters, RNW Africa

SOMALIA: Al-Shabab lifts ban on foreign aid agencies
The extremist Islamist group, al-Shabab, announced that it will allow aid agencies to resume operations in areas under its control. Al-Shabab controls large parts of southern and central Somalia and had banned aid agencies in 2009 accusing them of being spies and anti-Islamic. The announcement comes as the Horn of Africa is under the grip of a brewing food crisis and the region is suffering from the driest year in 60 years. Mohamoud Raghe, spokesman of al-Shabab, said that the aid agencies will be allowed to work in order to help bring relief to the worst-hit areas. Comment: 54,000 Somali refugees have crossed over to Kenya and Ethiopia in June fleeing the extreme drought conditions. More than 50 percent of child refugees arriving in Ethiopia are malnourished; the numbers are also as high as 30-40 percent in those arriving in Kenya. According to the UN, the lifting of the ban will help stem the flow of refugees and curtail deaths. (BBC, Guardian, Sydney Morning Herald)

SUDAN: South Sudan set to gain independence
On July 9, the Republic of South Sudan is set to become the world's newest nation. The situation however remains tense in the region. Fighting continues in the Southern Kordofan state in the North, and 73,000 people were forced to flee since June 5 amid the renewed clashes. Meanwhile, a UN draft resolution is set to authorize a peacekeeping force for South Sudan consisting of 7,000 military personnel and 900 international police with a mandate to consolidate peace and security and help promote development. Comment: The independence follows a 2005 peace deal after three decades of guerrilla struggle which led to approximately 2 million deaths. The country will become Africa's 54th nation; however, the nation will be at the bottom of the development index with a majority of its to-be citizens living on less than a dollar a day. (Bloomberg, NY Times, Washington Post)
Americas
CHILE: After weeks of student protests, president proposes $4 billion for education
On Tuesday, following almost two months of student protests, President Pinera proposed a $4 billion fund for higher education which includes an increased number of grants and cheaper student loans.  In recent weeks, hundreds of thousands of protesters led by students have demonstrated in cities nationwide demanding reform of Chile's "unequal" education, where they must pay toward their state education. The student protests have increased pressure on the center-right government which is also dealing with environmental protests against energy projects.  According to a report released Tuesday, Pinera's approval rating has reached an all-time low of 35 percent.  Comment: Signs of the overall frustration with the education system began appearing in 2006 when thousands of students took to the streets to overturn the then system of free market education. The subsequent education plan was signed by all parties, yet brought about no substantial change, which left both teachers and students dissatisfied.  (Santiago Times, Bloomberg, Reuters, BBC, Guardian)

GUATEMALA: Rural vigilantes lynch six suspected thieves and murders
Five men and one woman were blindfolded, beaten, and killed on Friday in rural, northern Guatemala; the victims were suspected to have been involved in the robbery of a shop and responsible for killing the owner.  Without access to a proper judicial system, the townspeople blocked access to their community, as the suspects were marched into a cornfield and killed. Emergency services were later allowed to recover the bodies. Comment: In many isolated areas of Guatemala where police presence is scarce, it is not uncommon for communities to take the law into their own hands. There have been 66 attempted lynchings this year resulting in 25 deaths. (Herald Sun, San Francisco Chronicle, BBC)

MEXICO: Co-founder of Zeta cartel arrested
On Sunday, Mexican officials captured one of the Zetas original founders, Jesus Enrique Rejon, known as "El Mamito."  Rejon, the third in command within the cartel, was captured in an upscale, northern suburb of Mexico City, without a shot being fired.  As one of Mexico's most wanted men, he is responsible for numerous alleged crimes and killings in north-east Mexico, including the slaying of a U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement agent; an act Zeta members later claim was a case of mistaken identity. Comment: Rejon, a former corporal in the Mexican army, joined the Gulf cartel in 1997 and helped form the Zetas, the military arm of the gang.  After rising tensions, the Zetas split from the Gulf cartel 18 months ago, forming their own organization. The resulting turf war between the two cartels has been among the bloodiest in a raging drug war that has claimed almost 40,000 nationwide since 2006.  (BBC, LA Times, Houston Chronicle, Washington Post)

Researched/Written by  Leah Cullins
East Asia
BURMA: Senior diplomat seeks asylum in U.S. 
Mr. Kyaw Win, the Deputy Chief of Mission at the Burmese Embassy in Washington D.C., sent a letter to U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton on Monday, outlining his reasons for defecting to the United States. In the letter, Mr. Win explained that he had been "deemed dangerous" by the Burmese government for "actions to improve bilateral relations between Burma and the U.S." and his fears that "my life and those of my family are in danger." Mr. Win continued to say that he had lost confidence in the [Burmese] government after purported democratic elections last year left the military junta in control of the country. He warned that, "senior military officials are consolidating their grip on power and seeking to stamp out the voices of those seeking democracy, human rights, and individual liberties," citing the recent conflict with Kachin forces near the Burmese border with China. Comment: Mr. Win is the second senior Burmese diplomat to seek asylum in the United States, after Major Aung Lyn Htut requested asylum in 2005. His defection complicates the Burmese government's attempts to validate the genuine democratic nature of last November's elections that the government hoped would ease economic sanctions instilled by Western nations. (Irrawaddy, Asia One News, Sydney Morning Herald, Herald Sun, Washington Post

HONG KONG: 228 arrested after heated rally  
On July 1, the anniversary of Hong Kong's transfer back to Chinese sovereignty, thousands of angry citizens protested a government proposal to scrap by-elections and rising housing costs. The organizers of the rally estimated that 218,000 turned out for the event, while police estimated the number of attendees was around 54,000. Participants were upset with the government's plan to eliminate by-elections to the legislature because they felt it would be an infringement of their democratic rights. Comment: The impetus behind the government's proposal was last year's efforts to implement a de facto referendum on democratic reforms. At that time, five pro-democratic legislators resigned from office, one from each district, triggering a by-election that all citizens could vote in. This is the fourteenth year Hong Kong has held a pro-democracy rally on July 1, which also coincides with the founding of the Chinese Communist Party celebrated on the mainland. (BBC, Taipei Times, AP

NORTH KOREA: Emergency food aid from the EU resumes 
On Monday, the EU announced plans to send 10 million euros worth of food aid to North Korea under the condition that they will be able to strictly monitor its distribution. The Korean Herald reports that 50 Korean-speaking personnel will freely monitor the distribution of aid at hospitals, food supply centers, orphanages, markets and homes. The EU's Aid Humanitarian Commissioner Kristalina Georgieva said, "The purpose of this aid package is to save the lives of at least 650,000 people who would otherwise die from lack of food" citing EU experts who observed severely malnourished children in hospitals and nurseries prior to the decision to resume aid. The World Food Programme's Asia Regional Director Kenro Oshidari, said that a combination of yearly food deficits and damage to harvests due to climatic factors have put North Korea in a "dire situation." Comment: Food aid to North Korea was stopped in 2008 under suspicions that it was being diverted to the military and political elites. The acceptance of Korean-speaking monitors of food aid distribution is not typical of the North Korean leadership; this may be a sign that the food situation in North Korea is becoming more severe. The European Commission also noted the widespread consumption of grass when making its announcement to resume aid. (ABC News, Chosun Ilbo, Korean Herald, NYTimes

THAILAND: First Female Prime Minister elected, military stills coup fears
Yingluck Shinawatra became Thailand's first female Prime Minister following the national election on Sunday. Her party, Pheu Thai (for Thais), won a landslide victory with 265 seats in the Thai parliament; roughly 60 percent of the total seats available. Seemingly addressing growing concerns that the military would depose Ms. Shinawatra by military coup, much like her brother back in 2006, the outgoing Defense Minister commented on the outcome saying, "we will allow politicians to work it out" and that "the people have spoken clearly so the military can't do anything." Comment: The Thai military, a close ally of the Monarchy and the Democrat party, has been instrumental in initiating 18 coup and/or coup attempts. The last coup against Ms. Shinawatra's brother Thaksin Shinawatra, enveloped Thailand in years of political turmoil between the rural based Red Shirts and the urban based Yellow Shirts. (Sydney Morning Herald, Inquirer, The Telegraph, Bangkok Post, BBC)
  

Researched/Written by  Matthew McGrath 

Europe & Central Asia
BOSNIA/NETHERLANDS: Court rules Dutch responsible for three 1995 Srebrenica deaths
On Tuesday, the Court of Appeals in The Hague, Netherlands ruled the Dutch state was responsible for the deaths of three Bosnian Muslims in the 1995 Srebrenica massacre, and ordered the government to compensate the relatives of the three victims. The men were working for the Dutch force, Dutchbat, at the UN compound in Srebrenica during the 1992-1995 Bosnian war when Bosnian Serbs under Ratko Mladic overran the city on July 11, 1995 and murdered approximately 8,000 people. The ruling said the peacekeepers should not have handed the men over since they already saw Serb troops abusing Muslim men and boys and should have known they faced the real threat of being killed. Comment: The Srebrenica massacre remains a sensitive issue in the Netherlands. The Dutch state, which has faced several cases in recent years over Srebrenica, has always argued that it was let down by the UN, which failed to give its troops sufficient support. The ruling on Tuesday was unexpected and could lead to further cases and compensation claims by families of other victims. (Dutch News,Balkan Insight,Deutsche Welle,BBC)

CYPRUS: UN hosts new Cyprus unity talks in Geneva
On Thursday, the Greek and Turkish leaders of divided Cyprus met UN Secretary General Ban Ki-moon in Geneva in a new effort to reach a deal on reunification. The UN seeks to help both sides resolve outstanding issues in the next year, before Cyprus assumes the EU's rotating presidency in mid-2012. Past talks between Greek Cypriot President Dimitris Christofias and Turkish Cypriot leader Dervis Eroglu remain deadlocked on security arrangements, right of return of the displaced, territorial adjustments, and property rights between the two sides; the UN expects agreements to be reached by October on how to tackle those issues and secure a lasting peace. Comment: UN peacekeepers were stationed in Cyprus in 1974, when Turkey invaded the northern part and partitioned the island. The Republic of Cyprus joined the EU in 2004, despite the frozen conflict with the breakaway Turkish-controlled north, but the continuing dispute is a major obstacle blocking Turkey's efforts to join the EU. (BBC,Hurriyet Daily News,Famagusta Gazette,Expatica)

RUSSIA: Government admits criminal activity in Magnitsky death; Dutch impose sanctions
On Monday, the Russian Presidential Council on Civil Society and Human Rights reported that there were no legal grounds for the arrest of lawyer Sergei Magnitsky, who died of heart failure while in pretrial detention in 2009. The report also stated there was reasonable suspicion his death was triggered after he was severely beaten by prison guards and denied medical assistance by the prison chief and a senior investigator. President Medvedev declared his death the result of criminal actions, and vowed to prosecute those responsible in the near future. Also on Monday, the Dutch parliament voted for a resolution to impose travel and economic sanctions against Russian officials allegedly involved in Magnitsky's death. Comment: Magnitsky, a lawyer for U.S. investment fund Hermitage Capital, was arrested on tax evasion charges in 2009 just days after claiming to have uncovered massive embezzlement of state funds by law enforcement officials. His death caused public outrage and international outcry that harmed Russia's investment climate. The government will make public the report on Magnitsky's death on July 15. (RIA Novosti,The Moscow Times,RFE/RL)

SERBIA/KOSOVO: Serbia signs first deals with Kosovo; seeks cooperation with Bosnia
After months of EU-sponsored talks, Serbia and Kosovo agreed on Saturday to allow freedom of movement of citizens who carry identity cards, driving licenses, and some registration plates issued by the other side, excluding passports, and agreed in principle to recognize each other's education diplomas. The breakthrough deals are the first accords between the two since Kosovo declared independence three years ago. The agreements will enable citizens to overcome several problems caused by Serbia's refusal to recognize Kosovo as an independent state. EU officials expect another round of talks to resolve further issues. In addition, Serbian President Boris Tadic paid his first official visit to Bosnia-Herzegovina on Wednesday to discuss cooperation between the two countries and the process of European integration. Comment: Serbia, which hopes to become an official candidate for EU membership this year, is striving towards better relations with its neighbors. The agreements caused varying reactions in both Serbia and Kosovo, with some groups strictly opposed and others cautiously optimistic. (RFE/RL,Beta News,Eurasia Review,Bloomberg

Researched/Written by  Mark Simeone

Middle East & North Africa
EGYPT: Protests continue to escalate across the country
For the second week since protests reignited, the number of demonstrators has significantly risen throughout the country. On Monday, hundreds of protesters stormed into a court that released on bail seven officers accused of killing protesters during the February uprising.  A similar occurrence was replicated in a Suez court, after they released at least 10 policemen charged with killing 17 people during the uprising. Thousands of irate revolutionaries have vowed to gather millions of protesters in Tahrir Square July 8. Comment: Protests continue as the interim military government delays trials and acquits accused members of the Mubarak regime, including three ministers charged with corruption last Tuesday.  Regardless of the continuous clashes between the public and security forces, many protesters are promising to continue until their demands are met. During the February uprising, military aircraft hovered over the skies in an attempt to instill fear in the people, which only widened the public anger and strengthened the cause of the protesters. A military aircraft reportedly broke the sound barrier over the Egyptian capital last Wednesday, which could possibly strengthen a second wave of civil resistance. (Aljazeera, Elaph, BBC, Alarabiya, Elaph)

ISRAEL: UN report on Lebanon causes diplomatic tension
Israeli officials are allegedly "upset" and are "boycotting" a UN diplomat after a recent UN report surfaced, news sources reported last Wednesday.  The report, which was written by the UN's senior representative in Lebanon, Michael Williams, criticized the use of "unnecessary force" by Israeli soldiers against thousands of Lebanese unarmed demonstrators in mid-May. The report also claims that the violence was initiated by a fraction of the protesters who carried out a "provocative and violent act." Seven people were reported dead, and over a hundred were injured by Israeli live ammunition. Comment: Israeli-UN diplomatic tensions could escalate as the Palestinian Authority is prepping to gather enough votes for state recognition by the UN. Israel is currently campaigning against the vote, and PM Natenyahu is in Europe searching for commitments against the vote for a Palestinian state. While Romania has pledged its support for the Israeli efforts this week, Bulgaria failed to do so. A number of former EU leaders have recently called for the recognition of a Palestinian state.  Later this month, the UN Security Council plans on meeting to discuss "the possibility of Palestine becoming a United Nations member state." (BBC, JTA, Aljazeera, WSJ, ArutzSheva, Wafa)

YEMEN: Saudi oil tanker faces trouble in the Gulf of Aden
On Wednesday, Somali pirates unsuccessfully attempted to hijack a Saudi oil tanker (Brlenti Velots).  The armed captors failed to seize the vessel after clashing with the Yemeni Coast Guard, which had sent a number of special units in response to the ship's distress signals.  Yemen's official news agency announced that the crew was rescued safely, and "the Somali pirates have been killed in the rescue operation of the tanker that was heading for Britain."  Conflicting reports on the extent of the ship destruction and the fire damage later surfaced the same day.  Comment: Yemen's growing security challenges create exploitation opportunities for Somali pirates to expand their operations in Yemeni waters.  Recent reports discovered Somali pirates using an isolated Yemeni island (Socatra) for refueling purposes, which would enable them to stay in the waters for longer durations to intercept international vessels. (Aden-news, Elaph, Yemenpost, Saba, Xinhua)

Researched/Written by Ibrahim Al-Hajjri

South Asia
BANGLADESH: 48 hour strike prompts clashes across nation
On Wednesday, protesters in Dhaka and across the country took to the streets in a strike against the cancellation of Bangladesh's caretaker government. An interim government allowed to step in after the expiration of Parliament, the caretaker system was legalized by Bangladesh's 13th Amendment. Strikes this week called by the Bangladesh Nationalist Party resulted in an array of arrests and injuries. Protests quickly became violent, and clashes between police and protesters were seen around the country. Prominent opposition leader, Zainul Abdin Farooque, was injured in the turmoil. Comment: This week's protests are not the first; civilians and opposition parties have been enraged since the May ruling declaring the caretaker government unconstitutional. On June 30, courts officially amended the constitution. Many fear the ruling could incite further turmoil and weaken Bangladesh's fragile security. (BBC, The Daily Star, Reuters India)
 
INDIA: Supreme Court declares anti-Maoist militias unconstitutional
On Tuesday, India's Supreme Court declared anti-Maoist militias to be a violation of the nation's constitution. The Maoists have established rebel strongholds in numerous regions of India, including Chhattisgarh. Members of the ruling party have called the ruling a "setback to national security." Officials in the city have established Special Police Officers (SPOs), which are government paid, to lead the fight against Maoist groups. Other civilian-led militias such as Salwa Judum have taken up arms against the movements. Comment: The ban of both SPOs and civilian militias has concerned many regarding continued safety in the region, as many Maoist groups have been declared terrorist organizations by the Indian government. Locals and human rights groups have reported Salwa Judum and state supported militias to be in violation of human rights. Villagers have reported that SPOs and civilian militias have led attacks on "suspected" Maoist villages and left innocents killed and injured in their wake. The ruling will likely leave gaps in security, and many fear a resurgence in Maoist-led attacks. (BBC, Times of India, The Wall Street Journal)

PAKISTAN: U.S. claims ISI responsible for killing of journalist
On Monday, the New York Times revealed claims from U.S. administration officials that Pakistan's Inter-Services Intelligence (ISI) was responsible for journalist Saleem Shahzad's May 29 murder. The report claims U.S. intelligence has led officials to believe the ISI was responsible for Shahzad's death. One unnamed official reported that, "every indication is that this was a deliberate, targeted killing that was most likely meant to send shock waves through Pakistan's journalist community and civil society." Comment: This week, the commission set to investigate the Shahzad case summoned 16 journalists to appear in court to give statements and provide information regarding the murder. Shahzad, a prominent and respected journalist, led numerous investigations into government corruption, calling many to suspect government involvement in his disappearance and death. Following the release of the report, the ISI has declined comment. (Dawn, The New York Times, Pakistan Observer)

Researched/Written by  Kamila A. Badat

July 8, 2011
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In This Issue
Featured Article
Africa
Americas
East Asia
Europe & Central Asia
Middle East & N. Africa
South Asia

IPSI Symposiums 
2011 Bologna Symposium 

View a slideshow of photos from the first two weeks of the 2011 Bologna Symposium at the Johns Hopkins University SAIS Bologna Center!  

 

IPSI Blog 

Read the 2011 Participant Blog updated daily throughout the Symposium.

 

Live tweet  IPSI staff and the Symposium participants are Live Tweeting the entire event: #IPSIBologna  

 

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IPSI News 
Dr. William Zartman 

Dr. William Zartman, IPSI Chairman of the Board, is interviewed extensively for the following article: Will Hamas be the next extremist group to be engaged by the U.S.?  

 

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IPSI Leadership 

 

Cameron M. Chisholm

Dr. I. William Zartman 
Dr. P. Terrence Hopmann 
Alexander Little 
Nadim Salti
Pamela Aall 
Ahmedou Ould-Abdallah
Betty Bigombe 
Jan Eliasson
Gareth Evans 
Dr. Ted Robert Gurr
Amb. Jacques Paul Klein
Peter Kyle 
Dr. Jean Paul Lederach
Jeffrey Mapendere
John Marks 
Susan Collin Marks 
Dr. Joyce Neu

Dr. Valerie Rosoux 
William Stuebner 
Dr. Ruth Wedgwood

Dr. Craig Zelizer

 

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