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PEACE & SECURITY REPORT
IPSI's Peace & Security Report (PSR) is a concise weekly e-publication intended to keep busy students, academics, advocates, and practitioners in the conflict management community briefed on pertinent global news, events, and trends. Meticulously researched and written by IPSI, the PSR empowers us all to take a step back from our immediate deadlines each Friday and gain a greater understanding of the week's global events. |
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Featured Article

The results of the Global Peace Index (GPI) for 2011 suggest that the world has become slightly less peaceful in the past year. The deterioration is smaller than that which occurred between the 2009 and 2010 editions of the GPI, when some nations experienced an intensification of conflicts and growing instability linked to rapid rises in food, fuel and commodity prices and the global economic downturn. The 2011 GPI, which gauges ongoing domestic and international conflict, safety and security in society and militarisation in 153 countries, registered overall score increases for several indicators, the largest of which were in the potential for terrorist acts and the likelihood of violent demonstrations.
The indicator showing the most substantial year-on-year score decline (improvement) was military expenditure as a percentage of GDP, reflecting the impact of the global financial and economic crisis on defence budgets. While several countries experienced improved levels of peacefulness that appear to be linked with their economic recoveries, others, notably those in North Africa and the Middle East that have been swept up in the political turmoil of the "Arab Spring", have experienced sharp falls in their peacefulness. Read Full Report >>
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Africa
COTE D'IVOIRE: Ouattara sworn in
On May 21, Alassane Ouattara was finally sworn in as president of Cote d'Ivoire. Ouattara won the runoff election on November 28 last year, but former president Laurent Gbagbo refused to cede power before being captured last month. Ouattara cautioned citizens to be patient in their search for justice, but Amnesty International said that both sides committed and continue to commit war crimes. Comment: Initial votes were delayed over five years before being peacefully held to wide international praise on October 31. The runoff quickly devolved into a standoff when Gbabgo and Ouattara both claimed the presidency, leading to five months of violence. (Vanguard, RFI, AmnestyInternational)
SOUTH AFRICA: Calls for an African to lead the IMF
Following the allegations against former International Monetary Fund (IMF) chairman Dominique Strauss-Kahn (DSK), world leaders are proposing new leadership. While European leaders call for a European replacement for DSK, former South African finance minister Trevor Manuel is being raised as an alternate candidate. Comment: The IMF leadership is traditionally European, but with the downfall of DSK much of the world is calling for an open process to appoint a new director. Manuel has not yet made a comment of whether he is or is not considering a nomination. (BusinessWeek, AFP, TheGuardian, WallStreetJournal)
SUDAN: Conflict reignited in Abyei
Hostilities in Abyei, the disputed region on the border of northern Sudan and the new southern Sudanese state, erupted last week with attacks by southern Sudanese forces on a UN convoy. Forces from the north opened fire on UN helicopters, and up 40,000 civilians fled violence that devolved into looting throughout the region. Comment: the renewed violence between north and south threatens to jeopardize the independence of southern Sudan less than two months before scheduled independence ceremonies. Sudanese President Omar al-Bashir has said his forces will not withdraw from Abyei, and Ugandan president Yoweri Meseveni has stepped in to negotiate an end to hostilities. (AlArabiyaNews, SudanTribune, TheIndependent, DailyMonitor)
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Americas
CHILE: Thousands protest creation of dams in Patagonia region
Coinciding with President Sebastián Piñera's State of the Union speech, large demonstrations in 27 Chilean cities took place Saturday protesting the damming of two rivers in the Aysén region of Patagonia. The dams would destroy 15,000 acres of forest which is home to many rare animal and plant species. The initially peaceful protests, which drew thousands across the country, turned violent in many areas and resulted in 70 arrests, 22 injuries and $65,000 in property damages in the city of Valparaíso alone. Piñera responded to the opposition of the dams stating, "We can't say we need energy, consume it abundantly, and at the same time oppose all of its sources." Comment: Chile, like many developing nations, is struggling to balance the protection and preservation of biodiversity and the natural beauty of the country with economic development. Much of the blame for the energy crisis is on the vast and growing number of copper mines. (BBC, LA Times, BBC, Santiago Times)
HONDURAS: Ousted president set to return this weekend
Former Honduran President Manuel Zelaya, who was ousted in a 2009 coup, is set to return to the country this weekend. On Sunday, Zelaya and current president, Porfirio Lobo, signed an accord in Colombia allowing for the peaceful return of Zelaya and his supporters. The move paves the way for a June 1 Organization of American States (OAS) vote that may reinstate Honduras as a member; Honduras was expelled from the hemispheric organization after the 2009 coup. As the country has seen worker protests and rising crime in recent months, Zelaya's return is expected to "ratchet up tensions," according to one political analyst. Comment: Zelaya's ousting in 2009 came after he refused to cancel a referendum asking voters whether Honduras should alter its constitution. Many feel his intentions were to circumnavigate Honduras's single term presidential provision. Zelaya, who has been living in the Dominican Republic, refused to return to the country until all corruption charges against him were dropped; a request that was fulfilled last month. (Bloomberg, Washington Post, Miami Herald)
VENEZUELA: U.S. imposes sanctions for trade with Iran
The U.S. imposed sanctions on the Venezuelan state-run oil company, PDVSA on Tuesday for trading with Iran and thus violating the Iran Sanctions Act of 1996. The aim of the sanctions is to prevent future development of Iran's nuclear program. Between December and March, PDVSA shipped some $50 million worth of refined petroleum products to Iran. President Hugo Chavez, who promised on his last visit to Tehran to boost economic ties between the nations, called the sanctions "imperialist." Comment: PDVSA supplies fuel to the U.S. Strategic Reserve. The sanctions will not affect the Venezuelan company, CITGO, which is the fifth largest supplier of crude oil to the U.S. Although ties between Washington and Chavez have long been strained, both ultimately recognize their mutual dependence on the oil trade. (Miami Herald,Reuters, BBC)
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East Asia
CHINA: North Korean leader tours Northern China
Last Friday, Kim Jong-Il began a tour of Northern China that was described by China's Premier, Wen Jiabao, as an, "opportunity to understand China's economic development." However, neighboring nations are suspicious of the true intentions behind the trip, especially since it closely follows Kim's August 2010 visit. The timing also carries significance because China, South Korea, and Japan are currently discussing a trilateral Free Trade Agreement in Tokyo. Premier Wen took the opportunity to comment on Kim's visit at the FTA meeting while reinforcing China's desire to renew the abandoned six party talks on North Korea's nuclear program. Comment: The unprecedented acknowledgement of Kim's presence in China before he returns home may be related to the trilateral FTA talks currently underway in Japan. This could be a move by China to portray a more stable image of North Korea since previous tensions in the region have significantly impacted the surrounding economies. (Daily Yomiuri, Korea Times, Joong Ang Daily, Reuters)
PHILIPPINES: 54 potential migrant workers 'rescued' in Manila On Wednesday, Filipino authorities interrupted the transit of 54 women to Syria and Qatar that would have been in violation of a travel ban to those specific countries due to armed conflict in the region. These women report being told they would receive compensation of U.S. $200 for their work as domestic helpers, half the nationally mandated minimum monthly wage of $400 for overseas workers. In lieu of this discovery, Filipino authorities request that citizens remain vigilant and not let themselves be taken advantage of. Comment: The Filipino government enforces strict adherence to the minimum wage requirements as a means of protecting their overseas citizens from exploitation in foreign job markets. It is also interesting to note that 10 percent of the Philippine's GDP is supported by remittances from overseas workers. (GMA News, ABS-CBN News, Phil Star, Inquirer) THAILAND/CAMBODIA: Indonesia to dispatch 'surveyors' to evaluate contested border areas As the current chair of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations, or ASEAN, Indonesia will send surveyors to the Thai-Cambodia border prior to "holding a General Border Committee meeting," said Tea Banh, Cambodia's Defense Minister. The GBC would be tasked with reaching a final solution to the border dispute between Thailand and Cambodia. Both countries have periodically engaged in deadly skirmishes over disputed territorial lines drawn by the International Court of Justice in 1962; especially in regards to a 4.6 square km area surrounding the Preah Vihear Temple. In the original ruling, Cambodia was granted ownership of the temple, while Thailand was given ownership of an adjacent piece of land that contains the temple's main entrance; therefore, both have been asserting their claim to the entire temple complex since. Comment: The military build-up and repeated conflicts along the Thai-Cambodian border have resulted in the loss of many lives and pose a significant threat to ensuring continued regional stability. ASEAN hopes to resolve this issue quickly because it is perceived as an impediment to reaching a 2015 goal of greater economic integration among the ASEAN nations. (MCOT, Xinhua, Huffington Post)
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| Europe & Central Asia
BELARUS: Currency devaluation causes panic
On Tuesday, the government devalued the Belarusian ruble against the U.S. dollar by 36 percent, spreading panic throughout the country. People began protesting price increases and storming shops and currency exchange offices shortly after the announcement in order to protect savings and prepare for a more severe devaluation in the future. There is a shortage of hard currency and consumer goods in the country, and exchange offices have run out of foreign currency, especially dollars and euros. Comment: Russia and other former Soviet states agreed last week to give Belarus a three billion dollar loan on the condition that the government sells state industrial assets to replenish its coffers. Belarus has experienced increasing economic troubles in recent months due to the state-controlled economy's inability to deal with increasing energy prices from Russia and increases in spending by President Lukashenko before last December's presidential elections. (Bloomberg, Financial Times, Forbes)
GEORGIA: Opposition rallies to oust president
On Thursday, thousands of protesters in Tbilisi were violently dispersed by police, resulting in dozens of arrests and injuries, as well as the death of two protesters and one police officer. The demonstrators gathered in Tbilisi's Freedom Square on Wednesday to accuse President Mikhail Saakashvili of authoritarian tactics and demand his resignation. The demonstrations, which originally began on Saturday and continued throughout the week, were officially sanctioned for Wednesday until midnight; protesters then attempted to block a nearby military parade early on Thursday, provoking what Transparency International Georgia characterized as "excessive" and "disproportionate" use of force. Comment: The demonstrations are the largest since 2009, and are being led by the more radical opposition People's Assembly movement and the Georgian Party. The opposition earlier planned but canceled a "Day of Rage" on Wednesday and promised that Saakashvili, who came to power after the ouster of Eduard Shevardnadze in 2003, would be removed that day. (RFE/RL, RIA Novosti, NYT, Civil Georgia, BBC, Transparency International Georgia)
RUSSIA: Court upholds Khodorkovsky conviction, reduces sentence by one year
On Tuesday a Moscow court upheld the guilty verdict against former oil tycoon Mikhail Khodorkovsky for money laundering and embezzlement, but failed to address violations that have marred the criminal proceedings from the outset of the investigation. The court rejected the appeal, but reduced his sentence by one year, setting his release for 2016. Amnesty International has officially recognized Mikhail Khodorkovsky and Platon Lebedev as "prisoners of conscience," or individuals who have been detained solely for the exercise of a right or on account of their identity. Comment: Both men were originally sentenced in 2003 and were scheduled for release this year, but additional convictions last December extended their sentences. Last week President Medvedev commented that the release of Khodorkovsky would not pose a threat to society, in contrast to Prime Minister Putin, who is a staunch proponent of his detention. (Moscow Times, RIA Novosti, Deutsche Welle, RFE/RL, Amnesty International)
SERBIA: Bosnian war crimes suspect Ratko Mladic arrested
After more than 15 years on the run, Ratko Mladic, a former Bosnian Serb army general wanted for genocide during the Bosnian war of the 1990s, was arrested in Serbia on Thursday; Serbian President Boris Tadic said they were in the process of extraditing him to the war crimes tribunal in The Hague. Mladic was found in the village of Lazarevo in northern Serbia where he had been living under an assumed name. He faces charges for the massacre of approximately 7,500 Bosnian Muslim men and boys at Srebrenica in 1995. Comment: Mladic was the most prominent Bosnian war crimes suspect at large since the arrest of Radovan Karadzic in 2008. The arrest is being praised by the European Union, which Serbia officially applied to in 2009, and may help the country's accession to the organization. (BBC, RFE/RL, RIA Novosti, Balkan Insight)
Researched/Written by Mark Simeone |
Middle East & North Africa
ISRAEL/PALESTINE: Israel unhappy with 1967 borders
The aftermath of President Obama's Department of State speech last week brought about much criticism from the Middle East. Israel, represented by Prime Minister Netanyahu, completely refused the notion of returning to the borders of 1967 with mutually agreed upon land swaps. Netanyahu asserted that those 44-year-old borders are now indefensible. On Monday, Obama spoke to a prominent Israeli lobby (AIPAC) and explained that this peace proposition was misinterpreted, and that a final border agreement would have to take the new demographic realities into consideration. Comment: For the Palestinian Authority, the borders of 1967 are an absolute condition to continued negotiations with the Israelis. While Palestinian Authority leader Abbas has refrained from issuing an official statement in response to the U.S. position, Hamas raised the ante by demanding the borders of 1948. Hamas and Fatah have recently signed a power sharing agreement that hinders the peace process according to the U.S. and Israel. Meanwhile, Russia has shown support for the Palestinian reconciliation, and promised to back a Palestinian bid for state recognition at the UN. (Alittihad, Beirutline, Arabnews, WashingtonTimes, Haaretz, Ynet)
LIBYA: Tripoli taken aback by NATO strikes
The early hours of Tuesday marked the heaviest military offensive against Gadhafi's forces since NATO launched it's operations in Libya on March 19th. The bombing campaign struck at least 15 targets in central Tripoli mostly concentrated on an area around Gadhafi's command compound Bab al-Aziziya. Over 21 airstrikes resulted in 19 deaths and many injuries. As the conflict continues into its third month, thousands of Libyans have died and incurred serious injuries. U.S Ambassador to Libya Gene Cretz estimates the death toll to between 10,000 and 30,000. Comment: Gadhafi forces have been losing ground and power as the NATO bombing campaign continues to aid the rebel forces. Even though the rebels are the main ground forces combating Gadhafi, they are still not internationally recognized as an official authority for the Libyan people. However, this week there was diplomatic progress for the rebels represented by the Transitional National Council (TNC) after they accepted an invitation to open a representative office in Washington D.C. While the U.S. has not fully recognized the TNC, Jordan's Foreign Minister Nasser Judeh said his country considers the council as the legitimate representative of the Libyan people. Before Jordan, only France, Italy, and Qatar have recognized the TNC. (Alarabiya, UPI, Libya Alyoum, BBC, nytimes, Forbes)
QATAR: Emir criticizes ICC's role in bringing justice to Gaza
On Tuesday, Doha hosted the International Criminal Court's first regional conference. During the inauguration of the two day event, Qatar's Emir, Sheikh Hamad Al Thani, addressed the importance of combating aggressive crimes such as genocide, war crimes, and crimes against humanity. In his speech, Al Thani critiqued the ICC's Rome Statue, which he deemed unable to accommodate serious crimes like the ones he believes Israel has committed against the people of Gaza. Fatu Bensouda, Deputy Prosecutor of the ICC, commented on Qatar's option to ratify the Rome Statue as a "voluntary sovereign decision," which the Qatari authorities will have to decide to opt in or out of. Comment: Unlike Egypt and Tunisia, Qatar has not vowed to join ICC's current list of Arab members, which includes Comoros, Djibouti, and Jordan. The ICC has 115 members from around the globe, yet is still missing notable countries such as the U.S., Russia, China, and Israel who have expressed concerns about handing sovereign power to a higher court. (TheNational, Gulf-Times, ThePeninsula, QNAOL, Aljazeera)
YEMEN: U.S. orders diplomats to leave as the violence escalates
On Wednesday, the State Department urged all Americans and ordered all nonessential diplomats, and families of all embassy staff to leave Yemen as the security conditions continue to deteriorate in the capital, Sana'a. The U.S. fears that the violence may escalate further, and advised that the security threat levels are high due to the civil unrest and terrorist activities. After the Yemeni government and opposition failed to reach a power transfer agreement on Sunday, clashes between the pro- and anti-government supporters increased, crippling the operation of a number of government institutions and shutting down the capital's airport. Since Monday, dozens of military soldiers and armed tribesmen have been injured and more than 100 are reported dead. Comment: The security situation is of great concern to the U.S. because of al-Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula's (AQAP) presence in Yemen. Analysts fear that if Yemen loses its grip on the security situation, it will provide AQAP with an opportunity to take advantage of the security vacuum. Even though President Saleh has been a close ally of the U.S. in the war on terror, President Obama urged President Saleh to follow through on his promise to peacefully transfer his power through a GCC initiative. (nytimes, Guardian, rttnews, Washington Post)
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South Asia
AFGHANISTAN: Trilateral talks call for greater Pakistan/U.S. cooperation
During trilateral talks among Afghanistan, Pakistan, and the U.S. on Tuesday, Afghan Deputy Minister of Foreign Affairs, Javed Lodin, called for greater cooperation towards peacebuilding efforts. Lodin encouraged Pakistan to help establish negotiations between the government and militant groups and asked both the U.S. and Pakistan to help consolidate peace in the region. The talks also called for greater trade cooperation among the three in order to create more political, social, and economic stability within the country. Comment: The relationship between the U.S. and Pakistan has suffered greatly in the wake of Bin Laden's death, making increased cooperation unlikely. Lodin's call for consolidating peace follows last week's anti-NATO protests and civilian deaths in Afghanistan, which exemplify the need for greater stability. (Pahjwok, BakhtarNewsAgency, OutlookAfghanistan, TheIndependent)
INDIA/PAKISTAN: Mumbai attack trial implicates Pakistan
Tahawwur Rana stood trial this week in Chicago for his role in the November 26, 2008 Mumbai attacks in which over 160 people, including both Indians and foreigners, were killed. During the trial, David Healey, a Pakistani-American who helped plan the terror attacks, testified with regards to the Inter-Services Intelligence's (ISI) role. During his testimony Healey indicated that the internationally recognized militant group, Lashkar-e-Taiba (LeT), worked with the ISI to plan and implement the deadly terrorist attack. Comment: News of the ISI's role in the 2008 Mumbai attacks further calls into question Pakistan's commitment to combating terrorism. (DNAIndia, TimesofIndia, TheGuardian)
PAKISTAN: Taliban attacks Karachi naval station
The Pakistani Naval Station Mehran came under siege on Sunday in an attack that lasted 15 hours and left 10 dead and two planes destroyed. The Pakistani Taliban claimed responsibility for the attack and declared the act a display of revenge for the death of Osama bin Laden. On Wednesday, the Taliban also claimed responsibility for an attack at a Peshawar police station, in which five policemen were killed and 23 people, including a child, were injured. Comment: The attacks this week bring increased scrutiny on the Pakistani government and their abilities to combat terrorism within their state. The naval attacks in Karachi occurred within 15 miles of a suspected nuclear facility and have generated concerns regarding Pakistan's capabilities to protect its nuclear program. (Dawn, IndiaToday, ChristianScienceMonitor, PakTribune)
Researched/Written by Kamila A. Badat
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IPSI Symposiums
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Robi Damelin, Head of Public Relations, Parents Circle - Families Forum, will run an intensive workshop on trauma care and personal reconciliation at the 2011 Bologna Symposium >>
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