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PEACE & SECURITY REPORT
IPSI's Peace & Security Report (PSR) is a concise weekly e-publication intended to keep busy students, academics, advocates, and practitioners in the conflict management community briefed on pertinent global news, events, and trends.  Meticulously researched and written by IPSI, the PSR empowers us all to take a step back from our immediate deadlines each Friday and gain a greater understanding of the week's global events.
Featured Article
Combating Violence Against Roma in Hungary
Human Rights First

Roma ProtestsIn Hungary, an alarming upsurge of racist violence has victimized many members of the country's Roma population, estimated between 400,000 and 600,000 people. Violence is not a new manifestation of anti-Roma prejudice, yet there has been a particularly sharp rise in serious-sometimes deadly-violent attacks since 2008, inflaming social tensions and weakening the sense of protection from discrimination for minorities across the country.

The violence occurs in an environment where Hungarian citizens of Roma origin have long experienced widespread discrimination. In the wake of the global economic downturn and a recent national election campaign, the already rampant anti-Roma sentiments have merged with anti-Semitism and xenophobic extreme nationalism.  READ MORE >>
 
Originally published by Human Rights First in 10/2010
Africa
BENIN: Floods displace over 350,000
Flooding caused by heavy rains that began in early October has left nearly two-thirds of Benin underwater. The UN reports 377 dead across west and central Africa and over 1.5 million displaced. The flooding is exacerbating food crises and leading to the spread of cholera and other diseases. However, on October 21, seven African states -- Benin, Cameroon, Central African Republic, Chad, Equatorial Guinea, Niger and Nigeria, -- announced a pact to cooperate on cross-border health issues. Comment: Many of the countries being hardest hit by the flooding already suffer from humanitarian crises, including malnutrition, disease, and food shortages. Cooperation on health initiatives could facilitate greater integration across other venues as well, and may help prevent the current floods from leading to more widespread conflict and structural violence. (UNICEF, RFI, AFP, DailyTrust)

CENTRAL AFRICAN REPUBLIC: Combating the LRA
The four countries most affected by the Lord's Resistance Army (LRA) -- Uganda, Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC), Central African Republic (CAR), and Sudan -- agreed to form a permanent joint military operation, with logistical support from the African Union (AU), Nigeria, and South Africa. The announcement comes as the UN High Commissioner for Refugees raised concerns over the LRA on October 15 after attacks in recent weeks killed dozens and displaced thousands. CAR called for the AU to respond to the LRA as a terrorist threat, and officials in Sudan lauded the efforts. Comment: The LRA began in 1987 in Uganda before fleeing into DRC, CAR, and Sudan, where it continued to carry out brutal attacks and abduct thousands of children. Previous joint military operations by the four countries failed to rout the LRA or adequately protect civilians from reprisal attacks. Establishing a permanent task force should help improve the previous shortcomings. (Sudan Tribune, AFP, BBC, New Vision, UN News Centre)

COTE D'IVOIRE: Election campaigning begins peacefully
The UN announced on October 18 that campaigning for the October 31 presidential election started successfully and peacefully. Just three days before the beginning of the official campaigning, the UN Security Council announced a six-month extension of sanctions on weapons, travel, and finance, including sanctions targeting blood diamonds. The sanctions are scheduled to be reviewed no later than three months after the conclusion of the presidential elections. Ex-rebel group New Forces hailed the successful distribution of identification and voter registration cards and called for support of peaceful elections. Comment: Presidential elections in Cote d'Ivoire were initially scheduled for 2005. Although delayed five years, they offer the best chance for stability -- if held successfully. The UN peacekeeping force has already increased its presence, and the European Union dispatched 120 peacekeepers to ensure a peaceful election. (Ghana News Link, Afrique en Lingue, UN News Centre, Examiner)

DRC: Women speak out against sexual violence
Thousands of rape survivors in the Democratic Republic of Congo marched on October 17 to call attention to the crisis of sexual violence in what the UN called the "rape capital of the world." Congolese women were joined by women from over 40 other countries. Recent reports from the UN suggest that over 15,000 rapes took place in DRC last year alone as rape has become an increasingly common weapon, used by both rebel groups and government soldiers. Comment: Sexual violence is quickly rising as the dominant threat in the DRC, a country beset with problems. As government soldiers retake land from rebels, they often rape the same victims they are alleged to be protecting. The UN has so far proved powerless is halting the violence against women, but recently made it a top priority and demanded that the DRC begin investigating and prosecuting rapes. The march, in addition to raising awareness, intended to remove the stigma attached to women who have been raped and encourage them to speak out. (Radio Netherlands Worldwide, CNN, AFP, UN News Centre)

SUDAN: Talks on Abyei region collapse
Talks on the future of the oil-rich Abyei region collapsed last week ahead of the January referendum. Representatives of the Khartoum government say that a delay is "inevitable," while officials in the south said that residents of Abyei may have to hold their own vote. Southern Sudanese officials are also calling for international intervention to resolve the Abyei issue in time, which apparently collapsed over calls for the Missiriya, nomad cattle grazers, to be included in the vote. On October 18, the UN announced that 100 peacekeepers from the UN Mission in Sudan (UNMIS) were being moved to Abyei to control rising tensions.  Comment: The negotiations over the vote in the Abyei district centered around who would be allowed to vote in the January 9, 2011, referendum. As part of the 2005 Comprehensive Peace Agreement, Abyei will vote to remain a part of the north or join a potentially independent South Sudan. The collapse of the talks only fuels an already untenable situation. (Reuters, AFP, Sudan Tribune, Sudan Tribune)

Researched/Written
by Matthew Hughes
Americas
VENEZUELA/IRAN: Strengthening bilateral relations
On October 19, Venezuelan President Chavez was greeted at the Iranian presidential palace for a two-day visit. President Chavez and Iranian leaders held talks on improving cooperation between the countries' gas, oil, and petrochemical industries. Both countries discussed the tensions in the Middle East and signed eleven economic agreements. President Chavez stated that relations with Tehran are based on "shared interests" and a mutual belief in the importance of Iran's sovereignty. Comment: Venezuela has been a staunch supporter of Iran's nuclear program and denounces the sanctions on Iran. President Chavez has defended his own plan to build a nuclear power plant with Russia's help. Critics in Latin America have expressed concern over the plan due to Chavez's history of bellicosity towards his neighbors. (El Nuevo Herald, AP, Reuters, El Universal)

GUATEMALA/U.S.: Coordinated fight against organized crime
The Assistant Secretary of State David Johnson confirmed on October 19 that the U.S. will support the fight against organized crime in Guatemala and other Central American countries. In a statement to reporters, Johnson expressed the U.S.'s commitment to combat corruption and organized crime through improved security measures and rule of law. He also stressed the importance in police reform models, which have reduced crime between 45 to 50 percent in Mixco and Villa Nueva. Comment: The U.S. has spent about $25 million in 2010 assisting Guatemala in the fight against transnational organized crime, especially drug trafficking and gangs. The resources were meant to strengthen ports and airports, and assist in the development of a modern and more effective police force. (El Nuevo Herald, Siglo XXI, La Hora)

U.S./CUBA: No policy change for Cuba
President Obama declared in a meeting with Hispanic journalists at the White House on October 19 that Cuba has not shown enough commitment to "freedom." Obama stressed that before taking any new steps in the bilateral relationship, the U.S. must see serious changes in the Castro regime. He pushed for Cuba to release political prisoners and move towards economic liberalization. Comment: In June, the Cuban government moved political prisoners to jails closer to their families; and after talks with the Catholic Church and Spanish government, more than 30 were released on the condition that they travel to Spain. Obama has lifted restrictions on family travel and remittances to/from Cuba imposed by the Bush administration. (El Nuevo Herald, AFP, Latin American Herald Tribune)

Researched/Written by Carla Avendano
 
East Asia
BURMA: Burmese Army, Kachin militia in tense stand-off
On October 18, Burmese troops surrounded three Kachin Independence Organization (KIO) offices in Kachin state, which borders China. The raid comes after the Burmese government blamed the Kachin Independence Army (KIA), the militant wing of the KIO, for a landmine blast last week that left one dead and two injured. In response, the KIA increased troop numbers in Hopin, near the Chinese border, and reportedly surrounded a Burmese army outpost close to the group's headquarters. Latest reports suggest that the situation calmed following negotiations between the rebel group and the Burmese Military Affairs Security. Comment: Tensions are on the rise between the KIO and the Burmese junta after the KIA refused to sign a deal last month with the government to disarm and become an official border guard force. The KIO has also called for the boycott of the November 7 elections; the first in the country in 20 years. (BBC, UPI, Democratic Voice of Burma)

CHINA: Tibetan students protest against proposed education policy
Thousands of Tibetan students reportedly protested in Tongren, Qinghai, China this week against what they called the "erosion of their culture." The students protested in response to unconfirmed reports of a new education policy requiring all subjects to be taught in Chinese, except for Tibetan and English language classes. The students chanted, "We want equality of culture," and asked for the continued use of the Tibetan language in school. The number of protestors was between 1,000 and 7,000 according to rights groups, while official sources stated it to be 800. Comment: Qinghai saw wide-spread anti-government protests in 2008. In addition to being an economic and administrative center, Tongren is also a traditional center of art and culture. Language has been an emotional and complicated issue for Tibetans, and many of them feel Chinese policies are undermining their culture. (BBC, CNN, Forbes)

CHINA: Chinese Vice President Xi Jinping appointed to key military commission
Vice President Xi was promoted to the Chinese Communist Party's (CCP) Central Military Commission during the Fifth Plenary Session of the 17th CCP's Central Committee, a four day event that ended on October 18. The appointment is a sign that Xi is on track to succeed current President Hu Jintao. Xi has long been viewed as the anointed successor to Hu, who is expected to resign as head of the party in 2012. Comment: In China, appointment to the military commission as well as the government is seen as necessary preparation for the top office. President Hu was also given the same promotion before he was named head of the party in 2002 and then as president in 2003. (AP, CS Monitor, Japan Times)

Researched/Written by Megha Swamy
Europe & Central Asia
CZECH REPUBLIC: Neo-Nazis jailed for attempted murder of Roma
Czech courts sentenced four men to jail for 22 years for a firebombing attack on a Roma family in 2009. The attack occurred on April 20, the anniversary of Hitler's birthday, and left a toddler severely burned. The case gained international attention after police were unable to effectively and aggressively pursue the perpetrators. Comment: The attacks resulted in a crackdown by Czech authorities on anti-Roma violence.  In recent months, the European Union has also deported many Roma and routed out illegal communities. (Radio Free Europe, CNN, BBC)

FRANCE: Workers strike to protest retirement age, fuel depots blocked
After French officials announced a plan last week to raise the retirement age from 60 to 62, protesters barricaded several oil depots throughout the country and blocked ports from importing oil.  Police in riot gear dismantled many of the barricades while President Sarkozy called for an end to the protest.  With the energy centers paralyzed, gas stations have run dry, causing massive lines at the stations that are still in operation.  Comment: With the overarching effect that the oil shortage is having, it is no surprise that the French government is stepping in.  Even if all of the barricades ended today, it would still take four or five days for everything to return to normal.  (WSJ, Bloomberg, BBC)

RUSSIA: Militants storm Chechen parliament, six dead
On October 19, three militants attacked the Chechen parliament building in Grozny, leaving six dead and seventeen injured.  The first exploded a suicide device at the entrance while the others detonated themselves after exchanging gunfire with police.  The attackers were unable to enter the main parliament chamber, but eleven civilians and three police officers were among the wounded, while three officers were among the dead.  Comment: Chechen regional president Ramzan Kadyrov recently made statements challenging the strength of the insurgency, so it is possible the attack was designed to counter this belief.  On October 20, three militants were killed in a police raid in Kabardino-Balkaria.  (Reuters, AP, Radio Free Europe)

THE NETHERLANDS: Congolese war criminal trial will proceed at ICC
On October 20, the ICC denied Former vice president of the Democratic Republic of Congo Jean-Pierre Bemba's request to dismiss his trial in The Hague.  The appeal was based on Bemba's claim that the ICC does not have jurisdiction because a similar case against him was dismissed in a 2004 Central African Republic judicial decision.  However, the ICC ruled that the 2004 case was dismissed in order to refer Bemba to The Hague, so the current case does not fall under the category commonly known as double jeopardy. Comment: Bemba is accused of leading militias that raped and murdered civilians in the Central African Republic in 2002. The trial is now scheduled to start on November 22, 2010, two and a half years after his 2008 arrest. Bemba is the highest level politician in ICC custody at this time. (UPI, AFP, Voice of America)

Researched/Written by Daniel Pechtol
Middle East & North Africa
EGYPT: Government crackdown over upcoming elections
On October 19, Amnesty International accused the Egyptian government of arresting at least 150 Muslim Brotherhood members in connection with the November 28 parliamentary elections, which the group has vowed to contest. In light of the upcoming elections, Egypt's main satellite operator shut down another 12 private televisions channels, stating they were "violating broadcasting licenses." Egypt's information minister described the ban as "corrective measures" to protect viewers from the "offending channels." Comment: In 2005, the Egyptian government allowed the Brotherhood to contest for a limited number of seats, but when they made rapid gains, the police closed down polling stations and arrested Brotherhood members. Today, the Muslim Brotherhood members run as independent candidates to bypass the ban on religious parties. (Al Jazeera, AFP, The Daily News Egypt, Reuters)

IRAQ: UN envoy survives roadside attack
A roadside bomb hit a UN-Iraqi policy convoy leaving the Shiite holy city of Najaf, 160 kilometers south of Baghdad on October 19. The special envoy to Iraq escaped unharmed, although one policeman was killed and three were wounded. The Iraqi police said that the initial investigation on Tuesday's attack indicates Asaib al-Haq was involved. Comment: The Shiite militia Asaib al-Haq (League of Righteousness) is a splinter group of the Medhi Army of anti-American Shiite cleric Moqtada al-Sadr. The group takes credit for kidnapping foreign nationals and attacking U.S. forces. The seven-month political stalemate following the inconclusive elections has raised tensions in Iraq. Though violence has sharply decreased, daily attacks by Sunni Islamist insurgency and Shiite militia groups continue. (Al Jazeera, The Christian Monitor, BBC, Reuters)

ISRAEL/HAMAS: Negotiations over captured Israeli resumes
Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu announced on October 17 that Israel and Hamas have resumed indirect negotiations over the release of Galid Shalit, the Israeli soldier captured four years ago. The low level negotiations will be conducted by a German mediator following a nearly year-long hiatus. Comment: In June 2006, Hamas fighters, along with Islamic Jihad members, captured Shalit in a cross border raid. In exchange for Shalit's freedom, Hamas has demanded the release of hundreds of Palestinian prisoners. (Al Jazeera, Ynet News, UPI)

Researched/Written by Carla Avendano 

South Asia
AFGHANISTAN: Afghan Election body rules 1.3 million votes invalid
The Afghan Independent Election Commission (IEC) announced on October 20 that is has nullified 1.3 million votes from last month's parliamentary elections due to fraud and other irregularities. The invalid votes account for almost a quarter of the 5.6 million total votes cast in the September elections. The IEC stated that recounting and audit of votes from about 2,500 polling stations led to the disqualification of the ballots. The Commission also announced that 224 candidates, around one-tenth of the total, are being investigated on fraud charges. The UN-backed Electoral Complaints Commission still needs to rule on thousands of complaints lodged by observers, candidates, and voters. As a result, it may be weeks before final results of the election are released. Comment: Analysts believe the new parliament will hold the key to strengthening Afghanistan's political system, which currently is rife with corruption, and generally seen to help influential warlords in the country. The election was seen as a key test after last year's presidential vote, which was marred by widespread fraud. Almost a quarter of the votes were declared invalid in the presidential elections as well. (Voice of America, Radio Free Europe, NY Times, BBC)

INDIA: Top separatist leader arrested in Kashmir
Police in the Indian-Administered Kashmir (IAK) arrested a top separatist leader, Masrat Alam, on October 18 who reportedly played a key role in the recent protests in the region. The police chief stated that the arrest was a "significant success" for the forces. Comment: The IAK has experienced increasingly violent protests since June, claiming the lives of over a 100 people. The Indian government sent an all-party delegation on a fact finding mission and also appointed a three-member mediation team last month in an attempt to quell the violence. (BBC, Canadian Press, Indian Express)

PAKISTAN: Political violence paralyzes Karachi 
The southern port city of Karachi saw continued political violence leaving over 60 people dead in the last week following the provincial assembly bi-election that was held over the weekend. The assembly seat was previously held by the Muttahida Qaumi Movement (MQM) politician Raza Haider who was assassinated in August. Paramilitary troops have been deployed to the city to restore order, and President Zardari has asked the Interior Ministry to submit a "comprehensive report" on the violence. Comment: Karachi has a long history of sectarian and ethnic conflict, and the city is rife with illegal weapons. Criminal syndicates are often attached to political parties. Karachi currently holds increased importance as an equipment supply route for American and NATO forces operating in neighboring Afghanistan. (Dawn, NY Times, BBC)

Researched/Written by Megha Swamy
October 22, 2010
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In This Issue
Featured Article
Africa
Americas
East Asia
Europe & Central Asia
Middle East & N. Africa
South Asia
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IPSI UPDATE

Luis Moreno Ocampo

IPSI Contributor Luis Moreno Ocampo, Prosecutor at the ICC, states that trials for the 2007 Kenyan violence will likely begin in 2012.
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IPSI ALUMNI

Bimal Dahal

IPSI alumnus Bimal Dahal, a Nepalese academic, writes in this op-ed why he believes the Maoist protests
in May were ineffective. 
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