LiveWire Bannerhead
Lanning Financial Inc.
For the week of June 25, 2012
small jlanning
Lanning Financial Inc.
636 Fourth Street
San Francisco, CA 94107
415.354.5699 ph. & private fax
 
Jessica Lanning and Lanning Financial provide mortgage services and financial strategies that bring focus and perspective to your individual financial needs.

Last Week in Review...

     "Twist and shout."    And Operation Twist is back on the table after the Fed said last week that it is extending the program. But will this decision - or the Fed's lowered forecasts for US growth and inflation - be cause for shouting? Read on for details. 

 

 

     The week began with speculation that the Fed would extend "Operation Twist" after its two-day meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee. Remember, Operation Twist is where the Fed sells its holdings of short-term securities and Notes and then purchases longer-term Notes and Bonds in order to try and lower longer-term rates even further. The Fed extended the program, which began last fall, because the Fed feels that access to cheaper money will help spur on economic growth. And while the Fed did not mention anything about another round of Bond buying (called Quantitative Easing, or QE3), they laid some groundwork for additional stimulus if necessary. 

 

     The Fed's decision to extend Operation Twist - and their lowered forecasts for our economic growth - partly came from disappointing economic reports we've seen recently. The Fed noted that "growth in employment has slowed in recent months, and the unemployment rate remains elevated." Last week's higher than expected Initial Jobless Claims exemplified that. In addition, the housing market continues to muddle along the bottom with numbers showing only modest improvement. Though there was some good news last week - even though Housing Starts were a bit below expectations, Building Permits (a sign of future construction) surged 8%. 

 

     So what does all of this mean for home loan rates? Home loan rates continue to benefit from the drama in Europe and the weak economic reports here at home, as investors continue to see our Bonds (including Mortgage Bonds, to which home loan rates are tied) as a safe haven for their money. But it's important to note that additional hints of QE3 could push Stock prices higher, shifting cash out of the Bond trade and hurting home loan rates in the process. 

 

     The bottom line is that now continues to be a great time to purchase or refinance a home, as home loan rates remain near historic lows. Let me know if I can answer any questions at all for you or your clients. 

  Forecast For The Week...
  

     The economic calendar heats up this week, with several important  reports:               

  • The economic calendar kicks off on Monday with the New Home Sales data for May. This comes after last week's weaker than expected Existing Home Sales data. Pending Home Sales will be released Wednesday.                  
     
  • Consumer Confidence will be delivered on Tuesday, followed by Consumer Sentiment on Friday. These reports will gauge how the consumer is holding up in a weakening economic environment.  
     
  • Another look as to how the consumer is doing will be Wednesday's Durable Goods report, which measures products lasting at least three years, such as washing machines and dishwashers. 
     
  • Gross Domestic Product (GDP) will be reported on Thursday for the final reading of the first quarter of 2012. 
     
  • Weekly Initial Jobless Claims will also be reported on Thursday and have remained stubbornly high.
     
  • Last but certainly not least is Friday's Personal Income and Spending data, which will be released along with the closely watched Core Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) report. The Core PCE is the Fed's favorite gauge of inflation.                  
     

     In addition, the Treasury will sell $99 Billion total in 2, 5 and 7 year T notes this week and the results could impact trading.        

 

     Remember: Weak economic news normally causes money to flow out of Stocks and into Bonds, helping Bonds and home loan rates improve, while strong economic news normally has the opposite result. 

 

     The chart below shows Mortgage Backed Securities (MBS), which are the type of Bond that home loan rates are based on. 

 

     When you see these Bond prices moving higher, it means home loan rates are improving - and when they are moving lower, home loan rates are getting worse.

 

     To go one step further - a red "candle" means that MBS worsened during the day, while a green "candle" means MBS improved during the day. Depending on how dramatic the changes were on any given day, this can cause rate changes throughout the day, as well as on the rate sheets we start with each morning. 

 

     As you can see in the chart below, Bonds and home loan rates remain near record best levels. I'll continue to monitor this situation closely.   

-------------------------------------------
Chart: Fannie Mae 3.5% Mortgage Bond (Friday, June 22, 2012)
 
 
 Mortgage Market View...

  

Exercise Your Brain  

 

     Forgetting names or important details never feels good...be it in a personal or professional setting. The key is to stay mentally active. Here are some great tips you can share with your clients, referral partners, and family members that can help keep their memory in tip top shape: 

 

1. Memorize Something New. Memorizing almost anything is one of the best exercises you can give your brain. Start small by memorizing your shopping list or daily schedule, or you can take it to another level by learning a musical instrument or a new language. Doing any of these exercises can potentially lead to quick and substantial improvement in memory, which will be helpful both personally and professionally.

 

2. Get a Hobby. Whether you choose something like gardening, bird watching, or flying model airplanes, taking on any new hobby is good for mental stimulation as well as overall mood. Look for activities you really enjoy and that allow you to learn and have fun, simultaneously. All of these traits are components to living a happy and rewarding life, and remaining mentally sharp.

 

3. Challenge Yourself. Daily patterns can be the enemy of mental sharpness. It's one thing to keep a schedule or to plan out daily events. What we're talking about is having the exact same routine, nearly every day. Falling into rigid patterns promotes mental passivity, or the opposite of stimulation. So try mixing things up a bit. Challenge yourself by participating in new activities. Join a softball league, a reading club, or even a theater group. At the very least, play around with your daily schedule.

 

     The brain is a complex organ, able to create new connections between nerve cells when it is properly stimulated. Those connections lend themselves to optimal brain function, increased intelligence, and improved memory. The above tips will help people notice a difference in their memory in no time.

 

Recommend Your Favorite Professionals...
Jessica is looking to expand her business network and is looking for outstanding professionals in the following fields:

 

·  Tax Attorney
·  Nutritionist
·  Relocation/Moving Specialist
·  Marketing Specialist

 

If you know someone who is really great, please connect that person to me!  Thank you!

 

This Week's Economic Indicator Calendar...
     Remember, as a general rule, weaker than expected economic data is good for rates, while positive data causes rates to rise.
 
Economic Calendar for the Week of June 25 - June 29, 2012 
  
  
    
     The material contained in this newsletter is provided by a third party to real estate, financial services and other professionals only for their use and the use of their clients. The material provided is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment and/or mortgage advice. Although the material is deemed to be accurate and reliable, we do not make any representations as to its accuracy or completeness and as a result, there is no guarantee it is not without errors.

     As your trusted advisor, I am sending you Lanning's LiveWire because I am committed to keeping you updated on the economic events that impact interest rates and how they may affect you.

     In the unlikely event that you no longer wish to receive these valuable market updates, please email: jlanning@jessicalanning.com  If you prefer to send your removal request by mail, the address is:

Jessica Lanning, CMC
Lanning Financial Inc
636 Fourth Street
San Francisco, CA 94107

     Mortgage Success Source, LLC is the copyright owner or licensee of the content and/or information in this email, unless otherwise indicated.   Mortgage Success Source, LLC does not grant to you a license to any content, features or materials in this email.   You may not distribute, download, or save a copy of any of the content or screens except as otherwise provided in our Terms and Conditions of Membership, for any purpose.
Jessica Lanning
Lanning Financial Inc.
Join Our Mailing List