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Lanning Financial Inc. For the week of February 20, 2012 |
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Lanning Financial Inc.
636 Fourth Street
San Francisco, CA 94107 415.354.5699 ph. & private fax
Jessica Lanning and Lanning Financial provide mortgage services and financial strategies that bring focus and perspective to your individual financial needs. |
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Last Week in Review... | |
A tale of three stories. That's a great way to describe last week's news, as a string of positive economic reports, news out of Greece, and hints that inflation is heating up all worked together to impact Bonds and home loan rates. Here are the details!
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A breakfast buffet of better than expected economic data hit the wires last week. In the housing arena, Housing Starts came in better than expected, while both the New York Empire State Index and the Philadelphia Fed Index reported positive manufacturing news. There was also decent labor market news, as Weekly Initial Jobless Claims fell by 13,000 in the latest week to 348,000 - the lowest level since March 2008! Meanwhile, Retail Sales rose in January by 0.4%, the largest gain since October.
Remember, strong economic news often cause money to flow out of Bonds and into Stocks, as investors hope to take advantage of gains. That's partly what caused Bonds (including Mortgage Bonds, to which home loan rates are tied) to worsen late last week.
Also weighing on Bonds and home loan rates was the news that inflation is heating up. Despite the Fed's claim that inflation is moderating, the Core Consumer Price Index (CPI), which strips out volatile food and energy, rose to its highest levels since October 2008. Meanwhile, as you can see in the chart, the wholesale measuring Core Producer Price Index (PPI) rose double the expectations of 0.2%, coming in at 0.4%. Any hints of inflation can serve to spook Bond investors - causing both Bonds and home loan rates to worsen - as inflation can reduce the value of fixed investments like Bonds. This is one story to keep a close eye on in the weeks ahead.
The drama in Greece is another key story to monitor, as it also impacted Bonds and home loan rates last week. Greece sent the markets into the weekend with assuring messages that a deal for them to avoid default is close, and this sense of optimism weighed on Bonds and home loan rates. Our Bonds and home loan rates have benefitted from all the uncertainty in Greece, as investors have seen our Bond Market as a safe haven for their money. Time will tell whether this uncertainty and safe haven trading will continue.
The bottom line is that now is a great time to purchase or refinance, as home loan rates remain near historic lows. Let me know if I can answer any questions at all for you or your clients. |
| Forecast For The Week... |
After The capital markets were closed on Monday due to Presidents' Day and the economic calendar is light the rest of the week with just a few reports.
- On Wednesday Existing Home Sales will be released, followed by the New Home Sales report on Friday. The reports come after last week's positive Housing Starts data.
- Thursday brings the weekly Initial Jobless Claims Report, which has steadily declined this year to a more job-friendly level.
- On Friday, the Consumer Sentiment Report will be released.
In addition to those reports, a number of news stories may move the markets, including additional news out of Greece, the Treasury Department's auction of $99 Billion worth of government securities, and movement in the Stock Market. All of those news stories have the potential to negatively impact the Bond Market, depending on how they develop.
Remember: Weak economic news normally causes money to flow out of Stocks and into Bonds, helping Bonds and home loan rates improve, while strong economic news normally has the opposite result.
The chart below shows Mortgage Backed Securities (MBS), which are the type of Bond that home loan rates are based on.
When you see these Bond prices moving higher, it means home loan rates are improving - and when they are moving lower, home loan rates are getting worse.
To go one step further - a red "candle" means that MBS worsened during the day, while a green "candle" means MBS improved during the day. Depending on how dramatic the changes were on any given day, this can cause rate changes throughout the day, as well as on the rate sheets we start with each morning.
As you can see in the chart below, good economic news late last week reversed the improving trend Bonds and home loan rates experienced early in the week. I'll continue to monitor this situation closely.
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Chart: Fannie Mae 3.5% Mortgage Bond (Friday, February 17, 2012)
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| The Mortgage Market View... | |
Mileage Rate for 2012
If you drive a car, truck or van for work, you'll want to make sure you know the standard mileage rates that the Internal Revenue Service (IRS) has set for 2012.
These mileage rates are used to calculate deductible costs for driving an automobile for business, charitable, medical and moving purposes. So when it comes to filing your taxes this time next year, you'll need to know these numbers!
New for 2012
As of January 1, 2012, the standard mileage rates are as follows:
- Businesses = 55.5 cents per mile driven
- Medical or moving = 23 cents per mile driven
- Charitable organizations = 14 cents per mile driven
You'll notice that the rate for business miles is unchanged from the mid-year adjustment that became effective on July 1, 2011. The medical and moving rate has been reduced by 0.5 cents per mile.
Make Sure You Qualify
Before you calculate your deduction, make sure you qualify. The IRS reminds taxpayers that they cannot use the business standard mileage rate for a vehicle after using any depreciation method under the Modified Accelerated Cost Recovery System (MACRS) or after claiming a Section 179 deduction for that vehicle.
In addition, the business standard mileage rate cannot be used for more than four vehicles used simultaneously. However, the IRS is accepting public comments on this policy.
Additional Option
Although the IRS provides the standard mileage rate for ease and convenience, you're not required to use it. If you prefer, you can calculate the actual costs of using your vehicle instead of using the standard mileage rates.
Remember, if you have questions or concerns, talk to a tax consultant or accountant to discuss your options and unique situation. | |
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| Recommend Your Favorite Professionals... | | Jessica is looking to expand her business network and is looking for outstanding professionals in the following fields:
· Tax Attorney · Nutritionist · Relocation/Moving Specialist · Marketing Specialist
If you know someone who is really great, please connect that person to me! Thank you! | |
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| This Week's Economic Indicator Calendar... | |
Remember, as a general rule, weaker than expected economic data is good for rates, while positive data causes rates to rise.
Economic Calendar for the Week of February 20 - February 24, 2012
The material contained in this newsletter is provided by a third party to real estate, financial services and other professionals only for their use and the use of their clients. The material provided is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment and/or mortgage advice. Although the material is deemed to be accurate and reliable, we do not make any representations as to its accuracy or completeness and as a result, there is no guarantee it is not without errors. As your trusted advisor, I am sending you Lanning's LiveWire because I am committed to keeping you updated on the economic events that impact interest rates and how they may affect you. In the unlikely event that you no longer wish to receive these valuable market updates, please email: jlanning@jessicalanning.com If you prefer to send your removal request by mail, the address is: Jessica Lanning, CMC Lanning Financial Inc 636 Fourth Street San Francisco, CA 94107 Mortgage Success Source, LLC is the copyright owner or licensee of the content and/or information in this email, unless otherwise indicated. Mortgage Success Source, LLC does not grant to you a license to any content, features or materials in this email. You may not distribute, download, or save a copy of any of the content or screens except as otherwise provided in our Terms and Conditions of Membership, for any purpose. |
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Jessica Lanning
Lanning Financial Inc.
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